Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Jackson, MS

January 14, 2020Jones County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 14, 2020, 10:00 AM CST for Jones County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 15, 2020, 3:25 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 14, 2020, 10:00 AM CST (16:00 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 15, 2020, 3:25 AM CST
Expired
Jan 19, 2020, 9:19 AM CST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Jones County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tallahala Creek at Laurel (LURM6). The gauge peaked at 17.29 ft at Jan 17, 2020, 2:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate101501/1401/1501/1601/1701/1801/1901/20
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16.5 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02473500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

844 
WGUS44 KJAN 141601
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1000 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-152200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0041.200115T1800Z-200116T1800Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.200115T1800Z.200115T1800Z.200116T0600Z.NO/
1000 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from Wednesday afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  11.6 Tue 09 AM  12.8  12.9  12.0  13.0 12 AM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
11 follow-up statements
915 
WGUS84 KJAN 150230
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
829 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-160829-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.200115T0925Z-200120T0900Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.200115T0925Z.200116T1200Z.200119T2100Z.NO/
829 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from late tonight to late Sunday night.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 15.5 feet Thursday morning.  

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  12.2 Tue 08 PM  13.3  15.5  13.6  15.5 06 AM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-160829-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.200115T1800Z-200118T0627Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.200115T1800Z.200116T1800Z.200117T1827Z.NO/
829 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Friday night.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 26.5 feet early 
  Thursday afternoon.  
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  24.0 Tue 08 PM  24.3  26.4  25.9  26.5 12 PM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
652 
WGUS84 KJAN 151609
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1009 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-162209-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.200115T0615Z.200116T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  14.7 Wed 10 AM  16.0  14.1  13.3  16.0 06 AM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-162209-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-200119T0230Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.200115T0426Z.200117T0000Z.200118T1430Z.NO/
1009 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  27.2 Wed 09 AM  29.0  29.0  25.5  29.5 06 PM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
848 
WGUS84 KJAN 160112
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
712 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-170712-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.200115T0615Z.200115T2330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
712 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall through Thursday then begin rising
  again this weekend, cresting near 14.2 feet on Sunday.
* Impact...At 13 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.3 Wed  7 PM  15.1  13.5  13.2  14.2 12 PM 1/19

&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

DL
655 
WGUS84 KJAN 161459
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
859 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-172057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200121T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.200115T0615Z.200116T1800Z.200121T0300Z.NO/
859 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet this 
  afternoon.  
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.2 Thu 09 AM  14.0  13.4  14.1  15.5 12 PM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-172057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-200120T0030Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.200115T0426Z.200117T0600Z.200119T1230Z.NO/
859 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.  
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  30.3 Thu 08 AM  31.9  29.0  25.1  32.0 12 AM 01/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-172057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.200119T1200Z-200120T1200Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.200119T1200Z.200119T1200Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from Sunday morning to Monday morning.
* At  6:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  28.6 Wed 06 PM  29.3  29.7  30.0  30.0 06 AM 01/19


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
509 
WGUS44 KJAN 161618
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1018 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-172218-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200121T1500Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T1200Z.200121T0300Z.NO/
1018 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet 
  tomorrow morning.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 feet
  on May 14 2019. 
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect buildings on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.3 Thu 10 AM  16.5  15.1  14.1  16.5 06 AM 01/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
010 
WGUS84 KJAN 170139
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
738 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-180738-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
738 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.7 Thu 07 PM  17.5  15.9  15.6  17.5 06 AM 01/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
964 
WGUS84 KJAN 171443
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
843 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-182042-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  17.0 Fri 08 AM  16.8  16.5  16.0     Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-182042-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-200118T2125Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.200115T0426Z.200117T0400Z.200118T0925Z.NO/
843 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 30.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  30.9 Fri 08 AM  24.1  18.1  15.3     Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-182042-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.200119T1800Z-200120T1200Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.200119T1800Z.200119T1800Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  28.3 Thu 04 PM  29.1  29.8  29.7  30.0 06 PM 01/19


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
201 
WGUS84 KJAN 180108
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
708 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-190707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
708 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect buildings on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.9 Fri 07 PM  16.0  16.5  15.9  16.5 06 PM 01/18


