Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

March 24, 2020Oglethorpe County, Wilkes County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Mar 24, 2020, 12:02 PM EDT for Oglethorpe County, Wilkes County, Georgia. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2020, 12:02 PM EDT (16:02 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2020, 12:30 PM EDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Oglethorpe County, GA, Wilkes County, GA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2020-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 50 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2020-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
50 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-168 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 24, 10:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 10:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1049 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

.UPDATE...

Initial upper impulse has allowed for some isolated strong
convection tracking eastward across north GA this morning along
with some training of heavier rain in the far northern tier. Will
monitor for any increased flash flood potential accordingly, and
then could have a lull in coverage/activity this afternoon across
portions of north GA ahead of next stronger wave progged for this
evening. Overall grid trends look to be on track so have not
needed to adjust aside from ingesting near term obs. Previous
discussion follows...

Baker

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 739 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020/

SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...

.Flash Flood Watch For Far North GA...

A challenging forecast with a myriad of hazard concerns starting
with dense fog. No slam dunk by any means on this one but
considering it was in the metro, did not get too cute with it and
just ran through the morning hours. Entirely possible that increased
lift and rain chances will allow visibility to increase prior to
hazard end time, but hazard can be cancelled if that ends up being
the case. Embedded shortwaves in zonal flow are increasing lift
across the area in vicinity of warm front. This has already allowed
for the development of showers and coverage and intensity should
increase through the morning hours very rapidly.

Models continue to increase QPF with not only this feature but
multiple rounds as second more vigorous shortwave moves through the
Tennessee Valley this evening. Now have storm total in excess of 3
inches across portions of North GA, north of the metro in general.
Based on the latest QPF and area now being in moderate risk of
Excessive Rainfall, have chosen to go with a Flash Flood Watch for
areas that line up with high QPF axis.

Instability will be primarily elevated early on, but will need to
watch for potential severe storms by afternoon across the Northwest
portions. SPC has slight risk for this area which looks to be on
target. With frontal position. low level helicity will be off the
charts with STP approaching 4 on the NAM. Pretty much an all
included with potential hazards of damaging winds, hail  and even
isolated tornadoes.

Finally some clearing for tonight and especially into Wed to help
dry things out. A very nice day in store for Wed with a drying
northerly flow and temperatures in the lower 70s north to lower 80s
for portions of Central GA.

Deese

&&

.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...

The long term period begins on Wednesday night with northwest
flow aloft and subsidence settling in on the backside of an
exiting shortwave. Mid- and upper-level high pressure will build
in across the Southeast from the northern Gulf of Mexico on
Thursday and Friday, making for dry weather and a mostly to partly
sunny sky. Mid- and upper-level flow will turn southwesterly on
Saturday as a low pressure system tracks across the Central U.S.
and Ohio River Valley, dragging a cold front across the South. The
GFS and ECMWF currently keep Saturday dry and have rain moving
into northwestern Georgia by late Saturday night/early Sunday
morning. The cold front passage looks to be quick, as models move
rain out of the CWA by late Sunday night. The QPF on Sunday ranges
from less than 0.01 inch to 0.25 inch, with the higher totals
across northwestern Georgia. Also, given non-zero instability
(MUCAPE <1000 J/kg), have included a slight chance of thunder for
Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Models are forecasting an upper-level trough taking shape across
the Southwest on Sunday into Monday, generating an area of surface
low pressure somewhere across the South Central states. There are
timing differences, however, as the GFS is faster with more zonal
upper-level flow, and the ECMWF is slower with more amplified
upper-level flow. This translates to uncertainty with the timing
of rain associated with this system on Monday and Tuesday.

Highs will be around 5 to 15 degrees above average through the
period, aside from Sunday and Monday (during and after the cold
front passage). Lows will be around 10 to 20 degrees above average
through much of the period.

Martin

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...LIFR conditions continue but quickly abating from
north to south as line of SHRA develops. Will be a challenging
forecast as waves of SHRA and even embedded TSRA interrupts the
low cigs and vsby from time to time. First of these waves will be
mid morning around 15Z and then another late evening into the
first part of the overnight period. Cigs may recover briefly late
this evening with the second wave of TSRA but will quickly go down
again for the Tue night timeframe. Winds will be very light
through mid morning before becoming SW and remaining there for the
remainder of this TAF period.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...

Medium on LIFR duration and precip timing.
High on remaining elements.

Deese

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  59  75  50 /  80  80  30   5
Atlanta         72  61  73  52 /  60  80  30   0
Blairsville     58  54  66  45 /  90  90  40   5
Cartersville    70  59  72  50 /  90  90  30   5
Columbus        79  65  80  56 /  20  60  30   0
Gainesville     61  56  71  49 /  90  90  30   5
Macon           78  64  80  54 /  20  60  30   0
Rome            70  58  72  49 /  90  90  20   5
Peachtree City  75  61  76  52 /  50  70  30   0
Vidalia         82  67  83  57 /  10  40  40   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for the following zones:
Catoosa...Chattooga...Dade...Dawson...Fannin...Gilmer...Gordon...
Lumpkin...Murray...Pickens...Towns...Union...Walker...White...
Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...Deese/Baker
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...Deese
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 24, 11:30 AM EDT, 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1130 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-251530-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1130 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across north
Georgia through tonight. A few storms could be strong to severe,
especially across northwestern Georgia. The main hazards with any
storms will be strong to damaging winds, hail, and a brief tornado
or two.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Thunderstorms will be possible over North Georgia on Saturday and
across the entire area on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 24, 10:35 AM EDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1035 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ001>005-241500-
Whitfield GA-Catoosa GA-Walker GA-Dade GA-Murray GA-
1035 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHITFIELD...CATOOSA...WALKER...
DADE AND MURRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM EDT...

At 1035 AM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Cooper Heights, or 8
miles west of Lafayette...moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dalton, Lafayette, Chatsworth, Ringgold, Trenton, Fort Oglethorpe,
Rossville, Chickamauga, Varnell, Lookout Mountain, Eton, Tunnel Hill,
Cohutta, Crandall, Sumac, Gregory, Blue Spring, Fairview, Conasauga
Lake and Linwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3499 8462 3486 8462 3482 8458 3478 8464
      3475 8465 3460 8553 3498 8560
TIME...MOT...LOC 1435Z 246DEG 43KT 3474 8542
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 11:01 AM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1101 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ006>008-241530-
Gilmer GA-Union GA-Fannin GA-
1101 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GILMER...UNION AND FANNIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM EDT...

At 1100 AM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Epworth to near Cartecay...and moving east at 50
mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Blue Ridge, Blairsville, East Ellijay, Morganton, Hemp, Margret,
Higdon, Nottely Dam, Hurst, Ivy Log, Loving, Jones Creek, Epworth,
Dial, Cartecay, Pisgah, Mineral Bluff, Cherry Log, Stover Creek
Shelter and Hawk Mountain Shelter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3473 8396 3458 8432 3458 8433 3457 8433
      3455 8439 3455 8441 3474 8447 3497 8446
      3499 8441 3499 8394
TIME...MOT...LOC 1500Z 250DEG 43KT 3494 8444 3459 8438
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 11:12 AM EDT, 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1112 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ022-023-033-034-241545-
Hall GA-North Fulton GA-Forsyth GA-Gwinnett GA-
1112 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HALL...NORTH
FULTON...FORSYTH AND NORTHEASTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM
EDT...

At 1112 AM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Brookwood, or near
Cumming...moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...pea sized hail...frequent lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Minor damage to exposed surfaces is possible. Heavy rain
           may cause temporary street flooding especially in poor
           drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Gainesville, Cumming, Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Milton, Sugar Hill,
Suwanee, Buford, Braselton, Flowery Branch, Oakwood, Rest Haven,
Drew, Buford Dam-Lake Lanier Parks, Brookwood, Aqualand Park,
Chestnut Mountain, Oscarville, Road Atlanta-Lanier Speedway and Lake
Lanier Islands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3433 8384 3415 8378 3413 8382 3407 8384
      3403 8428 3418 8431 3419 8428 3419 8426
      3420 8426
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 254DEG 47KT 3413 8418

HAIL...0.25IN
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 11:25 AM EDT, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1125 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ027-036>038-047-049-050-241600-
Madison GA-Morgan GA-Walton GA-Oglethorpe GA-Clarke GA-Greene GA-
Oconee GA-
1125 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...MORGAN...
NORTHEASTERN WALTON...OGLETHORPE...CLARKE...NORTHWESTERN GREENE AND
OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL NOON EDT...

At 1124 AM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Farmington, or 7
miles south of Watkinsville...moving east at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Madison, Watkinsville, Lexington, Athens, Comer, Winterville,
Crawford, North High Shoals, Bostwick, Arnoldsville, Good Hope,
Carlton, Bishop, Maxeys, Whitehall, Athens-Clarke County, Stephens,
Smithonia, Beechwood Hills and Wrayswood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3387 8292 3385 8293 3384 8295 3381 8296
      3380 8298 3378 8298 3375 8296 3355 8350
      3388 8367 3408 8305 3388 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1524Z 250DEG 47KT 3376 8345
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 11:37 AM EDT, 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1137 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ005-007-012>014-241600-
Gilmer GA-Dawson GA-Gordon GA-Pickens GA-Murray GA-
1137 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GILMER...NORTHWESTERN DAWSON...
NORTHEASTERN GORDON...NORTHWESTERN PICKENS AND SOUTHEASTERN MURRAY
COUNTIES UNTIL NOON EDT...

At 1137 AM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Oakman, or 13 miles
southwest of Ellijay...moving east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Ellijay, East Ellijay, Talking Rock, Fairmount, Ranger, Sequoyah
Lake, Carters, Talona, Tails Creek, Ramhurst, Cartecay, Blaine,
Oakman, Mountaintown, Roy, Hinton, Roundtop and Audubon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3456 8425 3442 8468 3463 8488 3484 8451
TIME...MOT...LOC 1537Z 252DEG 35KT 3457 8467
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 12:02 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1202 PM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

GAZ038-039-241630-
Wilkes GA-Oglethorpe GA-
1202 PM EDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WILKES AND OGLETHORPE COUNTIES
UNTIL 1230 PM EDT...

At 1202 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Rayle, or 8 miles
southeast of Lexington...moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Washington, Lexington, Tignall, Maxeys, Rayle, Stephens, Jacksons
Crossroads, Mallorysville, Delhi, Norman, Floral Hill, Newtown,
Danburg, Celeste and Philomath.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3371 8293 3373 8295 3370 8299 3369 8302
      3371 8305 3370 8310 3375 8318 3388 8314
      3399 8283 3397 8278 3399 8272 3399 8265
      3386 8261 3387 8258 3387 8257 3383 8260
      3378 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 1602Z 250DEG 56KT 3382 8298

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 2:41 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryFFCBaldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Butts and 57 more7 hr
Mar 24, 6:06 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Dawson, Fannin, Gilmer and 9 more21 hr
Mar 24, 8:55 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCWhitfield3 days
Mar 24, 9:50 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Dade, Murray, Walker, Whitfield40 min
Mar 24, 10:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDeKalb, Gwinnett24 min
Mar 24, 10:35 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Dade, Murray, Walker, Whitfield25 min
Mar 24, 11:01 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFannin, Union29 min
Mar 24, 11:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth33 min
Mar 24, 11:25 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke, Morgan, Oconee, Oglethorpe35 min
Mar 24, 11:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGilmer23 min
Mar 24, 12:40 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCMurray, Whitfield52 hr
Mar 24, 12:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMadison33 min
Mar 24, 3:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCCatoosa55 hr
Mar 24, 3:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCGordon, Murray, Whitfield4 days
Mar 24, 3:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton46 hr
Mar 24, 3:57 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattooga29 hr
Mar 24, 5:29 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCCatoosa21 days

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2020Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.