Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Sunday Night/...

Weak boundary remains situated across central portions of the state
this afternoon. The best moisture/instability is along and south of
the weak front, with a (very) slightly drier airmass north of the
boundary this afternoon. Surface instability is fairly impressive
this afternoon and storms should continue to fire along old
outflows/mesoscale boundaries. For the last several nights,
convection has lingered to around midnight, so will leave in
at least isolated pops in through midnight/1AM.

Already had some stronger storms develop with decent cores. Storm
mode should be mostly pulse and the primary hazards would be strong
gusty winds and frequent lightning strikes. A few isolated severe
thunderstorms are not out of the question, with damaging wind gusts
being the primary severe hazard. BL flow remains at 10kt or below,
so storms will also be slow movers and capable of locally heavy
rainfall, especially with PWATS of 2"+. The hi-res models are
progging a bit more convective coverage across the CWA tomorrow
afternoon, with moisture slightly increasing.

Heat Index/Apparent T values are currently below criteria for the
remainder of this afternoon and Sunday afternoon, but values between
100 and 105 will possible mainly along and south of Athens to
Columbus. Temps are running 5 to 7 degrees above normal.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday through Saturday/...

The main characteristic for the extended portion of the forecast
will be a fairly messy synoptic setup where we wedged are between an
area of high pressure to the west and to the east. This will result
in some days of weak troughing and other days of very weak flow on
the edge of high pressure. Even though the flow overall will be
pretty week, perturbations moving through the flow in addition to an
overall increase in moisture through the period will still lead to
increased rain chances through the extended. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms are expected to increase as we progress each day
with several afternoons of area-wide likely pops from Wednesday
onward. Showers and thunderstorms should be mostly diurnal in
nature with the highest coverage during the afternoon and
evenings, but some showers and storms may linger into the
overnight hours as well. As with most summer days, a few strong to
isolated severe storms will also be possible.

In addition to increasing chances for rain, temperatures will be on
the increase as well. High temperatures on Monday through Wednesday
are expected to be about 4 to 7 degrees above average with 80s in
the mountains, mid 90s across the metro, and mid to upper 90s across
central Georgia. Temperatures should be just a few degrees cooler
for the second half of the week as chances for rain and cloud cover
increase, although highs in the 90s are still expected. The mix of
warm temps with increased moisture across the area may lead to
issues with heat indices near heat advisory criteria. As the
forecast stands now, heat indices near 100 to 105 degrees will be
possible across central Georgia through the first half of the
week. We will continue to carefully monitor these areas for the
need for any heat advisories over the coming days. Overnight
temperatures are expected to be in the 60s and 70s, remaining just
a few degrees above average.

Reaves

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Winds will remain the forecast problem. Speeds are very light and
are typically averaging 3-4kt. Models do seem to want to favor the
west side today, so at ATL have indicated a direction. Elsewhere,
winds may be more VRB. Wind speeds again tomorrow will be 3-4kt
and even more variable in nature. Pops pretty low the next two
days...so have only included a VC.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence winds through the period. High confidence remaining
elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  94  71  93 /  30  30  20  40
Atlanta         73  93  73  91 /  20  30  20  40
Blairsville     64  86  65  85 /  20  20  20  40
Cartersville    71  94  71  91 /  20  20  20  40
Columbus        74  96  74  97 /  20  30  20  40
Gainesville     70  92  71  91 /  30  20  20  40
Macon           72  95  73  95 /  30  40  30  40
Rome            70  94  71  92 /  20  20  20  40
Peachtree City  71  93  72  92 /  20  30  20  40
Vidalia         74  95  75  94 /  40  60  40  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
242 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091845-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
242 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across central
and portions of north Georgia this afternoon and evening. A few
storms will be strong to possibly severe with strong to damaging
winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

Heat indices of 100 to 105 can be expected for much of central
Georgia this afternoon. Those outside for prolonged periods
should make sure to take precautions from the heat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can be expected Sunday with
scattered to numerous thunderstorms Monday through Friday. A few
storms will be strong to severe with strong to damaging winds,
frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

Heat indices of 100 to 105 can be expected over central and portions
of north Georgia well into the week. Those outside for prolonged
periods should make sure to take precautions from the heat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
423 PM EDT SAT AUG 08 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW VIDALIA            32.20N  82.42W
08/08/2020                   TOOMBS             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A POWER LINE WAS DOWNED ON CHURCH STREET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001074

RWILLIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
442 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ097-109>112-082130-
Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Montgomery GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
442 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHEELER...TELFAIR...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS AND EASTERN DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL
530 PM EDT...