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-190103-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-200119T0103Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.200115T0426Z.200117T0400Z.200118T1303Z.NO/
708 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Saturday evening.
* At  6:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  28.7 Fri 06 PM  25.3  18.4  14.9     falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-190707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.200119T1800Z-200120T1200Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.200119T1800Z.200119T1800Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
708 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  28.1 Fri 12 PM  28.9  29.8  29.7  30.0 12 PM 01/19


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
593 
WGUS84 KJAN 181352
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
752 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-191952-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200120T1800Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T0915Z.200120T0600Z.NO/
752 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 6:45 AM Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  14.7 Sat 07 AM  13.8  12.7  11.6     Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
676 
WGUS84 KJAN 190201
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
801 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-200400-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200120T0400Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T0915Z.200119T1600Z.NO/
801 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Sunday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage late tomorrow morning.
  
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.7 Sat 08 PM  13.2  12.1  11.1             


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-200800-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.200119T0340Z-200120T1600Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.200119T0340Z.200119T1800Z.200120T0400Z.NO/
801 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* until Monday morning.
* At 5:00 PM Saturday the stage was 29.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  29.8 Sat 05 PM  30.4  29.5  28.1


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
191 
WGUS84 KJAN 191519
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
919 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-191549-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-200120T0400Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.200115T0615Z.200117T0915Z.200119T1222Z.NO/
919 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.7 feet tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  12.9 Sun 09 AM  11.7   9.5   7.4     Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 14, 5:21 AM CST, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 5:21 AM CST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
521 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
LIFR/IFR conditions prevail across the majority of the area due to
a combination of low clouds, fog, and areas of SHRA/TSRA. These
conditions will persist through mid-morning, with some improvement
expected during the day mainly across parts of south and east MS.
Ceiling and visibility conditions in those areas are expected to
deteriorate again tonight into Wednesday morning. Numerous
SHRA/TSRA will spread across Northeast LA and Central MS through
the day, with coverage of precipitation decreasing after sunset.
Ceilings will rise in the wake of the rain, but then gradually
deteriorate again tonight. /DL/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through tonight:

Our wet weather pattern continues into today as a quasi-
stationary front gradually lifts back northward as a warm front.
On the warm side of this boundary, an exceptionally moist
environment exists. The observed PW on the 00Z KJAN sounding was a
daily record, and PW is forecast to remain 200-300 percent of
normal across the forecast area today. A midlevel shortwave
swinging across the lower Mississippi Valley has tapped into this
environment to kick off widespread shower and thunderstorm
activity along the front. With Corfidi vectors oriented parallel
to the ongoing convection, it will continue to train across much
of the Delta and areas mainly along and north of I-20 through the
morning hours. Eventually through the day, we expect to see the
area of heavier precip shift southeastward toward the I-20
corridor as a cold pool develops and the shortwave translates
eastward. Localized rainfall amounts over 4 inches are likely, and
given the very saturated soils that exist in these areas, we have
opted to post a Flash Flood Watch. The watch runs through 6Z
tonight, but our greatest concern is for the daytime hours with
highest confidence from the ArkLaMiss Delta through the Golden
Triangle area. Though precip is expected to become lighter into
this evening, we will maintain the watch into the early evening
due to the potential for residual flooding. Scattered light
showers will remain possible overnight, mainly for northern
portions of the forecast area closer to the front.

There also remains a low end severe weather threat through today. We
have already tracked a few SPS-worthy storms which likely produced
some small hail. Weak surface-based instability and weak to moderate
elevated instability will exist across the region with respectable
mid level lapse rates and sufficient deep layer shear for the
development of a few stronger storms. Marginally severe hail will be
the primary concern, but if one of the storms can become rooted at
the surface, a wind damage threat cannot be ruled out. The lack of
forcing and marginal nature of the instability will preclude a more
widespread threat.

Finally, dense fog remains a concern this morning mainly across
south MS and central LA. We will maintain the going Dense Fog
Advisory through 15Z. Redevelopment of dense fog is possible late
tonight into Wednesday morning, and later shifts will continue to
assess the need for any advisories at a later time. /DL/

Midweek through early next week (Wednesday-next Monday):

