Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 36, NWS Birmingham, AL

February 9, 20205 counties in Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 9, 2020, 10:59 AM CST for 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Feb 11, 2020, 3:35 AM CST. It was in force for 19 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 9, 2020, 10:59 AM CST (16:59 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 11, 2020, 3:35 AM CST
Expired
Mar 1, 2020, 10:59 AM CST
In force
19 days
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black Warrior River at Oliver Lock and Dam (TODA1). The gauge peaked at 135.80 ft at Feb 11, 2020, 4:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate11012013002/0902/1002/1102/1202/1302/1402/1502/1602/1702/1802/1902/2002/2102/2202/2302/2402/2502/2602/2702/2802/2903/0103/02
Action stage
122 ft
Minor stage
129 ft
Moderate stage
138 ft
Major stage
146 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02465005, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

423 
WGUS44 KBMX 091659
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
1059 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

...The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama... 

  Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam Affecting Greene...Hale...
  Marengo and Tuscaloosa Counties.
  Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam Affecting Greene...
  Hale...Marengo...Sumter and Tuscaloosa Counties.

.A Flood Warning has been issued at Holt Lock and Dam and Oliver 
Lock and Dam due to expected rainfall amounts between 4 and 6 
inches through the day on Tuesday. Additional heavy rainfall is 
possible through the end of this upcoming week which will cause 
water levels to remain elevated or increase further. Interests 
should closely monitor the latest river forecasts through the 
upcoming week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-100459-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0035.200211T1733Z-200213T1420Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T1733Z.200212T1200Z.200213T0220Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Sunday The stage Was 131.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 143.1 feet by Wednesday morning. The river
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 140.0 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.
* Impact...At 146.0 feet...Industrial flooding becomes more serious 
  as the Black Warrior River continues to rise.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-100459-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0036.200211T1912Z-000000T0000Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T1912Z.200213T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday afternoon until further notice...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday The stage Was 124.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 137.7 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.  
* Impact...At 140 feet...Flooding of portions of Jack Warner 
  Parkway can be expected. Some industrial property may also begin 
  to flood along Jack Warner Parkway. Residential flooding will 
  commence in areas southwest of Tuscaloosa at stages above 140 
  feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$
12 follow-up statements
047 
WGUS84 KBMX 100330
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
930 PM CST Sun Feb 9 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...Oliver Lock and Dam... and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Flood Warnings continue along the Black Warrior River due to expected
rainfall amounts between 4 and 6 inches upstream through the day on 
Tuesday. Additional heavy rainfall is possible through the end of 
this upcoming week which will cause water levels to remain elevated 
or increase further. Interests should closely monitor the latest 
river forecasts through the upcoming week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-101530-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.200211T1729Z-200213T1740Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T1729Z.200212T1200Z.200213T0540Z.NO/
930 PM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 127.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 143.8 feet by Wednesday morning. 
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.
* Impact...At 146 feet...Industrial flooding becomes more serious 
  as the Black Warrior River continues to rise.

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-101530-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.200211T1957Z-200215T0434Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T1957Z.200213T0000Z.200214T1634Z.NO/
930 PM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Sunday the stage was 119.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 137.8 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.  
* Impact...At 140 feet...Flooding of portions of Jack Warner 
  Parkway can be expected. Some industrial property may also begin 
  to flood along Jack Warner Parkway. Residential flooding will 
  commence in areas southwest of Tuscaloosa at stages above 140 
  feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-101530-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 99.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 102.8 feet by 
  Friday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. 
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
607 
WGUS84 KBMX 101424
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River at Oliver 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...


