Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1111

July 5, 2020Big Horn County, Montana; 4 counties in South Dakota; 4 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 5, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT for Big Horn County, Montana; 4 counties in South Dakota; 4 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT (21:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2020, 5:00 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%

Counties Big Horn County, MT, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Crook County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 234 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2020-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 14 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2020-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-352 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 6:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Garfield, McCone, Phillips, Powder River, Prairie and 1 more55 min
Jul 4, 8:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, McCone, Prairie and 5 more119 min
Jul 5, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Powder River7 hr
Jul 4, 6:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Edmunds, McPherson67 min
Jul 5, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeadle, Brown, Buffalo, Campbell, Day, Dewey and 18 more118 min
Jul 5, 3:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds and 13 more6 hr
Jul 5, 5:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Day, Dewey and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Montana, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.