Tornado Warning 96, NWS Springfield, MO

930 
WWUS53 KSGF 230806
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
306 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

MOC065-161-230815-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0096.000000T0000Z-190523T0815Z/
Dent MO-Phelps MO-
306 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN DENT AND EAST CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTIES...
    
At 306 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles north of Salem, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Bangert...                        Howes...
Sligo...                          Lake Spring...
Lecoma...                         Anutt...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 9173 3782 9177 3788 9153 3779 9152
      3779 9131 3770 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0806Z 255DEG 29KT 3778 9159 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

Hatch

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1221 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...Updated for 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 413 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

Monitoring conditions out in Kansas and Oklahoma as the area ramps
up for the fourth round of severe weather in the last five days.
Strong southerly winds are pumping up a very moist and unstable
air mass into the area. CAPE values in excess of 3000 J/kg are
moving into the area with 0-6km bulk shear values over 50 kts. A
PDS tornado watch has already been issued as the area is expecting
all modes of severe from late this afternoon into the overnight
hours.

In addition...will also be monitoring both rainfall rates and
amounts during the overnight period especially western and
northern areas of the CWA. CAMS models are indicating a basic
southwest to northeast movement through most of the evening along
a stalled frontal boundary before the storms take a turn to the
south. With PWAT values in the 1.0-1.5" range...additional
rainfall amounts of 1-2" with locally 3' are possible north of
I-44. Training will only exacerbate the flash flood potential. A
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through tomorrow morning.

As the upper low makes its way into the Great Lakes...the stalled
surface front will be situated across central Missouri. This will
keep the threat of both severe weather and potentially heavy rain
in the forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 413 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

The overall pattern is not expected to change much over the
forecast period. An upper level ridge remains over the
southeastern states with an upper level trough along the
West Coast. As one system lifts out of the trough...another system
moves in to replace it. At the surface...this is reflected as low
pressure develops along the lee of the Rockies and advances up
the stalled frontal boundary towards the Great Lakes. This has the
effect of keeping the effective frontal boundary close enough to
the area to keep our weather unsettled.

Given the fact that soils remain saturated...it is not taking much
rain to produce flash flooding. Expect this unsettled pattern to
continue with perhaps a 12-24 hour respite between each system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Showers and storms continue to be found over southeast Kansas,
western into central Missouri, all in association with a surface
front that runs from northeast Oklahoma into northeast Missouri.
This front will slowly sag southward, with short term models
continuing to show showers and thunderstorms continuing through
the overnight hours. These will continue to affect the KJLN TAF
site and move into the KSGF and possibly KBBG site overnight and
into the early morning hours Thursday before diminishing. Mainly
VFR flight conditions is expected, with MVFR and possibly IFR
within the convective elements. As the front near later tonight
ceilings will likely fall into the MVFR category through the early
morning hours of Thursday before clearing out by afternoon back
into he MVFR category.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for MOZ055>058-
     066>069-077>080-088-089-093.

KS...Flash Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ073-097-
     101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Raberding

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
823 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
823 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Significant hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Thunderstorms will continue to affect areas along and north of
  Interstate 44 this evening into the overnight hours. This dynamic
  system will be capable of producing hail up to the size of tennis
  balls, damaging winds up to 70 mph and tornadoes. A strong tornado
  or two may be possible.

  Flooding and flash flooding will again be possible tonight as
  storms develop and move over many of the same areas that
  received flooding rains the past few days. Between 1 and 2
  inches of rain will be possible with localized amounts around
  3 inches.

  Non-thunderstorm wind gusts to 30 mph are possible over western
  Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas late this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

  Intermittent storm activity is expected from Thursday through
  the coming holiday weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will be needed in the next three hours for
  southeast Kansas and southwestern into Central Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Raberding

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
924 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0911 PM     TORNADO          GOLDEN CITY             37.39N 94.09W
05/22/2019                   BARTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN THE GOLDEN CITY
            AREA.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
927 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     TORNADO          6 WNW DUDENVILLE        37.34N 94.19W
05/22/2019                   JASPER             MO   STORM CHASER

            STRUCTURE AND TREE DAMAGE OBSERVED BY STORM
            CHASER.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 PM     HAIL             3 NW UMBER VIEW HEIGHTS 37.66N 93.85W
05/22/2019  E1.00 INCH       CEDAR              MO   STORM CHASER

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1017 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

KSZ073-MOZ066-077-230400-
Bourbon KS-Vernon MO-Barton MO-
1017 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON...NORTHERN
BARTON AND VERNON COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

At 1017 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Fort Scott, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Nevada...                         Fort Scott...
Sheldon...                        Montevallo...
Arcadia...                        Walker...
Schell City...                    Bronaugh...
Moundville...                     Richards...
Milo...                           Deerfield...
Harwood...                        Horton...
Oskaloosa...                      Garland...
Hannon...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 74 and 103.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for southeastern
Kansas...and southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3793 9471 3804 9423 3802 9423 3804 9422
      3806 9413 3804 9411 3805 9410 3803 9408
      3803 9406 3760 9408 3762 9462 3767 9462
      3767 9471
TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 240DEG 27KT 3776 9460

Angle

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1117 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELDON                   38.35N 92.58W
05/22/2019                   MILLER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GETTING REPORTS OF DAMAGE IN ELDON. DETAILS
            UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. POSSIBLE TDS.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
244 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

MOZ089-090-094-095-230830-
Greene MO-Dade MO-Lawrence MO-Christian MO-
244 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...GREENE AND SOUTHEASTERN DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 244 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Ash Grove to near Republic. Movement was east
at 30 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield...                    Nixa...
Ozark...                          Republic...
Battlefield...                    Willard...
Rogersville...                    Strafford...
Clever...                         Sparta...
Ash Grove...                      Fair Grove...
Billings...                       Fremont Hills...
Walnut Grove...                   Everton...
Brookline...                      Halltown...
Chesapeake...                     Glidewell...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 51 and 89.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3704 9374 3740 9372 3742 9309 3741 9308
      3727 9308 3727 9307 3698 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0744Z 269DEG 27KT 3730 9358 3708 9349

Schaumann