Wednesday-Thursday: Expect lingering rain showers & some storms as
the stalled warm frontal boundary & isentropic lift continue over
the region. At the start on Wednesday, expect anomalous moist
southwesterly flow, with high PWs (i.e. 1.5-1.75 inches)
advecting into the region. Due to high low-level moisture, some
lingering fog may be possible generally for areas along & south of
the Interstate 20 corridor through mid-morning. This moist
environment will keep rain & storm chances lingering across the
northern half of the region, especially up towards the northward
propagating warm front. Due to recent heavy rains, it won't take
much for any flooding issues, especially where recent saturated
antecedent conditions reside. However, due to lessening low-level
convergence features, most of the best chances to gradually
increase over the Delta & north of Interstate 20 well into the
afternoon & overnight hours. Due to limited convergence until
late & some brief lull in activity, especially along & south of
Interstate 20, flash flooding issues don't look to be as much of a
concern. Due to that, not going to mention in the HWO. However,
this will be something to monitor if we can get some west-east
training, especially over areas with recent saturated antecedent
conditions. As this fast moving clipper system moves through the
northern Plains & Great Lakes, it will continue to drive this
front south through overnight & into Thursday. Due to some
westerly flow aloft, a few stronger storms with some small sub-
severe hail can't be ruled out, but severe weather looks unlikely
at this point. Due to the moist & warm return flow, expect above
normal warmth Wednesday & the overnight hours, with slight
cooldown in highs in the wake of the front Thursday & lows
Thursday night.

Friday-Saturday: As the mid-level ridge remains parked over central-
eastern Gulf of Mexico, expect any brief reprieve in rain chances to
be short lived as warm & moist return flow kicks up again into
Friday. Moisture advection & PWs will be somewhat lower but will
gradually increase Friday afternoon & especially around & after
midnight Saturday. This will all be in advance of a deep synoptic
trough & strong surface low pressure system & associated cold
front. Expect another round of storms early Saturday through
Saturday afternoon. There is potential for some steeper lapse
rates & increased westerly flow, so some stronger organized
convection isn't out of the question. In addition, another round
of above normal warmth is possible at the end of the work week &
start of the weekend on Friday & Saturday.

Late weekend-early next week (Sunday-Monday): Expect a drastic
change in our pattern, with much recent warm & wet conditions out
the door & much more winter norm into next week. Synoptic ridging
will begin to build over the Intermountain West, while large
troughing will build in over areas east of the Rockies. Strong polar
surface high pressure ~1045-1050mb will build southeast out of
Canada on Sunday & into the northern Plains on Monday, leading to
much colder air advecting into most of the eastern half of the
nation, including the ArkLaMiss. Due to much drier air (i.e. PWs
less than a quarter-half inch), expect any rain chances to clear
out just after midnight Sunday. There will also be a drastic
difference in thermal profiles & ambient air temperatures in the
wake. Lows Sunday morning will be closer to normal in the mid-
upper 30s, while highs will be nearly 20 degrees cooler in the
upper 40s to mid/upper 50s Sunday & even cooler lows Sunday night
closer to freezing & highs into Monday. This cold pattern will
linger well into next week, with below normal warmth across the
board. Will have to watch any shortwave trough energy & moisture
advection over top any persistent cold air over our southwest
into early next week. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  64  75  58 /  97  51  25  49
Meridian      74  64  76  58 /  80  51  23  43
Vicksburg     72  64  75  57 / 100  35  32  55
Hattiesburg   77  64  77  62 /  31  23  15  18
Natchez       73  64  75  60 /  74  26  20  38
Greenville    66  62  72  50 /  95  31  58  56
Greenwood     67  63  73  52 / 100  35  58  64

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MSZ018-019-025>053.

     Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MSZ054>066-
     072>074.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023-025.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

DL/DC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 14, 9:01 AM CST, 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>036-041-142100-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Sharkey-
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flash flooding is expected today, with some roads potentially
closed or flooded, and some structures possibly threatened with
inundation. One to four inches of rain are expected, with locally
higher amounts possible, atop already saturated soils. Minor to
moderate river flooding will continue.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

LAZ015-016-023-025-MSZ037>040-042>048-050-142100-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Issaquena-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-
Scott-
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Flash flooding is expected today, with some roads potentially
closed or flooded, and some structures possibly threatened with
inundation. One to four inches of rain are expected, with locally
higher amounts possible, atop already saturated soils. Minor to
moderate river flooding will continue.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms, capable of producing hail up to
quarter size and a few damaging wind gusts, are possible today.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

LAZ024-026-MSZ049-051>065-142100-
Catahoula-Concordia-Rankin-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Up to two inches of rain are possible atop
already saturdated soils. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms, capable of producing hail up to
quarter size and a few damaging wind gusts, are possible today.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ066-142100-
Jones-
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Up to two inches of rain are possible atop
already saturdated soils. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ072>074-142100-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
901 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 14, 6:35 AM CST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
635 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

MSZ040-042-043-047-048-141315-
Warren MS-Hinds MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-Issaquena MS-
635 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...
SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...NORTHWESTERN HINDS...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND
WEST CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM CST...

