Tornado Warning 15, NWS Lubbock, TX

632 
WWUS54 KLUB 201952
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
252 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC345-202030-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190520T2030Z/
Motley TX-
252 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
MOTLEY COUNTY...
    
At 252 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles southeast of Matador, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
eastern Motley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3388 10068 3388 10077 3397 10081 3421 10072
      3409 10052 3396 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 225DEG 30KT 3396 10069 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

26

947 
WWUS54 KLUB 202001
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
301 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC345-202030-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190520T2030Z/
Motley TX-
301 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
MOTLEY COUNTY...
    
At 258 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 10 miles east of Matador, moving northeast at 35 mph. 
The low level rotation has weakened somewhat since 255 pm but the 
environment remains favorable for development.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
eastern Motley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3393 10070 3397 10078 3421 10072 3409 10052
      3396 10052 3393 10058
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 225DEG 30KT 3400 10064 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

26

154 
WWUS54 KLUB 202006
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
306 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC345-202030-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190520T2030Z/
Motley TX-
306 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL MOTLEY COUNTY...
    
At 306 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 13 miles southwest of Cee Vee, or 14 miles east of
Matador, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Motley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 10062 3398 10069 3416 10064 3409 10052
      3401 10052 3399 10055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 222DEG 36KT 3406 10057 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

26

410 
WWUS54 KLUB 202021
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
321 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXC345-202030-
/O.EXP.KLUB.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190520T2030Z/
Motley TX-
321 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MOTLEY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
330 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for northwestern
Texas.

LAT...LON 3396 10062 3398 10069 3416 10064 3409 10052
      3401 10052 3399 10055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 222DEG 36KT 3416 10046 

$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
156 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...
The main focus of today's forecast will be the not-so-secret severe
threat. Skies have already begun to thin out with a cumulus field
forming from southeast to northwest. This will allow the build up of
additional CAPE in which MLCAPE is already sitting at over 3000
J/kg. At the same time the dryline is just now approaching the TX/NM
state line at a slower/later pace than previously shown by short-
term models. This would hint at storms developing further west (west
of Lubbock) than current models are indicating (along/east of the
I27/US87 corridor). The one thing that could hinder westward
development would be mixing occurring across our western zones.
Right now at most this would hinder the extent of the significant
tornado threat, however it would not make it null. There are also
indications of convection trying to develop along the dryline with
light reflectivities showing up near Olton and Anton. Any storm that
develops will have a high probability of becoming severe. Very steep
lapse rates with 0-6km shear in excess of 50 knots will support the
potential for very large hail over 3-4 inches. 12Z soundings at MAF
and AMA revealed 0-1km SRH of 295 to 341 m2/s2 respectively. Current
analysis shows that SRH has decreased somewhat due to surface winds
becoming more southerly, but this does little to deter the threat
for tornadoes. SRH remains higher across the Rolling Plains and
eastern Texas Panhandle where the greatest tornado threat exists.
With abundant shear, helicity, and low LCLs some tornadoes will have
the potential to be violent.

Tomorrow the surface low will pull eastward across KS allowing for a
fairly windy day with near to above advisory level winds across much
of the FA especially across our northwestern zones. We could see
additional bouts of showers and thunderstorms by late week into
early weekend as another upper low digs into the Four Corners
region.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

51/99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1130 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

TXZ021>044-210430-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1130 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms including significant
tornadoes continues to be likely this afternoon and evening,
generally along and east of a line from Dimmitt to
Brownfield. The atmosphere will destabilize this afternoon east
of a dryline expected to stall across the central South Plains.
Supercells are likely to develop early to mid afternoon east of
the dryline and will race northeast at speeds of 45 to 50 mph.
These storms will be capable of producing long lived tornadoes,
giant hail to softball size, and damaging winds of 70 mph or more.
Later this evening, a large squall line is expected to develop on
the Caprock and sweep east accompanied by all modes of severe
weather, including flooding.

Today we advise those in West Texas to maintain high situational
awareness of the weather around them and understand that today's
environment will support rapid storm intensification and likely
produce high-end severe weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong westerly winds of 30 to 40 mph with higher gusts are
expected over much of the region on Tuesday. Beginning
Wednesday night and continuing through Sunday, daily chances
for severe storms are expected as an active pattern resumes
across much of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
217 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0213 PM     HAIL             8 WSW DUMONT            33.76N 100.65W
05/20/2019  E0.88 INCH       DICKENS            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900360

CWA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
225 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     HAIL             MCADOO                  33.73N 101.01W
05/20/2019  E1.25 INCH       DICKENS            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900361

JGD