River Flood Warning 8, NWS Wichita, KS

913 
WGUS83 KICT 151305
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
804 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-160304-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.200515T1726Z-200517T0224Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.200515T1726Z.200516T0000Z.200516T1424Z.NO/
804 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* From this afternoon until Saturday evening.
* At 7:45 AM Friday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 19.2 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Winfield        18.0  15.5  Fri 08 AM   18.2   17.6   13.9
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

CDJ

901 
WGUS43 KICT 151936
FLWICT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wichita KS
236 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Kansas...

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-160935-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T2020Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200517T0051Z.200518T1200Z.200519T0820Z.NO/
236 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Walnut River at Winfield.

* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 2:16 PM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 23.2 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Winfield        18.0  15.8  Fri 02 PM   17.5   19.3   23.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

CDJ

940 
WGUS83 KICT 160127
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
827 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-161526-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200517T0424Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.200515T1636Z.200516T0600Z.200516T1624Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Augusta.
  
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.3 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Secondary roads in the vicinity of Augusta 
  begin to flood. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   
  Augusta            23.0  26.1  Fri  8 PM   19.0  10.9   7.7
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-161526-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T1438Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0359Z.200518T0600Z.200519T0238Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:15 PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 22.6 feet by early Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday before midnight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   
  Winfield           18.0  17.6  Fri  8 PM   19.0  22.2  19.1
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

ADK

992 
WGUS83 KICT 160754
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
254 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-162153-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200517T0038Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.200515T1636Z.200516T0200Z.200516T1238Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Augusta.
  
* Until this evening.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Secondary roads in the vicinity of Augusta 
  begin to flood. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Augusta         23.0  25.4  Sat 02 AM    9.4    7.9    7.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-162153-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T1438Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200518T0600Z.200519T0238Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At  2:31 AM Saturday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet by 
  late Sunday night or early Monday morning. The river will fall
  below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Winfield        18.0  19.0  Sat 03 AM   20.5   22.4   14.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

Martin

482 
WGUS83 KICT 161332
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
832 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-161402-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200517T0038Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.200515T1636Z.200516T0200Z.200516T1133Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Walnut River at Augusta.
  
* At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 6:33 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.3 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  agricultural flooding. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Augusta         23.0  22.2  Sat 08 AM   10.3    8.3    7.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-170332-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T1344Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200518T0600Z.200519T0144Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:16 AM Saturday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.6 feet by 
  early Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Winfield        18.0  20.3  Sat 08 AM   23.2   25.2   13.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

CDJ

352 
WGUS83 KICT 161846
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
146 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-170846-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T1237Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200518T0600Z.200519T0037Z.NO/
146 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 1:31 PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by 
  early Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Winfield        18.0  21.1  Sat 02 PM   23.5   25.5   13.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

CDJ

259 
WGUS83 KICT 170140
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
840 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River at Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-171538-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T0224Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1800Z.200518T1424Z.NO/
840 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Monday evening.
* At  8:16 PM Saturday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet by 
  early Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   
  Winfield           18.0  23.0  Sat  8 PM    25.2  13.4   8.3
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-171538-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0015.200518T0600Z-200518T1800Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.200518T0600Z.200518T0600Z.200518T0600Z.NO/
840 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Arkansas City.
  
* From late Sunday night until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:16 PM Saturday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland can be 
  expected. There is considerable flooding upstream along the west 
  bank of the Walnut River. On the east bank, the ground slopes 
  upward so that only about a 300 foot wide strip of land would be 
  affected. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   
  Arkansas City      18.0  15.6  Sat  8 PM    17.7  14.9   9.9
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Lawson

942 
WGUS83 KICT 170800
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
259 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River at Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-172159-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T0231Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1800Z.200518T1431Z.NO/
259 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Monday evening.
* At  2:31 AM Sunday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.2 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0  25.1  Sun 03 AM   19.6    9.6    6.8
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-172159-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0015.200518T0600Z-200518T1800Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.200518T0600Z.200518T0600Z.200518T0600Z.NO/
259 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Arkansas City.
  
* From late tonight until Monday afternoon.
* At  2:31 AM Sunday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland can be 
  expected. There is considerable flooding upstream along the west 
  bank of the Walnut River. On the east bank, the ground slopes 
  upward so that only about a 300 foot wide strip of land would be 
  affected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Arkansas City   18.0  16.4  Sun 03 AM   17.6   11.1    8.8
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Martin

181 
WGUS83 KICT 171318
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
818 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-180318-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T0231Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1800Z.200518T1431Z.NO/
818 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Monday evening.
* At 8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.2 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0  25.7  Sun 08 AM   19.6    9.4    6.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-180318-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0015.200517T1712Z-200518T2034Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.200517T1712Z.200518T0000Z.200518T0834Z.NO/
818 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Arkansas City.
  
