Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 17

March 12, 20198 counties in New Mexico; 23 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 12, 2019, 3:36 PM MDT for 8 counties in New Mexico; 23 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2019, 3:36 PM MDT (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Mar 12, 2019, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 31 counties

Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Midland County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy54 min
Mar 12, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves50 min
Mar 12, 5:40 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFEddy35 min
Mar 12, 6:01 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedABQChaves16 min
Mar 12, 6:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy51 min
Mar 12, 6:12 PM MDTTornado WarningABQDe Baca, Quay33 min
Mar 12, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea59 min
Mar 12, 6:20 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFEddy25 min
Mar 12, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy48 min
Mar 12, 6:44 PM MDTTornado WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe, Quay46 min
Mar 12, 6:44 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFEddy, Lea31 min
Mar 12, 7:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea40 min
Mar 12, 7:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler47 min
Mar 12, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea29 min
Mar 12, 7:27 PM MDTTornado WarningABQHarding, Quay, San Miguel48 min
Mar 12, 7:27 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLoving, Ward, Winkler13 min
Mar 12, 7:39 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea36 min
Mar 12, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea45 min
Mar 12, 7:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBYoakum44 min
Mar 12, 8:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis, Pecos, Reeves, Ward65 min
Mar 12, 8:21 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea24 min
Mar 12, 9:01 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFAndrews14 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-03-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 265 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-03-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 308 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
265 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
308 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 12:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBernalillo, Lincoln, Otero, Socorro, Torrance, Valencia83 min
Mar 12, 2:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Eddy, Lea2 hr
Mar 12, 4:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Eddy118 min
Mar 12, 5:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCulberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Presidio, Reeves, Ward118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2019Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.