Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Birmingham, AL

February 6, 20205 counties in Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 6, 2020, 7:43 AM CST for 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Feb 6, 2020, 11:44 AM CST. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2020, 7:43 AM CST (13:43 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 6, 2020, 11:44 AM CST
Expired
Feb 8, 2020, 7:54 PM CST
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black Warrior River at Oliver Lock and Dam (TODA1).

Action stage
122 ft
Minor stage
129 ft
Moderate stage
138 ft
Major stage
146 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02465005, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

917 
WGUS44 KBMX 061343
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
743 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama... 

  Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam Affecting Greene...Hale...
  Marengo and Tuscaloosa Counties.
  Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam Affecting Greene...
  Hale...Marengo...Sumter and Tuscaloosa Counties.

.Heavy rainfall of three to four inches with locally heavier 
amounts have fallen over the Black Warrior basin...and a flood 
warning is now in effect for much of the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-073-091-125-070141-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLDA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
743 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

Forecast information for
  Black Warrior River At Bankhead Lock and Dam.
* At  6:30 AM Thursday The stage Was 187.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 189 feet. 
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 188.9 feet this evening.
* Impact...At 189 feet...Flooding of farm land and low-lying wood 
  lands in the area occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3345 8733 3328 8738 3324 8744 3327 8745
          3337 8743 3348 8737         

$$

ALC063-065-091-125-070141-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0021.200206T1515Z-200208T0954Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200206T1515Z.200207T0000Z.200207T2154Z.NO/
743 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* until late Friday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 AM Thursday The stage Was 138.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 143.7 feet by this evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday afternoon .
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-070141-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0022.200206T1820Z-200209T1500Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1820Z.200208T0000Z.200209T0300Z.NO/
743 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* from this afternoon to Sunday morning...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:30 AM Thursday The stage Was 120.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 136.5 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday night.
* Impact...At 1350 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff. Flooding of
  lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$
6 follow-up statements
859 
WGUS84 KBMX 061617
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1017 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...Oliver Lock and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall of three to four inches with locally higher totals 
has occurred over the Black Warrior basin...and a flood warning is 
now in effect along much of the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-070416-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200208T1134Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200206T1800Z.200207T0600Z.200207T2334Z.NO/
1017 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 138.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 142.2 feet after midnight tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon .
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-070416-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0022.200206T1744Z-200209T1820Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1744Z.200208T0000Z.200209T0620Z.NO/
1017 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 126.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 136.6 feet by Friday evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 135 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff. Widespread 
  flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-070416-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0017.200207T0624Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.200207T0624Z.200210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 81.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 101.5 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 102 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded. Widespread flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
945 
WGUS84 KBMX 070315
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
914 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Holt 
Lock and Dam...Oliver Lock and Dam...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Heavy rainfall of three to four inches with locally higher totals 
has occurred over the Black Warrior basin...and a flood warning 
remains in effect along much of the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-071514-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200208T1542Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200206T2002Z.200207T1200Z.200208T0342Z.NO/
914 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 141.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 142.6 feet by 
  tomorrow morning . The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  late evening .
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-071514-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200209T2139Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1849Z.200208T0000Z.200209T0939Z.NO/
914 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 132.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 136.6 feet by 
  tomorrow evening . The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet...Numerous camphouses and some permanent 
  residences southwest of Tuscaloosa become cutoff.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-071514-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0017.200207T0522Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.200207T0522Z.200210T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 88.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 101.6 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 102.0 feet...Residential flooding begins in the area. 
  Numerous cabins and trailers in Hale and Greene counties become 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
212 
WGUS84 KBMX 071516
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
916 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Black Warrior River At Holt
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam...

.Levels are beginning to fall at Holt Lock and Dam and Oliver Lock 
and Dam...but a Flood Warning remains in effect from Oliver Lock and 
Dam downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by [  ] morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-071546-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200208T1542Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.200206T2002Z.200207T0400Z.200207T1145Z.NO/
916 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Warrior River At Holt Lock and Dam.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 139.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 140 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at 5:45 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to the next few days.
* Impact...At 140 feet...Some minor flooding of low-lying areas 
  occurs.  

