Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2020
River Flood Warning 29, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 18, 2020, 8:22 PM CDT for Chariton County, Macon County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 19, 2020, 5:56 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 18, 2020, 8:22 PM CDT (01:22 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 19, 2020, 5:56 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 20, 2020, 1:46 PM CDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Chariton County, MO, Macon County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Chariton River near Prairie Hill (PRIM7).
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 19 ft
- Major stage
- 21 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06905500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
961
WGUS43 KEAX 190123
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
822 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC041-121-200122-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0029.200320T0430Z-200321T0712Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200320T0430Z.200320T0600Z.200320T0712Z.UU/
822 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* from Thursday evening to late Friday night.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday before midnight and
continue to rise to near 15.1 feet by early Friday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 7.1 Wed 08 PM 15.1 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$
MOC033-041-200122-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0030.200321T0000Z-200323T0800Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.200321T0000Z.200321T1800Z.200322T0800Z.UU/
822 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from Friday evening to late Sunday night.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.3
feet early Saturday afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 19.3 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
MOC013-037-083-200122-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0031.200319T0236Z-200320T1200Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.200319T0236Z.200319T0600Z.200319T1200Z.UU/
822 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Friday morning.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 24.2 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 23.9 Wed 08 PM 24.2 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$6 follow-up statements
623
WGUS83 KEAX 190249
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and
Livingston Counties.
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-200249-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-200321T1048Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.200318T1438Z.200318T2130Z.200320T1048Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until late Friday night.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Friday morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N
Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also
occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles
northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Big Creek
Blairstown 20 23.1 Wed 09 PM 22.8 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391
$$
MOC101-159-200249-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200321T0000Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.200318T1700Z.200319T0200Z.200320T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Friday evening.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Thursday evening.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23
near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 26.0 Wed 09 PM 22.5 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-200249-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-200322T1254Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.200318T2133Z.200320T0000Z.200321T1254Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by
Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 25.0 Wed 09 PM 26.4 Thursday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC041-121-200249-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0029.200320T0430Z-200321T0712Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200320T0430Z.200320T0600Z.200320T0712Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* from Thursday evening to late Friday night.
* At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday before midnight and
continue to rise to near 15.1 feet by early Friday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 7.3 Wed 09 PM 15.1 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-200249-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0028.200319T1042Z-200323T1424Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.200319T1042Z.200320T1800Z.200322T1424Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* from late tonight to Monday morning.
* At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
to rise to near 30.8 feet by early Friday afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 18.7 Wed 09 PM 30.8 early Friday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-200249-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0030.200321T0000Z-200323T0800Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.200321T0000Z.200321T1800Z.200322T0800Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from Friday evening to late Sunday night.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.3
feet early Saturday afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 19.3 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
MOC053-200249-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-200321T0323Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.200318T1753Z.200320T0000Z.200320T0323Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Friday evening.
* At 9:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.2 feet by
Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday
before midnight.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 17.6 Wed 09 PM 18.2 Thursday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC013-037-083-200249-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200320T1200Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.200319T0200Z.200319T0600Z.200319T1200Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Friday morning.
* At 9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.2 feet by
early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Thursday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 24.0 Wed 09 PM 24.2 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$501
WGUS83 KEAX 191405
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
905 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC041-121-201404-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0029.200319T2256Z-200321T1000Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200319T2256Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1000Z.UU/
905 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* from this afternoon to late Friday night.
* At 8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 15.4 feet by early Friday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 12.5 Thu 09 AM 15.4 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$318
WGUS83 KEAX 192145
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson
Counties.
Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and
Livingston Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Missouri River at Boonville affecting Cooper and Howard Counties.
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-202144-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-200321T1800Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.200318T1438Z.200318T2130Z.200320T1800Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.9 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday
afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N
Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also
occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles
northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Big Creek
Blairstown 20 22.8 Thu 04 PM 22.9 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391
$$
MOC101-159-202144-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200321T1545Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.200318T1700Z.200319T0945Z.200320T1545Z.NO/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.3 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 23.8 Thu 04 PM 24.3 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-202144-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-200322T1824Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.200318T2133Z.200320T1200Z.200321T1824Z.NO/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3:45 PM Thursday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by
Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 27.0 Thu 04 PM 28.3 Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC041-121-202144-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0029.200319T2256Z-200321T1000Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200319T2256Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1000Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* until late Friday night.
* At 3:45 PM Thursday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 15.4 feet by early Friday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 14.4 Thu 04 PM 15.4 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-202144-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-200323T1708Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.200319T1924Z.200321T0000Z.200322T1708Z.NO/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 3:45 PM Thursday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.8 feet by
Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday
afternoon.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 26.4 Thu 04 PM 31.8 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-202144-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0030.200321T0300Z-200323T1600Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.200321T0300Z.200322T0000Z.200322T1600Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from Friday evening to Monday morning.
* At 2:58 PM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday before midnight and
continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by Saturday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 15.9 Thu 03 PM 19.5 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
MOC053-202144-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200321T1414Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.200319T1947Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1414Z.NO/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 4:15 PM Thursday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 16.0 Thu 04 PM 19.5 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC053-089-202144-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0035.200320T0600Z-200322T2000Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.200320T0600Z.200321T0000Z.200321T2000Z.NO/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Boonville.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon.
