Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 19, 2020Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Mar 19, 2020, 8:14 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Mar 19, 2020, 12:42 PM CDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2020, 8:14 AM CDT (13:14 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 19, 2020, 12:42 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 21, 2020, 1:44 PM CDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Ottawa County, OK

The river

Written for the forecast point Spring River near Quapaw (QUAO2). The gauge peaked at 22.55 ft at Mar 19, 2020, 10:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate15202503/1903/2003/2103/22
Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07188000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

283 
WGUS44 KTSA 191314
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
814 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-192113-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0038.200319T1743Z-200323T0600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1743Z.200321T0600Z.200323T0000Z.NO/
814 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River near Commerce
* from this afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At  7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 13.05 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 19.7 feet 
  late Friday night. The river is expected to fall below flood
  stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-192113-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0039.200320T0730Z-200321T1600Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200320T0730Z.200320T1800Z.200321T1000Z.NO/
814 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Spring River near Quapaw
* from late tonight to Saturday morning.
* At  7:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 16.86 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late tonight and continue to rise to near 21.0 
  feet by early Friday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.  
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
10 follow-up statements
166 
WGUS84 KTSA 191524
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1024 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-192323-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.200319T1522Z-200323T0925Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1435Z.200321T0000Z.200323T0325Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from this morning to late Sunday night.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 14.97 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 20.4 
  feet late tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-192323-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.200319T1742Z-200321T1500Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1742Z.200320T1200Z.200321T0900Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 18.70 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 22.1 feet 
  by Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
174 
WGUS84 KTSA 191922
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
222 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-200322-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200323T0500Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1433Z.200321T0000Z.200322T2300Z.NO/
222 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 16.78 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.4 feet late Friday night. The river is expected to fall
  below flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-200322-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T1636Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T1200Z.200321T1036Z.NO/
222 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 20.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue rising to 
  near 23.2 feet Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, park and recreational areas downstream from 
  the gage site experience moderate flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
414 
WGUS84 KTSA 200058
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
758 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-200857-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T1636Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T1200Z.200321T1036Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 22.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue rising to 
  near 23.0 feet Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, park and recreational areas downstream from 
  the gage site experience moderate flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
593 
WGUS84 KTSA 200710
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
210 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-201511-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200323T0533Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1433Z.200321T0600Z.200322T2333Z.NO/
210 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Friday, the stage was 18.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.4 feet Saturday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-201510-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T0748Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T0148Z.NO/
210 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 AM Friday, the stage was 22.26 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
032 
WGUS84 KTSA 201331
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
831 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-202131-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T0834Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T0234Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Friday, the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
498 
WGUS84 KTSA 201911
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
211 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-210310-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200323T0013Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1433Z.200321T0600Z.200322T1813Z.NO/
211 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 19.04 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.0 feet Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-210310-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T1827Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T1227Z.NO/
211 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 21.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
152 
WGUS84 KTSA 210120
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-210919-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200323T0013Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1433Z.200321T1200Z.200322T1813Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Friday, the stage was 19.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.4 feet Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-210919-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T1827Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T1227Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Friday, the stage was 21.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
364 
WGUS84 KTSA 210705
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
205 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-211505-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200322T2145Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200319T1433Z.200320T2115Z.200322T1545Z.NO/
205 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 19.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC115-211505-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T2034Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T1434Z.NO/
205 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 21.61 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
689 
WGUS84 KTSA 211302
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
802 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-212021-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T2021Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T1421Z.NO/
802 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$
342 
WGUS84 KTSA 211844
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
144 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-211914-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-200321T2021Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.200319T1540Z.200320T0300Z.200321T1350Z.NO/
144 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage this morning.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9469 3682 9469 3682 9481 3695 9481

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 19, 6:47 AM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 6:47 AM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
647 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Periods of MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys to continue this morning,
especially across the AR sites where rain and thunder coverage
will increase over the next few hours. Additional rain/thunder
chances toward the afternoon will be confined to SE OK and WC AR
along a sfc dryline. Gusty s-sw sfc winds will prevail for much
of the day, and then become more w-nw overnight as a cold front
moves through. VFR elements are expected at all sites from 00z on.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued Tulsa OK 235 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020/

DISCUSSION...