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-080315-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200209T0018Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1849Z.200207T1200Z.200208T1218Z.NO/
916 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 132.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning...and then continue to drop the next few days.
* Impact...At 132 feet...Flooding of rural roads southwest of 
  Tuscaloosa occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-080315-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.200207T0607Z.200210T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 93.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 99.8 feet by 
  early Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 98 feet...Some cabins and trailers along the river 
  begin to flood. Widespread flooding of lowlands will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
846 
WGUS84 KBMX 080232
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
832 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The flood warning continues for the Locust Fork At Sayre...
...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Selden 
Lock and Dam and Oliver Lock and Dam...

.Some locations are falling while others are rising. But it appears
that the flooding will conitnue for several more days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-081431-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-200209T1100Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.200206T1659Z.200208T0200Z.200208T2300Z.NO/
832 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Locust Fork At Sayre.
* until late Saturday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 37.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon .

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-081431-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200209T0354Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1849Z.200207T1200Z.200208T1554Z.NO/
832 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 131.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning .
* Impact...At 132.0 feet...Flooding of rural roads southwest of 
  Tuscaloosa occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-081431-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.200207T0607Z.200210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 95.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 99.7 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 98.0 feet...Some cabins and trailers along the river 
  begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
300 
WGUS84 KBMX 081437
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
837 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Black Warrior River At Oliver 
Lock and Dam...Locust Fork At Sayre...and Selden Lock and Dam...

.Rises continue for many locations along the Black Warrior River 
following the recent heavy rainfall...and a Flood Warnings remain 
in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC073-125-127-090237-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-200209T1920Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.200206T1659Z.200208T0730Z.200209T0720Z.NO/
837 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Locust Fork At Sayre.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 36.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tonight .
* Impact...At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying wood lands and 
  agricultural lands along the Locust Fork occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-090237-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200209T0740Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1849Z.200207T1200Z.200208T1940Z.NO/
837 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday the stage was 130.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 129 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands in areas 
  southwest of Tuscaloosa occurs. 


&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-090237-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-200213T1903Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.200207T0607Z.200210T1200Z.200213T0703Z.NO/
837 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Warrior River At Selden Lock and Dam.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 97.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 90 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 99.6 feet by 
  early Monday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 90 feet...Pasture and wood lands begin to flood. 
  Livestock should be moved to higher ground at stages above 90 feet.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
727 
WGUS84 KBMX 090154
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
754 PM CST Sat Feb 8 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Black Warrior River At 
Oliver Lock and Dam...

.Water levels have dropped below flood stage along the Black Warrior
River at Oliver Lock and Dam. Therefore, the flood warning has been
cancelled.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

This will be the final flood statement for this location.

&&

ALC063-065-091-119-125-090224-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200209T0740Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.200206T1849Z.200207T1200Z.200208T2156Z.NO/
754 PM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Warrior River At Oliver Lock and Dam.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 128.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 129 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  3:56 PM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall.
* Impact...At 129 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands in areas 
  southwest of Tuscaloosa occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 6, 7:30 AM CST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 6, 7:30 AM CST, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
730 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

.UPDATE...
MESOSCALE UPDATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0730 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2020/

Synoptic scale...
Deep longwave trough extends from over Minnesota southwest across
the Plains states and into Texas. A surface cold front extended
from near Huntsville AL southwest to near New Orleans LA with a
stationary front extending north of Huntsville into east Kentucky
and West Virginia.

Mesoscale...
Local objective analysis data depicts an elongated trough of low
pressure around 996 mb near Chattanooga TN that extended southwest
roughly along the I-59 corridor into our south-central counties.
Dew point readings are in the mid to upper 60's near and southeast
of this feature. Higher aloft, A stout low level jet was depicted
around 850 mb in local modeling with speeds from 55-65 kts with a
maximum over far southeast Alabama early this morning.

Mesoanalysis data indicates Mixed-Layer convective available
potential energy (ML CAPE) values range from near 900 along the
I-20 corridor from Anniston to the GA state line with values from
1200 to 1700 from Selma to Alexander City and points southeast.
It will be in this area of our far east, south-central and
southeast where the potential for severe storms will be greatest
through noon today. Limited subsidence/capping aloft is
permitting showers to freely develop in the unstable environment
and that is a limiting factor for instability. However, robust
wind shear and increased dynamical forcing aloft is being
experienced that will encourage further convective development and
sustainment.

