River Flood Warning 155, NWS Atlanta, GA

109 
WGUS82 KFFC 131540
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1040 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Crooked Creek near Norcross affecting Fulton and Gwinnett Counties

  Pew Creek near Lawrenceville  affecting Gwinnett County

 
GAC121-135-131610-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-200213T1540Z/
/CRKG1.1.ER.200213T1324Z.200213T1324Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1040 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Crooked Creek near Norcross.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 1030 AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
* At 11 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of the 
  natural flood plain begins mainly on the left bank upstream and 
  downstream from the gauge at Spalding Drive.


&&

LAT...LON 3397 8421 3392 8425 3395 8429 3399 8425


$$

GAC135-131610-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-200213T1540Z/
/LAWG1.1.ER.200213T1400Z.200213T1400Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1040 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pew Creek near Lawrenceville.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins. 
  The parking lot of the Saratoga Swim and Tennis Club downstream 
  from the river gauge begins to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3395 8406 3397 8400 3390 8398 3388 8404
      3389 8408 3392 8409             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
600 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

.UPDATE FOR AVIATION...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 313 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020/

SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

A cold front is forecast to move across the area today and early
evening. SPC has indicated a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms
along and ahead of the front for today. This is due to strong low
level shear but overall weak instability, therefore a high shear low cape
event. Strong-damaging Thunderstorm winds are the most likely hazard.

The Flash Flood Watch for far N GA will continue until 18z. The bulk
of the heavy rain potential should be over by then.

Rain chances will be ending for at least portions of N GA this
afternoon and the rest of the area tonight.

Sunshine is expected to return on Friday.

Some areas could see wind advisory criteria today(20 mph sustained), but
not a widespread event for an advisory to be issued.

Forecast high temperatures are running close to normal for areas over
the far northwest today, to 10-15 degrees above normal over the far
southeast portion of the forecast area. Forecast high temperatures
are running from near to 5-10 degrees below normal on Friday and a little
cooler in the mountains.
Forecast low temperatures are running from a few degrees below normal for
areas to the far north and west tonight to as much as 5-10 degrees above
normal  for areas to the far east and south.

Overall confidence is medium to high.

BDL

LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...
The upper level short wave quickly exits the area with weak upper
level ridging and surface high pressure across the forecast area.
Clear skies and near calm winds overnight will allow for good
radiational cooling with overnight lows below normal with
temperatures in the mid 20s to mid 30s Saturday morning. Afternoon
highs will rebound but remain 5 degrees below normal with mid 40s
to upper 50s across the area.

Models diverge Saturday night into Sunday as ECMWF is more
progressive developing a surface low along the northern GOMEX,
with increasing moisture and low chance POPs across portions of
the forecast area Sunday and Monday as temperatures again moderate
to above normal temperatures.

The next system approaches northwest GA Tuesday and Wednesday with
POPs increasing to likely ahead of an elongated surface front that
moves through the forecast area on Wednesday. There is a chance
we could see a respite from rain by the end of the week, but
models are not in any agreement on this and will continue at least
low chance POPs for now.

Atwell

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z Update...
Mainly MVFR ceilings associated with showers moving across the
area and some IFR ceilings possible as well. Some IFR/MVFR vsbys
associated with the rain/shower/thunderstorm activity.
Improvement expected late day and tonight to VFR. Surface winds
SSW 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts becoming W-N during the day and
tonight. Wind diminishing tonight.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence for ceilings/vsbys/weather.
High confidence for winds.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  38  55  31 /  80   5   0   0
Atlanta         65  34  49  30 /  90   5   0   0
Blairsville     57  28  44  25 /  90   5   0   0
Cartersville    59  30  47  27 /  80   5   0   0
Columbus        69  39  57  33 /  80   5   0   0
Gainesville     63  34  50  30 /  90   5   0   0
Macon           70  41  59  34 /  80  10   0   0
Rome            59  30  46  26 /  80   5   0   0
Peachtree City  66  34  52  30 /  90   5   0   0
Vidalia         77  49  62  37 /  70  70   5   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for the
following zones: Bartow...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Dade...Dawson...Fannin...Floyd...Gilmer...Gordon...Lumpkin...
Murray...Pickens...Polk...Towns...Union...Walker...White...
Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....Atwell
AVIATION...BDL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
455 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-141000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
455 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for portions of north
Georgia through early this afternoon. Additional rainfall amounts
of up to 1 inch with locally higher amounts are possible. Soils
remain saturated and several rivers, creeks and streams remain
near or in flood, so any additional rainfall will only create
runoff and exacerbate ongoing flooding conditions. Strong
thunderstorms are possible across portions of west and central
Georgia through this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday as a surface front
moves across the area. No hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
811 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ069-078>080-089>091-131345-
Chattahoochee GA-Harris GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-Upson GA-Talbot GA-
Muscogee GA-
811 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTAHOOCHEE...SOUTHEASTERN
HARRIS...WESTERN TAYLOR...MARION...UPSON...TALBOT AND EASTERN
MUSCOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM EST...

