Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 199, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 19, 20204 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 19, 2020, 1:40 PM EST for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 19, 2020, 1:40 PM EST (18:40 UTC)
Expired: Feb 20, 2020, 7:14 PM EST
In force: 30 hr
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Bibb County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Houston County, GA, Peach County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Echeconnee Creek at Houston Road near Byron (BYNG1).

Action stage: 13 ft
Minor stage: 15 ft
Moderate stage: 20 ft
Major stage: 24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02214075, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

415 
WGUS42 KFFC 191840
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
140 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC021-079-153-225-200839-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0199.200219T1840Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200219T1830Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
140 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 1 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

5 follow-up statements

731
WGUS82 KFFC 200238
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
938 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

Ocmulgee River near Lumber City affecting Montgomery...Telfair and
Wheeler Counties

Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston
and Peach Counties

Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
Counties

GAC021-079-153-225-201637-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0199.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200220T0145Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
938 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet, and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands
occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road.
Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to
flood.

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
3263 8355 3269 8379

GAC091-271-315-201637-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.200208T1345Z.200225T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet, and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue, and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet by Monday evening.
Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13 feet... Minor flooding of lowlands adjacent to the river continue
to expand into the flood plain. Flooding of the nearby park and parking lot at the Abbeville boat ramp also expands.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Roads to homes along the west
side of the river in Abbeville become inaccessible.

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
3175 8299 3184 8320

GAC209-271-309-201637-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0157.000000T0000Z-200220T1800Z/
/LBRG1.1.ER.200215T1520Z.200217T1900Z.200220T1200Z.NO/
938 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Ocmulgee River near Lumber City.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood Stage is reached and minor flooding begins.
Water overflows into the broad swampy flood plain. Farm fields on
the right bank flood. General agriculture and timber interests are
affected by the flooding. In addition...water reaches the top of
the boat ramp near the Highway 341 bridge.

LAT...LON 3175 8299 3181 8299 3189 8278 3196 8261
3191 8258 3176 8285

740 
WGUS82 KFFC 201111
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Towaliga River near Juliette affecting Monroe County 

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville affecting Bleckley and Pulaski 
  Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 


GAC207-210110-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0193.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWG1.1.ER.200219T0645Z.200219T1815Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Towaliga River near Juliette.
* Until further notice.
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 16 feet, Minor flooding of woodlands in the natural flood 
  plain begins along the river.  Low lying areas of Byars Road
  downstream and right bank from the gage on Monticello Highway or 
  Georgia Highway 83 will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8396 3316 8382 3310 8382 3310 8396


$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-210110-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0167.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.200218T2300Z.200220T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Thursday the stage was 25.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet by Thursday afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 26 feet, Moderate flooding begins on the Macon Green Way 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard 
  bridge with some areas under 6 feet of water. Backyards of a few 
  homes on the left bank near Glenridge Drive will be flooded. 
  Portions of the Southern Railroad tracks around Mead Road will 
  become inundated. Large portions of agricultural lands just east 
  and south of Macon will be under 1 to 8 feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC021-079-153-225-210110-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0199.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200220T0745Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Thursday the stage was 15.2 feet and near steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and expected to continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet, flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

GAC023-235-210110-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0196.200221T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWG1.2.ER.200221T0000Z.200224T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 18.8 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 28.3 feet by Monday early afternoon. Additional rises 
  are possible thereafter.
* At 23 feet, Minor flooding continues of roads on the southside of 
  Hawkinsville along Gooseneck Lane. With the flooding of Gooseneck Lane 
  residents are cutoff from reaching their homes. The water will be from 
  1 to 3 feet deep over the road.

  At 26 feet, Moderate flooding begins with several homes surrounded by 
  flood waters and at least 3 homes begin flooding near Gooseneck Lane and 
  RiverView Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8359 3266 8353 3229 8343 3210 8332
       3206 8337 3227 8349            

$$

GAC091-271-315-210110-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.200208T1345Z.200225T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Thursday the stage was 12.8 feet and near steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet by Monday evening.
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 14 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Roads to homes along the west 
  side of the river in Abbeville become inaccessible.

