Areal Flood Warning 48, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

696 
WGUS41 KPHI 302259
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
559 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

NJC019-021-023-035-010115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-201201T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hunterdon NJ-Mercer NJ-Middlesex NJ-Somerset NJ-
559 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Mercer County in central New Jersey...
  West Central Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...
  Southwestern Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  Southeastern Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey...

* Until 815 PM EST.

* At 559 PM EST, Doppler radar indicated that heavy rains and 
  scattered thunderstorms will continue for an hour or two. Flooding 
  is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the warned area.

Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  South Brunswick, Manville, Flemington, Hopewell, Rocky Hill, 
  Millstone, Cloverhill, Skillman, Flagtown, Belle Mead, Kingston, 
  and Sand Brook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4036 7486 4036 7492 4037 7492 4055 7493
      4056 7493 4054 7459 4038 7453

$$

PO

230 
WGUS41 KPHI 010059
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
759 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

NJC019-021-023-035-010315-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-201201T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hunterdon NJ-Mercer NJ-Middlesex NJ-Somerset NJ-
759 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Mercer County in central New Jersey...
  West Central Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...
  Southwestern Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  Southeastern Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey...

* Until 1015 PM EST.

* At 759 PM EST, The heavy rains have ended, but flooding continues 
  from the rains earlier today. Flooding is occurring at Reaville 
  along the Neshanic River.

Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  South Brunswick, Manville, Flemington, Hopewell, Rocky Hill, 
  Millstone, Cloverhill, Skillman, Flagtown, Belle Mead, Kingston, 
  and Sand Brook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4036 7486 4036 7492 4037 7492 4055 7493
      4056 7493 4054 7459 4038 7453

$$

PO

998 
WGUS41 KPHI 010258
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
958 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

NJC019-021-023-035-010700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-201201T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hunterdon NJ-Mercer NJ-Middlesex NJ-Somerset NJ-
958 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Mercer County in central New Jersey...
  West Central Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...
  Southwestern Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  Southeastern Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey...

* Until 200 AM EST.

* At 958 PM EST, minor flooding was continuing on many streams and 
  creeks.

Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  South Brunswick, Manville, Flemington, Hopewell, Rocky Hill, 
  Millstone, Cloverhill, Skillman, Flagtown, Belle Mead, Kingston, 
  and Sand Brook.

Water levels will decrease slowly overnight with most streams and 
creeks returning within their banks on Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4036 7486 4036 7492 4037 7492 4055 7493
      4056 7493 4054 7459 4038 7453

$$

Iovino

489 
WGUS81 KPHI 010407
FLSPHI

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1107 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

NJC019-021-023-035-010417-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-201201T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hunterdon NJ-Mercer NJ-Middlesex NJ-Somerset NJ-
1107 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHWESTERN MERCER, WEST CENTRAL 
MIDDLESEX, SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET, AND SOUTHEASTERN HUNTERDON 
COUNTIES...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4036 7486 4036 7492 4037 7492 4055 7493
      4056 7493 4054 7459 4038 7453

$$

Iovino

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
128 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong surface low will lift from the Southeast early this
morning to the Saint Lawrence Valley tonight, where it will
stall through Wednesday before continuing northward into eastern
Canada late this week. High pressure in the system's wake will
build northeastward into the eastern U.S. Wednesday and Thursday
before moving offshore Thursday night and Friday. Another system
may affect the region this weekend into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1pm: A Tornado Watch is in effect for portions of the
forecast area.

930 update: Low pressure continues to deepen SW of the area,
with surface pressure obs in WV near the center of the low
around 995 mb. The warm front is rapidly approaching southern
parts of our area, and should move through more or less the
whole area by mid-late afternoon. Only real update with this
package was to expand the wind advisory to include all the
Delaware Bay counties, and also adding Middlesex county. This
is based on current observations which indicate a core of
45-50mph winds progressing northward, with the strongest winds
occurring near the coast. Can't rule out a few 45 mph gusts
inland but don't have enough confidence to expand the advisory
any further westward at this time. Mid-lvl dry slot will be
impinging on on SW portions of our forecast within the next few
hours, which will mark the transition from the stratiform
rainfall of this AM to the more showery/convective precip that
will dominate in the afternoon. Total rainfall has been about
0.5-1 inch with the stratiform precipitation, and another 0.5-1
inch (maybe slightly higher in the SE upslope regions of the
Poconos) will be possible with the convective precipitation this
afternoon (although precip coverage will be more variable)

