Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331

July 5, 2020Clay County, Wilkin County, Minnesota; 19 counties in North Dakota; 19 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2020, 4:41 PM CDT for Clay County, Wilkin County, Minnesota; 19 counties in North Dakota; 19 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2020, 4:41 PM CDT (21:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2020, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Clay County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Adams County, ND, Barnes County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Brown County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Spink County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom, Richland, Sargent44 min
Jul 5, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCass, Richland41 min
Jul 5, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman41 min
Jul 5, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMorton21 min
Jul 5, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Lyman48 min
Jul 5, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant36 min
Jul 5, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman52 min
Jul 5, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand, Spink53 min
Jul 5, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman39 min
Jul 5, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand, Spink48 min
Jul 5, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRLyman78 min
Jul 5, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBuffalo, Hand, Hyde, Lyman75 min
Jul 5, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningABRMcPherson21 min
Jul 5, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRMcPherson52 min
Jul 5, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Walworth26 min
Jul 5, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRMcPherson48 min
Jul 5, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningABRMcPherson29 min
Jul 5, 8:17 PM CDTTornado WarningABREdmunds, Potter, Walworth28 min
Jul 5, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk, Potter30 min
Jul 5, 8:31 PM CDTTornado WarningABREdmunds, McPherson14 min
Jul 5, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, McPherson46 min
Jul 5, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Day41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2020-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2020-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-469 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

808 
WWUS20 KWNS 052139
SEL1  
SPC WW 052139
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-060400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Extreme west central Minnesota
  South central and southeast North Dakota
  Central and northeast South Dakota

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered areas of thunderstorm development will persist
along multiple boundaries across the watch area.  The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and multicell clusters
capable of producing large hail and damaging winds through this
evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Mobridge SD to 50 miles south southeast of Fargo ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Lake of the Woods, Mahnomen and 6 more116 min
Jul 4, 9:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBillings, Bowman, Divide, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 4 more119 min
Jul 4, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Burke, Divide, Dunn and 9 more5 hr
Jul 5, 1:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Burke, Divide, Dunn, Grant, Hettinger and 11 more2 hr
Jul 5, 3:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickey, LaMoure, McIntosh, Ransom, Sargent118 min
Jul 5, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, LaMoure and 6 more2 hr
Jul 4, 7:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Edmunds, McPherson67 min
Jul 5, 4:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Fall River, Lawrence, Pennington2 hr
Jul 5, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding and 10 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.