River Flood Warning 76, NWS Indianapolis, IN

684 
WGUS83 KIND 111727
FLSIND
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

...A Flood Warning continues for portions of the following waterways 
in Indiana...

  Driftwood River...East Fork White River...Eel River...Sugar Creek...
  Wabash River...White River...


.Flooding is underway along several central and southern Indiana 
waterways as a result of up to 2 inches of precipitation that fell 
Sunday into Monday.  The core of heaviest precipitation occurred 
within 50 miles north and south of Interstate 70 across the state.  
The bulk of the water will show up in the White River south of 
Indianapolis, where crests are expected to be up to about 5 feet 
above flood stage.  Flooding along the lower reaches of the Wabash 
and White Rivers currently are predicted to last until the end of 
next week.

The latest forecast model data is now predicting flood crests along 
the White River to be lower than what was predicted Monday morning.  
This will give us crests lower than what we saw in January.  
Predictions for the Wabash are very similiar to Monday's 
predictions.

Flood impacts should mainly be confined to roads near the waterways, 
agricultural land, bottomlands, and levees.  Please see the specific 
impacts listed for your location of interest below or by going to 
the web page described below.


Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Motorists should never drive into flood water. Turn around and go 
another way. Keep children away from flooded areas. Recreational and 
agricultural interests should remain alert to changing river 
conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web and 
click on rivers and lakes.



INC005-081-145-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200213T0815Z/
/DREI3.1.ER.200211T0600Z.200212T0000Z.200212T2015Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Driftwood River near Edinburgh 2 SW.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 12.0 feet by this evening then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Lowland flooding reported along Sugar Creek and Big 
  Blue River in southern Johnson County in March 2011.  Lowland 
  flooding begins along portions of the Driftwood River in northern 
  Bartholomew County.  Water is near CR 950N to Double Y Saddle Club.

&&

LAT...LON 3936 8595 3922 8595 3922 8592 3920 8591
      3920 8597 3937 8601             

$$

INC071-093-175-121726-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SERI3.1.ER.200211T0327Z.200214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Fork White River at Seymour.
* until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by Wednesday 
  afternoon and will rise later to 15.0 by Friday morning then begin 
  falling to 14.6 feet Wednesday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding in progress.  County 
  road 725 N (near Rockford) floods.  Indiana 258 east of Cortland 
  may flood.  On December 8 2014...about an inch of water flowed over
  Reddington Street near the East Fork White River Bridge as the 
  river crested.

&&

LAT...LON 3905 8583 3886 8599 3877 8613 3879 8620
      3893 8604 3906 8587             

$$

INC081-112200-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-200211T2200Z/
/EDNI3.1.ER.200211T1515Z.200211T1600Z.200211T1600Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sugar Creek near Edinburgh.
* until this afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...It will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  morning.
* At 10.5 feet...Lowland flooding along Sugar Creek during March 2011.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 8591 3950 8592 3935 8597 3936 8603
      3949 8598 3962 8595             

$$

INC057-095-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200212T1900Z/
/ANDI3.1.ER.200210T2030Z.200211T0700Z.200212T0700Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Anderson.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 10.8 feet by this afternoon then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters inundate Edgewater Park.  Water 
  approaches Grand Avenue east of Broadway Street Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4009 8564 4013 8582 4011 8596 4013 8598
      4015 8585 4012 8565             

$$

INC057-097-121500-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-200212T1500Z/
/NBLI3.1.ER.200211T1252Z.200211T1800Z.200212T0300Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Noblesville.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 14.3 feet by this afternoon then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Edith Avenue begins to flood near the Potter Bridge 
  area.  Flooding begins in residential areas along East 116th Street
  in the Trails End area, along East 146th Street, and SR 19 just 
  north of SR 32.

&&

LAT...LON 4011 8596 4008 8597 3995 8605 3996 8607
      4006 8602 4013 8598             

$$

INC097-109-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-200213T0800Z/
/NORI3.1.ER.200211T0918Z.200212T0600Z.200212T2000Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River near Nora.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 12.0 feet by late tonight then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...White River begins to back up into Mystic Bay and 
  cause the lake level to rise.

&&

LAT...LON 3995 8605 3992 8607 3991 8609 3991 8611
      3992 8609 3996 8607             

$$

INC097-109-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-200213T1500Z/
/RVNI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200212T0600Z.200213T0300Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Ravenswood.
* until Thursday morning.
* There have been no observations in the last 24 hours.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It is forecast to crest at 7.4 feet late tonight and 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* At 7.5 feet...River Road floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 8609 3987 8613 3981 8619 3982 8621
      3988 8616 3991 8611             

$$

INC105-109-119-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200212T2100Z/
/CNTI3.1.ER.200210T1812Z.200211T0115Z.200212T0900Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River near Centerton.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will continue to fall to below flood stage by late 
  tonight.
* At 12.4 feet...Road just north of Blue Bluff Bridge has about six 
  inches of water on it.