* At 4:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Friday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Boonville 21 20.0 Thu 04 PM 21.9 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3908 9297 3902 9255 3894 9259 3896 9286 3903 9298
$$
MOC089-202143-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200321T0524Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.200319T2146Z.200320T0100Z.200320T0524Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* until late Friday night.
* At 4:30 PM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 16.8 feet by this evening. The river will
fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Moniteau Creek
Fayette 16 15.9 Thu 04 PM 16.8 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262
$$
MOC053-202143-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-200321T1413Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.200318T1753Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1413Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 3:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 18.4 Thu 03 PM 19.0 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC013-037-083-202143-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200321T0349Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.200319T1715Z.200319T2115Z.200320T0349Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Friday evening.
* At 4:15 PM Thursday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tonight.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 25.0 Thu 04 PM 24.7 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$
MOC033-202143-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-200321T0900Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.200319T1040Z.200319T2100Z.200320T0900Z.UU/
445 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until late Friday night.
* At 4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Wakenda Creek
Carrollton 16 16.5 Thu 04 PM 16.4 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359
$$321
WGUS83 KEAX 200209
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and
Livingston Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Missouri River at Boonville affecting Cooper and Howard Counties.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-200321T2100Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.200318T1438Z.200318T2130Z.200320T2100Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Friday afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N
Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also
occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles
northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Big Creek
Blairstown 20 22.7 Thu 08 PM 22.0 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391
$$
MOC101-159-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200321T1510Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.200318T1700Z.200319T0945Z.200320T1510Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late Friday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23
near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 24.4 Thu 08 PM 24.2 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-210208-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-200322T1824Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.200318T2133Z.200320T1800Z.200321T1824Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.9 feet by
early Friday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 27.3 Thu 09 PM 27.9 early Friday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC041-121-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-200321T1800Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200320T0132Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1800Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Friday afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 15.1 Thu 09 PM 15.3 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-200323T1408Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.200319T1924Z.200321T0000Z.200322T1408Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Monday morning.
* At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.6 feet by
Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday
morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 28.1 Thu 09 PM 31.6 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.200321T1200Z-200323T1400Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.200321T1200Z.200322T0000Z.200322T1400Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from Saturday morning to Monday morning.
* At 2:58 PM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue
to rise to near 19.4 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 15.9 Thu 03 PM 19.4 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
MOC053-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200321T1015Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.200319T1947Z.200320T0600Z.200320T1015Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.2 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 16.9 Thu 08 PM 17.2 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC053-089-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0035.200320T0341Z-200322T1800Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.200320T0341Z.200320T1800Z.200321T1800Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Boonville.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 21.7 feet by early Friday afternoon. The river will fall
below flood stage by early Saturday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Boonville 21 20.8 Thu 08 PM 21.7 early Friday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3908 9297 3902 9255 3894 9259 3896 9286 3903 9298
$$
MOC089-200239-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200321T0524Z/
/FYTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 15.9 feet. The
river will continue to fall to 7.3 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Moniteau Creek
Fayette 16 14.7 Thu 08 PM 14.4 tonight
&&
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262
$$
MOC053-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-200321T1404Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.200318T1753Z.200319T1700Z.200320T1404Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late Friday morning.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast
of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 18.3 Thu 08 PM 18.2 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC013-037-083-210208-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200321T1549Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.200319T1715Z.200320T0115Z.200320T1549Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late Friday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 25.3 Thu 08 PM 25.1 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$
MOC033-210208-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-200321T0900Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.200319T1040Z.200320T0100Z.200320T0900Z.UU/
909 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Wakenda Creek
Carrollton 16 16.5 Thu 08 PM 16.3 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359
$$044
WGUS83 KEAX 201424
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
924 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and
Livingston Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC041-121-211423-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-200321T1800Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200320T0132Z.200320T0915Z.200320T1800Z.UU/
924 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
this afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 15.4 Fri 09 AM 15.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-211423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-200324T0400Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.200319T1924Z.200321T0600Z.200323T0400Z.NO/
924 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Monday evening.
* At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.7 feet by
early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Sunday before midnight.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 30.8 Fri 09 AM 31.7 early Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-211423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.200320T2200Z-200324T0600Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.200320T2200Z.200322T0000Z.200323T0600Z.UU/
924 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from this afternoon to late Monday night.
