Alert archive / California / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 7, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this river flood warning at Feb 13, 2019, 8:46 PM PST for Monterey County, California. It took effect at Feb 14, 2019, 11:20 AM PST. It was in force for 20 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 13, 2019, 8:46 PM PST (04:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 14, 2019, 11:20 AM PST
- Expired
- Mar 6, 2019, 8:46 PM PST
- In force
- 20 days
- Issued by
- NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Monterey County, CA
The radar
The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Carmel River at Robles Del Rio (RDRC1). The gauge peaked at 9.12 ft at Feb 14, 2019, 3:00 PM PST.
- Action stage
- 7.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 8.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 11 ft
- Major stage
- 13 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 11143200, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
969
WGUS46 KMTR 140446
FLWMTR
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area, CA
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
...The National Weather Service in the SF/Monterey Bay Area has
issued a flood warning for the following rivers in California...
Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
California...
Napa River near St Helena
Napa River near Napa
Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
.Heavy rain throughout much of the day along with additional rainfall
over the next 24 hours will cause the Napa, Russian, Guadalupe and
Carmel Rivers to rapidly rise through Friday morning.
CAC053-150445-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FL.W.0007.190214T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RDRC1.1.ER.190214T2000Z.190214T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
The National Weather Service in the San Francisco Bay Area
has issued a Flood Warning for
The Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
* From Thursday afternoon until further notice
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...5.7 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage to around 8.6 ft around noon
tomorrow.
* At 10.0 feet...South side of Highway 1 bridge access becomes
inundated and impassable. Many low lying homes threatened along
the entire Carmel River. Low lying homes near Camp Steffani
experience substantial flooding and homes near Schulte Road in
danger of flooding. Homes surrounding the Carmel Lagoon area are
in danger of flooding.
* At 8.5 feet...Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles
del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to
flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to
flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 12193 3652 12176 3640 12154 3637 12167
3649 12179 3652 12193
$$
CAC085-150445-
/O.ROU.KMTR.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUDC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
Forecast information for
Guadalupe River above Alamaden Expressway
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...3.9 feet
* No flooding is currently forecast
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 8.1 feet tomorrow morning
* At 8.5 feet...Minor Flood Stage. River begins to overtop upstream
of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge.
* At 7.5 feet...Monitor Stage. Additional flow from Canoas Creek
watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood
stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3732 12188 3726 12183 3719 12184 3724 12195
3727 12190 3732 12188
$$
CAC055-150226-
/O.CON.KMTR.FL.W.0005.190214T1100Z-190215T0226Z/
/SHEC1.3.ER.190214T1100Z.190214T1400Z.190214T1426Z.NR/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Napa River near St Helena
* Until Thursday evening
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...10.4 feet
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and
continue to rise to near 18.7 feet by tomorrow morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Monitor Stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3860 12265 3865 12262 3849 12239 3843 12244
3852 12253 3860 12265
$$
CAC055-150445-
/O.CON.KMTR.FL.W.0003.190214T1900Z-190215T1100Z/
/APCC1.1.ER.190214T1900Z.190214T2100Z.190214T2300Z.NO/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Napa River near Napa
* Until late Thursday night
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...19.5 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage to 25.3 feet around noon
tomorrow.
* At 27.0 feet...In the City of Napa, moderate flooding begins on the
east side of Napa River near Milliken Creek Inn.
* At 26.0 feet...Moderate flooding. In the City of Napa, flow begins
to leave the Napa River channel in the South Coombs area (north of
Imola Avenue) and the south oxbow (near Taylor Street). Crop losses
and erosion damage become serious. Moderate flood damage in lower
parts of urban areas along the reach. Transportation in the Napa
Valley becoming difficult. The flood of 2/3/1998 measured 26.72
feet.
* At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage. Flooding of lowest parts of towns in
reach begins. Inundation of lowest agricultural land in Napa
Valley. Some secondary roads are inundated. Moderate damage from
bank erosion and sediment deposition throughout the reach.
* At 24.0 feet...In the City of Napa, flow begins to leave the Napa
River channel at Riverpointe (north of Lincoln Avenue).
* At 22.0 feet...Monitor Stage. In the City of Napa, the Napa River
Dry Bypass is fully inundated and flow begins to cross McKinstry
Street.
* At 20.0 feet...Erosion of lowest agricultural areas along river
begins.