&&

LAT...LON 3955 8626 3951 8632 3949 8638 3950 8638
      3952 8633 3956 8629             

$$

INC105-109-119-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-200213T0000Z/
/CENI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200211T1800Z.200212T1200Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River below Eagle Valley Power Plant.
* until Wednesday evening.
* There have been no observations in the last 24 hours.
* Flood stage is 603.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It is forecast to crest at 603.2 feet this afternoon and
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 603.0 feet...Low agricultural fields begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 8638 3938 8648 3934 8665 3936 8666
      3951 8642 3950 8638             

$$

INC055-105-119-121726-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPNI3.1.ER.200211T0815Z.200212T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Spencer.
* until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will continue rising to near 16.6 feet by late 
  Wednesday night then begin falling.
* At 16.3 feet...County Line Road south of Gosport begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8665 3928 8675 3911 8692 3913 8696
      3933 8674 3936 8666             

$$

INC027-055-083-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200218T1200Z/
/ELLI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200213T0000Z.200218T0000Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Elliston.
* until Tuesday February 18.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday evening then
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* At 23.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural lands begin.

&&

LAT...LON 3912 8692 3908 8694 3900 8693 3900 8697
      3905 8699 3913 8696             

$$

INC027-055-083-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-200217T2300Z/
/NWBI3.1.ER.200211T0415Z.200213T1800Z.200217T1100Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Newberry.
* until Monday evening.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 16.4 feet by Thursday afternoon 
  then begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Higher bottomlands begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3900 8694 3892 8700 3885 8712 3887 8715
      3894 8708 3900 8696             

$$

INC027-051-083-125-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200220T0200Z/
/FREI3.1.ER.200210T2357Z.200214T1200Z.200219T1400Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Edwardsport.
* until Wednesday February 19.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 19.9 feet by Friday morning then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Wednesday February 
  19.
* At 20.0 feet...Water is at Critical levels for makeshift levees.  
  Most of bottomlands flood.  Old Vincennes road and State Road 358 
  between Plainville and Edwardsport are impassable by several feet.
  High water surrounds river cabins.  This type of flood occurs on 
  average about once a year.

&&

LAT...LON 3885 8712 3877 8723 3855 8723 3855 8726
      3879 8729 3887 8715             

$$

ILC185-INC027-051-083-125-121726-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTRI3.1.ER.200211T1422Z.200218T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Petersburg.
* until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by Tuesday 
  February 18 then begin falling.
* At 20.9 feet...During June 2010 State Road 257 south of Washington 
  began to flood at this crest level at Petersburg after Shoals 
  crested at 18.19 feet.  About a week later Petersburg crested at 
  21.34 feet...about one half foot higher...but the water did not 
  reach State Road 257 after Shoals crested at 15.59 feet...about 2.5
  feet lower.  Lost River did not contribute much water during this 
  June flood and locally it was not extremely wet.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 8722 3850 8729 3851 8744 3854 8744
      3855 8736 3853 8729 3856 8723   

$$

ILC185-INC051-083-121726-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAZI3.1.ER.200211T2000Z.200218T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Hazleton.
* until further notice.
* There have been no observations in the last 24 hours.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It is forecast to crest at 21.3 feet Tuesday February 18
  and will rise above flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...In agricultural season, extensive flooding of 
  bottomlands and some of the higher bottomlands is in progress.  
  High water surrounds Residents in river cabins.  Oil fields and 
  local roads flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3851 8744 3844 8760 3841 8773 3843 8773
      3852 8755 3854 8744             

$$

INC045-121-157-165-171-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0077.200212T0200Z-200216T0600Z/
/LAFI3.1.ER.200212T0200Z.200212T1200Z.200215T1800Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Lafayette.
* from this evening to late Saturday night.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 12.0 feet by Wednesday afternoon.  It will fall below 
  flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...High water affects a few low river cabins and county 
  roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 8670 4040 8688 4033 8709 4040 8709
      4048 8688 4056 8673             

$$

INC045-121-165-171-121726-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0078.200212T2320Z-200216T1400Z/
/CVGI3.1.ER.200212T2320Z.200213T1200Z.200216T0200Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Covington.
* from Wednesday evening to Sunday morning.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 16.6 feet by Thursday afternoon.  It will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 16.0 feet...Low agricultural lands begin to flood.  Backyard 
  flooding of cottages on right bank starts a short distance upstream
  of gage.  Critical stage of Young-Neal Levee is reached. 