  At 16 feet, flooding of farm lands, timberlands, and access 
  roads will occur.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

297 
WGUS82 KFFC 201505
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville affecting Bleckley and Pulaski 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-210505-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0167.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.200218T2300Z.200220T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 26 feet...Moderate flooding begins on the Macon GreenWay 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard 
  bridge with some areas under 6 feet of water. Backyards of a few 
  homes on the left bank near Glenridge Drive will be flooded. 
  Portions of the Southern Railroad tracks around Mead Road will 
  become inundated. Large portions of agricultural lands just east 
  and south of Macon will be under 1 to 8 feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC021-079-153-225-210505-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0199.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200220T0745Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1005 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

GAC023-235-210505-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0196.200221T0448Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWG1.2.ER.200221T0448Z.200224T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville.
* From tonight until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet...and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 28.1 feet by Monday evening.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding of roads begins on the southside of 
  Hawkinsville, along Gooseneck Lane. With the flooding of Gooseneck Lane,
  residents are cutoff from reaching their homes.
* At 26 feet...Moderate flooding begins, with several homes surrounded 
  by flood waters and at least 3 homes begin flooding near Gooseneck 
  Lane and RiverView Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8359 3266 8353 3229 8343 3210 8332
       3206 8337 3227 8349            

$$

GAC091-271-315-210505-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.200208T1345Z.200225T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 12.8 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet by Tuesday 
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 16 feet...Flooding of farm lands...timberlands...and access 
  roads will occur.


&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

796 
WGUS82 KFFC 201951
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
251 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville affecting Bleckley and Pulaski 
  Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-210951-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0167.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.200218T2300Z.200220T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
251 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 25.3 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will remain steady through Friday morning, then
  begin falling. The river will fall to around 19 feet early 
  Tuesday.
* At 26 feet...Moderate flooding begins on the Macon GreenWay 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard 
  bridge with some areas under 6 feet of water. Backyards of a few 
  homes on the left bank near Glenridge Drive will be flooded. 
  Portions of the Southern Railroad tracks around Mead Road will 
  become inundated. Large portions of agricultural lands just east 
  and south of Macon will be under 1 to 8 feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC021-079-153-225-210951-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0199.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200220T0745Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
251 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 15.0 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will end soon.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

GAC023-235-210951-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0196.200221T0448Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWG1.2.ER.200221T0448Z.200224T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
251 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville.
* From tonight until further notice.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet...and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 28.1 feet by Monday evening.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding of roads begins on the southside of 
  Hawkinsville...along Gooseneck Lane. With the flooding of Gooseneck 
  Lane...residents are cutoff from reaching their homes.
* At 26 feet...Moderate flooding begins...with several homes surrounded 
  by flood waters and at least 3 homes begin flooding near Gooseneck 
  Lane and RiverView Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8359 3266 8353 3229 8343 3210 8332
       3206 8337 3227 8349            

$$

GAC091-271-315-210951-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.200208T1345Z.200225T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
251 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 12.9 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet by Tuesday 
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 16 feet...Flooding of farm lands...timberlands...and access 
  roads will occur.


&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

782 
WGUS82 KFFC 210014
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties

 
GAC021-079-153-225-210044-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0199.000000T0000Z-200221T0014Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200219T1830Z.200220T0745Z.200220T2248Z.UU/
714 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 6 PM Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet...and 
  falling.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 19, 1:10 PM EST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 1:10 PM EST, 30 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
110 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 631 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020/

..12Z Aviation Forecast Discussion...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 418 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020/

SHORT TERM /Today through Thursday/...