&&
LAT...LON 3845 12246 3849 12239 3832 12225 3810 12227
3814 12239 3834 12237
$$
CAC097-150445-
/O.ROU.KMTR.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HEAC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
Forecast information for
Russian River near Healdsburg
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...14.3 feet
* No flooding is currently forecast
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 20.1 feet tomorrow evening.
&&
LAT...LON 3853 12288 3868 12290 3884 12308 3885 12300
3863 12273 3848 12286
$$
CAC097-150445-
/O.CON.KMTR.FL.W.0006.190215T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUEC1.1.ER.190215T0000Z.190215T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
* Until further notice
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was...24.0 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and
continue to rise to near 34.0 feet by late tomorrow evening.
additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 36.0 feet...In Forestville Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel
trailer park flood. In Guerneville Fern Road at HWY 116 floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Brookside Resort begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Sonoma West Inn begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 34.0 feet...In Guerneville flooding begins at Johnsons Resort,
Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort and Riverside Park. In Northwood
lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
* At 33.0 feet...In Guerneville the intersection of HWY 116 and Drake
Rd is closed. In Monte Rio Willow and Alder Streets flood. In
Forestville Mirabel trailer park begins to flood.
* At 32.5 feet...In Guerneville the intersecton of HWY 116 and Neeley
Rd is closed. Mays Canyon Rd by the old rodeo grounds is closed.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in
Guerneville and Old Bohemian Highway in Monte Rio are expected to
flood.
* At 29.0 feet...Monitor stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3846 12314 3854 12300 3852 12287 3848 12284
3847 12298 3841 12310
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Those living, working, or recreating along or near the river should
prepare for flood conditions and be ready to move to higher ground.
Follow emergency official instructions.
Flooding can cause additional hazards like bank collapse and channel
erosion. Avoid areas adjacent to a flooding river. Do not let
children play near floodwaters...especially around culverts and storm
drains.
Do not drive through flood prone areas...low water crossings...or go
around barricades. The road ahead may be undermined or washed out and
the water depth too great to allow your car to cross safely.
For the latest developments listen to NOAA Weather Radio or tune to
your local tv or radio station. Information can also be obtained from
the NWS website at www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr
The next statement will be issued by (...enter date and time...) or
sooner as conditions warrant.
&&4 follow-up statements
432
WGUS86 KMTR 141240
FLSMTR
Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area, CA
440 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
California...
Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
.Rain will continue this morning and will turn to showers this
afternoon. This will result in continued rises on the Carmel River.
Showers will continue tonight into Friday.
CAC053-151230-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0007.190214T1930Z-190215T1230Z/
/RDRC1.1.ER.190214T1930Z.190214T2200Z.190215T0030Z.NO/
440 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
* From noon until late tonight
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by noon and continue
to rise to near 8.9 feet by this afternoon.
* At 8.5 feet...Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles
del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to
flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to
flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 12193 3652 12176 3640 12154 3637 12167
3649 12179 3652 12193
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.
The next statement will be issued by 3 PM Thursday or sooner as
conditions warrant.
&&533
WGUS86 KMTR 141931
FLSMTR
Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area, CA
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
California...
Napa River near St Helena
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
California...
Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
Guadalupe River above Alamaden Expressway
Napa River near Napa
Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
.Rain will continue this afternoon and will turn to showers this
evening. This will result in continued rises on the Carmel River.
Showers will continue tonight into Friday.
CAC053-151230-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0007.190214T1920Z-190215T1230Z/
/RDRC1.1.ER.190214T1622Z.190214T2100Z.190215T0030Z.NO/
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
* Until late tonight
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 8.9 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 9.1 feet by 1PM.
* At 10.0 feet...South side of Highway 1 bridge access becomes
inundated and impassable. Many low lying homes threatened along
the entire Carmel River. Low lying homes near Camp Steffani
experience substantial flooding and homes near Schulte Road in
danger of flooding. Homes surrounding the Carmel Lagoon area are
in danger of flooding.
* At 8.5 feet...Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles
del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to
flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to
flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 12193 3652 12176 3640 12154 3637 12167
3649 12179 3652 12193
$$
CAC085-150704-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190215T0704Z/
/GUDC1.1.ER.190214T1204Z.190214T1245Z.190215T0104Z.UU/
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Guadalupe River above Alamaden Expressway
* From near this noon until this evening
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 6.7 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by near this noon and continue
to rise to near 8.8 feet by near this noon.the river will fall
below flood stage by this evening.