A persistent Omega block in the eastern Pacific will continue to
bring unsettled weather through the majority of the forecast
period. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible early
this morning with the potential for some redevelopment later this
afternoon across portions of southeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Windy conditions behind the dryline are expected this
afternoon with gusts 40 to 45 mph across the northwest portions of
the area. This meets Wind Advisory criteria and a WA will be
issued soon. The first half of the weekend should remain largely
dry with the exception of southeast Oklahoma which may see some
precipitation on Friday. Saturday morning will likely need
frost/freeze warnings across much of the area given temps ranging
from the mid 20s to mid 30s across much of the area. The upcoming
work week looks wet with several rounds of precipitation expected.

Strong to isolated severe storms are ongoing across the CWA. These
are expected to continue through much of the early morning hours.
The low level jet will continue to strengthen until about 09Z
tonight after which the jet should begin to weaken and thus the
overall storm activity as well. In the mean time, damaging winds
gusts and heavy rainfall which may lead to flash flooding are the
biggest concerns. Lower, but not zero, severe weather risks
include a hail and tornado threat. The severe potential may
continue to increase a little over the next few hours as 925mb
winds begin to increase. Several rounds of showers and storms,
some of which could be severe, will continue through the morning
hours.

These showers and storms should exit/diminish by mid to late
morning. A dry line will move through the area from west to east
through the late morning and afternoon/evening hours. Locations
behind the dryline will see no chances for precip while locations
ahead of the dryline will continue to see chances for
showers/storms. The best location, based on the latest CAMS
guidance, appears to be over SE OK early this afternoon. A couple of
these storms could be strong to marginally severe given favorable
dynamics and instability ahead of the dry line. As stated above,
locations behind the dryline will see gusty winds of 40 to 45mph at
times. These wind gusts are supported in a well mixed boundary layer
with the 925mb showing wind gusts in the 40 to 45mph range.

Friday will see a cold front pass through the area with surfaces
pressures beginning to increase as a result of a strong high
pressure moving into the north-central CONUS. The influence of
this strong (approximately 1040mb) high pressure will be felt
here with clearing skies Friday into Saturday and cold, light to
moderate NE winds ushering in well below normal temperatures for
this time of year. Temperatures Saturday morning are expected to
be in the 20s to near 30 from about I-40 and northward with lower
to mid 30s expected south of there. Given the greening and budding
vegetation across the area, freeze and frost headlines will
likely be warranted for Saturday morning for much of the area.

After a cool weekend, temperatures look to rebound nicely (70s by
Tuesday and Wednesday and 80s by Thursday) through the work week
next week as the aforementioned high pressure quickly moves off to
the east. Additional rounds of showers and will be possible
through the week (maybe an isolated storm or 2 as well) as we
return to a more favorable pattern for precipitation. With that
said, there really aren't any strong signals for heavy
precipitation next week which is a good sign for our rivers and
soils which will see a good amount of rain this morning from heavy
thunderstorms.

Snider

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for OKZ049-053-057-058-
     060>076.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for OKZ054>056-059>061.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....23
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 5:18 AM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
518 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
518 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM THIS EVENING

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
 AREA... US highway 169 and eastward with the greatest potential
over southeast Oklahoma.
    ONSET... This afternoon and evening.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
    AREA... Interstate 44 and southeastward.
    ONSET... Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
    AREA... Eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas.
    ONSET... Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
 AREA... Areas along and northwest of Interstate 44.
    ONSET... Late this morning.

DISCUSSION...

Strong thunderstorms continue early this morning, but continue to
show signs of weakening as upper level dynamics that supported
isolated severe storms earlier this morning have diminished. With
that said, a flash flooding threat remains as additional rounds of
showers and storms move over already saturated soils from recent
rains.