Unsettled weather will persist through the short term forecast
period. A cold front slowly sagging southward through the area
brought heavy rainfall to much of the area Tuesday evening, leading
to localized flooding issues. These earlier heavy rainfall rates
have gradually diminished through the morning hours with generally
only light lingering post-frontal showers at this hour. Though some
remaining light rain showers can be expected through today, there
will be a break from the heavier rainfall as the front slowly pushes
south of the area. Given the much lighter additional QPF today, the
Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled, though ongoing rises on a
number of local waterways can be expected through today.

As the front stalls to the south, a southern stream shortwave will
bring another wave of rainfall to the area beginning overnight and
into the day Thursday. Current forecast additional rainfall totals
tonight into Thursday will be heaviest across the southern half of
the area where an additional 1"+ is expected. While these totals
would not lead to widespread flash flooding concerns, wet soils will
lead to additional runoff that would contribute to ongoing rises on
creeks/streams. At this time, will not be issuing an additional
Flood Watch for tonight into Thursday, though localized flooding
concerns cannot be ruled out.

The other forecast note of interest on Thursday will be wintry
precipitation potential in parts of far north Georgia.
Precipitation will be ongoing as an upper shortwave trough sweeps
southward toward the Tennessee Valley and Appalachians. With cold
air advection, temperature profiles would support a rain/snow mix or
transition to light snow across primarily the higher elevations
of far north Georgia by midday Thursday into Thursday afternoon.
While some valley locations could see a mix or brief transition
to snow, surface temperatures appear marginal for much/any
accumulation outside of the higher elevations where an inch or
perhaps as high as the 2" range would be possible before
precipitation comes to a quick end Thursday evening.

Temperatures will fall rapidly Thursday night after the
precipitation ends with Friday morning lows ranging through the 20s
across north Georgia. Any lingering wet roadways could thus
experience patchy black ice concerns across north Georgia,
particularly on sheltered or lesser-traveled routes that do not
experience drying.

RW

LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Tuesday/...

Starting on Friday, we'll finally get relief from the ongoing deluge
plaguing the southeast. High pressure will move into the area and
highs will climb from the mid-40s on Friday to the mid-50s on
Saturday as the heavens open and mostly clear skies make their way
in. It will be short lived, as by Sunday a warm, moist conveyer belt
of moisture moves over the region once again brings precip back to
the area by late Sunday night.

Model guidance gets a bit messy with the evolution of this system.
Some long range models have heavier convection coming through on
Monday and some have lighter showers. It is likely that a cold
frontal passage will occur early Tuesday with a slight break from
the rains in the morning, but there are big discrepancies on whether
the frontal system will stall and be the axis of heavier convection
from a developing system over the Midwest or if it pushes through
and drys the area out for a few days. More will be known as we get
towards the weekend.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
VFR ceilings will not last long as MVFR ceilings move back in by
22z. Will see ceilings continue top fall into the IFR range by
06z-08z Thu. ceilings expected to stay in the IFR range through
the end of this TAF set. Winds are blowing out of the NW but they
are expected to turn to the NE by 20-22z. They will continue to
turn to the East overnight. Wind speeds will stay in the 6-12kt
range through the period. Precip expected to move back in over
night with VSBYs diminishing as the precip intensifies.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence medium to high on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          56  39  41  30 /  60  60  90  40
Atlanta         56  40  42  30 /  50  70  90  20
Blairsville     53  36  38  23 /  40  40  80  20
Cartersville    53  40  43  27 /  40  60  90  10
Columbus        62  46  48  35 /  50  80  90  40
Gainesville     54  38  40  28 /  50  50  80  20
Macon           64  43  45  34 /  60  70  90  50
Rome            52  41  43  27 /  40  60  90  10
Peachtree City  58  41  44  31 /  60  70  90  30
Vidalia         67  44  46  36 /  40  70  90  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...01