.Heavy rainfall of three to five inches is forecast over the Black 
Warrior River basin during the next 48 hours...and a flood warning 
remains in effect along much of the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-110223-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRDA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

Forecast information for
  Mulberry Fork At Cordova.
* Flood stage is 22 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 20.3 feet early Wednesday 
  morning and then begin to fall.
* Impact...At 20 feet...Some minor overflow in the   area may
  occur...especially in low lying areas downstream of the 
  railroad bridge at Cordova. Water begins to overflow the river bank
  of the BAE facility just downstream of Cordova. Portions of Gross 
  Camp and Bagget Camp in the Copeland Ferry and Underwood Ferry 
  areas are flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3373 8712 3366 8709 3357 8719 3358 8729
          3370 8720 3376 8717         

$$

ALC063-065-073-091-125-110223-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLDA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

Forecast information for
  Black Warrior River At Bankhead Lock and Dam.
* At 7:30 AM Monday the stage was 186.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 189 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 188.9 feet early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 189 feet...Flooding of farm land and low-lying wood 
  lands in the area occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3345 8733 3328 8738 3324 8744 3327 8745
          3337 8743 3348 8737         

$$

ALC063-065-091-125-110223-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.200211T1243Z-200213T1407Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T1243Z.200212T0000Z.200213T0207Z.NO/
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:45 AM Monday the stage was 129.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning  and continue
  to rise to near 143.6 feet by Tuesday evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 146 feet...Industrial flooding becomes more serious as
  the Black Warrior River continues to rise. At 140 feet...Some minor
  flooding of low-lying areas occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-110223-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.200211T1208Z-200214T2250Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T1208Z.200212T1800Z.200214T1050Z.NO/
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* from Tuesday morning to Friday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Monday the stage was 117.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning  and continue
  to rise to near 137.9 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff. Widespread 
  flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-110223-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 99.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103 feet by 
  Friday evening and remain near this level through Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded. Widespread flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
349 
WGUS84 KBMX 110236
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
836 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...Oliver Lock and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall from today is causing additional rises along the 
Black Warrior River, and additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is 
forecast over the next 24 hours. Levels are currently forecast to
rise to near moderate flood stage at Oliver Lock and Dam and above
moderate flood stage at Seldon. Interests should closely monitor 
the latest river forecasts through the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-111435-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.200211T1056Z-200213T1738Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T1056Z.200212T0000Z.200213T0538Z.NO/
836 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight to Thursday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:45 PM Monday the stage was 133.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 144.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday night.
* Impact...At 146 feet...Industrial flooding becomes more serious as
  the Black Warrior River continues to rise.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-111435-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.200211T1002Z-200215T0231Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T1002Z.200212T1800Z.200214T1431Z.NO/
836 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Monday the stage was 123.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 137.9 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff. Widespread 
  flooding of lowlands in the area will occur

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-111435-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 99.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103.3 feet by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
016 
WGUS44 KBMX 110937
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
337 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Alabama...
  Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam affecting Greene...
  Hale...Marengo...Sumter and Tuscaloosa Counties.