* At 8.5 feet...Minor Flood Stage. River begins to overtop upstream
of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge.
* At 7.5 feet...Monitor Stage. Additional flow from Canoas Creek
watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood
stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3732 12188 3726 12183 3719 12184 3724 12195
3727 12190 3732 12188
$$
CAC055-142001-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190215T0302Z/
/SHEC1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Napa River near St Helena
* Until this evening
* At 11AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet
&&
LAT...LON 3860 12265 3865 12262 3849 12239 3843 12244
3852 12253 3860 12265
$$
CAC055-150906-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190215T0906Z/
/APCC1.1.ER.190214T2000Z.190214T2100Z.190214T2106Z.NO/
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Napa River near Napa
* From near this noon until late tonight
* At 11AM Thursday the stage was 23.3 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by near this noon and continue
to rise to near 25.1 feet by 1PM.
* At 26.0 feet...Moderate flooding. In the City of Napa, flow begins
to leave the Napa River channel in the South Coombs area (north of
Imola Avenue) and the south oxbow (near Taylor Street). Crop losses
and erosion damage become serious. Moderate flood damage in lower
parts of urban areas along the reach. Transportation in the Napa
Valley becoming difficult. The flood of 2/3/1998 measured 26.72
feet.
* At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage. Flooding of lowest parts of towns in
reach begins. Inundation of lowest agricultural land in Napa
Valley. Some secondary roads are inundated. Moderate damage from
bank erosion and sediment deposition throughout the reach.
* At 24.0 feet...In the City of Napa, flow begins to leave the Napa
River channel at Riverpointe (north of Lincoln Avenue).
* At 22.0 feet...Monitor Stage. In the City of Napa, the Napa River
Dry Bypass is fully inundated and flow begins to cross McKinstry
Street.
* At 20.0 feet...Erosion of lowest agricultural areas along river
begins.
&&
LAT...LON 3845 12246 3849 12239 3832 12225 3810 12227
3814 12239 3834 12237
$$
CAC097-151930-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0006.190214T1920Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUEC1.2.ER.190214T1905Z.190215T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
* From near this noon until further notice
* At 11AM Thursday the stage was 32.0 feet
* Moderate flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river has reached flood stage and continue
to rise to near 36.0 feet by early tomorrow morning.
* At 37.0 feet...In Forestville Mirabel Road at River Road floods. In
Guerneville River Road east of Guerneville floods. Mill Street and
5th Street flood. In Monte Rio River Blvd east of Monte Rio floods.
* At 36.0 feet...In Forestville Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel
trailer park flood. In Guerneville Fern Road at HWY 116 floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Brookside Resort begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Sonoma West Inn begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 34.0 feet...In Guerneville flooding begins at Johnsons Resort,
Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort and Riverside Park. In Northwood
lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
* At 33.0 feet...In Guerneville the intersection of HWY 116 and Drake
Rd is closed. In Monte Rio Willow and Alder Streets flood. In
Forestville Mirabel trailer park begins to flood.
* At 32.5 feet...In Guerneville the intersecton of HWY 116 and Neeley
Rd is closed. Mays Canyon Rd by the old rodeo grounds is closed.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in
Guerneville and Old Bohemian Highway in Monte Rio are expected to
flood.
* At 29.0 feet...Monitor stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3846 12314 3854 12300 3852 12287 3848 12284
3847 12298 3841 12310
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.
The next statement will be issued by 3 PM or
sooner as conditions warrant.
&&328
WGUS86 KMTR 142358
FLSMTR
Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area, CA
358 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
California...
Guadalupe River above Alamaden Expressway
Napa River near Napa
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
California...
Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
.Continued runoff from recent heavy rains is resulting in ongoing
river rises at some locations, while others are starting to recede.
