Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 15, 2020Crane County, Ector County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 15, 2020, 5:22 PM CDT for Crane County, Ector County, Texas. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 15, 2020, 5:22 PM CDT (22:22 UTC)
Expired: May 15, 2020, 5:52 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Crane County, TX, Ector County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 15, 2:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2781 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -110 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1062 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 121 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

532 
WUUS54 KMAF 152222
SVRMAF
TXC103-135-152330-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0084.200515T2222Z-200515T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
522 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Ector County in western Texas...
  Northwestern Crane County in western Texas...

* Until 630 PM CDT.

* At 522 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 13 miles northeast
  of Monahans, moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Odessa, Goldsmith, West Odessa and Penwell. 

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 89 and 114.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3159 10266 3164 10277 3165 10277 3165 10278
      3166 10280 3176 10280 3201 10266 3184 10236
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 216DEG 16KT 3169 10270 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

84

1 follow-up statement

702 
WWUS54 KMAF 152252
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
552 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXC103-135-152302-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-200515T2330Z/
Ector TX-Crane TX-
552 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ECTOR AND NORTHWESTERN CRANE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3159 10266 3164 10277 3165 10277 3165 10278
      3166 10280 3176 10280 3201 10266 3184 10236
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 216DEG 16KT 3180 10261 

$$

84

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 15, 1:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 15, 1:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
133 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A shortwave trough moving across Nrn Mexico and Southern NM today
will move into W TX during the evening.  This trough will pass east
overnight with high pressure building in behind it.  The next upper
low hits the West Coast Sunday with the backside of this low moving
down across Srn CA Tuesday before lifting NE across the Great Basin
Wednesday.  With the low moving so far north it will have little
impact on the area other than helping to displace the ridge
somewhat.

Temperatures Saturday and Sunday will remain near to slightly above
normal in the 80s with 90s for the usual warm places.  On Monday
temperatures increase into the 90s nearly area wide and remain above
normal through the rest of the week.  Lows will also be warmer than
normal and generally in the 60s.

Thunderstorms fired early over Brewster county before noon and grew
quickly but have since leveled off.  Looking at storms for the
eastern 2/3rds of the area through tonight with development on the
dryline. There is possibility of severe storms this afternoon and
evening... there is an enhanced risk in effect for the NE Permian
Basin with a slight risk east of a Seminole... Pyote... to Alpine
line. Large hail and damaging wind should be the main threats but
locally heavy rain will also be possible.  Cape and lapse rates look
favorable for severe weather... cannot rule out an isolated weak
tornado but shear looks limited. These storms will be moving east
overnight and should be gone from the area by 12z Saturday. Long
range models develop some low probability of storms mid week but
coverage looks random... for the most part the coming week looks
dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  85  62  86 /  60  10   0  10
Carlsbad                       56  93  60  91 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         64  96  68  91 /  60   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  60  94  64  88 /  50   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 60  84  57  84 /  10   0   0  10
Hobbs                          54  87  58  88 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          47  89  51  88 /  10   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           60  88  63  89 /  40   0   0   0
Odessa                         60  88  63  89 /  40   0   0   0
Wink                           58  92  62  92 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

12/72

Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 1:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
132 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-161845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
132 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020 /1232 PM MDT Fri May 15 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening
across West Texas mainly from the Lower Trans Pecos extending north
and northeast into much of the Permian Basin. Large damaging hail
and damaging winds, localized flooding, and cloud to ground
lightning are the main concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed by this afternoon across
the Permian Basin, Lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend Region of west
Texas.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 15, 4:48 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
448 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ082-152230-
Terrell TX-
448 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

At 447 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms over
Dryden, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Dryden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 2996 10215 3012 10224 3025 10220 3029 10202
      3032 10176 3006 10176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 244DEG 10KT 3008 10212

12

Special weather statement, May 15, 5:01 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
501 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ075-082-152245-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
501 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 500 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Sheffield, moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sheffield.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 322 and 327.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3061 10200 3074 10199 3076 10183 3074 10181
      3070 10181 3068 10178 3065 10177 3066 10176
      3065 10175 3065 10171 3064 10169
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 262DEG 33KT 3061 10190

12

Special weather statement, May 15, 5:03 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
503 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ063-070-152230-
Reagan TX-Glasscock TX-
503 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GLASSCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND
AND NORTHERN REAGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

At 503 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Garden City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City and Saint Lawrence.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3160 10170 3175 10178 3183 10178 3204 10146
      3177 10129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 239DEG 24KT 3177 10169

10

Local storm report, May 15, 5:08 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
508 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE LOMAX             32.11N 101.63W
05/15/2020  M68 MPH          Howard             TX   MESONET

&&

MATTHEW.D.JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 15, 5:14 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
514 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STANTON                 32.13N 101.79W
05/15/2020                   MARTIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            4 STALLED CARS

&&

MATTHEW.D.JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 15, 5:19 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
519 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

&&

MATTHEW.D.JOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 14, 7:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	48 min
May 14, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	58 min
May 15, 11:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	34 min
May 15, 1:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	43 min
May 15, 2:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	27 min
May 15, 2:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	59 min
May 15, 2:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	26 min
May 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock	25 min
May 15, 2:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	35 min
May 15, 2:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	57 min
May 15, 2:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Martin	40 min
May 15, 3:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	30 min
May 15, 3:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	41 min
May 15, 3:12 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Brewster	3 hr
May 15, 3:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	37 min
May 15, 3:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Martin	82 min
May 15, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	66 min
May 15, 3:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	50 min
May 15, 3:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	64 min
May 15, 3:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	31 min
May 15, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	61 min
May 15, 3:30 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Howard, Martin	3 hr
May 15, 3:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	58 min
May 15, 3:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	39 min
May 15, 3:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector	53 min
May 15, 3:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	59 min
May 15, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	59 min
May 15, 3:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	27 min
May 15, 3:50 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Ector	3 hr
May 15, 3:53 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	3 hr
May 15, 4:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	31 min
May 15, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	47 min
May 15, 4:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector	3 hr
May 15, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	59 min
May 15, 4:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Andrews, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	6 hr
May 15, 4:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Brewster, Pecos, Terrell	3 hr
May 15, 4:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	24 min
May 15, 4:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	49 min
May 15, 4:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	43 min
May 15, 4:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	42 min
May 15, 4:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Midland	38 min
May 15, 5:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crockett	44 min
May 15, 5:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock	27 min
May 15, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	62 min
May 15, 5:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reagan	49 min
May 15, 5:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	46 min
May 15, 5:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Midland, Reagan, Upton	3 hr
May 15, 5:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	43 min
May 15, 5:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard	54 min
May 15, 5:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	54 min
May 15, 5:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry	3 hr
May 15, 6:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	56 min
May 15, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	62 min
May 15, 6:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2020 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.