River Flood Warning 415, NWS Atlanta, GA

734 
WGUS82 KFFC 110629
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
229 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Level Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County.

GAC135-110730-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0415.000000T0000Z-201011T0629Z/
/SWAG1.1.ER.700119T1306Z.700119T1306Z.700119T1306Z.UU/
229 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Level Creek near Suwanee has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Level Creek near Suwanee.
* At 2:15 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet. Creek will continue 
  to fall.
* Flood stage is 9 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.


&&

LAT...LON 3412 8410 3412 8406 3407 8406 3405 8410
      3408 8411

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
933 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

.UPDATE...
Tornado watch has expired. Expanded the Flash Flood Watch to
include portions of north and north central Georgia.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 749 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

UPDATE...
Strong band of thunderstorms continues to move across the metro
ATl area this evening. Conditions remain conducive for brief
tornadoes to form along this line as shear remains fairly high for
the next several hours. Tweaked pops earlier to reflect current
conditions and any additional waves overnight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 328 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Sunday Night/...

Tropical Depression Delta was located over western MS this
afternoon and should track northeastward overnight...arriving
over the southern Appalachians as an open wave Sunday morning.
The surface warm front appears to have moved into north GA except
for the far northern counties where easterly winds and some patchy
fog persist. Continued southerly flow of moist unstable air
should produce periods of showers and a few thunderstorms through
much of the afternoon and overnight. The best chance for strong
storms appears to be through 01z and a portion of north and west
GA is under a Tornado Watch until then. Best pops remain over
north GA on Sunday as the remains of Delta pass across the area.
So the FFA will remain in place until Sunday evening. Storm totals
range form two to four inches in the watch area with lesser
amounts elsewhere.

41

LONG TERM /Monday through Saturday/...

By Monday, the remnants of Hurricane Delta will be pushed out of the
area with primarily dry and mostly sunny days expected through the
long term forecast. While dry air will have moved in with in the
upper-levels, ample moisture will remain near the ground with the
aftermath of the rain system. With an upper-level trough over the
upper Mississippi River Valley bringing positive differential
vorticity advection over the area by Monday morning, light lift could
produce some shallow light showers and drizzle Monday morning, but
chances of accumulating rain is low for any given area at the
moment.

As the upper-level trough passes trough the Eastern CONUS, it'll
bring with it a cold front that's expected to move through the
forecast area Monday night through Tuesday morning, with lows
dropping into the 50s Tuesday night; low 50s for North Georgia, and
upper 50s for Central Georgia. The frontal passage is expected to be
mostly dry but an outside chance for some showers are possible for
far North Georgia. Behind the front a strong, continental high
pressure will move into the region. From then on, quasi-zonal
conditions will setup for several day until our next upper-level
wave moves through on Friday with another strong cold front. Again,
this front is mostly expected to be dry but the moisture with this
system is trending upwards so slight chance Pops have been added to
the forecast. Afterwards highs around 80 for the metro for most of
the week should drop to around 70 on Friday afternoon.

Thiem

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Strong line of storms continues to impact the ATL area. Hi res
models do show a break in the convection for a few hours after
4-5Z, but another wave is possible towards 12Z. Winds remain on
the east side overnight and through the early afternoon tomorrow
but a wind shift to the sw is anticipated in the mid afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
med confidence.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  78  66  81 /  80  70  40  10
Atlanta         69  74  66  80 / 100  80  30   5
Blairsville     65  71  62  77 / 100  90  60  20
Cartersville    69  75  65  82 / 100  80  40  10
Columbus        71  79  67  84 /  90  50  10   5
Gainesville     67  73  66  79 / 100  80  50  10
Macon           72  83  66  86 /  60  40  20   5
Rome            69  75  66  83 /  90  90  40   5
Peachtree City  70  75  65  81 / 100  70  30   5
Vidalia         74  85  69  85 /  50  60  30   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday evening for the following
zones: Cherokee...Cobb...Dawson...DeKalb...Fannin...Forsyth...
Gilmer...Gwinnett...Hall...Lumpkin...Murray...North Fulton...
Pickens...Towns...Union...White.

&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1138 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-111000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1138 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THROUGH 12
AM MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH EAST AND NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

The remnants of Delta will continue to move across the southeast
states overnight, brining locally heavy rainfall and a few
thunderstorms to the outlook area. Rainfall will be heavy at
times, especially across north central and northeast portions of
Georgia. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for this area. An
additional one to two inches of rainfall will be likely within
the watch area. Locally higher amounts will be possible.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible, with lightning being the
main hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Isolated thunderstorms and periods of heavy rainfall will continue
across north and central Georgia Sunday as the remnants of
Hurricane Delta continue to move by the area. Isolated flooding
and flash flooding will be possible, especially across
northeastern Georgia, where the heaviest rainfall is currently
forecast to occur. A Flash Flood Watch will be in effect until
midnight Sunday Night for portions of far north and northeast
Georgia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
953 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

GAZ054>057-110230-
Fayette GA-Clayton GA-Spalding GA-Henry GA-
953 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN FAYETTE...CLAYTON...
NORTHERN SPALDING AND WESTERN HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM EDT...

At 953 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Riverdale to Woolsey...and moving northeast at 30
mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Fayetteville, Jonesboro, Stockbridge, Forest Park, Riverdale,
Hampton, Morrow, Lovejoy, Lake City, Brooks, Woolsey, Sunny Side,
Lake Spivey, Rex, Inman, Hidden Valley Park, Jw Smith Reservoir,
Conley, Birdie and Ellenwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3355 8447 3355 8446 3360 8446 3365 8434
      3364 8428 3365 8425 3363 8424 3363 8423
      3365 8422 3365 8420 3332 8422 3331 8449
TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 211DEG 26KT 3356 8438 3337 8440

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1013 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     TORNADO          1 NE PORTERDALE         33.58N  83.88W
10/10/2020                   NEWTON             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 2 INJ *** A TORNADO TRACKED FROM THE INTERSECTION
            OF WASHING ST SW AND FLAT SHOALS ROAD TO TURNER LAKE
            CIRCLE CAUSING TREE AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG ITS
            PATH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001235

TV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1025 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 PM     TORNADO          3 WNW BELMONT           33.73N  84.22W
10/10/2020                   DEKALB             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FOUR LARGE TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN ALONG OAK VALLEY
            ROAD SOUTH OF GLENWOOD RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001236

TV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1041 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     TORNADO          2 SSE PLEASANT HILL     33.91N  84.10W
10/10/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG THE 3500TH BLOCK OF
            LAWRENCEVILLE HWY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001237

TV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1042 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE PLEASANT HILL     33.91N  84.10W
10/10/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG THE 3500TH BLOCK OF
            LAWRENCEVILLE HWY.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001237

TV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1056 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW SNELLVILLE        33.86N  84.03W
10/10/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN NEAR CRESCENT DRIVE AND TANGLEWOOD DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001238

TV