Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 286, NWS Blacksburg, VA

October 31, 20195 counties in Virginia; Greenbrier County, Mercer County, Summers County, West Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 31, 2019, 1:32 PM EDT for 5 counties in Virginia; Greenbrier County, Mercer County, Summers County, West Virginia. It was in force for 73 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2019, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2019, 2:45 PM EDT
In force
73 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Bland County, VA, Giles County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 31, 12:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 50 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 270 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
50 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 31, 10:19 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 10:19 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 10:25 AM EDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
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        Please try again in a few minutes.
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 31, 9:14 AM EDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
914 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

VAZ017-032-033-311345-
Franklin-Patrick-Floyd-
914 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN FLOYD...CENTRAL PATRICK
AND SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 914 AM EDT, a thunderstorm was located over Meadows Of Dan, or
near Woolwine, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Floyd...
Woolwine...
Ferrum...
Terrys Fork...
Endicott...
Meadows Of Dan...
and Mabry Mill.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3665 8049 3670 8045 3671 8047 3704 8033
      3708 8028 3698 7995 3660 8039
TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 212DEG 40KT 3673 8039

PW
Special weather statement, Oct 31, 10:19 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1019 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCZ002-003-VAZ016-032-311445-
Surry-Alleghany-Patrick-Carroll-
1019 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL ALLEGHANY AND
NORTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...CARROLL
AND WEST CENTRAL PATRICK COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...

At 1019 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Roaring Gap,
or near Mountain Park, moving northeast at 65 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hillsville...
Fancy Gap...
Cana...
Mountain Park...
Bottom...
Dugspur...
and Laurel Fork.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3642 8101 3656 8093 3656 8084 3662 8089
      3688 8074 3677 8051 3671 8046 3634 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 1419Z 213DEG 56KT 3645 8093

PW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 4:40 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKPittsylvania35 min
Oct 31, 4:48 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Craig, Roanoke, Rockbridge and 5 more5 hr
Oct 31, 4:48 AM EDTWind AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 27 more28 hr
Oct 31, 9:14 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKFloyd31 min
Oct 31, 9:55 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Carroll, Floyd, Grayson and 8 more19 hr
Oct 31, 10:19 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKCarroll26 min
Oct 31, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Giles, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe90 min
Oct 31, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCraig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford40 min
Oct 31, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Craig, City of Covington86 min
Oct 31, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke, City of Radford60 min
Oct 31, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax47 min
Oct 31, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin27 min
Oct 31, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, City of Lynchburg65 min
Oct 31, 5:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Montgomery, Pulaski, City of Galax, City of Radford112 min
Oct 31, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Patrick33 min
Oct 31, 6:27 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem68 min
Oct 31, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville40 min
Oct 31, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax54 min
Oct 31, 7:27 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax48 min
Oct 31, 7:29 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax36 min
Oct 31, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes75 min
Oct 31, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham45 min
Oct 31, 6:37 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham39 min
Oct 31, 6:52 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCaswell23 min
Oct 31, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell30 min
Oct 31, 2:26 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKGreenbrier34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.