Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

849 
WWUS54 KMAF 152241
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
541 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXC173-152315-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200515T2315Z/
Glasscock TX-
541 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR GLASSCOCK COUNTY...

At 540 PM CDT, a cluster of severe thunderstorms was located near 
Garden City, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City and Saint Lawrence. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Midland.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 10137 3166 10157 3166 10172 3178 10177
      3207 10167 3207 10126 3199 10126
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 229DEG 19KT 3188 10155 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

84

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
133 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A shortwave trough moving across Nrn Mexico and Southern NM today
will move into W TX during the evening.  This trough will pass east
overnight with high pressure building in behind it.  The next upper
low hits the West Coast Sunday with the backside of this low moving
down across Srn CA Tuesday before lifting NE across the Great Basin
Wednesday.  With the low moving so far north it will have little
impact on the area other than helping to displace the ridge
somewhat.

Temperatures Saturday and Sunday will remain near to slightly above
normal in the 80s with 90s for the usual warm places.  On Monday
temperatures increase into the 90s nearly area wide and remain above
normal through the rest of the week.  Lows will also be warmer than
normal and generally in the 60s.

Thunderstorms fired early over Brewster county before noon and grew
quickly but have since leveled off.  Looking at storms for the
eastern 2/3rds of the area through tonight with development on the
dryline. There is possibility of severe storms this afternoon and
evening... there is an enhanced risk in effect for the NE Permian
Basin with a slight risk east of a Seminole... Pyote... to Alpine
line. Large hail and damaging wind should be the main threats but
locally heavy rain will also be possible.  Cape and lapse rates look
favorable for severe weather... cannot rule out an isolated weak
tornado but shear looks limited. These storms will be moving east
overnight and should be gone from the area by 12z Saturday. Long
range models develop some low probability of storms mid week but
coverage looks random... for the most part the coming week looks
dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  85  62  86 /  60  10   0  10
Carlsbad                       56  93  60  91 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         64  96  68  91 /  60   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  60  94  64  88 /  50   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 60  84  57  84 /  10   0   0  10
Hobbs                          54  87  58  88 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          47  89  51  88 /  10   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           60  88  63  89 /  40   0   0   0
Odessa                         60  88  63  89 /  40   0   0   0
Wink                           58  92  62  92 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

12/72

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
132 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-161845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
132 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020 /1232 PM MDT Fri May 15 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening
across West Texas mainly from the Lower Trans Pecos extending north
and northeast into much of the Permian Basin. Large damaging hail
and damaging winds, localized flooding, and cloud to ground
lightning are the main concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed by this afternoon across
the Permian Basin, Lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend Region of west
Texas.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
442 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     HAIL             STANTON                 32.13N 101.79W
05/15/2020  E1.75 INCH       MARTIN             TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

MATTHEW.D.JOHNSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
447 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ045-050-152230-
Andrews TX-Gaines TX-
447 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN ANDREWS...SOUTHEASTERN
GAINES...NORTHWESTERN MARTIN AND SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL
530 PM CDT...

At 446 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Andrews, moving northeast at 10 mph. An additional storms was
located 5 miles south of Seminole on Ranch Road 1788.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Andrews, Seminole, Gaines County Airport, Florey, McKenzie Lake and
Andrews County Airport.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3272 10221 3258 10220 3253 10220 3252 10221
      3240 10221 3216 10242 3240 10274 3274 10265
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 219DEG 9KT 3239 10247

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
448 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ082-152230-
Terrell TX-
448 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

At 447 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms over
Dryden, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Dryden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 2996 10215 3012 10224 3025 10220 3029 10202
      3032 10176 3006 10176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 244DEG 10KT 3008 10212

12

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
501 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ075-082-152245-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
501 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 500 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Sheffield, moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sheffield.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 322 and 327.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3061 10200 3074 10199 3076 10183 3074 10181
      3070 10181 3068 10178 3065 10177 3066 10176
      3065 10175 3065 10171 3064 10169
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 262DEG 33KT 3061 10190

12

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
503 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

TXZ063-070-152230-
Reagan TX-Glasscock TX-
503 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GLASSCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND
AND NORTHERN REAGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

At 503 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Garden City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City and Saint Lawrence.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3160 10170 3175 10178 3183 10178 3204 10146
      3177 10129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 239DEG 24KT 3177 10169

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
508 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE LOMAX             32.11N 101.63W
05/15/2020  M68 MPH          Howard             TX   MESONET

&&

MATTHEW.D.JOHNSON