Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Warnings in 2019
Tornado Warning 6, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this tornado warning at Mar 12, 2019, 8:21 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico; Andrews County, Winkler County, Texas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2019, 8:21 PM MDT (02:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2019, 8:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 24 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Radar indicated
- Hail
- 0.75 in
Counties Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 3:36 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 593 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -112 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 844 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 461 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 6.4
The text
As transmitted.
164
WFUS54 KMAF 130221
TORMAF
NMC025-TXC003-495-130245-
/O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0006.190313T0221Z-190313T0245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Lea County in southeastern New Mexico...
Southwestern Andrews County in western Texas...
Northeastern Winkler County in western Texas...
* Until 945 PM CDT/845 PM MDT/.
* At 921 PM CDT/821 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm capable of
producing a tornado was located 8 miles northeast of Kermit, moving
northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Lea...southwestern Andrews and northeastern Winkler
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
&&
LAT...LON 3223 10279 3189 10281 3177 10306 3202 10319
TIME...MOT...LOC 0221Z 227DEG 23KT 3192 10297
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
$$1 follow-up statement
526
WWUS54 KMAF 130233
SVSMAF
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
933 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
NMC025-130242-
/O.CAN.KMAF.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190313T0245Z/
Lea NM-
933 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for western
Texas.
LAT...LON 3223 10279 3189 10281 3183 10293 3211 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 227DEG 23KT 3197 10291
$$
TXC003-495-130245-
/O.CON.KMAF.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190313T0245Z/
Andrews TX-Winkler TX-
933 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ANDREWS AND NORTHEASTERN WINKLER COUNTIES...
At 932 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 13 miles northeast of Kermit, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southwestern Andrews and northeastern Winkler Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
&&
LAT...LON 3223 10279 3189 10281 3183 10293 3211 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 227DEG 23KT 3197 10291
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
$$
84What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 12, 5:34 PM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 5:34 PM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
634 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019
.DISCUSSION...
&&
.AVIATION...
As of 2330z a Line of severe storms have moved into Culberson and
Eddy counties and moving east. Carrying mention of these storms
in all TAFs along with possibility of large hail and wind gusts
in excess of 50kts. Will also have MVFR/IFR cigs ahead of it.
Expect very windy conditions tomorrow along with blowing dust...
could see gusts in the 45 to 60kt range.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 445 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/
UPDATE...
Updated forecast for watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...
Tornado Watch #17 issued through 04z for SE NM and most of West
TX. Forecast already had mention of thunderstorms with some severe
this afternoon/evening so no change to that. Line of storms still
west of area be moving into CWA shortly.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 227 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/
DISCUSSION...
Very potent upper low pushing into southwest Arizona this afternoon
will track eastward overnight with associated negatively tilted
trough pushing into west Texas this evening. Ahead of trough,
southeast winds will continue to strengthen allowing dewpoints in
the lower 60s to overspread much of the area. Surface based CAPES
are already pushing 2000 over parts of the Big Bend. Though
clouds are inhibiting low level heating, cooling aloft associated
with trough, breaks in clouds west of the Pecos, and continuing
warm/moist advection are expected to produce CAPES of 1000 to
2000 over a large part of the area by late afternoon. With bulk
shear exceeding 60 knots, conditions are ripening for organized
thunderstorms with rotating updrafts. Low LCLs and effective
helicity values of 200 to 300 across the area suggest that
generation of low level vorticity is heightened. For discrete
thunderstorms, damaging wind hail exceeding 2 inches and tornadoes
will be possible. As upper storm system and Pacific front
approach, convection will tend to merge along a line by mid-
evening and progress eastward across much of the area east of the
mountains overnight. These storms will be capable of producing
large hail in excess of an inch with winds potentially exceeding
60 mph over a large area. Though tornadoes will be less likely
within this line, the possibility cannot be ruled out.
