Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Jackson, MS

February 10, 2020Lawrence County, Lincoln County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 10, 2020, 4:59 PM CST for Lawrence County, Lincoln County, Mississippi. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 10, 2020, 4:59 PM CST (22:59 UTC)
Expired
Feb 10, 2020, 6:00 PM CST
In force
61 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2020-02-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 56 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2020-02-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 394 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-199 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
394 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
591 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

748 
WUUS54 KJAN 102259
SVRJAN
MSC077-085-110000-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0059.200210T2259Z-200211T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
459 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Lincoln County in south central Mississippi...
  Lawrence County in south central Mississippi...

* Until 600 PM CST.

* At 459 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Enterprise,
  or near Brookhaven, moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  East Lincoln around 505 PM CST.
  Sontag around 520 PM CST.
  Monticello and Wanilla around 525 PM CST.
  Oma around 530 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include New
Hebron and Silver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3157 9054 3173 9021 3173 9019 3176 9013
      3176 8998 3159 8997 3154 8998 3139 9044
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 241DEG 34KT 3152 9041 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DB
3 follow-up statements
664 
WWUS54 KJAN 102327
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
527 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

MSC077-085-110000-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-200211T0000Z/
Lincoln MS-Lawrence MS-
527 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 526 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Wanilla, or 18
miles east of Brookhaven, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Oma around 530 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include New
Hebron and Silver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9021 3173 9019 3176 9013 3176 8998
      3159 8997 3154 8998 3144 9033 3167 9034
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 243DEG 33KT 3161 9014 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DB
132 
WWUS54 KJAN 102332
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
532 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

MSC085-102341-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-200211T0000Z/
Lincoln MS-
532 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3173 9021 3173 9019 3176 9013 3176 8998
      3159 8997 3154 8998 3147 9024 3172 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 241DEG 34KT 3163 9009 

$$

MSC077-110000-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-200211T0000Z/
Lawrence MS-
532 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY...

At 531 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Wanilla, or 18
miles southwest of Pinola, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northern Lawrence County, including the following locations... New
Hebron and Silver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9021 3173 9019 3176 9013 3176 8998
      3159 8997 3154 8998 3147 9024 3172 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 241DEG 34KT 3163 9009 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DB
761 
WWUS54 KJAN 102354
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
554 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

MSC077-110004-
/O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-200211T0000Z/
Lawrence MS-
554 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 600 PM CST...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3173 9021 3173 9019 3176 9013 3176 8998
      3159 8997 3154 8998 3147 9024 3172 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 241DEG 34KT 3170 8994 

$$

DB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 10, 4:20 PM CST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 4:20 PM CST, 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
420 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...

This Afternoon through Tomorrow:

The primary message remains the likelihood of flooding (both flash
flooding and river flooding) as we head into tomorrow. The reports
and radar estimates of rainfall today have approached 4 to 6
inches for parts of the area - mainly along an axis from Leflore
County east to Webster County and along an axis generally from
Yazoo County east to Kemper County. Ongoing flooding is noted in
several of the Flash Flood Warnings in effect through this
evening, where reports of flooded roads have been common. The
river flooding situation continues to worsen as well. Many local
rivers and streams are on the rise, with the runoff from today's
excessive rainfall expected to result in moderate to major river
flooding over the next few days. The threat for strong to
marginally severe thunderstorms will continue through around 9 PM
tonight. Daytime instability has resulted in a few low-topped
supercells, and these will pose a threat for damaging wind gusts
and an isolated tornado or two if low-level wind shear vectors can
align with any bowing segments. The loss of daytime heating this
evening will slowly cut off the threat for severe weather for the
overnight hours.

The west-east oriented frontal boundary to our north will
gradually sink southward through the day tomorrow - aided in its
southward push by rain- cooled air. Especially true for the
overnight hours tonight, the combined front/outflow boundary will
serve as the focus for additional heavy rainfall. Various high
resolution model guidance is an agreement that a surface low
lifting northeastward along the front will boost low-level
southerly flow across the boundary, with PWAT values in excess of
1.5 inches in the airmass being lifted over the boundary. Average
additional rainfall values north of Interstate 20 through tonight
will be on the order of 1 to 1.5 inches, so will leave the current
configuration to the Flood threat graphics and the current Flash
Flood Watch. Rain chances will shift north of the boundary
tomorrow as the next system develops to our west, but the threat
for flash flooding should mostly taper off by tomorrow afternoon
with the relative lull in rain across the area. /NF/

Tuesday night through the weekend...