.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours is producing rises along the
Black Warrior River basin... a flood warning is now in effect for the 
Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-112136-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.200211T0935Z-200214T2100Z/
/TODA1.2.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T1800Z.200214T0900Z.NO/
337 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
  the Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Tuesday The stage Was 130.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 138.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon . The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 140.0 feet...Flooding of portions of Jack Warner Parkway
  can be expected. Some industrial property may also begin to flood 
  along Jack Warner Parkway. Residential flooding will commence in 
  areas southwest of Tuscaloosa at stages above 140 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$
598 
WGUS84 KBMX 111551
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
951 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Locust Fork At Sayre...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...Oliver Lock and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall during the past 24 hours continues to produce rises
and flooding along the Black Warrior River basin...a flood warning 
remains in effect for the Black Warrior River at Holt Lock and Dam, 
Selden Lock and Dam, Oliver Lock and Dam, and the Locust Fork at Sayre.
Moderate flooding is forecast to occur at Selden Lock and Dam which may
lead to residential flooding in the surrounding area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-120351-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0034.200211T1707Z-200213T0936Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.200211T1707Z.200212T0600Z.200212T2136Z.NO/
951 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Locust Fork At Sayre.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 27.3 feet by after midnight tonight . The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon .
* Impact...At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying wood lands and 
  agricultural lands along the Locust Fork occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-125-120351-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-200213T1108Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T0919Z.200212T0600Z.200212T2308Z.NO/
951 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 142.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 144 feet by 
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon .
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-120351-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T2018Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T1200Z.200214T0818Z.NO/
951 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 133.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 136.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning . The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-120351-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 100.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103.7 feet by 
  early Friday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded. At 98 feet...Some cabins and trailers along the river 
  begin to flood. At 94 feet...Some secondary roads in the area 
  begin to flood. Flooding of farm and pasture lands continues. At 
  90 feet...Pasture and wood lands begin to flood. Livestock 
  should be moved to higher ground at stages above 90 feet.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
665 
WGUS84 KBMX 120305
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
905 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Locust Fork At Sayre...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt
Lock and Dam...Oliver Locak and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall during the past 2 days continues to produce rises
and flooding along the Black Warrior River basin. Flood warnings 
remain in effect for the Black Warrior River at Holt Lock and Dam, 
Selden Lock and Dam, Oliver Lock and Dam, and the Locust Fork at Sayre.
Moderate flooding is forecast to occur at Selden Lock and Dam which may
lead to residential flooding in the surrounding area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-121505-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200213T1530Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.200211T1610Z.200212T0600Z.200213T0330Z.NO/
905 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Locust Fork At Sayre.
* until Thursday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28 feet by 
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying wood lands and 
  agricultural lands along the Locust Fork occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-125-121505-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-200213T1715Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T0919Z.200211T1900Z.200213T0515Z.NO/
905 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* until Thursday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 141.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 142 feet through
  midnight tonight, then begin to fall. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-121505-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200215T1531Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T1800Z.200215T0331Z.NO/
905 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 135.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 137.7 feet by 
  tomorrow afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday night.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-121505-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 101 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 104.3 feet by 
  early Saturday morning then begin a slow fall.
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become flooded. 
* Impact...At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
720 
WGUS84 KBMX 120535
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1134 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 to 48 hours has led to rises across
the Black Warrior River basin... a flood warning remains in effect
for the Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-121734-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200213T2120Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200213T0920Z.NO/
1134 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 135.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$
048 
WGUS84 KBMX 121531
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
931 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Black Warrior River At Holt
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Locust Fork At Sayre...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...

.Rises continue along the lower Black Warrior River...but levels 
are now beginning to fall along the upper portions ofthe river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-130330-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200213T1821Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.200211T1610Z.200212T0800Z.200213T0621Z.NO/
931 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...T
he Flood Warning continues for
  The Locust Fork At Sayre.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying wood lands and 
  agricultural lands along the Locust Fork occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-125-121601-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-200212T1915Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200211T0919Z.200211T1900Z.200212T0728Z.NO/
931 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 138.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  1:28 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to the next few days.
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-130330-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T1237Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200214T0037Z.NO/
931 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 133.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Thursday evening...and then continue to fall the next few days.
* Impact...At 132 feet...Flooding of rural roads southwest of 
  Tuscaloosa occurs. Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue
  the next few days.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-130330-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
931 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 101.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 104 feet by 
  Friday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary. Widespread flooding of
  lowlands in the area will continue the next several days.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
906 
WGUS84 KBMX 130232
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
832 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Levels remain above flood stage along the Black Warrior River at
Oliver Lock and Dam and Seldon Lock and Dam. Therefore the flood 
warnings continue. Although levels are falling at Oliver, rises
continue at Seldon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-131431-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T0500Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200213T1700Z.NO/
832 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 131.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 132 feet...Flooding of rural roads southwest of 
  Tuscaloosa occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-131431-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 102.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103.5 feet by 
  early Friday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
002 
WGUS84 KBMX 131428
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
828 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...

.Flooding continues along the lower Black Warrior River following 
the recent heavy rainfall...and a flood warning remains in effect at 
Oliver Lock and Dam and Selden Lock and Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-140227-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T1500Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200214T0300Z.NO/
828 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Thursday the stage was 130.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 129 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands in areas 
  southwest of Tuscaloosa occurs. Flooding of lowlands in the area 
  will continue during the next couple of days.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-140227-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
828 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 103.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103.5 feet by 
  this evening and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary. At 102 feet... 
  Residential flooding begins in the area. Numerous cabins and 
  trailers in Hale and Greene counties become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
989 
WGUS84 KBMX 140154
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
754 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...