Previous discussion:

Following the stratiform rain, warm air advection will be continuing
across the region in the wake of the warm front passage.
Temperatures will rise well into the 60s for most locales with
dewpoints also creeping into the low 60s. As a result, some surface
based instability is likely to be realized into the afternoon.
Guidance suggests MLCAPE values in the 500+ J/kg range with LLJ
winds still around 50 kts. The latest NAM suggests MLCAPE reaching
up to 1000 J/kg. This is rather alarming at face value given the
high shear values that will be in place, however I suspect
convection may struggle to develop as a robust dry slot will arrive
aloft during the period of highest instability (the two are
related). Regardless, there very well could still be a small window
of opportunity for the instability to be realized by the environment
before substantial drying occurs aloft.

CAMs continue to indicate scattered, fragmented, multi-mode
convection developing across the forecast area. Any robust
convection that can get going and maintain itself will have the
potential to be of the "power shower" variety. These will have the
potential to bring down the stronger winds from just above the
surface in the form of damaging straight line wind gusts. If the
best instability is realized (>500 J/kg), I wouldn't be surprised to
see a low-topped supercell or two across the coastal plain. In
addition to the convective wind potential, low level shear values
will be high (40+ kts) with curved low level hodographs supportive
of surface based rotation. The tornado potential is certainly non-
zero with this environment, but given questionable convective mode
the confidence is not particularly high on this potential. The SPC
has upgraded portions of the forecast area to a slight risk for both
damaging straight line winds and tornadoes. Not very confident on
the occurrence of thunder, but cannot rule out some isolated strikes.

The low will continue moving north as it occludes across the
eastern Great Lakes region. The attendant cold front will pass
across the forecast area during the evening hours ushering in
cooler and drier air and ending precip. The surface pressure
gradient quickly weakens in the wake of the front, so
southwesterly winds will diminish quickly to around 5-10 mph.
Expected low temperatures generally in the 40s with partly to
mostly cloudy skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
At 12z Tuesday, a deep trough will be centered in the Ohio and
Tennessee Valley, with a strong vort max pivoting northward to
the east of the longer-wave trough. The attendant surface low
will be meandering by this point near the Saint Lawrence Valley as
the system acquires a vertical stack. Low-level southwesterly
flow will be in place, with a rather tight pressure gradient
given the proximity of the low. The midlevels will be cold, so I
am expecting instability showers to be present much of the day
across the area, especially northwest of the Fall Line. Despite
the climatologically unfavorable low-level trajectories,
temperatures will be much colder than those seen today, as cold
advection will be equatorward of the stalling low. With
variable/considerable cloudiness and periodic showers
(especially in the north), not expecting temperatures to climb
much at all, and they will likely be falling during the
afternoon. Additionally, the strong pressure gradient will make
for breezy conditions, with gusts 25 to 30+ mph possible during
the day.

Given the increasing model signal for measurable QPF
in northern portions of the CWA, I did increase PoPs a tad for
northern areas and kept them mentionable everywhere through the
day (as I suspect models may still be underplaying this
potential a tad). Thermal profiles will be increasingly
favorable for a rain/snow mix in the Poconos and vicinity by
afternoon, though not expecting anything significant.

The large-scale pattern changes little Tuesday night and
Wednesday, though the pressure gradient should be on a
diminishing trend during this period. Nevertheless, another
breezy day should be expected Wednesday, and periodic bouts of
snow showers may occur in the Poconos. Models continue to look a
little on the dry side in our northwest CWA, and the proximity
of model-derived QPF is concerning enough to keep a mention of
snow showers in Carbon and Monroe Counties through Wednesday.
Again, not expecting anything significant, but occasional light
snow showers seem probable during this period.

Wednesday will be colder than Tuesday, as cold advection
continues to the south of the stalled cyclone. Expect
highs in 30s in the Poconos and far northwest New Jersey and in
the 40s elsewhere. By Wednesday night, the low to our north will
begin to accelerate northward into eastern Canada, as it is
kicked by a digging vort max in Ontario. This will allow a
surface high in the Southeast to build northeastward toward the
Eastern Seaboard. As winds diminish in this pattern, a good
night of radiational cooling is expected. Trended lows downward
Wednesday night, now firmly below model consensus.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The main concern for the medium-range forecast is the ultimate
evolution of the large-scale pattern Friday through Sunday.

