Alert archive / Minnesota / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Twin Cities, MN

July 16, 2019Blue Earth County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2019, 1:53 PM CDT for Blue Earth County, Minnesota. It was in force for 82 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2019, 1:53 PM CDT (18:53 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2019, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
82 min
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN

County Blue Earth County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 369 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 259 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -81 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
259 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
836 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 16, 12:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 12:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 12:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1225 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
171730-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
1225 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota...and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and
evening, mainly south of the Minnesota River Valley. Additional
thunderstorms are possible overnight tonight, mainly west of
Interstate 35. A few of the strongest storms this afternoon and
tonight could be severe with large hail and damaging wind gusts
being the primary threats. Locally heavy rainfall is possible with
any of the thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms Wednesday and
Wednesday night, with large hail, damaging wind gusts, and
isolated tornadoes possible. Locally excessive rainfall is also a
possibility with thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night.

There is a chance for additional thunderstorms from late Thursday
though the weekend, with a few severe storms possible over that
time period along with locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed over south central
Minnesota this afternoon.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 16, 8:59 AM CDT, 4 hours 54 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:04 AM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:06 AM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:12 AM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 1:53 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
153 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

MNC013-162015-
Blue Earth-
153 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING EXPECTED...

Thunderstorms with heavy rain will cause minor flooding in the
following counties...

Blue Earth...

* Until 315 PM CDT.

* At 151 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
  the area. One to one and half inches of rain has already fallen,
  on top of saturated ground from yesterday's storms. Storms will
  slowly move east of the area by 2:45 pm.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Mankato, North Mankato, Eagle Lake, St. Clair, Good Thunder and
  Skyline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4421 9386 4405 9384 4400 9410 4414 9411

CCS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 7:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXHennepin3 hr
Jul 15, 7:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXDakota, Hennepin, Ramsey3 hr
Jul 15, 7:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXGoodhue59 min
Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice48 min
Jul 15, 7:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXBlue Earth, Rice, Waseca41 min
Jul 15, 7:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXScott3 hr
Jul 15, 8:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXGoodhue27 min
Jul 15, 8:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXSteele, Waseca55 min
Jul 15, 9:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXBlue Earth, Rice29 min
Jul 15, 9:10 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBlue Earth, Waseca35 min
Jul 15, 9:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXBlue Earth, Waseca52 min
Jul 15, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Waseca40 min
Jul 16, 3:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXRamsey83 min
Jul 16, 4:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXHennepin, Ramsey2 hr
Jul 16, 4:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXHennepin25 min
Jul 15, 7:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXChippewa, Rusk75 min
Jul 15, 7:20 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXRusk25 min
Jul 15, 7:46 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXRusk29 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Minnesota, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.