Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 162, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 28, 2019Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 28, 2019, 8:42 PM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at May 29, 2019, 1:54 AM CDT. It was in force for 53 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2019, 8:42 PM CDT (01:42 UTC)
In effect from
May 29, 2019, 1:54 AM CDT
Expired
May 31, 2019, 6:39 AM CDT
In force
53 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 19.91 ft at May 29, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152005/2905/3005/3106/01
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

329 
WGUS43 KLSX 290142
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
842 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  North River at Palmyra

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-300142-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0162.190530T0000Z-190531T2100Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.190530T0000Z.190530T1200Z.190530T2100Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North River at Palmyra
* from Wednesday evening to Friday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening
  and crest near 14.0 feet by Thursday morning. The river is forecast
  to fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02

North River
  Palmyra         13.0    7.70       9.5   14.0    9.2    6.4    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$
7 follow-up statements
114 
WGUS43 KLSX 290655
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
155 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...

North River at Palmyra

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-300654-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.190529T0654Z-190601T0524Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190530T0600Z.190531T0524Z.NO/
155 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The North River at Palmyra
* from early this morning to late Friday night.
* At  1:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.0 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   14.18      14.6   17.6   10.3    6.9    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$
861 
WGUS83 KLSX 290803
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
303 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-300802-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T1905Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190529T1800Z.190530T1905Z.NO/
303 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 19.7 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   15.68      17.8   15.4    8.5    6.4    5.7


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-300802-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.190529T0802Z-190601T1020Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.190529T0643Z.190530T0600Z.190531T0820Z.NO/
303 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* from early this morning to late Friday night.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   17.71      18.8   21.0   15.9    9.7    7.8


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
148 
WGUS83 KLSX 291450
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-301450-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190605T0430Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.190526T0625Z.190530T1200Z.190604T0430Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.6 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   16.11      21.6   17.2   13.1   12.3   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-301450-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190603T0900Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.190526T0554Z.190531T1200Z.190602T0900Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Sunday night.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.3 feet by Friday morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   17.30      17.7   21.3   15.7   11.8   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-301450-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190602T0804Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190530T1200Z.190601T0804Z.NR/
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Saturday night.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.9 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   17.45      18.9   16.2    7.8    4.1    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-301450-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T1715Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190529T1800Z.190530T1715Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.8 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   18.18      14.4    8.8    6.6    5.7    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-301450-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-190602T0909Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.190529T0643Z.190531T0000Z.190601T0709Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Saturday night.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.3 feet by tomorrow evening, 
  then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.00      21.1   20.6   14.9    9.2    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
279 
WGUS83 KLSX 292041
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
340 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-302039-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190603T1000Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.190526T0625Z.190531T0600Z.190602T1000Z.NO/
340 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Sunday night.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.9 feet by early Friday 
  morning, then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   16.19      18.5   21.8   16.2   10.6    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-302039-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190602T1334Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190530T1200Z.190601T1334Z.NR/
340 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Sunday morning.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.6 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   17.38      18.6   15.9   10.0    4.4    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-302039-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T1945Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190530T0000Z.190530T1945Z.NO/
340 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  2:31 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.3 feet by this evening, then
  fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   19.64      15.6    8.6    6.5    5.7    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-302039-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-190602T0851Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.190529T0643Z.190530T1800Z.190601T0651Z.NO/
340 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Saturday night.
* At  3:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.3 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.80      20.6   20.6   14.6    9.0    7.5


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
370 
WGUS83 KLSX 300148
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

  Cuivre River at Old Monroe

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-310147-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.190319T1215Z.190603T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 31.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 32.0 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 33.8 feet...Low Steel Elevation on Old 79 Highway Bridge
  is reached.
* Impact:  At 33.0 feet...Near this height, Missouri State Highway 79 
  is closed south of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   31.62      31.8   31.9   31.9   33.5   33.9


&&


LAT...LON 3892 9081 3894 9070 3892 9070 3890 9080




$$

MOC111-310147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190603T1200Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.190526T0625Z.190531T0600Z.190602T1200Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Monday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 22.0 feet by early Friday 
  morning, then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   16.58      18.5   21.8   16.7   11.0    8.6


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-310147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190603T0600Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.190526T0554Z.190531T1200Z.190602T0600Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.5 feet by Friday morning, 
  then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   17.73      18.9   21.5   16.4   11.6    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-310147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190602T1412Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190530T1800Z.190601T1412Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.0 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   17.12      17.7   15.8   10.2    4.5    3.6


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-310147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T2034Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190529T2215Z.190530T2034Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   19.44      15.7    9.3    6.8    5.8    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-310147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-190602T0813Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.190529T0643Z.190531T0000Z.190601T0613Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.0 feet by tomorrow evening, 
  then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/30  05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.58      19.4   19.7   14.5    9.2    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
639 
WGUS83 KLSX 301435
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-311434-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190603T1021Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.190526T0625Z.190531T0600Z.190602T1021Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Sunday night.
* At  9:01 AM Thursday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.7 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   18.68      21.5   16.4   10.7    8.2    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-311434-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190603T0600Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.190526T0554Z.190531T1200Z.190602T0600Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.4 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   18.22      21.4   16.4   11.6    9.8    7.2