This afternoon is expected to heat up and when combined with
favorable dynamics, a few severe storms will be possible,
especially over southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas
along an advancing dry line. These storms will be capable of
producing hail up to ping pong ball size and damaging wind gusts
up to 70 miles per hour. There is a very low, but non zero,
tornado threat for the aforementioned region as well. In addition
to the aforementioned severe threat

Winds will begin increasing late this morning behind a passing dry
line. Sustained winds will be between 15 to 25 miles per hour with
wind gusts up to 45 miles per hour at times possible. As a result,
a Wind Advisory has been issued for points along and northwest of
Interstate 44 for this afternoon.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

After a fairly quiet and cold weekend where freeze/frost headlines
may be needed for Saturday morning, additional rounds of showers
and storms look to move into the area for the first half of next
week. The good news is that these showers and storms do not
appear to bring a whole lot of precipitation to the region at this
time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Snider

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 19, 6:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
621 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

OKZ062-063-191145-
Delaware OK-Mayes OK-
621 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND MAYES
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM CDT...

At 621 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles west of Pryor Creek to 4 miles southwest of
Rose. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Jay...                            Pryor...
Pryor Creek...                    Chouteau...
Locust Grove...                   Salina...
West Siloam Springs...            Langley...
Colcord...                        Kansas...
Adair...                          Spavinaw...
Disney...                         Oaks...
Pensacola...                      Hoot Owl...
Cherokee State Park...            Rose...
Leach...                          Chloeta...

LAT...LON 3658 9500 3618 9457 3616 9468 3616 9512
      3607 9512 3608 9527 3624 9544 3632 9543
      3651 9512 3651 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 1121Z 241DEG 35KT 3628 9539 3617 9508

Lacy
Local storm report, Mar 19, 6:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
623 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 AM     TSTM WND DMG     8 E DRUMRIGHT           35.99N 96.46W
03/19/2020                   CREEK              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MOBILE HOME AND PROPANE SUPPY TANK FLIPPED OR DAMAGED BY
            THUNDERSTORM WINDS EAST OF DRUMRIGHT NEAR INTERSECTION OF
            HWY 33 AND 433RD WEST AVE.

&&

JDS
Special weather statement, Mar 19, 6:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
632 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

ARZ001-010-OKZ062-063-068-069-191200-
Benton AR-Washington AR-Adair OK-Cherokee OK-Delaware OK-Mayes OK-
632 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BENTON...WASHINGTON...DELAWARE...
NORTHEASTERN MAYES...ADAIR AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL
700 AM CDT...

At 632 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Hoot Owl to 2 miles north of Twin Oaks to 3 miles
north of Christie to 3 miles southeast of Stilwell. Movement was
northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fayetteville...                   Springdale...
Rogers...                         Bentonville...
Siloam Springs...                 Stilwell...
Jay...                            Bella Vista...
Lowell...                         Grove...
Farmington...                     Prairie Grove...
Gentry...                         Elkins...
Tontitown...                      Bethel Heights...
Gravette...                       West Fork...
Lincoln...                        Cave Springs...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 49 and 93.

LAT...LON 3667 9462 3650 9462 3650 9419 3634 9410
      3597 9395 3576 9446 3576 9449 3575 9449
      3564 9475 3592 9476 3616 9499 3634 9526
      3651 9502 3651 9501 3652 9500 3667 9480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1132Z 234DEG 54KT 3635 9513 3624 9484 3600 9470 3577
9461

Lacy
Special weather statement, Mar 19, 6:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
657 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

ARZ001-002-191230-
Carroll AR-Benton AR-
657 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND
NORTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 730 AM CDT...

At 657 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles northeast of
Rogers, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Rogers...                         Eureka Springs...
Pea Ridge...                      Garfield...
Gateway...                        Beaver...
Grandview...                      Avoca...
Hill Top...                       Beaver Lake...
Walnut Hill...                    Monte Ne...
Larue...                          Pleasant Ridge...
Oak Hill...                       Busch...

