Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2020
Tornado Watch 35
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 2, 2020, 5:21 PM CST for 6 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2020, 5:21 PM CST (23:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 3, 2020, 1:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 81 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 5:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark | 45 min |
| Mar 2, 5:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 44 min |
| Mar 2, 5:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pope | 37 min |
| Mar 2, 5:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent, Shannon, Texas | 46 min |
| Mar 2, 6:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 56 min |
| Mar 2, 6:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, Wayne | 40 min |
| Mar 2, 6:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, Wayne | 46 min |
| Mar 2, 6:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon | 49 min |
| Mar 2, 6:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 17 min |
| Mar 2, 6:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Wayne | 52 min |
| Mar 2, 7:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins | 47 min |
| Mar 2, 7:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 58 min |
| Mar 2, 7:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Trigg | 40 min |
| Mar 2, 7:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Stoddard, Wayne | 47 min |
| Mar 2, 7:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 33 min |
| Mar 2, 7:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins | 35 min |
| Mar 2, 8:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton | 28 min |
| Mar 2, 8:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Union | 38 min |
| Mar 2, 8:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard | 52 min |
| Mar 2, 8:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon | 26 min |
| Mar 2, 8:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Cape Girardeau | 33 min |
| Mar 2, 8:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Scott, Stoddard | 33 min |
| Mar 2, 8:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Muhlenberg, Todd | 28 min |
| Mar 2, 8:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Scott, Stoddard, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Mar 2, 8:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Scott | 30 min |
| Mar 2, 8:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Ripley | 49 min |
| Mar 2, 9:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Pulaski | 41 min |
| Mar 2, 9:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Butler, Ripley | 47 min |
| Mar 2, 9:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pope | 43 min |
| Mar 2, 9:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 38 min |
| Mar 2, 10:00 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Hardin, Johnson, Pope, Union | 6 hr |
| Mar 2, 10:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 18 min |
| Mar 2, 10:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley | 44 min |
| Mar 2, 10:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | New Madrid, Stoddard | 35 min |
| Mar 2, 10:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Crittenden, Hopkins, McLean, Union, Webster | 6 hr |
| Mar 2, 10:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Fulton | 45 min |
| Mar 2, 10:37 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Bollinger | 6 hr |
| Mar 2, 10:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Henry | 45 min |
| Mar 2, 11:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Henry | 25 min |
| Mar 2, 11:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Mississippi, New Madrid | 35 min |
| Mar 2, 11:11 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Lyon, Muhlenberg, Todd and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 2, 11:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene | 49 min |
| Mar 3, 12:13 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Calloway, Graves, Marshall | 32 min |
| Mar 3, 12:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Greene | 20 min |
| Mar 3, 12:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Calloway, Marshall, Trigg | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 334 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 668 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 185 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 178 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 3.0
The text
As transmitted.
277
WWUS20 KWNS 022319
SEL5
SPC WW 022319
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-030700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 35
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwestern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
Northwestern Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 520 PM
until 100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should develop and increase in coverage and
intensity through the evening over the watch area, with commensurate
increase in mainly large-hail potential in a favorable supercell
environment. Tornadoes are possible, however, along with isolated
severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 45 miles south of Harrison AR to
Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 27030.
...EdwardsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 3:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 1, 10:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent, Douglas and 15 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2020Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2020Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.