At 441 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Little
Ocmulgee State Park to near Towns, Workmore and China Hill, moving
east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
McRae, Alamo, Helena, Lumber City, Glenwood, Milan, Scotland,
Jacksonville, Towns, Horse Creek WMA, Spring Hill, Landsburg, Jay
Bird Springs, Temperance, China Hill, Achord, Little Ocmulgee State
Park, Jordan and Workmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3182 8311 3181 8313 3182 8313 3184 8317
      3187 8318 3193 8309 3219 8299 3229 8270
      3196 8254 3196 8257 3193 8261 3192 8268
      3190 8269 3185 8279 3184 8278 3182 8284
      3178 8287 3179 8297 3178 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 255DEG 10KT 3215 8288 3196 8281 3187 8294 3184
8312

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
444 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ096-097-107>110-082130-
Telfair GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
444 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN TELFAIR...NORTHEASTERN
WILCOX...WESTERN LAURENS...SOUTHEASTERN BLECKLEY...DODGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

At 444 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from Yonkers to near
Dubois,r Eastman andr Abbeville, moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Eastman, Abbeville, Chester, Rhine, Union, Dubois, Gresston,
Plainfield, Empire, Yonkers, Cedar Creek, Roddy, Rowland, Ocmulgee
Banks, Five Points and Godwinsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3248 8309 3237 8306 3220 8306 3217 8311
      3193 8307 3197 8340 3215 8340 3228 8337
      3244 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 273DEG 10KT 3238 8323 3228 8330 3218 8324 3204
8330

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
456 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ062-075-076-082130-
Jefferson GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
456 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN GLASCOCK
AND SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

At 455 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Bastonville
to near Keysville and Moxley. These storms were nearly stationary.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Louisville, Wrens, Stapleton, Matthews, Moxley, Reese, Stellaville
and Bastonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3307 8229 3294 8227 3289 8229
      3290 8241 3301 8250 3321 8248 3337 8263
      3337 8255 3335 8255 3336 8254 3334 8251
      3333 8242 3331 8240 3331 8236 3326 8225
      3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 092DEG 3KT 3333 8247 3322 8226 3294 8233

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
506 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ059>061-072>074-082145-
Washington GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Hancock GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-
506 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHERN
PUTNAM...BALDWIN...SOUTHWESTERN HANCOCK...NORTHEASTERN JONES AND
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 505 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Hillsboro to
Resseaus Crossroads, Plant Harlee Branch and Underwood, moving east
at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Milledgeville, Eatonton, Deepstep, Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether,
Ethridge, Devereux, Beulah, Underwood, Allenwood, Linton, Resseaus
Crossroads, Oconee Springs Park, Pancras, Warfield, Scottsboro,
Rockville, Plant Harlee Branch, Hillsboro and Hardwick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3301 8288 3297 8312 3300 8312 3301 8315
      3300 8315 3299 8318 3297 8316 3298 8320
      3297 8323 3311 8341 3314 8362 3318 8375
      3335 8340 3336 8318 3321 8295
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 268DEG 14KT 3320 8360 3321 8345 3319 8328 3309
8314

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
602 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ049-059-060-082245-
Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Jasper GA-
602 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...
NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM AND NORTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM
EDT...

At 602 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Shady Dale, moving
east at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Eatonton, Madison, Shady Dale, Rock Eagle 4-H Center, Central Georgia
Experiment Station, Farrar, Godfrey, Warfield and Willard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3335 8365 3350 8365 3359 8350 3345 8337
      3325 8338
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 260DEG 6KT 3343 8355

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH