River Flood Warning 437, NWS Atlanta, GA

558 
WGUS82 KFFC 120114
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
914 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Nickajack Creek near Mableton affecting Cobb County.

GAC067-120215-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0437.000000T0000Z-201012T0114Z/
/NICG1.1.ER.700119T1306Z.700119T1307Z.700119T1307Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Nickajack Creek near Mableton has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Nickajack Creek near Mableton.
* At 8:00 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.


&&

LAT...LON 3377 8455 3385 8459 3389 8454 3384 8448
      3381 8449

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
740 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 408 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020/

SHORT TERM /Today through Monday/...
Abundant moisture from the remnants of Delta will continue to stream
over the southern Appalachians and surrounding areas through the
weekend. Short term models have a good handle on the remnants of
Delta with satellite and radar loops showing Delta spinning across
portion of northern Alabama and short term models show the upper
level wave opening through the day as it lifts into the Tennessee
valley by this evening and into the Carolinas by tomorrow morning.
The surface low also weakens as it shifts over the Carolinas by
tomorrow evening. HI-RES models continue to show off and on
showers as the weakened rain bands move across the area today.
Likely POPs through this afternoon across much of north and
portions of Central Georgia will give way to Chance to slight
chance with much of the rain tapering off shortly after midnight.
Additional rainfall totals for today will mainly be in the one-
half inch to near an inch in the northeast mountains with locally
higher values possible. With these updated rainfall totals will
cancel the Flash Flood Watch, although Flash Flood Warnings [see
FFWFFC for more information] and an Areal Flood Warning [see
FLWFFC for more information] remaining in effect through mid
morning. Stayed close to guidance temperatures with near normal
high today giving way to above normal lows and afternoon highs
tomorrow.

Atwell

LONG TERM /Monday Night through Saturday/...
Drier air will move into the area with a cold front expected to
move across the forecast area on Tuesday. Drier high pressure
will settle in behind the front through Thursday, with another
cold front approaching from the northwest early Friday. There are
some discrepancies noted in the timing and amount of moisture
associated with the next system, so have kept POPs mainly across
north Georgia and in the low chance category. Guidance
temperatures showing warmer than normal temperatures through the
work week with a cooling trend by Friday through the weekend.
Temperatures are expected to be at least 10 degrees cooler than
normal through the weekend.

Atwell

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z Update...
CIGs will bounce between IFR and VFR as narrow rain bands move
across the forecast area. Expect a slow improvement and some TAF
sites may settle at VFR this afternoon, still not confident
enough to prevail VFR at ATL area and AHN sites. Southeast winds
initially at 5-10kts will shift to southwest at 5-10kts between
17-19z.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          77  66  80  63 /  70  40   5   0
Atlanta         74  66  79  63 /  70  20  10   0
Blairsville     70  62  75  57 /  80  40  10   5
Cartersville    74  66  80  61 /  80  30  10   0
Columbus        78  67  83  66 /  60  20   5   0
Gainesville     73  65  78  63 /  80  40  10   0
Macon           81  66  83  64 /  50  20   5   0
Rome            76  66  81  60 /  80  20  10   5
Peachtree City  74  65  80  63 /  70  20  10   0
Vidalia         85  70  83  66 /  30  30  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....Atwell
AVIATION...Atwell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
523 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-120930-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
523 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

The remnants of Delta will continue to move across portions of the
southeast today, bringing locally heavy rainfall and isolated
thunderstorms across north and portions of central Georgia.
Rainfall will be heavy at times, with up to an additional inch of
rainfall expected mainly across the northeast Georgia mountains.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible, with lightning the main
hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.