Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 170, NWS Des Moines, IA

October 12, 20204 counties in Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 12, 2020, 2:11 AM CDT for 4 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2020, 2:11 AM CDT (07:11 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2020, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Des Moines, IA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Cerro Gordo County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Worth County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2020-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2020-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 348 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-466 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1239 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
348 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
463 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

205 
WUUS53 KDMX 120711
SVRDMX
IAC033-081-189-195-120800-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0170.201012T0711Z-201012T0800Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
211 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Worth County in north central Iowa...
  Hancock County in north central Iowa...
  Cerro Gordo County in north central Iowa...
  Winnebago County in north central Iowa...

* Until 300 AM CDT.

* At 210 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Bricelyn to 10 miles west of Belmond, moving
  east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...65 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...ASOS reports at Mason City Airport.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Mason City, Forest City, Garner, Northwood, Lake Mills, Britt,
  Manly, Rockwell, Emmons, Clear Lake, Eagle Lake, Mason City
  Municipal Airport, Rice Lake, Ventura, Kanawha, Klemme, Thompson,
  Thornton, Plymouth and Fertile.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 4291 9304 4291 9383 4350 9383 4350 9304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 262DEG 52KT 4350 9380 4290 9380 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

rw
2 follow-up statements
451 
WWUS53 KDMX 120739
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
239 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAC033-081-189-195-120800-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0170.000000T0000Z-201012T0800Z/
Worth IA-Hancock IA-Cerro Gordo IA-Winnebago IA-
239 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR WORTH...HANCOCK...CERRO GORDO AND WINNEBAGO COUNTIES...

At 238 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Lake Mills to 8 miles west of Rockwell, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Mason City, Forest City, Garner, Northwood, Lake Mills, Britt, Manly,
Rockwell, Emmons, Clear Lake, Eagle Lake, Mason City Municipal
Airport, Rice Lake, Ventura, Kanawha, Klemme, Thompson, Thornton,
Plymouth and Fertile.

LAT...LON 4291 9304 4291 9383 4350 9383 4350 9304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0738Z 260DEG 47KT 4345 9359 4296 9335 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

rw
105 
WWUS53 KDMX 120759
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
259 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAC033-081-189-195-120807-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0170.000000T0000Z-201012T0800Z/
Worth IA-Hancock IA-Cerro Gordo IA-Winnebago IA-
259 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WORTH...HANCOCK...CERRO GORDO
AND WINNEBAGO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds up to 45 mph are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 4291 9304 4291 9383 4350 9383 4350 9304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0757Z 262DEG 52KT 4349 9322 4300 9298 

$$

rw

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 12, 12:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 12:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1215 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...06Z AVIATION UPDATE...

.Discussion...
A rather wild ride from a very warm windy day today to a cooler
pleasant day tomorrow is expected tonight. In the short term, the
wind is certainly the story, as wind gusts continue to reach near
advisory levels in the northwestern counties, while 15 to 25 mph
are more common in the east. This wind will decrease with the loss
of mixing depth by early evening/sunset, which will begin the
reduction in the over all severe weather shear profile.

Tonight, the cold front will arrive in the far west around 8 PM
and exit far east around 4 AM. That will be the advertised severe
weather time frame, but certainly the available DCAPE and low
level shear interaction for any storm to interact with will be
mainly in the far northwest with a general decay in storm
intensity the farther east and late into the night we go. Thus,
this is more of a "can't rule out" severe weather night, than one
capable of becoming a widespread wind producer. Still, wind gusts
to 40-50 mph see very much possible with evening storms, and
overnight, some gusts to 45 mph still be possible, given the
strong winds aloft.

Rainfall tonight, should be in the quarter to half inch range for
locations northwest of a Fort Dodge to Mason City line, and up to
a quarter inch southeast of that axis.

Looking at Monday through Wednesday, very pleasant conditions are
expected with dry air, and highs reaching the upper 60s to mid
70s.

A strong cold front will arrive late Wednesday, with a pattern
change toward much cooler weather to finish the week. A deep and
broad upper trof is forecast over the Great Lakes, with highs in
the 50s, and lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. This pattern is
likely to bring a killing freeze to much of the Upper Midwest if
they haven't seen it yet.