* At 8:06 AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by Saturday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 18.4 Fri 08 AM 19.8 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$629
WGUS83 KEAX 201846
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
146 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC041-121-201916-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-200321T1800Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.200320T0132Z.200320T0915Z.200320T1609Z.UU/
146 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2020
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* At 12:45 PM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 11:09 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.2 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Chariton River
Prairie Hill 15 14.7 Fri 01 PM 14.7 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 18, 6:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 6:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 635 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020 .Discussion... Issued at 252 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2020 The forecast focus through tomorrow will be for thunderstorms with potential for strong storms tonight and tomorrow morning and severe thunderstorms Thursday afternoon/evening. Minor flooding and flash flooding is possible Thursday. Gusty winds Thursday afternoon through Friday morning. Much colder temperatures through the weekend. Key Messages... 1. Showers and thunderstorms expected after midnight through Thursday morning, some of these storms could be strong with small hail and strong winds the main threats. Localized minor flooding is again possible with up to an inch of rain possible for some areas. 2. Severe weather threat Thursday afternoon/evening, with low topped supercells possible with hail, strong winds, and a brief tornado possible. 3. Strong winds ahead and behind cold front Thursday afternoon through Friday morning wind advisories possible. 4. Much colder Friday morning through the weekend with lows in the 20s with potential for a hard freeze each morning. Discussion... Satellite shows the area covered in clouds with some small breaks in the overcast. Rain is moving out of the area as a broad ridge moves over the area. Tonight and Thursday: Surface warm front will be located over central Missouri with areas of light drizzle or rain developing around midnight. A shortwave trough will approach the area supporting an area of showers and thunderstorms. MUCAPE from 500 to near 1000 J/kg. Also strong shear with 40 to 50 knots. SPC has western edge of area in marginal risk, so we expect strong storms early Thursday morning between roughly 4 AM until around mid-morning Thursday. Small hail and strong winds will be main threats. Additionally PW's will be 1.25 to 1.50" so localized heavy rain could produce minor flooding or flash flooding. Thursday afternoon: A substantial mid-level dry slot will cut into the region in the wake of morning storms. The latest guidance continues to suggest a trend of stronger destabilization in the wake of morning convection ahead of a dryline, creating a conducive environment for severe weather. A large chunk of the CWA remains underneath the core of the upper jet, not particularity supportive of strong ascent. However, the left front quad and approach of strong vorticity advection may create a sweet spot ahead of the approaching dryline Thursday afternoon to generate a string of isolated/widely scattered convection from SE Nebraska into northeast Kansas by mid-afternoon, quickly moving east- northeastward into northwest/northern Missouri and Iowa through the remainder of the afternoon and early evening. Effective shear profiles and EL heights (near 30kft) would suggest the potential for a few low-topped supercells in an environment of 1000-1500 J/Kg SBCAPE. The primary concern with these would be large hail up to ping-pong ball and perhaps a brief spinup. Across the remainder of the CWA, the probability is lower that convection develops, and therefore the overall severe risk lower. Expect a breezy day with southerly winds gusting to 35-40 mph during the afternoon. Some concerns with a wind advisory Thursday afternoon, but current HRRR shows max gusts in low 40s so not enough confidence to pull trigger on this, will let night shift reevaluate this. The sun may finally make an appearance, helping afternoon temperatures soar into the 70s, with dewpoints in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Thursday night/Friday: Storms will move out before midnight with strong winds. Models showing tight pressure gradient with cold air advection so wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are possible with a wind advisory also possible. Otherwise it will be much cooler with highs on Friday struggling to get out of the 30s. More sunshine expected which will help to cheer spirits after clouds most of the week. Hard freeze likely Friday through Sunday morning with lows in the 20s. && .Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening) Issued at 635 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2020 Evening hours will see MVFR CIGs try and lift as southerly winds bring warm air into the region, but late tonight a strong jet stream from the southwest will push a lot more moisture into the area, forcing CIGs down into the IFR range late tonight with thunderstorms early Thursday morning. The thunderstorms will likely arrive on the nose of a strong low level jet, which might result in some wind shear early Thursday morning. Expect showers to persist through the mid to late morning hours before CIGs start clearing. But, as the CIGs start to lift expect strong surface winds to then prevail through the rest of the day. Robust convection is possible Thursday afternoon, but currently looks to be focused a bit north and east of the terminals. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && Discussion...Christensen Aviation...Cutter
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 4:54 AM CDT, 15 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 454 AM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-191000- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 454 AM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Showers with a few rumbles of thunder will continue moving through the area this morning. No severe weather is expected, but up to one inch of rain is possible which could lead to some localized flooding. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Another round of widespread storms will move in early Thursday morning through late Thursday morning. Strong winds and small hail are possible with this round. Also up to another inch of rain is expected which will continue or enhance flooding concerns. Finally, a third round of storms is expected Thursday afternoon and evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and a brief tornado is possible. The main area of concern is northwest MO and northeast KS. Storm chances move out Thursday night. A hard freeze is expected this weekend as cold air moves into the area. Low temperatures in the 20s and 30s are expected Friday, Saturday, and Sunday mornings. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 8:22 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton | 4 days |
| Mar 18, 8:22 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass, Henry | 10 hr |
| Mar 19, 5:35 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll | 52 hr |
| Mar 19, 6:50 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Adair, Schuyler | 25 min |
| Mar 19, 7:50 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper | 49 hr |
| Mar 19, 8:01 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Howard | 37 hr |
| Mar 19, 10:11 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard | 71 hr |
| Mar 19, 1:32 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass, Henry | 20 hr |
| Mar 19, 4:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Atchison | 9 min |
| Mar 19, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 36 min |
| Mar 19, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 47 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.