Quiet weather is expected Thursday, as midlevel ridging begins
to affect the area. With rising heights, expect highs to be a
little warmer than Wednesday, with winds lighter.

Model agreement goes off the rails Friday through the weekend,
with run-to-run and model-to-model consistency seemingly absent
for the past 48 hours. Models are really struggling with three
distinct synoptic-scale features of interest: (1) a digging vort
max in eastern Canada and the adjacent Northeast on Thursday and
Friday, (2) a southern-stream perturbation that ejects eastward
and interacts with the eastern Canada vort max, and (3) another
digging vort max from central Canada, which acts to kick (1) and
(2) eastward with time.

The GFS and CMC solutions look somewhat similar to each other
but nothing similar to their simulations from 24 hours ago, with
a somewhat progressive/elongated system moving through the
eastern U.S. Friday and Saturday. This scenario poses a
precipitation risk as early as Thursday night, with temperatures
perhaps cold enough at onset for a wintry mix northwest of the
Fall Line. The GFS is much deeper with the system, though, and
ejects it on a farther-east track, which would be even more
favorable for some wintry precipitation in the northwest CWA.
Meanwhile, the 00z ECMWF does not look remotely similar, with
the southern-stream system shoved south of the area given the
faster timing of the northern-stream vort max. This behavior was
seen to some degree in last night's simulation, but the
antecedent 12z counterpart solutions looked nothing like this
pattern evolution. Given ensemble output, this solution seems
lower probability but cannot be ruled out entirely.

The bottom line is that the Friday through Sunday period has the
potential to be unsettled in our area, but there is little
confidence in the sensible-weather details at this stage. A
broad brush of slight-to-chance PoPs and temperatures near
seasonal averages is appropriate at this stage. Eventually, the
deterministic models develop a strong storm in the western
Atlantic and/or New England early next week, which would spell
windy conditions and potential for some showery precipitation
(perhaps of the wintry variety).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE,
KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...Prevailing MVFR ceilings with periods of IFR
possible. Moderate to locally heavy rain in additions to
scattered thunderstorms through this afternoon will briefly
lower conditions to IFR/LIFR. Southerly winds around 15 to 20
knots with gusts around 25 to 35 knots through this afternoon,
will start to drop off this evening. LLWS will continue through
20Z, tapering off through 22Z as the LLJ passes to the east of
the area. Generally high confidence with lower confidence of
timing of category changes and convection.

Tonight...All showers are expected to diminish in coverage by
00Z and only a few light passing showers may remain after 00Z.
Otherwise, mainly MVFR conditions through around 03Z, lifting to
VFR for the overnight period. Southwest winds around 5 to 10
knots. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday...MVFR ceilings possible, mainly in the morning due to
showers, especially north and west of KPHL. Otherwise, expect
VFR conditions to prevail. Southwest winds around 10 to 15 knots
with gusts around 20 to 30 knots. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday night and Wednesday...VFR with west or southwest winds
5 to 15 kt, with gusts to 20+ kt on Wednesday. High confidence.

Wednesday night and Thursday...VFR with west to southwest winds
5 to 15 kt. Moderate confidence.

Thursday night and Friday...Restrictions possible with a chance
of rain. There is some potential for a wintry mix northwest of
PHL. West to southwest winds 5 to 15 kt. Very low confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Today...Southeasterly winds will increase sharply to gale force
after daybreak this morning. Sustained winds in excess of 30
kts are expected with gusts up to 45 kts across the ocean
waters. Seas will also increase quickly as the winds continue to
increase throughout the morning with heights of 8-12 feet
expected across the ocean waters and up to 5 feet on Delaware
Bay. The Gale Warning was extended a couple hours for the ocean
waters mainly to cover lingering gale force winds across the
northern areas. Expect moderate to heavy rain during the morning
hours with showers continuing during the afternoon with
isolated thunderstorms possible.

Tonight...Winds should drop off quickly into the evening hours
and continue to diminish overnight down to 10-15 kts from the
southwest. Seas will remain elevated though with heights up to 8
feet. A Small Craft Advisory will be needed for this period
once the Gale Warning expires.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Advisory conditions expected with southwest winds 15
to 25 kt with higher gusts. Cannot rule out marginal gales. Seas
7 to 10 feet.

Tuesday night and Wednesday...Advisory conditions probable, with
winds west to southwest 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 6
to 9 feet Tuesday night and 4 to 7 feet on Wednesday, subsiding
with time.

