High Wind Warning 1, NWS Memphis, TN

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

995 
WWUS74 KMEG 131059
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
559 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-
088>092-131200-
/O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200413T1200Z/
Clay-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-
Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-
Benton TN-Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Piggott, Corning, Paragould, Jonesboro, 
Harrisburg, Blytheville, Wynne, West Memphis, Kennett, 
Caruthersville, Tiptonville, Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, 
Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, Huntingdon, Camden, Ripley TN, 
Covington, Brownsville, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, 
Parsons, Decaturville, Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, 
Memphis, Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer, 
and Savannah
559 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds have diminished below warning criteria. Thus, the High Wind
Warning has been cancelled.

$$

ARZ048-049-058-MSZ001>017-020>024-131200-
/O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200413T1200Z/
St. Francis-Lee AR-Phillips-DeSoto-Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-
Alcorn-Tishomingo-Tunica-Tate-Prentiss-Coahoma-Quitman-Panola-
Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-Tallahatchie-Yalobusha-
Calhoun-Chickasaw-Monroe-
Including the cities of Forrest City, Marianna, Helena, 
West Helena, Southaven, Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland, 
Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, Tunica, Senatobia, Booneville, 
Clarksdale, Marks, Batesville, Oxford, New Albany, Pontotoc, 
Tupelo, Fulton, Charleston, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, 
Calhoun City, Houston, Okolona, Amory, and Aberdeen
559 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have diminished below advisory criteria. Thus, the Wind 
Advisory has been cancelled.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1241 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

.UPDATE...
Updated to include 06Z Aviation Discussion.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 833 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

DISCUSSION...

Skies are cloudy across much of the Mid-South this evening with
temperatures from the mid 50s to around 70 degrees. The first
area of thunderstorms is finally moving out of the eastern side of
the Mid-South with another large area of thunderstorms about to
enter the region from the west. Some of these thunderstorms could
produce damaging winds and large hail so a Severe Thunderstorm
Watch has been issued for roughly the western half of the Mid-
South until 1 AM CDT.

ARS

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 412 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

UPDATE...Updated to remove the Tornado watch from North
Mississippi. Redevelopment looks questionable at this time.
Adjusted pops/weather accordingly.

30

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A tornado watch remains in effect for North Mississippi. The last
few HRRR runs backed off of the 2nd round of thunderstorms this
evening, but has now increased coverage once again. However, the
surface low that was once well defined, tracking just South of
Memphis is much more diffuse as it tracks into West TN. The warm
front remains to our South but should begin to surge North over
the next few hours ushering in mid-60 degree dew points into
portions of North Mississippi. As this deeper moisture arrives, a
shortwave trough and 70kt mid level jet will shift across the
area. Low level shear remains impressive, 0-1km SRH in excess of
400 m2/s2 should be more than sufficient to support supercellular
storms capable of producing tornadoes and widespread damaging
wind. The main limiting factor will be surface based instability,
which will remain limited until the warm front surges North. The
highest potential for a strong long tracked tornado will likely be
right along or just North of the warm front before sunset.

It is highly uncertain if additional storms will develop along the
cold front but if they do, conditions will be favorable for fast
moving short lived tornadoes as well as damaging wind. By
Midnight, the threat of any severe weather should be over.

Cooler conditions will arrive tomorrow.  Expect temperatures
around 15 degrees below normal Monday and Tuesday with highs in
the 50s followed by a warming trend Wednesday and Thursday. By
Thursday we should see highs in the middle to upper 60s across
most of the Midsouth. There could be frost across portions of West
Tennessee, the Missouri Bootheel and Northeast Arkansas Tuesday
and Wednesday mornings.

A broad trough will deepen over much of the Eastern US Early in
the work week, a weak disturbance rounding the base of the trough
could result in a few light showers Tuesday, but otherwise dry
conditions are expected through Friday.

Expect near to slightly below normal temperatures Friday into the
weekend. No organized storm systems are expected though it looks
like a few additional showers are possible Friday night.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFs

Wrap around rain showers are currently moving across AR and W TN
as of TAF issuance. Winds are already veering northwest,
increasing in speed becoming gusty. These winds will gradually
begin to diminish later Monday morning into Monday
afternoon/evening. MVFR conditions are expected to be prevalent
across all sites overnight with MKL anticipated to improve from
LIFR conditions to MVFR conditions in the next few hours.

CJC

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for Clay-Craighead-
     Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lee AR-Mississippi-Phillips-
     Poinsett-St. Francis.

MO...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for Dunklin-Pemiscot.

MS...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for Alcorn-Benton MS-
     Calhoun-Chickasaw-Coahoma-DeSoto-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
     Marshall-Monroe-Panola-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
     Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Yalobusha.

TN...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for Benton TN-Carroll-
     Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Hardeman-
     Hardin-Haywood-Henderson-Henry-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-
     McNairy-Obion-Shelby-Tipton-Weakley.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1222 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-140730-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
1222 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the entire Mid-South
through the overnight hours. Sustained winds of 25 mph with gusts
to 40 mph are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Frost is possible in portions of Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri
Bootheel, and Northwest TN Wednesday morning and possibly again
Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1147 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PONTOTOC                34.25N  89.01W
04/12/2020                   PONTOTOC           MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON 336W IN PONTOTOC

&&

AC3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1159 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE SHILOH            35.14N  88.36W
04/12/2020                   HARDIN             TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 22 NEAR HAMBURG ROAD.

&&

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1202 AM CDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PLANTERSVILLE           34.21N  88.67W
04/12/2020                   LEE                MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON ROAD 814 IN PLANTERSVILLE.

&&

MJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1205 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

TNZ001>004-019>022-130545-
Carroll TN-Weakley TN-Lake TN-Benton TN-Obion TN-Henry TN-Dyer TN-
Gibson TN-
1205 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 1245 AM CDT
FOR...

Carroll County in western Tennessee...
Weakley County in western Tennessee...
Eastern Lake County in western Tennessee...
Benton County in western Tennessee...
Obion County in western Tennessee...
Henry County in western Tennessee...
Northeastern Dyer County in western Tennessee...
Northern Gibson County in western Tennessee...

At 1205 AM CDT...strong thunderstorms producing winds in excess of 40
mph was located along a line extending from near Obion to near
McKenzie to 6 miles north of Parsons. Movement was northeast at 55
mph.

People in Carroll...Weakley...eastern Lake...Benton...Obion...
Henry...northeastern Dyer and northern Gibson Counties should monitor
this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3597 8802 3594 8800 3594 8793 3582 8797
      3581 8803 3585 8806 3582 8831 3628 8955
      3646 8949 3650 8942 3651 8930 3650 8806
      3644 8806 3631 8796 3616 8792
TIME...MOT...LOC 0505Z 222DEG 48KT 3631 8927 3611 8858 3575 8810

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1257 AM CDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1106 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GUNTOWN                 34.44N  88.66W
04/12/2020                   LEE                MS   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ON POWERLINES IN GUNTOWN.

&&

AC3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
117 AM CDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOMERVILLE              35.24N  89.35W
04/12/2020                   FAYETTE            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

AC3