LAT...LON 3626 9405 3641 9417 3650 9403 3650 9361
      3645 9357
TIME...MOT...LOC 1157Z 236DEG 31KT 3638 9404

Lacy
Local storm report, Mar 19, 7:31 AM CDT, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
731 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N COLLINSVILLE        36.38N 95.84W
03/19/2020                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HORSEPEN MOBILE HOME PARK NORTH OF COLLINSVILLE FLOODED
            DUE TO HORSEPEN CREEK FLOODING.

&&

JDS
Local storm report, Mar 19, 7:34 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
734 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLLINSVILLE            36.36N 95.84W
03/19/2020                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORT OF FLOODING AT MULTIPLE LOCATIONS ALONG HWY 20
            BETWEEN COLLINSVILLE AND SKIATOOK.

&&

JDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 8:48 PM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware70 hr
Mar 19, 12:47 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa3 hr
Mar 19, 12:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa and 2 more40 min
Mar 19, 1:09 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSARogers, Tulsa51 min
Mar 19, 1:17 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Tulsa3 hr
Mar 19, 1:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Tulsa, Washington27 min
Mar 19, 1:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa6 hr
Mar 19, 2:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa44 min
Mar 19, 2:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAAdair, Delaware42 hr
Mar 19, 2:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware48 hr
Mar 19, 2:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee66 hr
Mar 19, 2:16 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee, Delaware36 hr
Mar 19, 2:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers60 min
Mar 19, 2:31 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSARogers3 hr
Mar 19, 2:45 AM CDTWind AdvisoryTSANowata, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington16 hr
Mar 19, 2:50 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Rogers3 hr
Mar 19, 3:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOttawa38 min
Mar 19, 5:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSATulsa34 min
Mar 19, 5:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSARogers3 hr
Mar 19, 5:49 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMayes26 min
Mar 19, 5:55 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Rogers3 hr
Mar 19, 6:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair, Cherokee25 min
Mar 19, 6:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware, Mayes24 min
Mar 19, 6:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair, Delaware28 min
Mar 19, 6:35 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSARogers, Tulsa61 hr
Mar 19, 7:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAWashington30 hr
Mar 19, 7:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage, Tulsa23 hr
Mar 19, 7:44 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington12 hr
Mar 19, 7:44 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSATulsa2 hr
Mar 19, 8:14 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa3 days
Mar 19, 9:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASequoyah33 min
Mar 19, 9:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSATulsa22 hr
Mar 19, 10:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkmulgee23 min
Mar 19, 10:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMuskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa43 min
Mar 19, 11:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh26 min
Mar 19, 11:18 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee27 min
Mar 19, 11:20 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAAdair, Cherokee, Creek, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes and 6 more3 hr
Mar 19, 11:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Wagoner24 min
Mar 19, 11:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee32 min
Mar 19, 12:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee27 min
Mar 19, 12:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Sequoyah6 hr
Mar 19, 12:21 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACherokee, Creek, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee, Okfuskee and 4 more12 hr
Mar 19, 12:31 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa3 hr
Mar 19, 2:03 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOkmulgee7 days
Mar 19, 2:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg48 min
Mar 19, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg58 min
Mar 19, 2:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah3 hr
Mar 19, 3:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACreek19 hr
Mar 19, 3:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell44 min
Mar 19, 3:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell46 min
Mar 19, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah58 min
Mar 19, 4:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALatimer24 min
Mar 19, 4:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell33 min
Mar 19, 4:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALatimer27 min
Mar 19, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah27 min
Mar 19, 5:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPushmataha23 min
Mar 19, 5:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore30 min
Mar 19, 5:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASequoyah35 min
Mar 19, 5:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALatimer47 min
Mar 19, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah43 min
Mar 19, 5:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAChoctaw28 min
Mar 19, 5:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore25 min
Mar 19, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha53 min
Mar 19, 6:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore52 min
Mar 19, 6:20 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Sequoyah6 hr
Mar 19, 6:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore33 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.