Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 21, 2019Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 21, 2019, 6:55 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2019, 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2019, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
2.5 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Pecos County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1145 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1145 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-297 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2345 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...

Look for VFR conditions to continue through 00Z Sunday. Some
thunderstorms will continue into this evening; however, timing and
location confidence too low to include any thunderstorms in any
of the terminals, except VCTS in the Fort Stockton terminal, until
02Z this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX/

DISCUSSION...

Models this forecast cycle remain very consistent, when compared
to previous runs. The upper flow over West Texas and Southeast New
Mexico will continue from the southwest, at least through Sunday
afternoon. Then, another upper trough axis will move out of the
southern Rockies and into the Plains. Meanwhile, some convection
may develop along and near a dryline; thus, this potential,
although a small potential, deserves at least 20 PoPs, for mainly
our eastern counties this evening, as well as Saturday and Sunday
evenings. Otherwise, for this next work week, the forecast is
mainly dry, except for perhaps afternoon convection over the Davis
Mountains a couple of days.

FIRE WEATHER...

Dry and breezy conditions are expected to develop behind a dryline
this afternoon with minimum relative humidity dropping to 8-15
percent across the Guadalupe Mountains and the southeast New
Mexico Plains. Despite ERC values mainly in the 25 to 50th
percentile, RFTI's will likely range from 3 to 5. Similar
conditions may develop Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     73  96  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
Carlsbad                       66  99  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         75  97  74  96 /  20  10  20  10
Fort Stockton                  71  98  70  96 /  10  10  20   0
Guadalupe Pass                 65  91  63  87 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                          66  96  64  92 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          58  91  54  89 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           74  99  72  96 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         72  99  71  96 /  10  10  10   0
Wink                           69 101  68  98 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 2:42 PM CDT, 4 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-222000-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
245 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019 /145 PM MDT Fri Jun 21 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening from the
Permian Basin southwestward across the Trans Pecos to the Davis
Mountains and Big Bend Area. A few storms may become strong to
severe with large hail and damaging winds.

Dry and breezy conditions will result in near critical fire
weather conditions today through early this evening in the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains and the southeast New Mexico
Plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 6:03 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ279-282-212345-
Central Brewster County TX-Lower Brewster County TX-
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 645
PM CDT...

At 603 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northeast of Persimmon Gap, or 32 miles southeast of Marathon,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Brewster
County.

LAT...LON 2960 10298 2983 10323 3020 10285 2990 10247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 239DEG 20KT 2978 10303
Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:08 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
608 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             13 E FORT STOCKTON      30.89N 102.67W
06/21/2019  M1.00 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:09 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     HAIL             8 S ODESSA              31.73N 102.35W
06/21/2019  E0.88 INCH       ECTOR              TX   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:29 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 21, 6:42 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
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<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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Special weather statement, Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ051-052-220030-
Martin TX-Howard TX-
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HOWARD AND EASTERN MARTIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 646 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Stanton, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Vealmoor around 720 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Knott, Fairview,
Courtney, Brown and Stanton Municipal Aiport.

LAT...LON 3209 10165 3209 10198 3252 10187 3252 10139
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 206DEG 40KT 3219 10178

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 3:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos43 min
Jun 21, 4:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos40 min
Jun 21, 4:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF47 min
Jun 21, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster27 min
Jun 21, 4:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos39 min
Jun 21, 4:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFMitchell52 min
Jun 21, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos47 min
Jun 21, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Terrell32 min
Jun 21, 5:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFScurry26 min
Jun 21, 5:24 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFPecos111 min
Jun 21, 5:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFPecos3 hr
Jun 21, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFScurry49 min
Jun 21, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos44 min
Jun 21, 5:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFMidland51 min
Jun 21, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEctor, Midland45 min
Jun 21, 6:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster42 min
Jun 21, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningMAFPecos31 min
Jun 21, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster23 min
Jun 21, 6:28 PM CDTTornado WarningMAFPecos32 min
Jun 21, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos45 min
Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFHoward43 min
Jun 21, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Martin11 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.