Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 153, NWS Springfield, MO

May 4, 2020Newton County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 4, 2020, 6:53 PM CDT for Newton County, Missouri. It was in force for 20 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 4, 2020, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired: May 4, 2020, 7:13 PM CDT
In force: 20 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Newton County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 4, 6:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	12 hr
May 4, 2:32 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 988 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 4, 3:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 3:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
357 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

As severe storms that produced widespread wind damage over
portions of the eastern Ozarks exit the forecast area, another
round of strong to severe storms is already developing over
northeast Oklahoma. These storms will spread into southern
Missouri and may clip southeast Kansas through the late afternoon
and early evening. The airmass has become very unstable with
surface based CAPE over 2000 j/kg over the southwest corner of
Missouri. The advancing cold front has moved a little faster to
the south than previously expected, which will help limit the
northern extent of the severe weather threat through early and mid
evening.

The cold front will clear the region by around midnight and bring
an end to the severe storm threat. Cooler air spreads into the
region behind the front and is expected to drop overnight
temperatures into the lower and mid 50s.

Clouds will be slow to clear tomorrow until 700 mb trough axis
shifts to the east during the afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

Still looks fairly cool with intermittent chances for rain as weak
disturbances move through northwest flow aloft. Next round of rain
looks to move over the region late Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. Rainfall amounts should be light and better chances will
be over central MO, closer to the upper low over the Ohio Valley.

A more substantial storm system is expected Thursday night and
Friday as a storm system drips out of the Canadian Rockies and a
surface low deepens over the Texas Panhandle.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

Main focus will be on storms over the region this afternoon. First
round of storms has moved east of the TAF sites but the airmass
over the region will destabilize ahead of an approaching cold
front with another round of storms developing over eastern Kansas
this afternoon. Will carry tempo for thunderstorms/IFR mainly
between 04/22Z and 05/03Z.

Winds shift to the north by around 04-07Z with prevailing IFR
through the rest of the forecast period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Terry

Hazardous weather outlook, May 4, 3:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
330 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-052030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
330 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

...Severe Storms Possible Through This Evening...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe storms will continue along and east of a line
from Ava to Camdenton through late afternoon. The strongest
storms will be capable of producing hail to the size of quarters
and wind gusts to 70 mph.

Additional severe thunderstorms will develop over northeast
Oklahoma and extreme southern Kansas this afternoon and move
eastward into southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks through
early evening. Large hail up to the size of tennis balls,
damaging wind gusts to 80 mph, and tornadoes will all be
possible.

The highest potential for tornadoes will be over far southeast
Kansas and far southwest Missouri mainly along and west of
Interstate 49. However, isolated tornadoes will be across all of
the Missouri Ozarks.

Localized areas of flooding may occur where multiple rounds of
heavy rainfall occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed through tonight mainly eat of a
line from Fort Leonard Wood to Ava and south of a line from Joplin
to Marshfield.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Terry

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 4, 5:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
522 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N NORWOOD             37.12N 92.42W
05/04/2020                   WRIGHT             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL BUILDINGS AND NUMEROUS TREES
            UPROOTED. THIS EXTENDS THE DAMAGE FROM
            MANSFIELD THROUGH NORWOOD NORTHWARD.

&&

SR

Special weather statement, May 4, 6:12 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
612 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

MOZ078-079-050000-
Cedar MO-Polk MO-
612 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CEDAR AND NORTHERN
POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 612 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Stockton, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Stockton Lake...                  Stockton State Park...
Pomme de Terre Lake...            Stockton...
Humansville...                    Polk...
Fair Play...                      Flemington...
Umber View Heights...             Bearcreek...
Masters...                        Arnica...
Dunnegan...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3783 9357 3781 9358 3780 9319 3777 9319
      3757 9371 3758 9372 3758 9382 3771 9390
      3783 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 240DEG 38KT 3767 9376

Albano

Local storm report, May 4, 6:26 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
626 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     HAIL             SENECA                  36.85N 94.61W
05/04/2020  E1.75 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SR