CAC053-151152-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190215T1152Z/
/RDRC1.1.ER.190214T1622Z.190214T2300Z.190214T2352Z.NO/
358 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning
continues for
The Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
* Until late tonight
* At 3PM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* At 8.5 feet...Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles
del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to
flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to
flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 12193 3652 12176 3640 12154 3637 12167
3649 12179 3652 12193
$$
CAC085-150028-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190215T0704Z/
/GUDC1.1.ER.190214T1204Z.190214T1245Z.190214T1342Z.UU/
358 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Guadalupe River above Alamaden Expressway
* At 3PM Thursday the stage was 7.2 feet
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* At 7.5 feet...Monitor Stage. Additional flow from Canoas Creek
watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood
stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3732 12188 3726 12183 3719 12184 3724 12195
3727 12190 3732 12188
$$
CAC055-150028-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190215T0906Z/
/APCC1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
358 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Napa River near Napa
* At 3PM Thursday the stage was 23.4 feet
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet
* At 24.0 feet...In the City of Napa, flow begins to leave the Napa
River channel at Riverpointe (north of Lincoln Avenue).
* At 22.0 feet...Monitor Stage. In the City of Napa, the Napa River
Dry Bypass is fully inundated and flow begins to cross McKinstry
Street.
* At 20.0 feet...Erosion of lowest agricultural areas along river
begins.
&&
LAT...LON 3845 12246 3849 12239 3832 12225 3810 12227
3814 12239 3834 12237
$$
CAC097-152357-
/O.CON.KMTR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUEC1.2.ER.190214T1903Z.190215T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
358 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
* Until further notice
* At 3PM Thursday the stage was 33.3 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 35.8 feet by 1 AM.
* At 36.0 feet...In Forestville Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel
trailer park flood. In Guerneville Fern Road at HWY 116 floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Brookside Resort begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Sonoma West Inn begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 34.0 feet...In Guerneville flooding begins at Johnsons Resort,
Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort and Riverside Park. In Northwood
lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
* At 33.0 feet...In Guerneville the intersection of HWY 116 and Drake
Rd is closed. In Monte Rio Willow and Alder Streets flood. In
Forestville Mirabel trailer park begins to flood.
* At 32.5 feet...In Guerneville the intersecton of HWY 116 and Neeley
Rd is closed. Mays Canyon Rd by the old rodeo grounds is closed.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in
Guerneville and Old Bohemian Highway in Monte Rio are expected to
flood.
* At 29.0 feet...Monitor stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3846 12314 3854 12300 3852 12287 3848 12284
3847 12298 3841 12310
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.
The next statement will be issued by 9 PM tonight or
sooner as conditions warrant.
&&272
WGUS86 KMTR 150528
FLSMTR
Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area, CA
928 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
California...
Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
California..
Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
.Continued runoff from recent heavy rains is resulting in ongoing
flooding along the lower Russian River, while most other rivers
continue to recede.
CAC053-150558-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190215T1152Z/
/RDRC1.1.ER.190214T1622Z.190214T2300Z.190215T0406Z.NO/
928 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Carmel River at Robles Del Rio
* At 08:15 PM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet
* Forecast to continue receding
* At 8.5 feet...Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles
del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to
flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to
flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 12193 3652 12176 3640 12154 3637 12167
3649 12179 3652 12193
$$
CAC097-160528-
/O.CON.KMTR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUEC1.2.ER.190214T1903Z.190215T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM PST Thu Feb 14 2019
The Flood Warning continues for
The Russian River at Johnsons Beach near Guerneville
* Until further notice
* At 08 PM Thursday the stage was 34.3 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 35.1 feet by early Friday
morning then begin falling.
* At 36.0 feet...In Forestville Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel
trailer park flood. In Guerneville Fern Road at HWY 116 floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Brookside Resort begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 35.0 feet...Moderate flooding is forecast along the lower
Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest
sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In
Guerneville Sonoma West Inn begins to flood. More extensive
flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive
floods.
* At 34.0 feet...In Guerneville flooding begins at Johnsons Resort,
Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort and Riverside Park. In Northwood
lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
* At 33.0 feet...In Guerneville the intersection of HWY 116 and Drake
Rd is closed. In Monte Rio Willow and Alder Streets flood. In
Forestville Mirabel trailer park begins to flood.
* At 32.5 feet...In Guerneville the intersecton of HWY 116 and Neeley
Rd is closed. Mays Canyon Rd by the old rodeo grounds is closed.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in
Guerneville and Old Bohemian Highway in Monte Rio are expected to
flood.
* At 29.0 feet...Monitor stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3846 12314 3854 12300 3852 12287 3848 12284
3847 12298 3841 12310
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.
The next statement will be issued by 3:00 AM Friday or
sooner as conditions warrant.