&&

LAT...LON 4033 8709 4017 8737 3997 8739 3997 8745
      4020 8747 4040 8709             

$$

INC121-165-167-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-200218T1800Z/
/MTZI3.1.ER.200211T0155Z.200214T1800Z.200218T0600Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Montezuma.
* until Tuesday February 18.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 17.7 feet by Friday afternoon then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Tuesday February 18.
* At 18.0 feet...Montezuma agricultural levee is overtopped.  Fourteen
  hundred acres of low bottomlands flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3997 8739 3986 8734 3977 8736 3977 8740
      3985 8741 3997 8745             

$$

ILC023-033-INC153-167-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-200219T0000Z/
/TERI3.1.ER.200213T1800Z.200215T1200Z.200218T1200Z.UU/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Terre Haute.
* until Tuesday February 18.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet. This is 2.0 to 2.5 
  feet higher than the observations from the old legacy gauge.
* Flood stage is 16.5 feet. This is 2.5 feet higher than flood stage 
  from the old legacy gauge.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 16.2 feet by late tonight  and will rise 
  later to 18.7 by Saturday morning. It will fall below flood stage 
  by Tuesday February 18.
* At 18.5 feet...Flooding of rural roads is in progress behind Honey 
  Creek Levee as a result of two unrepaired levee breaks.

&&

LAT...LON 3960 8736 3943 8740 3930 8757 3932 8763
      3945 8747 3960 8741             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200221T0000Z/
/HUTI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200216T1800Z.200220T1200Z.NO/
1127 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Hutsonville Legacy Power Plant Site.
* until Thursday February 20.
* There have been no observations in the last 24 hours.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It is forecast to crest at 18.5 feet Sunday afternoon 
  and will fall below flood stage by Thursday February 20.
* At 18.0 feet...Seep water occurs behind levees on Indiana side.  
  Hutson Creek begins to overflow from backwater.  Old Darwin Road 
  and a few rural roads in eastern Clark and Crawford counties in 
  Illinois are impassable.  Low agricultural land floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3930 8757 3923 8754 3912 8762 3914 8768
      3922 8762 3932 8763             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200220T2100Z/
/RVTI3.1.ER.200211T0825Z.200216T1800Z.200220T0900Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Riverton.
* until Thursday February 20.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will rise to near 17.3 feet by Sunday afternoon then 
  begin falling. It will fall below flood stage Thursday February 20.
* At 18.0 feet...Extensive lowland flooding is in progress.  High 
  water surrounds many river cabins.  Access to most river cabins is 
  by boat only.  Levees begin to protect farmland.  Extensive 
  flooding of Leaverton Park occurs in Palestine, Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 8761 3899 8748 3886 8750 3885 8756
      3898 8759 3913 8767             

$$

ILC047-059-185-193-INC051-083-129-121726-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0070.200213T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCRI2.1.ER.200213T0400Z.200219T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Mount Carmel.
* from Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 21.8 feet by Wednesday February 19. 
* At 22.0 feet...Flood waters begin to affect residents of East Mt. 
  Carmel, Indiana. Fifth Street that parallels river closes.  Twin 
  restaurant along the river also closes.  Several local river roads 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 8765 3828 8781 3822 8794 3822 8800
      3827 8800 3847 8777             

$$

INC021-055-121340-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200212T1340Z/
/BOLI3.1.ER.200210T1240Z.200211T0630Z.200212T0140Z.NO/
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Eel River at Bowling Green.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...It will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 17.0 feet...Flood water covers considerable bottomlands and 
  floods a few county roads including the Poland-Bowling Green Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3947 8692 3926 8712 3914 8691 3909 8696
      3919 8716 3932 8723 3949 8698   

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
534 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 158 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

High pressure will build across Indiana today providing dry
weather today and tonight.

A strong area of Low pressure will move through the Ohio Valley
on Wednesday and Wednesday Night. This will bring chances for
mixed precipitation to Central Indiana. A secondary cold front
will then push across the state on Thursday afternoon...producing
more chances for snow along with more winter like temperatures for
the start of the weekend.

Warmer temperatures are expected to return early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Today/...

Issued at 158 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

Surface analysis early this morning shows high pressure in place
across NRN MO and eastern IL...nosing NE to NW Indiana. Water
Vapor shows a stream of tropical moisture stretching across TX to
Kentucky and Tennessee then northeast to the middle Atlantic
states. This will become more inportant on Wednesday afternoon and
night. An upper short wave embedded within the tropical flow was
producing some rain showers near the Ohio River.

Models are in pretty good agreement...quickly moving the wave
aloft east of the area and allowing the high pressure to the
northwest to build across Central Indiana. Time heights and
forecast soundings show subsidence today along with dry air within
the lowest levels. Some mid and high level saturation is
displayed...but this is primarily due to quick flow aloft along
with an upper trough sagging out of the upper midwest. Thus will
trend toward a partly cloudy to partly sunny day today. Given some
weak cold air advection and northwest winds expected...will
trends highs at or below the NBM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...

