Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

August 7, 2019Cross County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this special weather statement at Aug 7, 2019, 4:36 PM CDT for Cross County, Arkansas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2019, 4:36 PM CDT (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN

County Cross County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 7, 3:48 PM CDT, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 3:48 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
348 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Northwest flow aloft to continue over the Midsouth through the
weekend, between an upper level ridge centered over the southern
plains and a low amplitude trof over the eastern third of the
U.S.. Storms will be possible just about any time, but medium
range models continue to point toward a storm complex dropping
from the Missouri valley into the Midsouth late Thursday night.
This even appears initially associated with a synoptic wave over
the central plains.

Model-blended guidance, even short term blends, under-forecast
surface dewpoints today. Given the persistent pattern Thursday,
potentially with fewer afternoon storms, 105 degree heat index
values appear a good be. After coordination with surrounding
offices, the heat advisory has been through Thursday evening at 8
PM CDT.

The southern plains upper ridge will expand east by Sunday, with
main storm track to our north over the Ohio Valley. Low level
moisture will remain sufficient over the Midsouth to support a few
mainly daytime thunderstorms.

ECMWF/GFS/Canadian models drop the upper ridge axis back to the
southeast over TX and the middle gulf coast by Wednesday. A cold
frontal passage will bring increase chances of rain Tuesday
night, followed by slight relief from the humidity on Wednesday
for areas north of I-40.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF cycle

VFR conditions should continue for much of the forecast period. A
small area of thunderstorms has begun to move into northern
sections of the Mid-South with more thunderstorms expected to move
into the region this afternoon. Winds will be mainly from the
southwest at around 5 knots for most of the forecast period.

ARS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Thursday for Crittenden-Cross-Lee
     AR-Phillips-St. Francis.

MO...None.
MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Thursday for Coahoma-DeSoto-Panola-
     Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha.

TN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Thursday for Shelby.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 12:26 PM CDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 3:36 PM CDT, 1 hour before
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Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:50 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:16 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:29 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:36 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 12:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGAlcorn, Tippah42 min
Aug 7, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah50 min
Aug 7, 2:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGTippah43 min
Aug 7, 3:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLee40 min
Aug 7, 4:06 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryMEGCoahoma, DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate and 2 more32 hr
Aug 7, 5:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo3 hr
Aug 7, 5:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGDeSoto46 min
Aug 7, 5:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMarshall40 min
Aug 7, 5:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo47 min
Aug 7, 5:37 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo113 min
Aug 7, 5:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGBenton50 min
Aug 7, 5:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMarshall42 min
Aug 7, 5:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGDeSoto31 min
Aug 7, 6:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGTunica24 min
Aug 7, 6:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMarshall32 min
Aug 7, 6:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGItawamba41 min
Aug 7, 6:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGItawamba, Prentiss33 min
Aug 7, 6:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGBenton30 min
Aug 7, 6:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLafayette25 min
Aug 6, 8:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGHenry37 min
Aug 6, 8:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGObion29 min
Aug 6, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lake, Obion, Weakley35 min
Aug 6, 9:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGGibson28 min
Aug 6, 10:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrockett26 min
Aug 6, 11:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMadison29 min
Aug 7, 3:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMcNairy47 min
Aug 7, 4:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMcNairy48 min
Aug 7, 3:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGShelby24 min
Aug 7, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLauderdale, Tipton44 min
Aug 7, 4:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGTipton31 min
Aug 7, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Shelby50 min
Aug 7, 5:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrockett, Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton44 min
Aug 7, 5:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGFayette52 min
Aug 7, 5:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGHenderson, Madison36 min
Aug 6, 7:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGClay35 min
Aug 6, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene26 min
Aug 6, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi33 min
Aug 6, 8:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi25 min
Aug 6, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene46 min
Aug 7, 2:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGPoinsett45 min
Aug 7, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett33 min
Aug 7, 3:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGPoinsett27 min
Aug 7, 3:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGGreene30 min
Aug 7, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross27 min
Aug 7, 4:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGPemiscot31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.