Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 57

March 19, 202029 counties in Iowa; 10 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2020, 3:29 PM CDT for 29 counties in Iowa; 10 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2020, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2020, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Saline, Seward26 min
Mar 19, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page44 min
Mar 19, 4:24 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCass, Otoe36 min
Mar 19, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page45 min
Mar 19, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery15 min
Mar 19, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Union50 min
Mar 19, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills24 min
Mar 19, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage13 min
Mar 19, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Taylor23 min
Mar 19, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie34 min
Mar 19, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie12 min
Mar 19, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie34 min
Mar 19, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery28 min
Mar 19, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass39 min
Mar 19, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXRichardson40 min
Mar 19, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway36 min
Mar 19, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXRichardson26 min
Mar 19, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMarion, Warren43 min
Mar 19, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway47 min
Mar 19, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Nodaway21 min
Mar 19, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage18 min
Mar 19, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry, Nodaway, Worth45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 220 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2020-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 55 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2020-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 301 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
55 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-226 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
527 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
301 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
304 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

789 
WWUS20 KWNS 192027
SEL7  
SPC WW 192027
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-200400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 57
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  southern Iowa
  northern Missouri
  southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Storms including a few supercells are expected to continue
developing this afternoon into the evening, posing a risk for large
hail, tornadoes and damaging wind.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Des Moines
IA to 10 miles east southeast of Falls City NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Dial

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 2:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Davis and 19 more3 hr
Mar 19, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 20 more2 hr
Mar 19, 11:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 23 more115 min
Mar 19, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Madison, Mississippi and 7 more65 min
Mar 19, 4:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid and 4 more7 hr
Mar 19, 2:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas, Harlan and 6 more119 min
Mar 19, 5:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Boyd, Brown and 18 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2020Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2020Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.