The long-term forecast main focus will be the next severe event
Wednesday. This event will consist of multiple hazards including
additional flash flooding. There will be a bit of a break from
rain Thursday evening and Friday but possible rain chances will
return this upcoming weekend.

On Wednesday evening a weak frontal boundary will progress
through the region. Ahead of the front, heavy rain and storm
chances will be possible for Wednesday afternoon through overnight
hours. Though CAPE values aren't very 'high'(600-1000J/kg), there
is still enough instability and shear which supports the
potential for severe weather, hence SPC day 3 outlook for an
Enhanced Risk Wednesday. Another threat is flash flooding. Due to
ongoing flooding from heavy rain/storms today, an additional 2
inches will be possible on Wednesday as a closed low tracks across
the Southern Plains and eventually ejects east affecting the
ArkLaMiss. Will keep the Enhanced Risk for severe potential and an
Elevated/Slight for flooding in the HWO as new model guidance
continues to be consistent with data from yesterday.

As for Thursday through the weekend, the then old front will have
made its way out of the region bringing a drier and cooler air mass
with max temperatures possibly being in the high 50s in the south
and low to mid 50s elsewhere vs max temperatures for Wednesday will
range from the mid 60s to high 70s from the north to the south.
Though the front will have passed through Wed-Thurs, the front will
lift back up Saturday evening-Sunday and sort of hang up and hover
just south of the state allowing for increased moisture to seep
inland and create rain chances Saturday afternoon through Sunday and
possibly next week. A possible wet trend will continue into next
week but confidence on heavy or storm potential is low due to this
being a week away but will keep an eye out./JNE/

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF discussion:
SHRA and TSRA will affect various TAF sites throughout the TAF
period, with periods of reduced visibility and broken MVFR or
lower ceilings accompanying heavy rainfall. After 00Z, increasing
chances for low stratus even away from any rain so have MVFR to
IFR ceilings at most sites. /NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       60  65  54  74 /  96  73  56  71
Meridian      66  68  54  76 /  95  55  47  46
Vicksburg     54  56  50  70 / 100  73  68  87
Hattiesburg   68  75  61  78 /  39  29  37  43
Natchez       61  65  54  73 /  61  68  53  83
Greenville    46  49  44  59 / 100  77  89  96
Greenwood     50  52  47  65 / 100  67  84  90

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for MSZ018-019-
     025>054-059>061.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for ARZ074-075.

&&

NF/JNE
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 4:32 PM CST, 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ019-025>039-041-112245-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Sunflower-
Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-
Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Sharkey-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Isolated strong severe thunderstorms are possible through early
this evening. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts and small hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Widespread flash flooding is likely through tonight and
significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or
closed and some structural flooding and water rescues are likely.
Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

MSZ018-112245-
Bolivar-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Widespread flash flooding is likely through tonight and
significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or
closed and some structural flooding and water rescues are likely.
Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

LAZ015-MSZ040-042-112245-
Richland-Issaquena-Yazoo-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible through early this evening.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph
and quarter size hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Widespread flash flooding is likely through tonight and
significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or
closed and some structural flooding and water rescues are likely.
Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

LAZ016-023-025-MSZ043>045-047>051-053-054-112245-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Warren-
Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Claiborne-Copiah-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible through early this evening.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph
and quarter size hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Areas of flash flooding are likely through tonight and some roads
could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially
threatened by high water. Moderate to major river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

MSZ046-052-056-112245-
Kemper-Lauderdale-Smith-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Isolated strong severe thunderstorms are possible through early
this evening. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts and small hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Areas of flash flooding are likely through tonight and some roads
could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially
threatened by high water. Moderate to major river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

LAZ024-026-MSZ055-059>061-112245-
Catahoula-Concordia-Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible through early this evening.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph
and quarter size hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible through tonight,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

MSZ057-058-062>065-112245-
Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Isolated strong severe thunderstorms are possible through early
this evening. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts and small hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible through tonight,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday through
Wednesday night.