* From this afternoon until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:01 AM Sunday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 18.4 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland can be 
  expected. There is considerable flooding upstream along the west 
  bank of the Walnut River. On the east bank, the ground slopes 
  upward so that only about a 300 foot wide strip of land would be 
  affected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Arkansas City   18.0  17.0  Sun 08 AM   17.6   10.4    7.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

CDJ

439 
WGUS83 KICT 171846
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
146 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-180845-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200519T0000Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1231Z.200518T1200Z.NO/
146 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Monday evening.
* At 1:16 PM Sunday the stage was 24.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0  24.8  Sun 1 PM    18.0    8.7    5.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-171916-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200518T2034Z/
/ARKK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
146 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Walnut River at Arkansas City.
  
* At 1:16 PM Sunday the stage was 17.2 feet and cresting.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 17.3 feet this
  evening then will fall below action stage of 16 feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland can be 
  expected. There is considerable flooding upstream along the west 
  bank of the Walnut River. On the east bank, the ground slopes 
  upward so that only about a 300 foot wide strip of land would be 
  affected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Arkansas City   18.0  17.2  Sun 1 PM    16.5   10.1    8.4
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

431 
WGUS83 KICT 180046
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
746 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-181446-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200518T2242Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1231Z.200518T1042Z.NO/
746 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At  7:16 PM Sunday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&
                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0  22.8  Sun 7 PM     8.8    6.6    5.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

Metzger

827 
WGUS83 KICT 180812
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
312 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-180842-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200518T2242Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.200516T0249Z.200517T1231Z.200518T0643Z.NO/
312 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
  
* At  3:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  1:43 AM Monday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.8 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flooding of the campgrounds and fairgrounds 
  can be expected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Winfield        18.0  16.5  Mon 03 AM    8.8    6.6    5.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$
bk

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1239 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

A trough  is set up in the Plains with a secondary one off of the
West Coast. The front associated with this system straddles from
southern Iowa to central Kansas into southwest Kansas. After a
cloudy day yesterday, the sun came out today. Temperatures rose to
the 70s for most of the eastern half of the state with even the
lower 80s along the Kansas and Oklahoma border. Attention turns to
thunderstorm potential along the front this afternoon through
tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

Highlights:

1) Strong and severe thunderstorms southeast of KS Turnpike this
evening and tonight

2) Strong to severe thunderstorms late tonight into early Friday in
portions of south central Kansas

3) Flooding including flash flooding

4) Thunderstorm potential Friday and Saturday

Challenges:

1) Precipitation chances/coverage Friday

2) Rainfall amounts and respective flooding issues

3) Strength of convection on Friday and Saturday

Changes:
1) Precipitation chances and respective timing
2) Slight increase in temps in central Kansas on Friday

Headline: Flash Flood Watch this evening thru Saturday afternoon in
portions of south central and southeast Kansas

An active period will occur the next couple days with thunderstorms
anticipated this evening thru Saturday. There is concern for severe
storms especially this evening thru tonight with the possibility of
hail up to golf ball size and 60 mph winds which maintains the same
message as the last few forecasts. The movement of the front
mentioned in the Synopsis section is expected to be the driving
force for convective development as the instability rises especially
east of the Kansas Turnpike this afternoon and evening with 0-3km MUCAPE
of 3-4.5k J/kg and modest shear of 30-40kts at 0-6km. It is
questionable if the storms could develop well out ahead of the
front; CAMs are suggesting this may be a possibility, but the
better chances definitely appear closer to the front. As mentioned
in the previous discussion, it appears the convective mode would
be multicell with potential supercells more likely in northeast
Kansas and Missouri. There does appear to be somewhat of a linear
component later on. Initial development may be close to 4PM in
northeast Kansas with increasing coverage closer to the Flint
Hills around 7PM.

Thunderstorms are expected to back build further west into
central and south central portions of the state tonight into early
Friday as the front continues to track southeast. This front is
moving slow which would enhance the flooding threat with storms
staying closer to that boundary. There could be strong to severe
storms mainly southeast of Kansas Highway 61 or southeast of a
line from McPherson to Hutchinson to Pratt. Similar hazards are
anticipated with hail up to golf ball size and 60 mph winds.

The concern for flash flooding is on the uptick this evening as
moisture continues to surge northeast with a focus in eastern
Kansas. Rainfall totals the past seven days have ranged from 3 to
above 5 inches in the Flint Hills. Additional convection could
produce another 1 to 3 inches in well saturated areas with locally
higher amounts possible the next couple of days. The Flash Flood
Watch appears to be in line with the highest area of expected
rainfall. Please see the hydrology section for more information.

Friday afternoon - The better instability again looks like it will
stay further to the south which would reduce the severe thunderstorm
threat, but this is dependent on which model you decide is the most
representative. There are suggestions by the RAP and GFS that CAPE
will climb near 3k J/kg with 20-30kts of 0-6km bulk shear in the
afternoon and evening hours along the Kansas/Oklahoma border.
However, longevity of the morning activity could compromise the
environment as well. At this point, the lean is possible strong
thunderstorms with maybe some that approach severe criteria.
Confidence is not high for this time period in regards to the
strength of the storms.