Issued at 158 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

Very active weather is expected this period.

Dry weather is expected to persist tonight as the surface high
slowly pushes across the area reaching the middle Atlantic States
on Wednesday. Forecast soundings and Time heights show little
change from earlier in the day. Thus we will expect dry conditions
tonight and into early Wednesday.

As we reach Wednesday afternoon the deep trough and upper low in
place over the American southwest is expected to dig and push
east. This will change the orientation of the tropical plume of
moisture that we currently see in water vapor imagery and direct
it toward Central Indiana. This will result in ample moisture for
the expected development of an approaching area of low pressure
that will push across Tennessee and Kentucky on Wednesday
afternoon and Wednesday Night. Time Highs and forecast soundings
show a saturated column at that time along with good lift. GFS
Pwats appear near 0.86 and the 290K GFS Isentropic surface shows
excellent upglide within the system ahead of the trough along
with specific humidities over 5 g/kg. Thus confidence for precip
will be high on Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night as these
features come into place. Forecast soundings appear a bit more
tricky when it comes to p-type. Soundings are hinting at surface
temps near 0C...with warm air advection in place aloft. with such
limited cold air in place within the lower levels...feel the main
p-type on Wed will be rain. A mix or FZRA will be more likely
farther north...LAF-OKK-MIE where the colder air will be a bit
deeper. Warm air advection appears to persist Wednesday Night as
the column appears to warm. Thus rain early on Wednesday
night...expect north.

By 12Z Thursday...the surface low will be well to the east of
Central Indiana and cold air advection will be in place as the
first of a pair of cold front will have passed. best moisture and
forcing will have passed by 12Z thursday...however...overnight on
early Thursday morning...all p-type should change over to SN.

On Thursday afternoon and evening...yet another quick moving
upper trough and secondary cold front will be poised to push
across Indiana. This will introduce some arctic...winter air for
the end of the week. Decent moisture still appears in place within
the lower levels on Thursday morning as forecast soundings fall
well below 0C and show saturation within the favorable dendritic
growth zone of -10C to -20C. Thus will include pops with snow
accumulations on Thursday morning as this secondary front passes.

Headlines will be possible for this period...mainly Wednesday
night through Thursday and coordination with surrounding WFO's
remains ongoing.

&&

.LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
Issued at 235 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

Ensembles indicate a progressive, low amplitude, type flow across
the area during the extended. A couple of rather weak short wave
troughs may affect the area, one around Saturday, and another one
around next Monday.

At this point, neither of these disturbances looks like a big QPF
producer. Will go with some chance PoPs for mixed precipitation
for Saturday night into Sunday, to cover the first wave. Looks
like there may a break in the precipitation threat Sunday night
into Monday morning, before the next wave arrives Monday
afternoon. The disturbance on Monday looks to be more of a rain
threat, based on thickness progs.

Previous forecast had PoPs in the forecast for much of the time
from Saturday night through Monday. Decided to leave the PoPs as
is for now, with the understanding that there may some timing
changes going forward. May be able to eventually fine tune the
PoPs later this week.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 111200Z TAFS/...
Issued at 533 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

Radar indicates some light mixed precipitation in the vicinity of
the KBMG terminal until about 111300Z.

Otherwise, ceilings above 050 expected to gradually scatter out
from the northwest later today. Short term model guidance suggests
there is potential for some cloud development around 025-030 this
afternoon, but confidence is not particularly high at this time.

Surface winds 320-350 degrees at 5-8 kts this morning will
gradually back to 280-300 degrees at 9-13 kts this afternoon.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Puma
NEAR TERM...Puma
SHORT TERM...Puma
LONG TERM....JAS
AVIATION...JAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
404 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-120915-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
404 AM EST Tue Feb 11 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Discussion: Quiet weather is expected as high pressure builds into
the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Outlook: Some brief and light mixed precipitation is possible on
Wednesday morning before changing to rain across most areas. Additional
rainfall from this system may prolong or exacerbate ongoing flooding
across portions of the area.

Light accumulating snow and possible light icing is possible
Wednesday into Thursday...mainly across northern portions of the
area. This may result in slippery surfaces on late Wednesday night
into Thursday.

Discussion: A storm system is expected to move through the Ohio
Valley around Wednesday into Thursday. This system has the potential
to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the area. Light accumulating
snow is possible during this time frame.

Colder air moving in behind the system may allow for wind chills to
fall to below zero degrees late Thursday night into Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Winter weather spotters are encouraged to monitor future statements
regarding the winter weather threat later this week.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Puma