At 811 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Sprewell Bluff State Park to near Fort Benning/lawson
Army Air Fld...and moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Thomaston, Buena Vista, Talbotton, Cusseta, Woodland, Yatesville,
Junction City, Geneva, North Fort Benning, Sunset Village, Lincoln
Park, Upatoi, Fort Benning/lawson Army Air Fld, Brantley, Juniper,
Vista Terrace, Jamestown/south Fort Benning, Baughville, Oakland and
Manta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3225 8492 3226 8489 3230 8494 3233 8501
      3292 8448 3292 8412 3280 8412 3280 8415
      3268 8420 3224 8451
TIME...MOT...LOC 1311Z 259DEG 45KT 3287 8448 3232 8496

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
819 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ048-049-056-058>060-068>072-131345-
Butts GA-Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Upson GA-Jones GA-
Jasper GA-Spalding GA-Newton GA-Pike GA-
819 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BUTTS...SOUTHERN MORGAN...
NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM...LAMAR...MONROE...NORTHERN UPSON...NORTHWESTERN
JONES...JASPER...SOUTHEASTERN SPALDING...SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM EST...

At 818 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Newborn to Sunset Village...and moving southeast
at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Thomaston, Barnesville, Eatonton, Jackson, Forsyth, Monticello,
Newborn, Flovilla, Milner, Mansfield, Yatesville, Shady Dale,
Meansville, Aldora, Phoenix, The Rock, Sunset Village, Stewart,
Turtle Cove and Atwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3353 8376 3350 8328 3347 8328 3345 8326
      3344 8326 3342 8325 3288 8393 3292 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 1318Z 300DEG 32KT 3352 8366 3288 8442

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
822 AM EST THU FEB 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     FLOOD            WACO                    33.70N  85.19W
02/13/2020                   HARALSON           GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE HARALSON POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FLOODING
            AFFECTING BOTH LANES OF TRAVEL ON COMMERCIAL AVENUE AT
            U.S. HIGHWAY 78.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000228

20

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
830 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ027-036>039-049>051-131400-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Madison GA-Morgan GA-Oglethorpe GA-Clarke GA-
Greene GA-Oconee GA-
830 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN TALIAFERRO...
NORTHWESTERN WILKES...SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...MORGAN...OGLETHORPE...
EASTERN CLARKE...GREENE AND EASTERN OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 900 AM
EST...

At 830 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Carlton to near Farrar...and moving east at 40
mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph...pea sized hail and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Madison, Greensboro, Watkinsville, Danielsville, Lexington, Union
Point, Comer, Winterville, Crawford, Rutledge, Colbert, Bostwick,
Arnoldsville, Woodville, Carlton, Bishop, Maxeys, Rayle, Hull and
Buckhead.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3346 8316 3347 8328 3348 8328 3347 8335
      3348 8362 3353 8368 3359 8369 3361 8367
      3419 8315 3418 8310 3417 8310 3415 8306
      3409 8302 3405 8299 3403 8294 3402 8294
      3401 8293 3397 8278 3398 8273
TIME...MOT...LOC 1330Z 283DEG 36KT 3410 8302 3347 8357

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
850 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ069>071-080>082-090>094-102>104-131415-
Peach GA-Stewart GA-Monroe GA-Marion GA-Macon GA-Schley GA-
Chattahoochee GA-Lamar GA-Taylor GA-Bibb GA-Sumter GA-Upson GA-
Crawford GA-Webster GA-
850 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEACH...STEWART...SOUTHERN
MONROE...MARION...MACON...SCHLEY...SOUTHEASTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE...
SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR...TAYLOR...WESTERN BIBB...NORTHWESTERN SUMTER...
EASTERN UPSON...CRAWFORD AND WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 915 AM EST...

At 850 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Yatesville to Mauk to near Providence Canyon State
Park...and moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Macon, Americus, Fort Valley, Lumpkin, Buena Vista, Butler,
Ellaville, Oglethorpe, Roberta, Preston, Montezuma, Richland,
Marshallville, Reynolds, Plains, Ideal, Yatesville, Andersonville,
Culloden and Weston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3192 8482 3200 8503 3251 8448 3256 8445
      3256 8441 3268 8437 3274 8429 3276 8434
      3298 8422 3295 8371 3295 8370 3290 8367
      3237 8396 3193 8440 3197 8444 3192 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1350Z 287DEG 30KT 3290 8413 3250 8440 3203 8490

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
855 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

GAZ049-050-059-060-070>072-131430-
Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-Greene GA-
855 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN...PUTNAM...
SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR...MONROE...JONES...JASPER AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENE
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 AM EST...

At 855 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Harmony to near Brent...and moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Eatonton, Forsyth, Gray, Monticello, White Plains, Shady Dale,
Phoenix, Reynolds at Lake Oconee, Liberty, Bradley, Wayside, Resseaus
Crossroads, Round Oak, Central Georgia Experiment Stn, Plant Harlee
Branch, McElheneys Crossroads, Collier, Juliette, Ethridge and
Bolingbroke.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3336 8316 3331 8315 3326 8325 3319 8328
      3317 8333 3318 8343 3308 8340 3292 8359
      3293 8370 3295 8371 3293 8375 3295 8412
      3299 8412 3299 8418 3320 8391 3318 8382
      3319 8381 3326 8383 3350 8352 3348 8300
TIME...MOT...LOC 1355Z 284DEG 37KT 3348 8336 3294 8405

WIND...50MPH