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-311434-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190602T1736Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190530T0215Z.190601T1736Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Saturday early afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   15.47      11.0   10.9    4.4    3.4    3.2


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-311434-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T1812Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190529T2215Z.190530T1812Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   17.01       7.8    6.1    5.5    5.3    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-311434-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-190602T0551Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.190529T0643Z.190530T1800Z.190601T0351Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Saturday night.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.5 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   20.27      19.7   13.1    8.7    7.3    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
750 
WGUS83 KLSX 311139
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
639 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
 
  North River at 
  
      Palmyra
  

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-311209-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0162.000000T0000Z-190531T1812Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190529T0555Z.190529T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
639 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The North River at Palmyra.
* At 5:30 AM Friday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue to fall to near 6.7 feet Sunday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   10.33       9.0    6.7    6.1    5.7    5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 28, 4:34 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 4:34 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
434 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Wednesday Night)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

Complex event unfolding this afternoon. Ongoing storms continue
along effective surface boundary, and should continue to slowly
weaken. Confidence in exactly what happens beyond this afternoon
is somewhat low as model guidance has been less than optimal.
However, believe discrete cells will develop over eastern
KS/western MO and eventually grow upscale into a QLCS, impacting
northern portions of the CWA. Timing has not changed much,
entering the CWA between 00z and 01z this evening.

Overall, the CAMs seem to have convection weakening too quickly,
which has been a trend over the past few days. The NSSL WRF seems
to be doing better, although, should only follow general trends.
Because of this, can not rule out a secondary QLCS impacting
portions of the CWA further south. As storms generate outflow
boundaries across the region and as the LLJ increases overnight,
expect additional storms to gradually push south across the CWA
overnight. While the severe threat should diminish somewhat
overnight, it will likely still exist given 3000+ J/kg MUCAPE with
steep lapse rates and a LLJ feeding the storms.

Storms should be exiting through the morning hours. With the area
under SW flow, another s/w over TX/OK will move into the area
during the afternoon hours, with thunderstorms continuing
overnight. Models are focusing potential for heavy rain across
portions of SE MO and have therefore issued a Flash Flood Watch
through Wed night.

Tilly

.LONG TERM...  (Thursday through Next Tuesday)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

Little change has been made for the extended periods. NW flow sets
up over the area with cooler temps expected. Warmer temps expected
into the weekend and next week as height rises build back into the
region.

Tilly

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

Not a lot of changes for forecast outside of thunderstorm cluster
expected to reach KUIN within the hour. This storm, potentially
severe, should continue east this afternoon leaving MVFR cigs in
its wake. Ongoing thunderstorms over KS are still expected to
move into the region this evening, and continue overnight. These
storms will likely be severe when impacting KUIN, but severe
threat continues into the night. Timing remains less certain,
especially overnight. Regardless, TSRA threat should diminish late
tonight through sunrise. Winds will return to SW with gusts around
20 kts again possible.

Tilly

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     71  86  65  78 /  80  60 100  30
Quincy          65  84  61  75 / 100  30  60  30
Columbia        68  84  59  74 /  90  50  90  20
Jefferson City  69  85  60  75 /  90  50 100  20
Salem           72  84  65  78 /  70  80  90  50
Farmington      70  82  62  78 /  70  70 100  40

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
     morning for Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
     Shelby MO.

     Flash Flood Watch from 1 AM CDT Wednesday through Thursday
     morning for Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
     Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO.

IL...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
     morning for Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 3:58 PM CDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
358 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-291200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
358 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible across the region tonight.
Tornadoes, damaging winds and large hail will be possible.

Major river flooding is ongoing along parts of the Missouri,
Mississippi, and Illinois Rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday and
Wednesday night. The primary threats are large hail and damaging
wind gusts.

Thunderstorms are possible each day through Monday.

Major river flooding will continue this week along the Mississippi,
Missouri, and Illinois Rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any severe weather to the National
Weather Service.

Tilly

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 3:07 PM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
307 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0124 PM     HAIL             EWING                   40.01N 91.71W
05/28/2019  E1.75 INCH       LEWIS              MO   PUBLIC

            FACEBOOK POST.

&&

AL
Local storm report, May 28, 3:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
325 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     HAIL             1 SE RENSSELAER         39.66N 91.54W
05/28/2019  E0.88 INCH       RALLS              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAW
            ENFORCEMENT.

&&

KD

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 8:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe4 days
May 28, 9:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby6 hr
May 29, 3:04 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXMarion, Ralls5 hr
May 29, 3:45 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby9 hr
May 29, 6:15 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXLincoln45 min
May 29, 12:42 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby24 hr
May 29, 4:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXReynolds39 min
May 29, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGasconade, Osage47 min
May 29, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds41 min
May 29, 4:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXSaint Charles51 min
May 29, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis30 min
May 29, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Warren40 min
May 29, 5:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXSaint Charles, City of Saint Louis50 min
May 29, 6:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis6 hr
May 29, 6:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXMarion51 min
May 29, 6:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXAudrain50 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.