.Flooding continues along the lower Black Warrior River following 
the recent heavy rainfall...and a flood warning remains in effect at 
Oliver Lock and Dam and Selden Lock and Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-141354-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T1625Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200214T0425Z.NO/
754 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 129.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river is forecast to fall below flood stage 
  overnight tonight.
* Impact...At 129.0 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands in areas 
  southwest of Tuscaloosa occurs. Flooding of lowlands in the area 
  will continue during the next couple of days.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-141354-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM CST Thu Feb 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 103.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest around 103.9 feet early Friday 
  morning...then begin falling.
* Impact...At 102 feet... Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded. At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
765 
WGUS84 KBMX 141508
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
908 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Black Warrior River At 
Oliver Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...

.Levels are now falling at Oliver Lock and Dam...and this trend will 
spread downstream during the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-141538-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200214T1625Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200211T0639Z.200212T0015Z.200214T0554Z.NO/
908 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 128.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at 11:54 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 123.6 feet by 
  Saturday morning...and then continue to fall the next few days. 
* Impact...At 129 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands in areas 
  southwest of Tuscaloosa occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-150307-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.2.ER.200207T0607Z.200214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 103.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 103.8 feet by 
  this afternoon and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 105 feet...Severe residential flooding occurs in the 
  area...and evacuations may become necessary. At 102 
  feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. Numerous cabins 
  and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 9, 5:53 AM CST, 5 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 5:53 AM CST, 5 hours 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
553 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

.UPDATE...
For 12Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0402 AM CST Sun Feb 09 2020/

Through Tonight.

High pressure builds into the region today, but first we are going
to have to get rid of the pesky fog in the east. Have increased the
extent of the dense fog advisory to the north and west. The good
news here is that the fog developed quickly enough that temperatures
and dewpoints look to have remained above freezing where the fog has
formed and sliding into. Yes there could still be spots that hit or
fall just below freezing that may see the dense fog, but these
locations are more isolated than widespread so will just be
expanding the dense fog and not issuing a freezing fog advisory.

Once the fog and low clouds burn off in the south and east, we will
be left with variable clouds through the day. Best cloud cover will
be in the west as the next system begins to approach. Overall though
dry conditions expected today and through Midnight. Clouds will be
on the increase tonight in the west, with rain chances entering the
picture after Midnight in the far NW and then near the I-59 corridor
after 3 am. Rain chances really increase as the next system begins
to work toward the area just before sunrise and then slide slowly
south and east. Highs today will be in the upper 50s in the
northeast to upper 60s in the southwest. Lows tonight will be in the
40s east and 50s west.

16

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0402 AM CST Sun Feb 09 2020/

Monday through Sunday.

This will be a busy week weather-wise across Central AL. Prolonged
rainfall leads to flooding concerns for Monday and Tuesday. This
transitions to the potential for severe weather Wednesday night into
Thursday, which will bring more rain that could cause more flooding
concerns.

Flooding: Monday and Tuesday

A cold front moves southward and stalls across Central AL early
Monday. Just how far south the cold front pushes will dictate the
specific areas for flooding concerns. Some guidance brings the
frontal boundary as far south as I-20, while some show it stalling
across our far northern counties. Wherever the boundary sets up,
expect prolonged rainfall, with a chance for embedded thunderstorms.
Anamously high PWATs are forecast, which will lead to periods of
heavy rain, especially in any convective cells. A flood watch will
be in effect from 6 AM Monday through 6 PM Tuesday for the
northwestern half of Central AL. Within this area, localized flash
flooding will also be possible, especially if the band of rain sets
up over urban areas.

Tuesday night, the trough to our west is expected to swing through
the Great Plains and develop a low in Southern TX. As this surface
low deepens and lifts northeastward into the ArkLaTex, the stalled
frontal boundary is lifted northward as an effective warm front,
which should offer a brief reprieve from the heaviest rainfall.