Special weather statement, May 4, 6:33 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
633 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

MOZ089-050015-
Dade MO-
633 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DADE COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lockwood, or 8 miles west of Greenfield, moving east at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Stockton Lake...                  Greenfield...
Lockwood...                       South Greenfield...
Arcola...                         Neola...
Cedarville...                     Meinert...
Sylvania...                       Bona...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3729 9408 3758 9407 3757 9364 3737 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 257DEG 31KT 3737 9398

Albano

Local storm report, May 4, 6:36 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
636 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     HAIL             GOODMAN                 36.74N 94.41W
05/04/2020  E1.50 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SR

Special weather statement, May 4, 6:44 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
644 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

MOZ068-080-050030-
Dallas MO-Hickory MO-
644 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HICKORY AND NORTHWESTERN
DALLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 644 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wheatland, or 7 miles southwest of Hermitage, moving east at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pomme de Terre Lake...            Pomme De Terre State Park...
Pittsburg...                      Urbana...
Preston...                        Flemington...
Nemo...                           Elkton...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3800 9307 3780 9308 3777 9319 3780 9319
      3781 9358 3783 9357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 249DEG 38KT 3785 9340

Albano

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 4, 8:26 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	3 days
May 4, 8:26 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	5 days
May 4, 8:26 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar	3 days
May 4, 9:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Newton	40 min
May 4, 9:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	53 min
May 4, 9:53 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton	36 min
May 4, 9:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper	47 min
May 4, 10:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Vernon	56 min
May 4, 10:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dade	44 min
May 4, 10:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Lawrence	52 min
May 4, 10:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	St. Clair	67 min
May 4, 10:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper	34 min
May 4, 10:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	30 min
May 4, 10:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Lawrence, Newton	22 min
May 4, 10:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton	49 min
May 4, 11:03 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Vernon	42 min
May 4, 11:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Barry	24 min
May 4, 11:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dade	23 min
May 4, 11:25 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Lawrence	50 min
May 4, 11:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade, Greene, Polk	45 min
May 4, 11:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar	31 min
May 4, 11:37 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Barton, Cedar, Vernon	11 min
May 4, 11:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Lawrence	12 min
May 4, 11:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Greene	24 min
May 4, 11:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade	40 min
May 4, 12:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Hickory, Polk	45 min
May 4, 12:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade, Greene, Polk	49 min
May 4, 12:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Greene, Webster	36 min
May 4, 12:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	St. Clair, Vernon	65 min
May 4, 12:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede	48 min
May 4, 12:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Hickory	60 min
May 4, 12:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Polk, Webster	29 min
May 4, 1:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Laclede, Webster	32 min
May 4, 1:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Morgan	42 min
May 4, 1:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps, Pulaski	33 min
May 4, 1:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Hickory, Laclede, Polk	53 min
May 4, 1:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Wright	46 min
May 4, 1:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell	41 min
May 4, 1:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Texas	67 min
May 4, 2:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Pulaski, Webster, Wright	64 min
May 4, 2:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Shannon	16 min
May 4, 2:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon, Shannon	47 min
May 4, 2:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski and 3 more	62 min
May 4, 3:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	11 min
May 4, 3:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Howell, Oregon, Shannon	57 min
May 4, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	St. Clair	48 hr
May 4, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Jasper	24 min
May 4, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Newton	48 min
May 4, 5:43 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Howell, Shannon, Texas	4 hr
May 4, 5:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	50 min
May 4, 6:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Cedar	48 min
May 4, 6:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	29 min
May 4, 6:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dade	42 min
May 4, 6:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Hickory	46 min
May 4, 6:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	40 min
May 4, 9:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cherokee	28 min
May 4, 9:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Bourbon	50 min
May 4, 9:28 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cherokee	12 min
May 4, 10:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Bourbon	47 min
May 4, 10:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Crawford	26 min
May 4, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cherokee	44 min
May 4, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cherokee	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2020 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.