At 635 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Redwood, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Oak Ridge around 640 AM CST.
  Youngton around 650 AM CST.
  Phoenix around 655 AM CST.
  Brownsville around 710 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3242 9087 3265 9085 3262 9035 3243 9039
TIME...MOT...LOC 1235Z 269DEG 28KT 3253 9077

DC
Local storm report, Jan 14, 6:42 AM CST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
642 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     FLASH FLOOD      YAZOO CITY              32.85N 90.41W
01/14/2020                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER IS COVERING MULTIPLE STREETS IN YAZOO
            CITY. SOME CARS WERE STALLED IN WATER.

&&

DL
Special weather statement, Jan 14, 7:28 AM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
728 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

MSZ043-048-049-141415-
Hinds MS-Rankin MS-Madison MS-
728 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN RANKIN...
NORTHEASTERN HINDS AND SOUTHERN MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 815 AM CST...

At 728 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Annandale, or near Madison, moving east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Madison and Gluckstadt around 735 AM CST.
  Canton around 740 AM CST.
  Fannin around 750 AM CST.
  Goshen Springs around 755 AM CST.
  Pisgah around 800 AM CST.
  Leesburg around 805 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 8974 3237 9051 3259 9030 3259 8978
      3238 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 1328Z 270DEG 35KT 3248 9021

DC
Local storm report, Jan 14, 7:45 AM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
745 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 AM     FLASH FLOOD      7 WNW TRANSYLVANIA      32.71N 91.29W
01/14/2020                   EAST CARROLL       LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON A FEW ROADS IN EAST
            CARROLL PARISH, INCLUDING ON LA HIGHWAY 134.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jan 14, 7:50 AM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
750 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ROLLING FORK            32.91N 90.88W
01/14/2020                   SHARKEY            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER SURROUNDED SEVERAL BUILDINGS IN
            ROLLING FORK WITH SEVERAL ROADS UNDERWATER.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jan 14, 7:52 AM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
752 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ANGUILLA                32.98N 90.83W
01/14/2020                   SHARKEY            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER SURROUNDED A HOME IN ANGUILLA.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 13, 7:01 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANJones6 hr
Jan 14, 1:09 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar66 min
Jan 14, 1:10 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson65 min
Jan 14, 1:43 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena, Sharkey62 min
Jan 14, 2:03 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHumphreys57 min
Jan 14, 3:00 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clay and 25 more21 hr
Jan 14, 3:44 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey4 hr
Jan 14, 3:58 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes62 min
Jan 14, 4:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANWashington3 hr
Jan 14, 4:40 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Yazoo3 hr
Jan 14, 5:33 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo42 min
Jan 14, 5:45 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Yazoo3 hr
Jan 14, 6:33 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba42 min
Jan 14, 6:35 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWarren40 min
Jan 14, 7:28 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison47 min
Jan 14, 7:51 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey6 hr
Jan 14, 9:39 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANHinds, Madison, Rankin3 hr
Jan 14, 10:41 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren3 hr
Jan 14, 11:13 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSunflower71 hr
Jan 14, 11:13 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSharkey3 days
Jan 14, 11:28 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANRankin, Scott3 hr
Jan 14, 11:51 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatJANClay, Oktibbeha9 hr
Jan 14, 12:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson3 hr
Jan 14, 12:45 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatJANHinds, Madison, Rankin90 min
Jan 14, 1:01 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Jan 14, 2:07 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake6 days
Jan 14, 2:07 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Rankin7 days
Jan 14, 2:12 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANAttala, Hinds, Holmes, Issaquena, Leake, Madison and 6 more9 hr
Jan 14, 2:16 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds119 min
Jan 14, 4:11 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAdams3 hr
Jan 14, 4:15 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Jefferson3 hr
Jan 14, 4:37 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.