&&What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 13, 4:20 PM PST, 4 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 4:20 PM PST, 4 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
420 PM PST Wed Feb 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS...While there will be a brief lull in precipitation for
most urban areas this afternoon, another round of widespread
rainfall is expected over the region tonight into Thursday morning.
Moderate to heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected with the
potential for isolated thunderstorms. These conditions will result
in an increase in flooding region-wide along with downed trees and
isolated to scattered power outages. Showers will then linger into
the first half of the weekend along with cooler temperatures.
&&
.DISCUSSION...as of 02:57 PM PST Wednesday...Recent radar and
satellite trends are showing the break lull in precipitation
across the region as anticipated. However, strong southwest flow
and deep moisture advection across the region is resulting in
steady rainfall along the coastal ranges and portions of the North
Bay. With rainfall amounts of 0.25" to 0.35" per hour with this
activity, look for ongoing flooding concerns along the coastal
ranges and smaller creeks/streams in these regions. Meanwhile,
aside from a few passing rain showers, drier conditions will
continue most valleys and urban areas outside of the North Bay
through the afternoon hours. In addition to the rainfall, strong
and gusty winds persist along the coast and in the region's higher
elevations. With this, a High Wind Warning for these areas and
Wind Advisory for lower elevations and inland areas will continue.
Given the saturated soils region-wide, the threat for downed
trees and isolated to scattered power outages will continue.
Another up-tick in precipitation is expected late tonight over the
North Bay which will then spread southward through Thursday morning.
As the rainfall increases in coverage and intensity, widespread
flooding will likely become a greater concerns. The greatest threat
for flooding will be in the North Bay and along the coastal ranges
through midday Thursday. As this next mid/upper level disturbance
approaches the region tonight into Thursday morning, the threat for
isolated thunderstorms will also exist. The greatest concern from
this will be strong gusty winds and brief downpours which will only
increase the threat for flooding. Another round of strong winds is
also expected during this timeframe again with the forecast models
showing indicating another shot of damaging winds over areas such as
the southern portion of the Monterey Peninsula. Coastal flooding
will also be an issue around the San Francisco Bay Shoreline
including portions of Marin County around high tide Thursday morning
(~6 AM PST) as a result of storm surge and runoff.
Additional rainfall through Thursday morning will range from 2-4" in
the North Bay, 0.5-1.5" in the Bay Area, 0.5-1" in the South Bay and
Monterey Bay Region with coastal areas picking up 4-6" (locally up
to 8" in the highest coastal peaks). In wake of the passing system,
cooler and showery conditions will continue into Friday and
Saturday. Colder air advection will also lower snow levels to
between 3,000-4,000 feet resulting in light snow in the region's
higher peaks/ridges. Drier conditions develop by Saturday afternoon
with precipitation coming to an end by Sunday afternoon. Seasonably
cool conditions are likely early next week with overnight lows
dropping into the 30s and 40s.
Medium range models keep a cool, unsettled pattern over the region
for the middle of next week with the potential for some rain showers
and lower snow levels. At this time, not expecting widespread heavy
precipitation however. Will continue to monitor the forecast
solutions in the coming days and fine tune this portion of the
forecast period as we wrap up our current system.
&&
.AVIATION...As of 4:20 PM PST Wednesday...MVFR cigs in the SFO
Bay Area with areas of lower cigs in the North Bay. Currently
there is a short break in the rain but another frontal system will
be arriving tonight. Focus of the rain is on the North Bay but light
to moderate rain can be expected in the SFO and MRY Bay Area late
tonight and Thursday morning. Rain turns to showers during the
daylight morning hours. Very gusty conditions all the way through
Thursday with the strongest winds on Thursday.
Vicinity of KSFO...Currently a break in the rain but it will
return after 04Z. Winds continue southeasterly through Thursday
morning. Gusts to 25 kt increasing to 30-40 kt after 10Z. An
Airport Weather Warning may be needed tomorrow.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Rain shadowing will keep VFR conditions
but with gusty winds to 25-30 kt. Winds will pick up again after
04Z as another system approaches but rain shadowing will keep
precip limited until the frontal boundary gets close late tonight.
&&
.MARINE...as of 03:58 PM PST Wednesday...Dangerous conditions will
persist over the coastal waters with widespread gale force winds
and occasional storm force gusts up to 60 kt. These strong winds
will result in steep wind wave, fresh swell and a chaotic sea
state. Winds will gradually diminish Thursday afternoon.