Severe Weather: Wednesday into Thursday

As we go through the day on Wednesday, the low continues to lift
northeastward through the Mid-MS Valley and into Western TN, which
places Central AL in the warm sector where we could see some modest
destabilization (400-500 J/Kg SBCAPE) ahead of the next approaching
cold front. I've added mention for the threat of severe weather
Wednesday night into Thursday as the system moves through. Given the
track of the surface low and a 50-60kt low level jet, the 0-6km bulk
shear is an impressive 70-80kt, though the shear vector is largely
parallel to the frontal boundary. Therefore, can't rule out the
potential for a few tornadoes for our area. Of course, there are
uncertainties that muddy the forecast- First, guidance suggests the
surface winds could veer more southwesterly just ahead of the front,
limiting the low level directional shear, which could limit the
tornado threat. Next, while models have come into good agreement on
the evolution and track of the low, the timing is still in question.
The GFS is much more progressive and kicks the front through fairly
quickly, while the Euro is running about 6 hours slower on getting
it through Central AL. For now, the key message should be the
potential for severe weather, including tornadoes, Wednesday
afternoon through the overnight hours. Exact timing and areas of
highest threat will be assessed as higher resolution data becomes
available over the next few days. As the front moves through, I
would expect flash flood guidance to be on the lower end given the
anticipated antecedent conditions, so any additional rainfall could
lead to localized flash flooding concerns even if the front is more
progressive.

The front moves south and east of our area by Thursday afternoon,
leading to drier weather for the end of the week. Guidance splits
over the weekend on whether another round of rain moves in, so for
now, I've kept PoPs on the lower side through Sunday.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Area of fog and low clouds have moved into EET and impacting most
of the eastern sites. ASN seems to be protected so far, but could
potentially see a brief window this morning. After 15Z conditions
improve with winds up to 10 kts the only concern of the day. May
see some MVFR work in after 9z tomorrow, but the bigger concern
will be the approaching showers and storms. At this time it
appears that the activity will remain west of all sites, except
for TCL. Conditions will deteriorate after 12Z Monday.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Pesky fog will remain in the east this morning through 9 am. High
pressure will build into the region today, but will be short lived.
Showers and storms enter the area after Midnight tonight in the NW
and will continue to be possible through the end of the week. Heavy
rainfall and flooding will be possible, especially across the north
and west.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  45  63  56  66 /   0  20 100 100  80
Anniston    61  46  66  59  69 /   0  10  90 100  80
Birmingham  63  51  65  59  67 /   0  20 100 100  80
Tuscaloosa  66  53  67  59  67 /   0  30 100 100  80
Calera      64  50  66  60  69 /   0  10  90 100  80
Auburn      61  47  68  60  72 /   0  10  50  70  70
Montgomery  66  49  72  62  75 /   0   0  70  70  70
Troy        66  50  72  62  75 /   0   0  50  60  60

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Bullock...Calhoun...
Chambers...Cherokee...Chilton...Clay...Cleburne...Coosa...
Dallas...Elmore...Etowah...Hale...Lee...Lowndes...Macon...
Marengo...Montgomery...Perry...Pike...Randolph...Russell...
Shelby...St. Clair...Talladega...Tallapoosa.

Flood Watch from Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
the following counties: Bibb...Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...
Cleburne...Etowah...Fayette...Greene...Hale...Jefferson...
Lamar...Marion...Pickens...Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...
Talladega...Tuscaloosa...Walker...Winston.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 9, 9:12 AM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
912 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-101815-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
912 AM CST Sun Feb 9 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Many area rivers are in or expected to rise above flood stage.
Please see the latest river statements for specific details on the
rises and expected crest values.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Many rivers will continue to rise over the next few days. Many have
reached flood stage or will reach flood stage. Please see the latest
river statements for specific details on the rises and expected
crest values.

Periods of heavy rainfall are expected Monday through Thursday.
Recent heavy rainfall has produced saturated soil conditions, and
any additional rainfall could produce flash flooding issues.

Severe weather with damaging winds and tornadoes is possible
Wednesday afternoon and night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be
necessary Monday and Wednesday.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 8, 9:26 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryBMXAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 22 more12 hr
Feb 9, 3:52 AM CSTFlood WatchBMXBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne and 16 more24 hr
Feb 9, 10:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXJefferson, Tuscaloosa, Walker3 days
Feb 9, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Tuscaloosa4 days
Feb 9, 11:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXBibb, Jefferson, Shelby57 hr
Feb 9, 11:20 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXCherokee30 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.