Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 51, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 21, 2019Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this tornado warning at Jun 21, 2019, 6:14 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 21, 2019, 6:14 PM CDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired: Jun 21, 2019, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 1.25 in

County Pecos County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1145 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -297 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2345 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

394 
WFUS54 KMAF 212314
TORMAF
TXC371-212345-
/O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0051.190621T2314Z-190621T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
614 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The National Weather Service in MIDLAND has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Pecos County in southwestern Texas...

* Until 645 PM CDT.
    
* At 614 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 17 miles southeast of Fort Stockton, moving northeast
  at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  central Pecos County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 10273 3074 10279 3097 10257 3069 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 238DEG 10KT 3071 10267 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

08

1 follow-up statement

300 
WWUS54 KMAF 212321
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
621 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXC371-212345-
/O.CON.KMAF.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-190621T2345Z/
Pecos TX-
621 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
PECOS COUNTY...
    
At 620 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 19 miles southeast of Fort Stockton, moving northeast at 
5 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
central Pecos County.

# 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 10273 3074 10279 3097 10257 3069 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 273DEG 6KT 3068 10267 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jun 21, 4:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 4:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
425 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Models this forecast cycle remain very consistent, when compared
to previous runs. The upper flow over West Texas and Southeast New
Mexico will continue from the southwest, at least through Sunday
afternoon. Then, another upper trough axis will move out of the
southern Rockies and into the Plains. Meanwhile, some convection
may develop along and near a dryline; thus, this potential,
although a small potential, deserves at least 20 PoPs, for mainly
our eastern counties this evening, as well as Saturday and Sunday
evenings. Otherwise, for this next work week, the forecast is
mainly dry, except for perhaps afternoon convection over the Davis
Mountains a couple of days.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry and breezy conditions are expected to develop behind a dryline
this afternoon with minimum relative humidity dropping to 8-15
percent across the Guadalupe Mountains and the southeast New
Mexico Plains. Despite ERC values mainly in the 25 to 50th
percentile, RFTI's will likely range from 3 to 5. Similar
conditions may develop Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     73  96  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
Carlsbad                       66  99  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         75  97  74  96 /  20  10  20  10
Fort Stockton                  71  98  70  96 /  10  10  20   0
Guadalupe Pass                 65  91  63  87 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                          66  96  64  92 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          58  91  54  89 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           74  99  72  96 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         72  99  71  96 /  10  10  10   0
Wink                           69 101  68  98 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 2:42 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-222000-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
245 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019 /145 PM MDT Fri Jun 21 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening from the
Permian Basin southwestward across the Trans Pecos to the Davis
Mountains and Big Bend Area. A few storms may become strong to
severe with large hail and damaging winds.

Dry and breezy conditions will result in near critical fire
weather conditions today through early this evening in the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains and the southeast New Mexico
Plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 5:19 PM CDT, 55 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
519 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ048-212245-
Scurry TX-
519 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SCURRY COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

At 519 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Snyder, moving north at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Scurry
County, including the following locations... Hudd.

LAT...LON 3271 10074 3275 10098 3296 10098 3297 10095
      3296 10066 3294 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 187DEG 17KT 3282 10087

Daniels

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 5:54 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
554 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ061-062-212345-
Midland TX-Ector TX-
554 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ECTOR AND MIDLAND
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 553 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Midland, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Midland, Odessa, Greenwood, Midland International Air and Space Port,
Cotton Flat, Mission Dorado, Warfield, Midland Airpark, Pleasant
Farms and Skywest Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3168 10197 3166 10241 3209 10224 3207 10177
      3203 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 224DEG 37KT 3181 10199

08

Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:03 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
603 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             10 WSW HUDD             32.87N 100.83W
06/21/2019  E1.50 INCH       SCURRY             TX   PUBLIC

&&

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 6:03 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ279-282-212345-
Central Brewster County TX-Lower Brewster County TX-
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 645
PM CDT...

At 603 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northeast of Persimmon Gap, or 32 miles southeast of Marathon,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Brewster
County.

LAT...LON 2960 10298 2983 10323 3020 10285 2990 10247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 239DEG 20KT 2978 10303

Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:08 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
608 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             13 E FORT STOCKTON      30.89N 102.67W
06/21/2019  M1.00 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:09 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     HAIL             8 S ODESSA              31.73N 102.35W
06/21/2019  E0.88 INCH       ECTOR              TX   PUBLIC

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 21, 3:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	43 min
Jun 21, 4:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	40 min
Jun 21, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		47 min
Jun 21, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	27 min
Jun 21, 4:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	39 min
Jun 21, 4:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	52 min
Jun 21, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	47 min
Jun 21, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Terrell	32 min
Jun 21, 5:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	26 min
Jun 21, 5:24 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Pecos	111 min
Jun 21, 5:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos	3 hr
Jun 21, 5:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Scurry	49 min
Jun 21, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	44 min
Jun 21, 5:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	51 min
Jun 21, 6:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Midland	45 min
Jun 21, 6:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	42 min
Jun 21, 6:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	23 min
Jun 21, 6:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	32 min
Jun 21, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	45 min
Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	43 min
Jun 21, 6:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	50 min
Jun 21, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Martin	11 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Texas, 2019 Every tornado warning in 2019 Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.