Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Sunday Night/...

Weak boundary remains situated across central portions of the state
this afternoon. The best moisture/instability is along and south of
the weak front, with a (very) slightly drier airmass north of the
boundary this afternoon. Surface instability is fairly impressive
this afternoon and storms should continue to fire along old
outflows/mesoscale boundaries. For the last several nights,
convection has lingered to around midnight, so will leave in
at least isolated pops in through midnight/1AM.

Already had some stronger storms develop with decent cores. Storm
mode should be mostly pulse and the primary hazards would be strong
gusty winds and frequent lightning strikes. A few isolated severe
thunderstorms are not out of the question, with damaging wind gusts
being the primary severe hazard. BL flow remains at 10kt or below,
so storms will also be slow movers and capable of locally heavy
rainfall, especially with PWATS of 2"+. The hi-res models are
progging a bit more convective coverage across the CWA tomorrow
afternoon, with moisture slightly increasing.

Heat Index/Apparent T values are currently below criteria for the
remainder of this afternoon and Sunday afternoon, but values between
100 and 105 will possible mainly along and south of Athens to
Columbus. Temps are running 5 to 7 degrees above normal.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday through Saturday/...

The main characteristic for the extended portion of the forecast
will be a fairly messy synoptic setup where we wedged are between an
area of high pressure to the west and to the east. This will result
in some days of weak troughing and other days of very weak flow on
the edge of high pressure. Even though the flow overall will be
pretty week, perturbations moving through the flow in addition to an
overall increase in moisture through the period will still lead to
increased rain chances through the extended. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms are expected to increase as we progress each day
with several afternoons of area-wide likely pops from Wednesday
onward. Showers and thunderstorms should be mostly diurnal in
nature with the highest coverage during the afternoon and
evenings, but some showers and storms may linger into the
overnight hours as well. As with most summer days, a few strong to
isolated severe storms will also be possible.

In addition to increasing chances for rain, temperatures will be on
the increase as well. High temperatures on Monday through Wednesday
are expected to be about 4 to 7 degrees above average with 80s in
the mountains, mid 90s across the metro, and mid to upper 90s across
central Georgia. Temperatures should be just a few degrees cooler
for the second half of the week as chances for rain and cloud cover
increase, although highs in the 90s are still expected. The mix of
warm temps with increased moisture across the area may lead to
issues with heat indices near heat advisory criteria. As the
forecast stands now, heat indices near 100 to 105 degrees will be
possible across central Georgia through the first half of the
week. We will continue to carefully monitor these areas for the
need for any heat advisories over the coming days. Overnight
temperatures are expected to be in the 60s and 70s, remaining just
a few degrees above average.

Reaves

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Winds will remain the forecast problem. Speeds are very light and
are typically averaging 3-4kt. Models do seem to want to favor the
west side today, so at ATL have indicated a direction. Elsewhere,
winds may be more VRB. Wind speeds again tomorrow will be 3-4kt
and even more variable in nature. Pops pretty low the next two
days...so have only included a VC.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence winds through the period. High confidence remaining
elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  94  71  93 /  30  30  20  40
Atlanta         73  93  73  91 /  20  30  20  40
Blairsville     64  86  65  85 /  20  20  20  40
Cartersville    71  94  71  91 /  20  20  20  40
Columbus        74  96  74  97 /  20  30  20  40
Gainesville     70  92  71  91 /  30  20  20  40
Macon           72  95  73  95 /  30  40  30  40
Rome            70  94  71  92 /  20  20  20  40
Peachtree City  71  93  72  92 /  20  30  20  40
Vidalia         74  95  75  94 /  40  60  40  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
242 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091845-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
242 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across central
and portions of north Georgia this afternoon and evening. A few
storms will be strong to possibly severe with strong to damaging
winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

Heat indices of 100 to 105 can be expected for much of central
Georgia this afternoon. Those outside for prolonged periods
should make sure to take precautions from the heat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can be expected Sunday with
scattered to numerous thunderstorms Monday through Friday. A few
storms will be strong to severe with strong to damaging winds,
frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