Ahead of the front, southeast winds will be quite brisk, prompting
the continuation of a Wind Advisory over the western and southern
Permian Basin, the Davis Mountains, the Stockton Plateau and Lea
County in New Mexico through mid morning Wednesday. With approach
of the storm system, potentially damaging winds are expected to
develop across Eddy County New Mexico, the Guadalupe Mountains,
and the Deleware Mountains. In the wake of storms and Pacific
front, surface pressure gradient will remain tight much of
Wednesday particularly from Permian Basin north. West to southwest
winds will increase markedly across the area after sunrise
Wednesday as strong winds aloft begin to mix down to the surface.
Winds at 850 mph are progs to max out at 50 knots or above over
most of the area, suggesting strong gust potential. For this
reason, a High Wind Warning is in effect for all of southwest
Texas and southeast New Mexico except for the Presidio valley with
the greatest potential for sustained damaging wind generally
north of I-20 and at higher elevations. With significant rainfall
preceding the high winds, blowing potential will be limited
though visibility could restricted in localized areas. As the
pressure gradient begins to relax Wednesday evening, surface winds
will begin to taper off, allowing the High Wind Warning for most
of the area to expire mid-evening Wednesday. Strong winds will
likely continue in the Guadalupe Mountains overnight, so the High
Wind Warning for that area will continue until near daybreak
Thursday.
High temperatures will generally run 10 degrees below normal for
the next several days with lows slightly below normal as a cooler
airmass spreads across the area behind departing storm system.
After tonight, there will be little risk of precipitation again
until Friday night and Saturday as shearing upper trough slides
across area. Presently best changes appear to be in southeast New
Mexico. With Saturday morning temperatures possibly below freezing
over parts of the area, we may see a combination of rain and
freezing rain Friday night and into early morning Saturday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 47 66 40 59 / 100 0 0 0
Carlsbad 46 64 39 59 / 100 0 0 0
Dryden 49 76 47 70 / 90 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 47 68 42 60 / 100 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 37 53 32 51 / 90 10 0 0
Hobbs 40 60 35 56 / 100 0 0 0
Marfa 36 64 33 58 / 90 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 46 65 40 59 / 100 0 0 0
Odessa 44 65 40 59 / 100 0 0 0
Wink 43 67 38 61 / 100 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Warning from 9 AM to 9 PM MDT Wednesday for Central
Lea County-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.
Wind Advisory until 9 AM MDT Wednesday for Central Lea County-
Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.
High Wind Warning until 6 AM MDT Thursday for Guadalupe
Mountains of Eddy County.
High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT Wednesday for Eddy County
Plains.
TX...High Wind Warning from 10 AM to 10 PM CDT Wednesday for Andrews-
Big Bend Area-Borden-Crane-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-
Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County and
Upper Trans Pecos-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward-Winkler.
Wind Advisory until 10 AM CDT Wednesday for Andrews-Crane-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Loving-
Midland-Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Upton-Ward-Winkler.
High Wind Warning until 6 AM MDT Thursday for Guadalupe
Mountains.
High Wind Warning until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ Wednesday for Van
Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 12:30 PM MDT, 7 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 130 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-131830- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos- Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains- 130 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1230 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected across the region this evening and until after midnight. The strongest storms will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, as well as a tornado threat. Brief heavy rainfall and localized flooding will also be possible. Very windy conditions are expected beginning tonight for much of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Eddy County New Mexico Plains. A Wind Advisory is in effect tonight for a significant portion of the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and Davis Mountains. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Strong, damaging winds are expected Wednesday and Wednesday night across southeast New Mexico and much of west Texas. A High Wind Warning is in effect Wednesday through Wednesday evening for southeast New Mexico and all of west Texas, except the Presidio Valley. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed by late this afternoon or early this evening. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:41 PM MDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
841 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0835 PM TSTM WND GST PECOS 31.41N 103.50W
03/12/2019 M59 MPH REEVES TX ASOS
&&
JULIE.PHILLIPSONLocal storm report, Mar 12, 7:47 PM MDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
847 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0816 PM HAIL 6 N PECOS 31.50N 103.50W
03/12/2019 E2.75 INCH Ward TX TRAINED SPOTTER
DESTROYED VEHICLE. EST 45 TO 50 MPH WINDS
&&
CMRSpecial weather statement, Mar 12, 7:51 PM MDT, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
851 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
TXZ058-067-074-075-130230-
Pecos-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Ward-Davis/Apache Mountains
Area-
851 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN PECOS...