ERVIN

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

Predominantly VFR conditions through the period, with areas of
MVFR/IFR overnight with precipitation along a cold front.
Ongoing LLWS will abate overnight as a cold front moves through.
Showers and storms along the front are expected to gradually
diminish in both intensity and coverage while moving
east/northeast overnight into early Monday. In the wake of the
front, winds will become gusty from the northwest. Initially a 1-2
hour period of gusts 25-35 kts will be possible after the front
moves through before tapering off into range of 10-20 kts.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Ervin
AVIATION...McClure
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 1:10 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
110 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-130615-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
110 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Overnight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible. Lightning and gusty winds
are the primary threats.

Northwest winds will gust 30 to 40 mph for a few hours in the
wake of a cold frontal passage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 12, 12:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
1221 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAC015-049-099-121-125-127-153-169-181-120615-
Polk-Story-Marshall-Madison-Marion-Jasper-Boone-Dallas-Warren-
1221 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT POLK...STORY...WESTERN
MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN MADISON...NORTHWESTERN MARION...WESTERN
JASPER...EASTERN BOONE...EASTERN DALLAS AND WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 115
AM CDT...

At 1220 AM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 11 miles north of Boone to near
Winterset. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, Ames, West Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston,
Clive, Indianola, Altoona, Waukee, Boone, Norwalk, Pleasant Hill,
Grimes, Nevada, Winterset, Adel, Windsor Heights, Carlisle and
Bondurant.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4220 9319 4128 9318 4130 9400 4221 9396
TIME...MOT...LOC 0520Z 267DEG 35KT 4221 9394 4131 9393

rw
Local storm report, Oct 12, 12:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1231 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     TSTM WND GST     BEDFORD                 40.67N 94.72W
10/12/2020  M61 MPH          TAYLOR             IA   MESONET

            RWIS.

&&
Local storm report, Oct 12, 12:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1237 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 AM     TSTM WND GST     ADEL                    41.61N 94.03W
10/12/2020  M50 MPH          DALLAS             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Special weather statement, Oct 12, 12:46 AM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
1246 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAC039-053-117-121-125-159-175-181-185-120630-
Lucas-Decatur-Madison-Union-Marion-Wayne-Ringgold-Clarke-Warren-
1246 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT WESTERN LUCAS...DECATUR...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHWESTERN MARION...WESTERN
WAYNE...EASTERN RINGGOLD...CLARKE AND SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL
130 AM CDT...

At 1246 AM CDT, radar indicated showers were located along a line
extending from 8 miles southeast of Avenue Of The Saints Event Center
to near Lamoni. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Osceola, Chariton, Leon, Lamoni, Melcher-Dallas, Sun Valley Lake,
Lakeside Casino, Avenue Of The Saints Event Center, Milo, Murray, St.
Charles, Humeston, New Virginia, Truro, Lacona, Kellerton, Grand
River, Van Wert, Lineville and Lucas.

LAT...LON 4131 9397 4128 9317 4058 9349 4057 9424
TIME...MOT...LOC 0546Z 268DEG 40KT 4124 9364 4056 9396

Uttech
Special weather statement, Oct 12, 1:31 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines, IA
Issued by National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
131 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

IAC033-069-079-081-083-197-120730-
Hardin-Wright-Franklin-Hancock-Hamilton-Cerro Gordo-
131 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HARDIN...EASTERN
WRIGHT...FRANKLIN...EASTERN HANCOCK...EASTERN HAMILTON AND CERRO
GORDO COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...

At 130 AM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Forest City to near Jewell Junction.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Mason City, Iowa Falls, Hampton, Forest City, Garner, Eldora,
Belmond, Ackley, Nora Springs, Jewell Junction, Sheffield, Rockwell,
Elm Lake, Clear Lake, Big Wall Lake, Mason City Municipal Airport,
Hubbard, Alden, Ventura and Radcliffe.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4325 9303 4221 9302 4222 9370 4325 9369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0630Z 251DEG 21KT 4322 9367 4233 9369

rw
Local storm report, Oct 12, 2:04 AM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
204 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0151 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE CLEAR LAKE         43.16N 93.33W
10/12/2020  M63 MPH          CERRO GORDO        IA   ASOS

&&

RW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass, Taylor59 min
Oct 11, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Clarke, Decatur, Madison, Ringgold, Union and 1 more53 min
Oct 12, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Taylor15 min
Oct 12, 12:12 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Greene, Humboldt, Pocahontas, Webster48 min
Oct 12, 12:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXBoone, Polk, Story, Warren54 min
Oct 12, 12:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas44 min
Oct 12, 1:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXCerro Gordo, Franklin, Hardin59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.