Forecast...
As the longwave trough becomes more neutral tilted from positive
tilt, expect continued enhancement in convective potential through
late morning. Sufficient warm air and positive moisture advection
from the south will continue to promote further increases and
temperature and dew point values in the lower levels. As a result,
instability values are expected to further increase with ML CAPE
values from 1200 to 1800 J/Kg by late morning southeast. The
proximity to the surface low to the north is creating a maxima in
low-level storm relative helicity (SRH) values generally from
300-500 m2/s2 across our east, south-central and southeast
counties.

Thunderstorms will remain possible within 100 miles of the leading
edge of the convection as it continues moving further east with
lingering rain showers expected through the afternoon hours.
Clouds will persist with increasing cold advection from northwest
to southeast across the area through this evening.

05

Previous short-term discussion:
/Updated at 0400 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2020/

Through Tonight...

Rain will be ending from west to east through the night. Cold air
will begin to work into the region overnight and in place by
sunrise. While we expect mainly light rain if any precipitation
can actually reach the surface, we can not rule out a few snow
flurries to mix in at time after 3 am and possible through Friday
morning across the north. Any frozen accumulation is not expected
as temperatures will generally still be above freezing through the
period.

16

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0400 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2020/

Friday through Through Wednesday.

Colder and dry on Friday with the wrap around cloud cover from
the upper level system moving through. After sunrise and flurries
should be in the northeast, with no impacts expected. The next
system will move quickly into the region on Saturday and bring a
chance of rain by the afternoon and into the evening hours. This
system moves out and then the next system moves in Monday morning
from the west as a front, but will stall out by Tuesday morning
across the north, before lifting slowly northward on Tuesday.
Models are indicating that this front may sit across the north for
several days and may become a flooding issue here. We may see a
brief reprieve on Wednesday, with only isolated to scattered
showers as the system refocuses its energy to our north and west
as the next trough begins to approach the area. Could potentially
see another round of strong to severe storms next Wednesday night
into the Thursday, but confidence and overall progression of the
system is too low to include at this time. Much more on this as
the system draws closer. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s through
the weekend and then the 40s and 50s by Monday and Tuesday. Highs
will be in the 50s to low 60s through the weekend and then the 60s
and 70s by Tuesday.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

The rain shield has not really moved much over the past 6 hours.
MGM and TOI will finally get their continuous rain and storms
within the next 1 to 2 hours and conditions will deteriorate
there. Showers and storms will eventually switch to just rain in
the next few hours at TCL and then by 18z across the rest of the
north. By 21z the thunderstorms should be done at MGM and TOI.
Isolated to scattered light rain may continue through sunrise at
most sites. Snow flurries can not be ruled out for ANB and ASN
Friday morning, but will have no impacts.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain and thunderstorms will continue through the morning while
sliding south and east. Severe storms will remain possible int he
southeast through mid morning. Additionally, locally heavy rainfall
will result in some areas of flooding. Rain showers remain possible
through the evening with decreasing coverage overnight. Another
system will bring more rain chances to the area Saturday afternoon
and evening. With the wet weather forecast, expect relative humidity
values to remain elevated through at least Friday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     60  35  47  33  54 / 100  50  10  10  30
Anniston    66  36  48  34  58 / 100  60  10  10  30
Birmingham  62  37  49  37  56 / 100  40  10  10  40
Tuscaloosa  58  37  53  38  59 /  90  40   0  10  30
Calera      64  36  50  36  59 / 100  40  10  10  30
Auburn      65  39  49  35  59 / 100  80  10   0  30
Montgomery  68  38  53  37  62 / 100  50   0   0  30
Troy        72  39  53  36  62 / 100  60   0   0  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM CST this evening for the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Blount...Bullock...
Calhoun...Chambers...Cherokee...Chilton...Clay...Cleburne...
Coosa...Dallas...Elmore...Etowah...Greene...Hale...Jefferson...
Lee...Lowndes...Macon...Marengo...Montgomery...Perry...Pike...
Randolph...Russell...Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...Talladega...
Tallapoosa...Tuscaloosa.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 6, 4:31 AM CST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
431 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-071345-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
431 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

There is a threat of tornadoes, damaging winds, and quarter size
hail through 10AM, mainly east of a line from Talladega to Uniontown.
The potential for flooding of roadways and creeks due to continued
rainfall exists east of a line from Blountsville to Tuscaloosa.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Water rises are expected on Catoma Creek as well as the Tombigbee
and Black Warrior River basins. Minor river flooding is forecast to
occur by Friday and last into early next week for some locations.
Please refer to river statements for specific details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is requested
through Thursday morning.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 6, 4:12 AM CST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
412 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

ALZ025-061100-
Shelby AL-
412 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHELBY COUNTY UNTIL 500 AM CST...