Northwest swells will continue to impact the waters through the
forecast period with a large northwest swell arriving Thursday
into Friday.. Mariners are urged to use extra caution at least
through Thursday.
&&
.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.Tngt...High Wind Warning...CAZ006-505-507>509-511-512-517-518-529-
530
Flash Flood Watch...CAZ006-505>509-511>513-516-517-528>530
Wind Advisory...CAZ506-510-513-516-528
Coastal Flood Advisory...CAZ006-505-506-508
GLW...Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm
GLW...Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm
GLW...Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm
GLW...Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm
GLW...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm
GLW...Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm
SCA...SF Bay until 3 AM
SCA...Mry Bay until 3 AM
GLW...SF Bay from 3 AM
GLW...Mry Bay from 3 AM
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST: RGass
AVIATION: W Pi
MARINE: MM
Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco
Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea
www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea
www.youtube.com/nwsbayareaIn the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 13, 5:25 PM PST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
525 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0524 PM FLOOD 1 N DEER PARK 38.54N 122.47W
02/13/2019 NAPA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT
POT HOLE / RT LANE / ASPHALT IS NOW FLOATING
IN FLOODED AREAS.
&&
WPLocal storm report, Feb 13, 5:54 PM PST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
554 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0553 PM FLOOD MILL VALLEY 37.91N 122.54W
02/13/2019 MARIN CA PUBLIC
WATER FROM COYOTE CREEK IS SPILLING INTO
ROSS DRIVE IN MILL VALLEY. THE FLOOD CONTROL
ENGINEER SAYS THE GROUND IS SO SATURATED
THAT ALL OF THIS IS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL.
&&
WPLocal storm report, Feb 13, 6:22 PM PST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
622 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0532 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE LOS GATOS 37.20N 121.95W
02/13/2019 M60 MPH SANTA CLARA CA MESONET
LOS GATOS RAWS.
&&
WPLocal storm report, Feb 13, 6:47 PM PST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
647 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0646 PM FLOOD 1 W GUERNEVILLE 38.51N 123.00W
02/13/2019 SONOMA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT
CHP PUT UP ROAD CLOSED SIGNS.MILL CT/MILL
ST.
&&
WPLocal storm report, Feb 13, 7:11 PM PST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
711 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE DEL MONTE FOREST 36.60N 121.94W
02/13/2019 MONTEREY CA PUBLIC
DOWN TREE IN RESIDENTIAL AREA (1338 LINCOLN
AVE. PACIFIC GROVE, CA) SENT PICTURES.
&&
CWLocal storm report, Feb 13, 7:13 PM PST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
713 PM PST WED FEB 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0712 PM FLOOD 1 ESE LUCAS VALLEY-MARI 38.03N 122.54W
02/13/2019 MARIN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT
APPROX 6 INCHES OF WATER / BOTH EB AND WB
LANES OF LUCAS VALLEY RD UNDER HWY 101.
&&
WPThe office that day
Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 4:46 PM PST | Areal Flood Warning | MTR | Sonoma | 27 hr |
| Feb 13, 5:46 PM PST | River Flood Warning | MTR | Sonoma | 49 hr |
| Feb 13, 5:59 PM PST | Areal Flood Warning | MTR | Marin | 3 hr |
| Feb 13, 6:56 PM PST | Areal Flood Advisory | MTR | City and County of San Francisco, San Mateo | 3 hr |
| Feb 13, 8:46 PM PST | Areal Flood Warning | MTR | Marin | 18 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | MTR | Santa Clara | 14 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:55 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory for Rough Bar | MTR | 14 hr | |
| Feb 14, 4:58 AM PST | Areal Flood Advisory | MTR | Monterey | 8 hr |
| Feb 14, 7:31 AM PST | Areal Flood Warning | MTR | Sonoma | 6 hr |
| Feb 14, 10:37 AM PST | Areal Flood Advisory | MTR | Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, City and County of San Francisco, San Mateo and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:38 PM PST | Small Craft Advisory | MTR | 8 days | |
| Feb 14, 2:39 PM PST | Coastal Flood Advisory | MTR | Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Monterey, Napa, City and County of San Francisco and 4 more | 19 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:39 PM PST | High Surf Advisory | MTR | Marin, Monterey, City and County of San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Cruz, Sonoma | 54 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in California, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.