Flash Flood Warning 72, NWS Springfield, MO

935 
WGUS73 KSGF 180146
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
846 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

MOC009-153-209-213-180155-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0072.000000T0000Z-190618T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ozark MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-Barry MO-
846 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN OZARK...SOUTHERN TANEY...
SOUTHERN STONE AND SOUTHEASTERN BARRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected to 
pose a threat to life or property. However flooding of low lying 
areas will continue through much of the evening and into the 
overnight hours. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3650 9380 3664 9345 3666 9331 3663 9321
      3670 9295 3671 9261 3680 9241 3676 9232
      3670 9231 3659 9250 3656 9263 3650 9269

$$

Titus

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1143 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

An area of showers with a few rumbles of thunder continues to
transition across portion of southeast Kansas and west central
Missouri this morning. This area of activity is associated with a
quick moving wave of energy coming out of Southern Plains. Given
the lack of both a strong thermodynamic and dynamic environment,
there is no associated risk for severe weather. However, it
should be noted that this area of showers is moving across a
rather soggy southeast Kansas from previous days rain. Thus, any
efficient rainfall could produce additional runoff and minor
flooding issues.

As this shortwave energy continues to translate through the
region through the early morning hours, scattered showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible. It appears the best chance for
showers and thunderstorms will exist across the eastern half of
the CWA through the afternoon and early evening. This will be a
focus for potentially heavy rainfall in slow moving storms along a
boundary and efficient rain producers (PWATs around 1.6). This
activity is expected to dissipate to the east by late Monday
evening. Expect temperatures to climb to around 80 for most of
Monday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

Expect drier conditions through most of the day Tuesday before
additional waves of shortwave energy begin to sweep across the
Central Plains Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Models continue to
differ on timing of this system arriving Tuesday evening, yet are
in a consensus that another complex of showers and thunderstorms
will transition through the region in the Tuesday night through
Wednesday timeframe from west to east. Based on recent model
guidance, there appears to be a marginal risk for strong to severe
storms on Tuesday evening into the overnight hours. This threat
for a few strong to severe storms will need to be reevaluated with
future model guidance. It is anticipated that this activity will
slowly move through the CWA and may linger into the afternoon
hours Wednesday, especially across the eastern half of the region.
Expect temperatures to be in the lower 80s Tuesday and Wednesday.

As heights begin to rise and a ridge develops across the eastern
CONUS into Thursday, expect temperatures to rise into the middle
80s with drier conditions. This trend will continue through
Saturday as highs climb into the upper 80s, possibly pushing 90.

The next chance for rain returns to the region by late Sunday into
Monday as additional waves of shortwave energy look to translate
across the area. However, medium range model guidance are not in
agreement on exact timing, location, and intensity. Looking ahead
through next week, a strong negative PNA teleconnection is
forecast and would suggest a continued wet pattern as repetitive
shortwaves are able to transition through the region with a
supportive Gulf airmass being funneled in. While teleconnections
do not dictate all the factors of forecasting potential future
rainfall, it does provide supportive evidence.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1140 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

For the 18z TAFS...Upper level circulation was over the southwest
CWA late this morning. The heaviest rain with the
showers/thunderstorms has shifted north into central MO. Scattered
redevelopment of showers was taking place south across OK and AR
which may move into southern MO and affect the TAF sites this
afternoon. May see some MVFR conditions towards morning with
stratus and possibly fog developing in the wake of the upper level
system which will be shifting east of the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>096-101>105.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Perez
LONG TERM...Perez
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
320 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-182030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
320 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A slow moving upper level system will interact with very high
  moisture in the area to produce slow moving showers and
  thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across the area. High
  preceipitation rates with these slow moving storms will likely
  cause some flash flooding to occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  A complex of showers and storms will develop to the west of the
  area Tuesday evening and move into the area Tuesday night into
  Wednesday with the potential for strong to severe storms and
  flooding, especially across southeast Kansas and western
  Missouri.

  Additional showers and storms will then return to the area by
  next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
133 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW STOUTLAND         37.83N 92.57W
06/17/2019                   CAMDEN             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE H FROM T NORTHWEST OF STOUTLAND TO
            ROUTE BB CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

MMT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
159 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW VERSAILLES        38.43N 92.85W
06/17/2019                   MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREETS FLOODED IN VERSAILLES. VIDEO ON
            FACEBOOK.

&&

MMT