Saturday - The last day of this active period will be Saturday; the
secondary wave which is just off the West Coast is expected to set
up along the Front Range late Friday then move through the Plains on
Saturday. This will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms
across the area. Some of the thunderstorms could be strong to severe
potentially in south central and southeast Kansas. Stay tuned for
updates on Friday and Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

Highlights: Quieter and warmer

An active week will be followed by a much quieter one as a ridge
moves in Sunday through the middle of next week. The mid and upper
levels form an Omega block pattern for the first part of the week
across the CONUS. After the wet week, it will be nice to have a
period to dry out. High temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s
for Sunday and Monday then to the low to mid 80s by Wednesday.
Seasonal normals are in the mid 70s. Low temperatures should stay in
the 50s. Take advantage of those outdoor activities if you are able
during this window.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

Extremely low confidence forecast after 1200 UTC. Anticipate
current storms will continue to spread south into moisture/low
level jet. The problem is whether the storms will continue to push
south after daybreak or stall (and if so where?) Seems probable
that it would slow during the day, as rich moisture feed
decreases with the veering 850MB flow. Mainly upslope flow low
level flow across the area will persist throughout the day, but
if precipitation does not occur, MVFR clouds would be much less
likely. Will have some chance for storms again tomorrow afternoon
and/or evening, but where/when is really unclear. Opted to not
mention those at this time. -Howerton

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

Flash Flood Watch from 6PM tonight thru 7PM Saturday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through this week which
are expected to continue into Saturday only amplify the flooding
threat. The highest rainfall totals in the last seven days have been
across southern Kansas with 3-5 inches with locally higher amounts
especially in the Flint Hills. As moisture transport increases
tonight along with the precipitable water values of 1.25-1.75
inches, flooding is going to become a greater concern especially in
the Flint Hills and areas to the east. The slow moving front will
not help. Flooding and flash flooding very well may occur tonight
and possibly the next couple of days in the low lying areas and in
towns. While only a few river points are forecast to rise into
action or flood stage at this time, there very well could be more
depending on how much rain falls within the respective basins.
Please stay weather aware and heed any road closures.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    65  76  63  78 /  60  70  60  70
Hutchinson      62  73  61  76 /  50  50  60  50
Newton          63  73  62  75 /  40  60  70  70
ElDorado        64  75  62  77 /  60  70  70  80
Winfield-KWLD   66  78  64  79 /  50  70  60  70
Russell         57  74  57  75 /  20  40  70  40
Great Bend      59  71  59  76 /  30  40  60  40
Salina          60  75  61  75 /  30  50  70  60
McPherson       61  73  61  75 /  30  50  70  60
Coffeyville     66  75  65  79 /  70  90  70  90
Chanute         64  76  64  77 /  70  80  70  90
Iola            64  76  64  77 /  70  70  70  90
Parsons-KPPF    66  76  64  78 /  80  80  70  90

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday evening for KSZ069>072-083-
092>096-098>100.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VJP
SHORT TERM...VJP
LONG TERM...VJP
AVIATION...PJH
HYDROLOGY...VJP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
405 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152115-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
405 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong and severe storms will develop this evening impacting
locations along and east of the Kansas Turnpike. The strongest
storms will be capable of producing golf ball sized hail, damaging
winds of 60 mph, and a brief tornado.

Thunderstorms are expected to expand in coverage this evening and
overnight impacting much of south central and southeast Kansas. The
strongest storms will be capable of producing golf ball sized hail,
damaging winds of 60 mph and heavy rainfall.

Heavy rain may produce localized flooding and rises on rivers and
creeks. See latest Flash Flood Watch for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The threat for strong to severe storms will remain in the forecast
for Friday and Saturday. With multiple rounds of thunderstorms
expected, the risk of flooding could linger into the weekend. See
latest Flash Flood Watch for more details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening especially along and
east of the Kansas Turnpike from Matfield Green to Kansas City.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
103 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     HAIL             YATES CENTER            37.87N 95.74W
05/15/2020  E0.50 INCH       WOODSON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
120 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     HAIL             2 S ROSE HILL           37.54N 97.13W
05/15/2020  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
125 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     HAIL             2 E ROSE HILL           37.57N 97.10W
05/15/2020  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTED FOR LOCATION.

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
126 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 AM     HAIL             ROSE HILL               37.57N 97.13W
05/15/2020  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
130 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     HAIL             IOLA                    37.93N 95.40W
05/15/2020  M1.00 INCH       ALLEN              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTH SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
137 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0136 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 SE IOLA               37.89N 95.34W
05/15/2020  E60 MPH          ALLEN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

METZGER