Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2020, 4:41 PM CDT for Clay County, Wilkin County, Minnesota; 19 counties in North Dakota; 19 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 5, 2020, 4:41 PM CDT (21:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 5, 2020, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 40 counties
Clay County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Adams County, ND, Barnes County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Brown County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Spink County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 4:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Ransom, Richland, Sargent | 44 min |
| Jul 5, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cass, Richland | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Jones, Lyman | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Morton | 21 min |
| Jul 5, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Hughes, Lyman | 48 min |
| Jul 5, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant | 36 min |
| Jul 5, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Jones, Lyman | 52 min |
| Jul 5, 6:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Faulk, Hand, Spink | 53 min |
| Jul 5, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Bowman | 39 min |
| Jul 5, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Faulk, Hand, Spink | 48 min |
| Jul 5, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Lyman | 78 min |
| Jul 5, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Buffalo, Hand, Hyde, Lyman | 75 min |
| Jul 5, 7:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | McPherson | 21 min |
| Jul 5, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | McPherson | 52 min |
| Jul 5, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, Walworth | 26 min |
| Jul 5, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | McPherson | 48 min |
| Jul 5, 8:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | McPherson | 29 min |
| Jul 5, 8:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | Edmunds, Potter, Walworth | 28 min |
| Jul 5, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, Faulk, Potter | 30 min |
| Jul 5, 8:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | Edmunds, McPherson | 14 min |
| Jul 5, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, McPherson | 46 min |
| Jul 5, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Day | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -469 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1553 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
808
WWUS20 KWNS 052139
SEL1
SPC WW 052139
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-060400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme west central Minnesota
South central and southeast North Dakota
Central and northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered areas of thunderstorm development will persist
along multiple boundaries across the watch area. The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and multicell clusters
capable of producing large hail and damaging winds through this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Mobridge SD to 50 miles south southeast of Fargo ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 8:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Lake of the Woods, Mahnomen and 6 more | 116 min |
| Jul 4, 9:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Billings, Bowman, Divide, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 4 more | 119 min |
| Jul 4, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Billings, Bowman, Burke, Divide, Dunn and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 5, 1:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Burke, Divide, Dunn, Grant, Hettinger and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 5, 3:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dickey, LaMoure, McIntosh, Ransom, Sargent | 118 min |
| Jul 5, 6:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, LaMoure and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 4, 7:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Edmunds, McPherson | 67 min |
| Jul 5, 4:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Fall River, Lawrence, Pennington | 2 hr |
| Jul 5, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bennett, Butte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding and 10 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.