MSZ066-072-073-112245-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Localized flash flooding is possible through tonight,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

MSZ074-112245-
Forrest-
432 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms and additional heavy rainfall causing flash
flooding will affect most of the forecast area Wednesday through
Wednesday night. Moderate to major river flooding is also
expected to continue across the area as a result of recent and
additional rounds of rainfall.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

NF

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:16 PM CST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
416 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSE LAKE PROVIDENCE   32.80N 91.18W
02/10/2020                   EAST CARROLL       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME HOMES THREATENED BY FLOODING,
            SANDBAGGING TAKING PLACE.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:18 PM CST, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
418 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW LAKE PROVIDENCE    32.79N 91.22W
02/10/2020                   EAST CARROLL       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PART OF 3181 FLOODED.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:33 PM CST, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
433 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW ARLINGTON          32.85N 89.20W
02/10/2020                   NESHOBA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS FLOODING ACROSS N PART OF
            NESHOBA COUNTY.

&&

CE
Special weather statement, Feb 10, 4:42 PM CST, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
442 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

MSZ062-063-102345-
Lawrence MS-Lincoln MS-
442 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LINCOLN AND CENTRAL
LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CST...

At 441 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over West Lincoln, or 7 miles southwest of Brookhaven, moving east at
30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bogue Chitto around 450 PM CST.
  Brookhaven and Enterprise around 500 PM CST.
  East Lincoln around 510 PM CST.
  Sontag around 530 PM CST.
  Monticello and Wanilla around 535 PM CST.
  Oma around 540 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Silver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3151 9063 3157 9063 3175 9007 3155 8998
      3153 8998 3152 8996 3139 9058
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 248DEG 25KT 3150 9054

DB
Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:43 PM CST, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
443 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE MASHULAVILLE      33.07N 88.70W
02/10/2020                   NOXUBEE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY FLOODED.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:45 PM CST, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 PM CST MON FEB 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S PRAIRIE POINT       33.10N 88.39W
02/10/2020                   NOXUBEE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PART OF BUCHANAN RD WASHED OUT, CULVERT
            WASHED AWAY.

&&

CE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 9, 11:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWarren64 min
Feb 10, 12:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Warren24 min
Feb 10, 12:47 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHumphreys43 min
Feb 10, 1:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore58 min
Feb 10, 1:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Leflore, Montgomery, Webster53 min
Feb 10, 2:12 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWinston48 min
Feb 10, 2:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNoxubee, Winston35 min
Feb 10, 3:18 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala27 min
Feb 10, 3:37 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala, Holmes23 min
Feb 10, 8:18 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones42 min
Feb 10, 8:56 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake8 days
Feb 10, 8:56 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Rankin9 days
Feb 10, 9:27 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake3 hr
Feb 10, 9:43 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery8 hr
Feb 10, 10:31 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANNoxubee3 hr
Feb 10, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSunflower21 days
Feb 10, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSharkey38 days
Feb 10, 11:04 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANBolivar, Washington27 days
Feb 10, 11:29 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sunflower3 hr
Feb 10, 11:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Oktibbeha41 min
Feb 10, 11:58 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin21 days
Feb 10, 12:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo49 min
Feb 10, 12:38 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo6 hr
Feb 10, 12:55 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison7 hr
Feb 10, 1:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison45 min
Feb 10, 1:36 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Madison, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo3 hr
Feb 10, 1:39 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba36 min
Feb 10, 1:56 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Kemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston3 hr
Feb 10, 2:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake, Madison, Rankin, Scott3 hr
Feb 10, 2:11 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake34 min
Feb 10, 2:52 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMarion23 min
Feb 10, 3:03 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha, Webster6 hr
Feb 10, 3:48 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper27 min
Feb 10, 4:39 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Kemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston6 hr
Feb 10, 4:42 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLawrence, Lincoln63 min
Feb 10, 5:23 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.