Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 26, NWS Jackson, MS

February 19, 2019Morehouse Parish, Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 19, 2019, 10:33 PM CST for Morehouse Parish, Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 19, 2019, 10:33 PM CST (04:33 UTC)
Expired
Feb 19, 2019, 10:59 PM CST
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Morehouse Parish, LA

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 178 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 823 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
823 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
850 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 19, 9:57 PM CST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 9:57 PM CST, 36 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 3:55 PM CST, 6 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ027>041-202200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

MSZ018-019-025-026-202200-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

LAZ015-016-023-MSZ042>047-063>066-072>074-202200-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Warren-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-
Lamar-Forrest-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

LAZ024>026-MSZ048>062-202200-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Severe thunderstorms possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
tornadoes, damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size
of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 19, 8:57 PM CST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 19, 9:18 PM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
918 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WEST POINT              33.61N 88.65W
02/19/2019                   CLAY               MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND STILL ONGOING
            ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 9:27 PM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
927 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-200345-
Ashley AR-
927 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY UNTIL
945 PM CST...

At 926 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Fountain Hill, or near Hamburg, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Ashley
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9185 3339 9155 3322 9167 3328 9191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 206DEG 49KT 3331 9176

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 9:48 PM CST, 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
948 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-075-200415-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
948 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT AND SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CST...

At 948 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Parkdale, or near Wilmot, moving northeast at 70 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Montrose around 955 PM CST.
  Chicot Junction around 1000 PM CST.
  Lake Village and Mcmillan Corner around 1005 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3316 9160 3353 9135 3350 9118 3345 9123
      3343 9122 3344 9118 3349 9117 3348 9113
      3343 9113 3342 9120 3341 9121 3338 9117
      3339 9112 3344 9109 3345 9106 3335 9114
      3330 9114 3326 9112 3301 9146 3301 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 221DEG 61KT 3312 9151

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 10:11 PM CST, 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1011 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-LAZ007-015-200500-
Ashley AR-Richland LA-Morehouse LA-
1011 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ASHLEY COUNTY...
MOREHOUSE AND NORTHWESTERN RICHLAND PARISHES UNTIL 1100 PM CST...

At 1010 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Richwood, or 8 miles southwest of Start, moving northeast at 70
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Start around 1015 PM CST.
  Bastrop around 1030 PM CST.
  Galion around 1040 PM CST.
  Jones around 1045 PM CST.
  Wilmot around 1050 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Bonita, Collinston,
Mer Rouge and Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 9208 3310 9202 3308 9146 3301 9146
      3301 9144 3289 9150 3285 9157 3275 9160
      3226 9194 3228 9203 3240 9200 3252 9190
      3260 9193 3266 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197
      3270 9205 3271 9206 3280 9205 3287 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 0410Z 206DEG 63KT 3242 9197

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 10:29 PM CST, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1029 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

MSZ018-200515-
Bolivar MS-
1029 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOLIVAR COUNTY UNTIL 1115 PM
CST...

At 1029 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Scott, or 14 miles southeast of Rohwer, moving northeast at 65
mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Rosedale around 1040 PM CST.
  Gunnison around 1050 PM CST.
  Shelby, Mound Bayou and Deeson around 1055 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Alligator,
Winstonville, Beulah, Duncan, Pace and Merigold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3388 9066 3353 9097 3353 9122
      3354 9121 3360 9113 3370 9122 3368 9103
      3374 9115 3378 9113 3378 9099 3385 9107
      3393 9101 3397 9109 3396 9097 3402 9099
      3402 9090 3409 9087 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 216DEG 58KT 3363 9109

DC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 19, 7:34 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore23 days
Feb 19, 8:49 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClay6 hr
Feb 19, 10:29 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar46 min
Feb 20, 12:44 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar, Issaquena, Washington2 hr
Feb 20, 1:41 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower2 hr
Feb 20, 4:20 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes25 min
Feb 20, 6:42 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster3 hr
Feb 20, 7:06 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson24 min
Feb 20, 7:26 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson34 min
Feb 20, 7:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Simpson, Smith38 min
Feb 20, 8:11 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANSimpson3 hr
Feb 20, 8:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott, Smith34 min
Feb 20, 8:38 AM CSTTornado WarningJANNewton, Scott24 min
Feb 20, 8:59 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson, Smith31 min
Feb 20, 9:01 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANNewton, Rankin, Scott, Smith4 hr
Feb 20, 9:01 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLawrence29 min
Feb 20, 9:12 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson, Smith4 hr
Feb 20, 9:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada, Montgomery and 2 more4 hr
Feb 20, 9:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott, Smith21 min
Feb 20, 9:38 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANKemper, Leake, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston4 hr
Feb 20, 10:22 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton4 hr
Feb 20, 10:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSharkey161 days
Feb 20, 11:18 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones27 min
Feb 20, 11:38 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke37 min
Feb 20, 12:00 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion3 hr
Feb 20, 12:08 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar37 min
Feb 20, 4:52 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 14 more3 days
Feb 20, 5:16 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke3 days
Feb 19, 10:11 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse49 min
Feb 19, 11:04 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse56 min
Feb 20, 5:21 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWest Carroll24 min
Feb 19, 8:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley33 min
Feb 19, 9:27 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley18 min
Feb 19, 9:48 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANChicot27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.