Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 545

July 30, 201934 counties in New York; 13 counties in Pennsylvania; 14 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 30, 2019, 1:22 PM EDT for 34 counties in New York; 13 counties in Pennsylvania; 14 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2019, 1:22 PM EDT (17:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 30, 2019, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLewis55 min
Jul 30, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida64 min
Jul 30, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer66 min
Jul 30, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan53 min
Jul 30, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Schuyler, Steuben51 min
Jul 30, 3:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer56 min
Jul 30, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex62 min
Jul 30, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Warren57 min
Jul 30, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex, Franklin25 min
Jul 30, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton59 min
Jul 30, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex, Franklin36 min
Jul 30, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCortland, Schuyler, Tompkins56 min
Jul 30, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Warren53 min
Jul 30, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Madison38 min
Jul 30, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington58 min
Jul 30, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMTioga48 min
Jul 30, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin, Orleans33 min
Jul 30, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Chittenden, Lamoille, Orleans, Washington61 min
Jul 30, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMTioga58 min
Jul 30, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Onondaga54 min
Jul 30, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Wayne66 min
Jul 30, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington64 min
Jul 30, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne61 min
Jul 30, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Chittenden, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans61 min
Jul 30, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware55 min
Jul 30, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga45 min
Jul 30, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga, Warren, Washington67 min
Jul 30, 5:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga36 min
Jul 30, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Chittenden, Lamoille, Orange, Rutland, Washington and 1 more37 min
Jul 30, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne44 min
Jul 30, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins, Yates39 min
Jul 30, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga, Washington61 min
Jul 30, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Onondaga51 min
Jul 30, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady47 min
Jul 30, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego45 min
Jul 30, 7:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWashington55 min
Jul 30, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSchoharie33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-07-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 197 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-07-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
197 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1331 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 12:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland and 20 more2 hr
Jul 30, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia and 25 more113 min
Jul 30, 6:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRensselaer88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.