Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Springfield, MO

163 
WGUS73 KSGF 172051
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
351 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

MOC029-125-131-141-169-172215-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-190617T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Maries MO-Miller MO-Pulaski MO-Camden MO-Morgan MO-
351 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
WESTERN MARIES...MILLER...NORTHWESTERN PULASKI...NORTHEASTERN CAMDEN
AND CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTIES...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms that the 
heaviest rainfall had moved northeast of the warned area. Runoff and 
flash flooding of low lying areas is expected to continue through 
early evening. 

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water 
crossings... Route N at The Maries River east of Brinktown... Route 
HH in Tuscumbia... Route K at Atwell Creek 5 miles southeast of 
Iberia... Highway 52 at Coon Creek 3 miles northeast of Tuscumbia... 
and Route Z at Blue Spring Creek southeast of Rocky Mount.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3853 9275 3843 9262 3843 9241 3834 9240
      3832 9224 3834 9220 3829 9219 3826 9188
      3812 9179 3806 9195 3783 9240 3786 9241
      3785 9243 3790 9255 3817 9270 3828 9292
      3856 9293

$$

Terry

643 
WGUS73 KSGF 172128
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
428 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

MOC029-125-131-141-169-172137-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-190617T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Maries MO-Miller MO-Pulaski MO-Camden MO-Morgan MO-
428 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN MARIES...MILLER...NORTHWESTERN
PULASKI...NORTHEASTERN CAMDEN AND CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected to 
pose a threat to life or property. However flooding of low lying 
areas will continue through much of the evening and overnight 
hours. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3853 9275 3843 9262 3843 9241 3834 9240
      3832 9224 3834 9220 3829 9219 3826 9188
      3812 9179 3806 9195 3783 9240 3786 9241
      3785 9243 3790 9255 3817 9270 3828 9292
      3856 9293

$$

Terry

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1143 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

An area of showers with a few rumbles of thunder continues to
transition across portion of southeast Kansas and west central
Missouri this morning. This area of activity is associated with a
quick moving wave of energy coming out of Southern Plains. Given
the lack of both a strong thermodynamic and dynamic environment,
there is no associated risk for severe weather. However, it
should be noted that this area of showers is moving across a
rather soggy southeast Kansas from previous days rain. Thus, any
efficient rainfall could produce additional runoff and minor
flooding issues.

As this shortwave energy continues to translate through the
region through the early morning hours, scattered showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible. It appears the best chance for
showers and thunderstorms will exist across the eastern half of
the CWA through the afternoon and early evening. This will be a
focus for potentially heavy rainfall in slow moving storms along a
boundary and efficient rain producers (PWATs around 1.6). This
activity is expected to dissipate to the east by late Monday
evening. Expect temperatures to climb to around 80 for most of
Monday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

Expect drier conditions through most of the day Tuesday before
additional waves of shortwave energy begin to sweep across the
Central Plains Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Models continue to
differ on timing of this system arriving Tuesday evening, yet are
in a consensus that another complex of showers and thunderstorms
will transition through the region in the Tuesday night through
Wednesday timeframe from west to east. Based on recent model
guidance, there appears to be a marginal risk for strong to severe
storms on Tuesday evening into the overnight hours. This threat
for a few strong to severe storms will need to be reevaluated with
future model guidance. It is anticipated that this activity will
slowly move through the CWA and may linger into the afternoon
hours Wednesday, especially across the eastern half of the region.
Expect temperatures to be in the lower 80s Tuesday and Wednesday.

As heights begin to rise and a ridge develops across the eastern
CONUS into Thursday, expect temperatures to rise into the middle
80s with drier conditions. This trend will continue through
Saturday as highs climb into the upper 80s, possibly pushing 90.

The next chance for rain returns to the region by late Sunday into
Monday as additional waves of shortwave energy look to translate
across the area. However, medium range model guidance are not in
agreement on exact timing, location, and intensity. Looking ahead
through next week, a strong negative PNA teleconnection is
forecast and would suggest a continued wet pattern as repetitive
shortwaves are able to transition through the region with a
supportive Gulf airmass being funneled in. While teleconnections
do not dictate all the factors of forecasting potential future
rainfall, it does provide supportive evidence.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1140 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

For the 18z TAFS...Upper level circulation was over the southwest
CWA late this morning. The heaviest rain with the
showers/thunderstorms has shifted north into central MO. Scattered
redevelopment of showers was taking place south across OK and AR
which may move into southern MO and affect the TAF sites this
afternoon. May see some MVFR conditions towards morning with
stratus and possibly fog developing in the wake of the upper level
system which will be shifting east of the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>096-101>105.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Perez
LONG TERM...Perez
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
830 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-181330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
830 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A slow moving upper level system will interact with very high
  moisture in the area to produce slow moving showers and
  thunderstorms today and this evening across the area. High
  preceipitation rates with these slow moving storms will likely
  cause some flash flooding to occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  A complex of showers and storms will develop to the west of the
  area Tuesday evening and move into the area Tuesday night into
  Wednesday with the potential for strong to severe storms and
  flooding, especially across southeast Kansas and western
  Missouri.

  Additional showers and storms will then return to the area by
  next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1012 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DIAMOND                 37.00N 94.31W
06/17/2019  E4.40 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            MEASURED FROM THE AFTERNOON OF THE 16TH TO
            THE MORNING OF THE 17TH. RELAYED FROM
            FACEBOOK.

&&

MMT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1016 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
06/17/2019  E3.86 INCH       NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED AT THE NEWTON COUNTY EOC.

&&

MMT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1018 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNW NEOSHO            36.89N 94.37W
06/17/2019                   NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HICKORY AND SHOAL CREEKS OUT OF BANKS ON
            NORTH END OF TOWN.

&&

MMT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1143 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W DIAMOND             36.99N 94.35W
06/17/2019                   NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            WATER OVER CARVER ROAD.

&&

MMT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1148 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W DIAMOND             37.00N 94.33W
06/17/2019                   NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            WATER OVER HIGHWAY V.

&&

MMT