Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 1613

July 30, 201926 counties in New York; 20 counties in Pennsylvania; 5 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 30, 2019, 12:59 PM EDT for 26 counties in New York; 20 counties in Pennsylvania; 5 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2019, 12:59 PM EDT (16:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 30, 2019, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 51 counties

Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Potter County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Addison County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-07-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 197 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-07-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
197 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1331 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia and 28 more8 hr
Jul 30, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia and 25 more113 min
Jul 30, 6:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRensselaer88 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Vermont, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.