Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 22, 2019, 11:55 PM CDT for Calhoun County, Jersey County, Illinois; Lincoln County, Saint Charles County, Missouri. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 22, 2019, 11:55 PM CDT (04:55 UTC)
- Expired
- May 23, 2019, 12:30 AM CDT
- In force
- 35 min
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Possible
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Calhoun County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Lincoln County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 20 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 10:26 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -161 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1625 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 67 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 206 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 283 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
468
WUUS53 KLSX 230455
SVRLSX
ILC013-083-MOC113-183-230530-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0079.190523T0455Z-190523T0530Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1155 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Calhoun County in southwestern Illinois...
Jersey County in southwestern Illinois...
North central St. Charles County in east central Missouri...
East central Lincoln County in east central Missouri...
* Until 1230 AM CDT.
* At 1155 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winfield,
moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include...
Godfrey, Jerseyville, Winfield, Grafton, Elsah, Portage Des Sioux,
Fieldon, Batchtown, Brussels, Otterville, Delhi, Meppen, McClusky,
Deer Plain, Golden Eagle, Beechville and Nutwood.
This also includes Pere Marquette State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for southwestern
Illinois...and east central Missouri.
Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.
&&
LAT...LON 3900 9023 3899 9028 3893 9028 3885 9065
3900 9079 3912 9060 3912 9014
TIME...MOT...LOC 0455Z 248DEG 42KT 3895 9064
TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CarneyWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 22, 6:55 PM CDT, 5 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 22, 6:55 PM CDT, 5 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
655 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
.SHORT TERM... (Through Late Thursday Night)
Issued at 515 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
Another busy night of severe weather is underway as one supercell
has already developed over northeast MO ahead of a cold front in
in an axis of 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. This same area is overlaid by
effective shear of 70kts and 0-1km shear of 20kts which supports
supercells capable of all hazards. CAMS runs have been showing
this scenario all day of supercell structures developing across
northeast and central Missouri into west central Illinois late
this afternoon that will eventually evolve into a QLCS by mid-late
evening as it moves into east central MO and southwest IL by late
evening and overnight. There will continue to be the threat for
severe weather during into the overnight hours before the storms
weaken toward morning.
Have issued a flash flood watch for central Missouri where
thunderstorms are expected to last the longest tonight. Given that
PWATS will be in the 1.5-2.0" range and soils are saturated, flash
flooding is a definite threat in this region.
The front will stall over southern Missouri and Illinois tomorrow.
The upper ridge will build over the area at the same time which
will act to limit coverage along the front given that amount of
instability along it. Will continue with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms with only a marginal risk of severe weather given
the instability and shear values. The front will begin to lift
north of the area on Thursday night.
Britt
.LONG TERM... (Friday through Next Wednesday)
Issued at 515 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
Not much change in thinking to the forecast over the holiday
weekend into next week. Global deterministic models and GEFS still
depict a strong upper high will remain over southeast CONUS at the
same time a mean trough remains over the west into the middle of
next week. A west-east oriented frontal boundary will drop back
down into the CWA on Friday and Saturday which will act as a focus
for shower and thunderstorm development, a few of which could be
strong to severe based on strong/severe based on the instability/
shear forecast parameters. Coverage of thunderstorms into next
week will be determined by the ultimate location of the front and
how much upper ridging will be over the CWA. For now will keep
with above normal temperatures given forecast 850mb temperatures
between 15-20C and a persistent chance of thunderstorms.
Britt
&&
.AVIATION... (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 637 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
Thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop over central
and northeast Missouri and west central Illinois early this
evening affecting KUIN and KCOU bringing the threat of wind gusts
of 35KTS or greater, hail, and MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities
in heavy rain. These storms will move east through the evening
and eventually reach the St. Louis area terminals after 06Z. The
thunderstorms will move out of all terminals by 12Z with dry and
VFR conditions expected thereafter. Mainly dry and VFR conditions
are expected on Thursday except for any showers and thunderstorms
that develop along a stalled front. Coverage will not be high
enough to include in any of the TAFs at this time.
SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:
Dry and VFR conditions expected through 06Z. Then thunderstorms
will move into the terminals with low MVFR/IFR ceilings and
visibilities. These conditions are expected to move out of the
terminal by 12Z leaving dry and VFR conditions. There is some
potential for additional showers and thunderstorms during the day
on Thursday, but confidence is not high enough to include in the
terminals at this time.
Britt
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Audrain MO-Boone
MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Gasconade MO-Moniteau MO-Montgomery
MO-Osage MO.