Heat indices of 100 to 105 can be expected over central and portions
of north Georgia well into the week. Those outside for prolonged
periods should make sure to take precautions from the heat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
310 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ112-113-081945-
Toombs GA-Montgomery GA-
310 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN TOOMBS AND SOUTHERN
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 309 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms extended from near
Ponderosa to Cedar Crossing, moving south at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
English Eddy, Toombs Central, Ohoopee, New Branch, Ponderosa, Grays
Landing, Rock Springs, Cedar Crossing, Johnson Corner, McNatt Falls
and South Thompson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3194 8228 3193 8230 3195 8231 3193 8231
      3194 8238 3196 8238 3195 8239 3197 8244
      3197 8248 3196 8250 3195 8248 3195 8249
      3196 8254 3198 8254 3223 8221 3216 8218
      3214 8220 3191 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 351DEG 6KT 3216 8226 3200 8242

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
320 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ070-071-081-082-082000-
Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Bibb GA-Crawford GA-
320 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR...SOUTHWESTERN
MONROE...NORTHWESTERN BIBB AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 319 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms extended from near
Brent to Russellville to near Musella, moving east at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Forsyth, Roberta, Culloden, Knoxville, Redbone, Lake Tobesofkee,
Sandy Point, Horns, Collier, Russellville, Brent and Musella.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3266 8409 3269 8411 3268 8412 3268 8413
      3269 8414 3268 8417 3280 8414 3280 8412
      3299 8412 3299 8413 3304 8413 3306 8389
      3286 8379 3262 8395
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 279DEG 5KT 3295 8405 3287 8400 3276 8406

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
327 PM EDT SAT AUG 08 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW LOWERY            32.34N  82.87W
08/08/2020                   LAURENS            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS DOWNED ON SCOTLAND ROAD AT ST. MARK ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001072

RWILLIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
330 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ095-105-107-082015-
Dooly GA-Houston GA-Pulaski GA-
330 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DOOLY...HOUSTON AND
WESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 330 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Perry to
Unadilla, moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Perry, Hawkinsville, Unadilla, Pinehurst, Hayneville, Browndale,
Meadowdale, Sand Bed, Houston Lake, Grovania, Elko, Mock Springs,
Grove Park, Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area, Moss Oak, Pulaski State
Prison, Bonaire, Henderson, Kathleen and Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3229 8386 3229 8385 3232 8385 3245 8381
      3245 8380 3247 8380 3257 8359 3240 8349
      3240 8350 3238 8347 3231 8343 3212 8360
      3212 8361 3207 8364
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 286DEG 12KT 3242 8371 3228 8375

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
334 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ074>076-085-082015-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Glascock GA-Johnson GA-
334 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON...EASTERN WASHINGTON...
GLASCOCK AND JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 333 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Agricola to
near Sandersville to Wrightsville. These storms were nearly
stationary.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Sandersville, Louisville, Wrightsville, Gibson, Wrens, Wadley,
Davisboro, Tennille, Harrison, Stapleton, Bartow, Avera, Mitchell,
Riddleville, Edge Hill, Edgehill, Kite, Hamburg State Park, Downs and
Grange.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3272 8246 3269 8250 3266 8249 3265 8247
      3264 8251 3261 8254 3266 8274 3301 8285
      3321 8282 3324 8275 3325 8275 3329 8252
      3317 8234
TIME...MOT...LOC 1933Z 272DEG 4KT 3316 8276 3301 8277 3273 8269

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

GAZ096-097-109-082015-
Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
336 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN LAURENS...EASTERN
BLECKLEY AND NORTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 336 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Goldsboro, moving
east at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cochran, Chester, Dexter, Dudley, Montrose, Dubois, Gresston, Empire,
Yonkers, Roddy, Rowland, Goldsboro and Rebie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3236 8335 3255 8329 3256 8327 3256 8306
      3238 8301 3223 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 284DEG 6KT 3244 8325

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH