Tornado Warning 20, NWS Lubbock, TX

753 
WWUS54 KLUB 202108
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
408 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC075-202130-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-190520T2130Z/
Childress TX-
408 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CHILDRESS COUNTY...
    
At 407 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Kirkland, or 9 miles east of Childress, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Childress and Kirkland. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 10000 3431 10001 3433 10015 3440 10027
      3469 10008 3464 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 225DEG 31KT 3442 10008 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

26

965 
WWUS54 KLUB 202115
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
415 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC075-202130-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-190520T2130Z/
Childress TX-
415 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CHILDRESS COUNTY...
    
At 415 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 5 miles northeast of Kirkland, or 12 miles east of
Childress, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Kirkland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3437 10000 3441 10014 3451 10017 3466 10002
      3464 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 226DEG 26KT 3446 10003 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

26

838 
WWUS54 KLUB 202122
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
422 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC075-202130-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-190520T2130Z/
Childress TX-
422 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL CHILDRESS COUNTY...
    
At 422 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles northeast of Kirkland, or 13 miles south of
Hollis, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Childress County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 10000 3443 10006 3455 10013 3466 10002
      3464 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 225DEG 28KT 3450 9998 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
156 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...
The main focus of today's forecast will be the not-so-secret severe
threat. Skies have already begun to thin out with a cumulus field
forming from southeast to northwest. This will allow the build up of
additional CAPE in which MLCAPE is already sitting at over 3000
J/kg. At the same time the dryline is just now approaching the TX/NM
state line at a slower/later pace than previously shown by short-
term models. This would hint at storms developing further west (west
of Lubbock) than current models are indicating (along/east of the
I27/US87 corridor). The one thing that could hinder westward
development would be mixing occurring across our western zones.
Right now at most this would hinder the extent of the significant
tornado threat, however it would not make it null. There are also
indications of convection trying to develop along the dryline with
light reflectivities showing up near Olton and Anton. Any storm that
develops will have a high probability of becoming severe. Very steep
lapse rates with 0-6km shear in excess of 50 knots will support the
potential for very large hail over 3-4 inches. 12Z soundings at MAF
and AMA revealed 0-1km SRH of 295 to 341 m2/s2 respectively. Current
analysis shows that SRH has decreased somewhat due to surface winds
becoming more southerly, but this does little to deter the threat
for tornadoes. SRH remains higher across the Rolling Plains and
eastern Texas Panhandle where the greatest tornado threat exists.
With abundant shear, helicity, and low LCLs some tornadoes will have
the potential to be violent.

Tomorrow the surface low will pull eastward across KS allowing for a
fairly windy day with near to above advisory level winds across much
of the FA especially across our northwestern zones. We could see
additional bouts of showers and thunderstorms by late week into
early weekend as another upper low digs into the Four Corners
region.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

51/99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1130 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXZ021>044-210430-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1130 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms including significant
tornadoes continues to be likely this afternoon and evening,
generally along and east of a line from Dimmitt to
Brownfield. The atmosphere will destabilize this afternoon east
of a dryline expected to stall across the central South Plains.
Supercells are likely to develop early to mid afternoon east of
the dryline and will race northeast at speeds of 45 to 50 mph.
These storms will be capable of producing long lived tornadoes,
giant hail to softball size, and damaging winds of 70 mph or more.
Later this evening, a large squall line is expected to develop on
the Caprock and sweep east accompanied by all modes of severe
weather, including flooding.

Today we advise those in West Texas to maintain high situational
awareness of the weather around them and understand that today's
environment will support rapid storm intensification and likely
produce high-end severe weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong westerly winds of 30 to 40 mph with higher gusts are
expected over much of the region on Tuesday. Beginning
Wednesday night and continuing through Sunday, daily chances
for severe storms are expected as an active pattern resumes
across much of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
217 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0213 PM     HAIL             8 WSW DUMONT            33.76N 100.65W
05/20/2019  E0.88 INCH       DICKENS            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900360

CWA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
225 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     HAIL             MCADOO                  33.73N 101.01W
05/20/2019  E1.25 INCH       DICKENS            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900361

JGD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
302 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     TORNADO          4 W PADUCAH             34.01N 100.37W
05/20/2019                   COTTLE             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO BRIEFLY ON THE GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900362

CWA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
303 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TORNADO          4 W PADUCAH             34.01N 100.37W
05/20/2019                   COTTLE             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900363

JGD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
356 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NEW HOME                33.33N 101.91W
05/20/2019  M75 MPH          LYNN               TX   MESONET

            GUSTED TO 63 AND 70 MPH AS WELL

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900364

JGD