Wednesday night...Advisory conditions possible, with west winds
10 to 20 kt with higher gusts. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

Thursday through Friday...Sub-advisory conditions expected.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
High tide has passed and water levels continue to recede on the
counties along upper Delaware. Will allow Coastal Flood
Advisory to expire at 1 pm.

For the Assawoman Bay, tide levels remain below minor
thresholds, so will not issue a Coastal Flood Statement at this
time.

For Barnegat Bay, high tide has either passed or is currently
ongoing. Will monitor for potential Coastal Flood Statement.

The tidal Delaware River: Confidence is still too low for
advisory issuance, but the surge of water up Delaware Bay
combined with increasing freshwater runoff will likely yield
tidal levels higher than guidance is suggesting. Spotty minor
flooding is probable, and widespread minor flooding is possible.
Will monitor observations closely this morning, and a coastal
flood advisory cannot be ruled out. High tide is generally
between 1 and 3 pm in these locations.

The eastern shore of Chesapeake Bay: Strong southeast winds
combined with a later high tide seem to suggest minor flooding
is possible, if not probable, in tidal portions of eastern
Maryland. Will monitor observations closely during the morning,
with an advisory issuance possible if upstream (lower bay)
observations confirm suspicions that models are underforecasting
this potential. High tide is late this afternoon and early this
evening in these areas.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ012>014-016-
     020>027.
DE...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for DEZ001>004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 9 PM EST this evening for ANZ450>455.
     Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ430-431.

&&

Synopsis...CMS
Near Term...Carr/Staarmann
Short Term...CMS
Long Term...CMS
Aviation...CMS/Meola
Marine...CMS/Staarmann
Tides/Coastal Flooding...WFO PHI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-011800-
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, northern
New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, east central Pennsylvania,
northeast Pennsylvania and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-011800-
Middlesex-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-011800-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland, southern
New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds. An isolated tornado is possible.

Widespread minor tidal flooding is possible with the high tide
during the day on Chesapeake Bay and the tidal Delaware River.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ001-NJZ016-011800-
New Castle-Salem-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds. An isolated tornado is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-NJZ021-011800-
Kent-Cumberland-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware and southern
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds. An isolated tornado is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-014-020-022-025>027-011800-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds. An isolated tornado is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-011800-
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. These showers and storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds. An isolated tornado is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450>455-011800-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-011800-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1252 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MPS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1241 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

DEZ001-PAZ070-071-101>106-301830-
New Castle-Lower Bucks-Upper Bucks-Eastern Montgomery-Western
Montgomery-Delaware-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Philadelphia-
1241 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF METRO
PHILADELPHIA THE NEXT HOUR...

At 1239 PM EST, strong thunderstorms were clustered over Lionville,
or 7 miles northwest of West Chester, moving northeast at 60 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Philadelphia, West Chester, Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville,
Lansdale, West Norriton, East Norriton, Coatesville, Westtown,
Perkasie, Downingtown, Conshohocken, Hatboro, Souderton, Ambler,
Kennett Square, Collegeville, Royersford and Jenkintown.

Heavy downpours and wind gusts up to 45 mph are expected with the
activity.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 302 and 348.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 38.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 337.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 8 and 19.

LAT...LON 4041 7531 4017 7497 3972 7579 4010 7593
TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 240DEG 53KT 4006 7566

PO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1244 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     TSTM WND GST     EAGLEVILLE              40.16N 75.41W
11/30/2020  E50 MPH          MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 MPH WIND GUST IN EAGLEVILLE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1245 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE BEACH HAVEN       39.59N 74.22W
11/30/2020  M50 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

            50 MPH WIND GUST IN NORTH BEACH HAVEN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1246 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SEASIDE HEIGHTS         39.95N 74.07W
11/30/2020  M52 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

            52 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED IN SEASIDE
            HEIGHTS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
136 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     FLOOD            1 NNW WHITE HOUSE STATI 40.63N 74.78W
11/30/2020                   HUNTERDON          NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            US HWY 22 WEST, NEAR VAN HORNE ROAD IS
            CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN READINGTON TWP.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
141 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     FLOOD            3 WSW CLOVERHILL        40.47N 74.83W
11/30/2020                   HUNTERDON          NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVILLE EXCEEDED ITS
            FLOOD STAGE OF 6.5 FEET AT 1:15 PM.

&&