IL...None.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, May 22, 3:14 PM CDT, 8 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 314 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-232015- Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO- Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO- Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO- Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL- Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO- Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO- 314 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Thunderstorms are expected tonight over central, northeast and east- central Missouri as well as west-central and southwest Illinois. A few of these storms will likely become severe, capable of producing isolated tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds. In addition to severe weather, there is a risk for heavy rainfall over central Missouri where a flash flood watch is in effect. Major river flooding is ongoing along portions of the Mississippi and Illinois Rivers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Major river flooding is expected over the next week along the Mississippi, Missouri, and Illinois Rivers. Crests at some locations will be close to or greater than what were seen earlier this year. The risk for flash flooding will continue into early Thursday morning. See the Flash Flood Watch for more information. The chance for thunderstorms will continue from Thursday night through Tuesday across parts of the area. A few strong to severe storms are possible Thursday, Friday and Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed tonight across much of central and eastern Missouri as well as west central Illinois. Britt
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 22, 9:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
940 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0933 PM TSTM WND DMG MIDWAY 38.99N 92.45W
05/22/2019 BOONE MO EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES DOWN ON BOOTHE LANE.
&&Local storm report, May 22, 10:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1005 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1001 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N MEXICO 39.19N 91.87W
05/22/2019 E60 MPH AUDRAIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&Local storm report, May 22, 10:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1015 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0850 PM HAIL 6 SSW MADISON 39.39N 92.25W
05/22/2019 E1.00 INCH MONROE MO PUBLIC
&&Local storm report, May 22, 10:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1020 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM HAIL 2 S URSA 40.05N 91.37W
05/22/2019 M1.25 INCH ADAMS IL BROADCAST MEDIA
&&Local storm report, May 22, 10:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1022 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0854 PM TSTM WND GST 3 W FOWLER 40.01N 91.31W
05/22/2019 M72 MPH ADAMS IL BROADCAST MEDIA
MEASURED AT HIGHWAY 24 AND INTERSTATE 172.
&&Local storm report, May 22, 10:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1040 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0955 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E VANDIVER 39.16N 91.82W
05/22/2019 M59 MPH AUDRAIN MO AWOS
KMYJ AWOS.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 36 min |
| May 22, 8:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Adams | 16 min |
| May 22, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 52 min |
| May 22, 8:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Adams | 30 min |
| May 22, 8:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown | 52 min |
| May 22, 10:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Pike | 27 min |
| May 22, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown, Pike | 52 min |
| May 22, 10:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike | 43 min |
| May 22, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Pike | 46 min |
| May 23, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Greene, Jersey, Macoupin | 49 min |
| May 23, 12:15 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Jersey, Macoupin, Madison | 45 min |
| May 23, 1:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Fayette, Macoupin, Montgomery | 38 min |
| May 23, 1:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Jersey | 6 hr |
| May 23, 1:39 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Calhoun | 33 min |
| May 23, 1:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Macoupin, Montgomery | 26 min |
| May 23, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Fayette, Montgomery | 47 min |
| May 23, 2:07 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Jersey, Macoupin, Madison | 38 min |
| May 23, 3:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Fayette, Montgomery | 58 min |
| May 23, 3:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Fayette, Montgomery | 6 hr |
| May 23, 3:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Saint Clair | 49 min |
| May 23, 3:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Fayette, Marion | 44 min |
| May 23, 3:54 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Bond, Fayette, Marion | 36 min |
| May 23, 4:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair | 44 min |
| May 23, 4:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Fayette, Marion | 33 min |
| May 23, 4:37 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Clair | 3 hr |
| May 23, 4:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Saint Clair, Washington | 31 min |
| May 23, 7:10 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Marion | 6 hr |
| May 22, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby | 45 min |
| May 22, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Monroe | 73 min |
| May 22, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone | 50 min |
| May 22, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lewis | 29 min |
| May 22, 9:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Boone | 50 min |
| May 22, 9:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Cole, Moniteau | 57 min |
| May 22, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike, Ralls | 48 min |
| May 22, 9:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery | 53 min |
| May 22, 10:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls | 63 min |
| May 22, 10:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Monroe, Ralls | 6 hr |
| May 22, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery, Pike | 43 min |
| May 22, 10:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Cole, Moniteau | 54 min |
| May 22, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Warren | 50 min |
| May 22, 11:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Cole | 52 min |
| May 22, 11:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade, Warren | 39 min |
| May 22, 11:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Callaway, Cole, Osage | 47 min |
| May 23, 12:10 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Callaway, Osage | 35 min |
| May 23, 12:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren | 58 min |
| May 23, 12:52 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Montgomery, Warren | 38 min |
| May 23, 1:14 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Saint Charles, Warren | 33 min |
| May 23, 2:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 51 min |
| May 23, 9:48 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 30 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.