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 4:29 AM EST, 9 hours 11 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
429 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-200930-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
429 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Additional locally heavy rainfall may occur Thursday, particularly
in parts of central Georgia. Also, the interaction of some colder
air could allow for a transition to light snow in parts of far
northeast Georgia on Thursday. Some light accumulations cannot be
ruled out in the higher elevations before the precipitation ends
Thursday night, so please monitor future updates.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:08 PM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1208 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW LAGRANGE          33.02N  85.04W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO VEHICLES AND A HOUSE WERE REPORTED FLOODED IN THE
            1000 BLOCK OF MURPHY AVENUE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000236

NM

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:09 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1209 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE LAGRANGE           33.08N  85.00W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HAMMITT
            ROAD AND NORTH DAVIS ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000237

NM

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:10 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1210 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW LOUISE            33.06N  84.97W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            HOGANSVILLE ROAD AND PATILLO ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000238

NM

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:11 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1211 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW LOUISE            33.06N  84.94W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE 500 BLOCK OF MT ZION
            CHURCH ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000239

NM

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:12 PM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1212 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW LAGRANGE           33.01N  85.06W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE 1000 BLOCK OF SHOREWOOD
            DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000240

NM

Local storm report, Feb 19, 12:15 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1215 PM EST WED FEB 19 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW CANNONVILLE       33.01N  85.12W
02/18/2020                   TROUP              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AROUND 12 TREES WERE EITHER SNAPPED OR UPROOTED IN THE
            200 BLOCK OF WOODFIELD CIRCLE. A TREE WAS ALSO REPORTED
            ON A HOUSE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000241

NM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 18, 7:15 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth	13 hr
Feb 18, 7:18 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Heard	27 min
Feb 18, 7:44 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Henry	31 min
Feb 18, 8:02 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	18 hr
Feb 18, 8:12 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Henry, Spalding	33 min
Feb 18, 8:33 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb	3 hr
Feb 18, 8:43 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Spalding, Troup	32 min
Feb 18, 9:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding, Troup	32 min
Feb 18, 9:36 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Montgomery, Treutlen, Wheeler	26 days
Feb 18, 9:38 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Troup	6 hr
Feb 18, 9:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	21 days
Feb 18, 9:44 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Jasper, Lamar, Meriwether, Monroe, Pike and 1 more	31 min
Feb 18, 10:02 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett, Walton	21 days
Feb 18, 10:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jones, Lamar, Meriwether, Monroe, Pike	32 min
Feb 18, 10:19 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb, Fulton	21 days
Feb 18, 10:46 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris, Lamar, Monroe, Upson	29 min
Feb 18, 11:31 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Coweta, Fayette, Heard, Lamar, Meriwether and 2 more	3 hr
Feb 18, 11:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cherokee	10 hr
Feb 18, 11:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Coweta	21 days
Feb 18, 11:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette	7 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Clarke, Greene, Oconee	4 days
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Carroll, Coweta, Heard	10 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Clayton, Fayette, Spalding	27 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Fayette, Spalding	61 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Crawford, Talbot, Taylor, Upson	4 days
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Rockdale	37 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton, Rockdale	54 hr
Feb 18, 11:57 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Barrow, Jackson	11 hr
Feb 19, 12:20 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Spalding	26 hr
Feb 19, 12:20 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Jones	21 days
Feb 19, 12:30 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Lamar, Spalding	5 hr
Feb 19, 2:43 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Monroe	30 hr
Feb 19, 3:11 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Washington, Wilkinson	34 hr
Feb 19, 3:21 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Heard	21 hr
Feb 19, 10:49 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Pulaski	21 days
Feb 19, 11:54 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Talbot, Upson	51 hr
Feb 19, 12:20 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Washington, Wilkinson	3 days
Feb 19, 2:00 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	FFC	Dawson, Fannin, Gilmer, Lumpkin, Murray, Pickens and 3 more	30 hr
Feb 19, 5:36 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Jones, Monroe	9 hr
Feb 19, 5:36 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Butts, Henry, Newton	6 hr
Feb 19, 5:48 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	66 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.