At 412 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
University Of Montevallo, or near Montevallo, moving northeast at 60
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hoover, Alabaster, Pelham, Helena, Leeds, Calera, Chelsea,
Montevallo, Columbiana, Wilsonville, Indian Springs Village, Vincent,
Harpersville, Westover, Wilton, American Village, Oak Mountain State
Park, Vandiver, Maylene and Patton Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Birmingham.

&&

LAT...LON 3350 8648 3350 8638 3339 8638 3335 8634
      3334 8637 3329 8636 3328 8643 3319 8650
      3312 8646 3308 8651 3305 8660 3307 8685
      3305 8690 3310 8697 3316 8697 3317 8703
      3325 8701 3347 8667 3347 8661 3354 8652
TIME...MOT...LOC 1012Z 226DEG 50KT 3314 8689

40/Sizemore
Local storm report, Feb 6, 6:12 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
612 AM CST THU FEB 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0214 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW OLD SPRING HILL   32.47N 87.79W
02/06/2020                   MARENGO            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 FATAL, 1 INJ ***
            UPDATED TO ADD INJURY/FATALITY. TWO
            MANUFACTURED HOMES DESTROYED AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF HWY 43 AND COUNTY ROAD 54,
            SOUTH OF DEMOPOLIS.

&&

14
Special weather statement, Feb 6, 6:19 AM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
619 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

ALZ019-021-027>029-061245-
Calhoun AL-Clay AL-Talladega AL-Randolph AL-Cleburne AL-
619 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL TALLADEGA...
NORTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN...CLEBURNE AND EASTERN
CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM CST...

At 619 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Anniston to near Ashland. Movement was
northeast at 65 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Anniston, Oxford, Heflin, Lineville, Ashland, Cobb Town, West
End-Cobb Town, Munford, Hobson City, Ranburne, Fruithurst,
Edwardsville, Morrison Cross Roads, Barfield, Anniston Regional
Airport, Muscadine, Abernathy, Fosters Cross Roads, Oxford Lake and
Delta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3315 8599 3362 8592 3396 8543 3396 8541
      3393 8539 3344 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 1219Z 219DEG 56KT 3365 8582 3323 8585

89^GSatterwhite
Special weather statement, Feb 6, 7:05 AM CST, 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
705 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

ALZ036-037-041-043-061330-
Tallapoosa AL-Autauga AL-Coosa AL-Elmore AL-
705 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA...ELMORE...
WESTERN TALLAPOOSA AND EASTERN COOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 730 AM CST...

At 704 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Crewsville to near Prattville. Movement was
northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Prattville, Alexander City, Millbrook, Wetumpka, Tallassee,
Dadeville, Goodwater, Rockford, Kellyton, Equality, Elmore, Coosada,
Deatsville, Eclectic, Jacksons' Gap, New Site, Goldville, Martin Dam,
Bradford and Santuck.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3245 8595 3245 8620 3250 8625 3247 8629
      3249 8631 3246 8631 3246 8661 3271 8645
      3271 8642 3275 8641 3276 8638 3277 8640
      3310 8618 3311 8601 3309 8601 3309 8598
      3311 8597 3311 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 1304Z 224DEG 33KT 3297 8613 3252 8648

89^GSatterwhite
Special weather statement, Feb 6, 7:31 AM CST, 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
731 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

ALZ028-029-036>038-061415-
Tallapoosa AL-Clay AL-Coosa AL-Randolph AL-Chambers AL-
731 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...
TALLAPOOSA...NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS...EASTERN COOSA AND SOUTHEASTERN
CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 815 AM CST...

At 731 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Goldville to near Highway 9 and Highway
22. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Alexander City, Dadeville, Goodwater, Kellyton, Jacksons' Gap, New
Site, Wadley, Goldville, Malone, Bradford, Cottage Grove, Abanda,
Hatchet, Nixburg, Trammel Crossroads, Ridge Grove, Hillabee Creek,
Eastern Lake Martin, Northern Lake Martin and Highway 9 and Highway
22.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 8542 3285 8545 3276 8622 3311 8607
TIME...MOT...LOC 1331Z 241DEG 39KT 3314 8584 3283 8603

89^GSatterwhite
Local storm report, Feb 6, 7:37 AM CST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
737 AM CST THU FEB 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLOOD            3 WNW BARFIELD          33.37N 85.77W
02/06/2020                   CLAY               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ALONG HWY 49 AT STATE LAKE ROAD.