SOUTHERN REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WARD...EASTERN JEFF DAVIS AND
NORTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES...
At 851 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered 12 miles south of
Balmorhea State Park, or 14 miles northeast of Fort Davis, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail are possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Toyah, Fort Davis, Balmorhea, Barstow, Davis Mountains State
Park, Balmorhea Lake, Saragosa, Balmorhea State Park, Toyah Lake,
Star Mountain, Pecos Municipal Airport, Verhalen, B F Goodrich
Testing Track, Toyahvale, Buffalo Trail Scout Camp, Firestone Test
Track, Indian Lodge and Fort Davis National Historical Site.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 10 between mile markers 198 and 249.
Interstate 20 between mile markers 19 and 58.
LAT...LON 3158 10377 3162 10328 3089 10305 3043 10399
3044 10404
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 240DEG 49KT 3077 10377
80Local storm report, Mar 12, 7:56 PM MDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
856 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0833 PM TSTM WND GST MARFA 30.31N 104.03W
03/12/2019 M60 MPH PRESIDIO TX ASOS
&&
JULIE.PHILLIPSONSpecial weather statement, Mar 12, 8:08 PM MDT, 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
908 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
TXZ060-061-067-130300-
Ector TX-Ward TX-Winkler TX-
908 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ECTOR...NORTHEASTERN
WARD...SOUTHERN WINKLER AND NORTHWESTERN CRANE COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM
CDT...
At 907 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wink, moving northeast at 40 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Monahans, Kermit, Wink, Thorntonville, Wickett, Roy Hurd Memorial
Airport, Monahans Sandhills State Park and Winkler County Airport.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 75 and 88.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for western
Texas.
LAT...LON 3196 10287 3165 10276 3165 10277 3157 10277
3155 10327 3175 10332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 227DEG 34KT 3174 10322Local storm report, Mar 12, 8:12 PM MDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
912 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0840 PM HAIL 11 ENE MENTONE 31.77N 103.43W
03/12/2019 E1.25 INCH Loving TX TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL WAS ON HIGHWAY 302.
&&
MSCHULDTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 6:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 51 min |
| Mar 12, 6:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 59 min |
| Mar 12, 6:20 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Eddy | 25 min |
| Mar 12, 6:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 48 min |
| Mar 12, 6:44 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 31 min |
| Mar 12, 7:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 40 min |
| Mar 12, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 7:39 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 36 min |
| Mar 12, 7:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 45 min |
| Mar 12, 8:04 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 3 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:17 AM MDT | Wind Advisory | MAF | Lea | 26 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reeves | 51 min |
| Mar 12, 6:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reeves | 47 min |
| Mar 12, 7:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 47 min |
| Mar 12, 7:26 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reeves | 34 min |
| Mar 12, 7:27 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Loving, Ward, Winkler | 13 min |
| Mar 12, 7:51 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reeves | 39 min |
| Mar 12, 8:08 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Winkler | 52 min |
| Mar 12, 8:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis, Pecos, Reeves, Ward | 65 min |
| Mar 12, 8:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Gaines | 45 min |
| Mar 12, 9:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Andrews | 14 min |
| Mar 12, 9:16 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Ector, Midland | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 9:21 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 39 min |
| Mar 12, 9:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane, Dawson, Ector, Martin | 39 min |
| Mar 12, 10:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden, Howard | 44 min |
| Mar 12, 10:05 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Howard, Martin | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 10:09 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 36 min |
| Mar 12, 10:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 53 min |
| Mar 12, 10:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan, Upton | 61 min |
| Mar 12, 10:48 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Terrell | 57 min |
| Mar 12, 10:51 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 11:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Terrell | 58 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Texas, 2019Tornado Warnings in New Mexico, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.