&&

14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 6:05 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXMarion3 hr
Feb 5, 6:10 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXLamar50 min
Feb 5, 6:26 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXMarion49 min
Feb 5, 6:30 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXLamar3 hr
Feb 5, 7:02 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXPickens28 min
Feb 5, 7:09 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXWalker51 min
Feb 5, 7:24 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXFayette36 min
Feb 5, 10:25 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXHale35 min
Feb 5, 10:27 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXPickens5 hr
Feb 5, 10:30 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXGreene30 min
Feb 5, 10:37 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXFayette, Jefferson, Tuscaloosa, Walker4 hr
Feb 5, 10:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXTuscaloosa33 min
Feb 5, 11:21 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXGreene, Sumter5 hr
Feb 5, 11:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXSumter46 min
Feb 5, 11:51 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXTuscaloosa24 min
Feb 5, 11:58 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXGreene, Sumter, Tuscaloosa6 hr
Feb 6, 12:05 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXBlount, Etowah, St. Clair5 hr
Feb 6, 12:08 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXJefferson52 min
Feb 6, 12:14 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXGreene46 min
Feb 6, 12:27 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXHale33 min
Feb 6, 12:46 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXEtowah, St. Clair44 min
Feb 6, 12:47 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXBlount, Jefferson, Walker6 hr
Feb 6, 12:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBibb, Hale, Perry42 min
Feb 6, 12:54 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXCalhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne96 min
Feb 6, 1:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXMarengo, Sumter56 min
Feb 6, 1:33 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXJefferson, Shelby57 min
Feb 6, 1:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXGreene, Hale64 min
Feb 6, 1:57 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXCherokee, Etowah, St. Clair9 hr
Feb 6, 1:59 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXShelby20 min
Feb 6, 2:23 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXJefferson, St. Clair, Shelby52 min
Feb 6, 2:35 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXBibb, Hale, Perry40 min
Feb 6, 2:50 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXDallas25 min
Feb 6, 2:53 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXCalhoun, Etowah, St. Clair39 min
Feb 6, 2:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter47 min
Feb 6, 3:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBibb, Jefferson, Shelby51 min
Feb 6, 3:22 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXCherokee26 min
Feb 6, 3:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBibb, Perry42 min
Feb 6, 3:35 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXJefferson, St. Clair, Shelby3 hr
Feb 6, 4:06 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXJefferson17 hr
Feb 6, 4:12 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXShelby48 min
Feb 6, 4:41 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXClay, Cleburne, Randolph12 min
Feb 6, 5:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXClay, Coosa, Talladega32 min
Feb 6, 6:19 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXClay, Cleburne26 min
Feb 6, 6:32 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXCalhoun, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Randolph and 3 more3 hr
Feb 6, 6:39 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXBibb, Jefferson, Shelby37 hr
Feb 6, 6:52 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXBlount, Jefferson, Shelby6 hr
Feb 6, 7:05 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXCoosa, Elmore, Tallapoosa25 min
Feb 6, 7:31 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXTallapoosa44 min
Feb 6, 7:43 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Tuscaloosa44 hr
Feb 6, 7:46 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXJefferson, Tuscaloosa, Walker3 days
Feb 6, 7:50 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter19 days
Feb 6, 7:53 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXSumter10 days
Feb 6, 8:14 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXChambers, Randolph, Tallapoosa46 min
Feb 6, 8:32 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXMontgomery43 min
Feb 6, 8:41 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXChambers, Clay, Coosa, Elmore, Lowndes, Montgomery and 2 more3 hr
Feb 6, 8:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXBibb, Dallas, Perry48 hr
Feb 6, 9:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery40 min
Feb 6, 9:28 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningBMXCalhoun, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Randolph and 4 more3 hr
Feb 6, 9:54 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXBullock, Lee, Macon, Montgomery, Russell3 hr
Feb 6, 9:58 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXMacon47 min
Feb 6, 10:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBullock, Macon33 min
Feb 6, 10:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXLee, Russell34 min
Feb 6, 1:41 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXChambers, Elmore, Macon, Randolph, Tallapoosa19 hr
Feb 6, 1:46 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXDallas, Perry10 days
Feb 6, 1:46 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXDallas, Perry43 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.