Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Jackson, MS

February 20, 2019Bolivar County, Issaquena County, Washington County, Mississippi; East Carroll Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana; Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Feb 20, 2019, 12:44 AM CST for Bolivar County, Issaquena County, Washington County, Mississippi; East Carroll Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana; Chicot County, Arkansas. It was in force for 2 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2019, 12:44 AM CST (06:44 UTC)
Expired
Feb 20, 2019, 2:45 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Washington County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 20, 1:22 AM CSTFLASH FLOOD5 Ese Avon, MSREPORT OF FLASH FLOODING ON DOUGLAS ROAD NEAR AVON DARLOVE ROAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 38 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 823 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
823 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
850 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

011 
WGUS54 KJAN 200644
FFWJAN
ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC011-055-151-200845-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0003.190220T0644Z-190220T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1244 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Chicot County in southeastern Arkansas...
  East Carroll Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  West Carroll Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Washington County in northwestern Mississippi...
  Issaquena County in west central Mississippi...
  Bolivar County in northwestern Mississippi...

* Until 245 AM CST.

* At 1242 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two to three inches of 
  rain have already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin 
  shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Greenville, Cleveland, Leland, Lake Providence, Hollandale, Lake
  Village, Dermott, Eudora, Shelby, Shaw, Transylvania, Avon, Scott,
  Oak Grove, Mound Bayou, Metcalfe, Renova, Boyle, Benoit and
  Gunnison.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to three inches are possible in 
the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9066 3362 9076 3318 9077
      3310 9092 3259 9098 3258 9159 3270 9164
      3298 9144 3356 9145 3352 9125 3360 9113
      3370 9122 3368 9103 3373 9115 3378 9099
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3410 9088 3412 9095

$$

DC
2 follow-up statements
655 
WGUS74 KJAN 200754
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
154 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC011-055-151-200845-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190220T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chicot AR-East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-Washington MS-Issaquena MS-
Bolivar MS-
154 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM CST FOR
CHICOT COUNTY...EAST CARROLL AND WEST CARROLL PARISHES...
WASHINGTON...ISSAQUENA AND BOLIVAR COUNTIES...

At 149 AM CST, local law enforcement reported some flash flooding in 
Washington County. Up to two to three inches of rain have already 
fallen, especially across the southern half of the warned area. 
Flash flooding is already occurring.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Greenville, Cleveland, Leland, Lake Providence, Hollandale, Lake
Village, Dermott, Eudora, Shelby, Shaw, Transylvania, Avon, Scott,
Oak Grove, Mound Bayou, Metcalfe, Renova, Boyle, Benoit and Gunnison.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to three inches are possible, 
especially across the northern half of the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9066 3362 9076 3318 9077
      3310 9092 3259 9098 3258 9159 3270 9164
      3298 9144 3356 9145 3352 9125 3360 9113
      3370 9122 3368 9103 3373 9115 3378 9099
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3410 9088 3412 9095

$$

DC
488 
WGUS74 KJAN 200835
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
235 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC011-055-151-200845-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190220T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chicot AR-East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-Washington MS-Issaquena MS-
Bolivar MS-
235 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CHICOT COUNTY...EAST CARROLL AND WEST
CARROLL PARISHES...WASHINGTON...ISSAQUENA AND BOLIVAR COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 245 AM CST...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9066 3362 9076 3318 9077
      3310 9092 3259 9098 3258 9159 3270 9164
      3298 9144 3356 9145 3352 9125 3360 9113
      3370 9122 3368 9103 3373 9115 3378 9099
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3410 9088 3412 9095

$$

DC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 20, 12:19 AM CST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 12:19 AM CST, 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1219 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion: IFR cigs were observed across the north with
decreasing cigs and vsbys cntrl and south at 06Z. Local radars had
scattered -TSRA along and west of the MS river at 06Z with isold -SHRA
east of the MS river. Poor flying conds are expected to continue
into Wednesday as a cold front moves through the region. This
will affect TAF sites from west to east through 18-20Z Wed. Once
the line of storms moves through, conditions should improve but
all sites should remain at least MVFR or lower flight categories
due to low clouds and some vis restrictions. Winds will remain
southerly through the night around 10-15kts, before switching out
of the west around 10kts. Once the front moves through, a change
out of the north will occur likely later tomorrow afternoon.
/28/22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The bulk of the precipitation from earlier today has pushed north
of the region. Light showers are ongoing across the eastern part
of the forecast area late this evening, while additional showers
continue to stream north into central portions as well. A few more
robust thunderstorms are also tracking north across areas west of
the Mississippi River. A few of these may be strong this evening
with the primary risk being small hail given these are elevated in
nature. The warm front will remains far to our south, near the
Gulf Coast. Dewpoints are in the mid 60s along and south of the
warm front. North of the front, dewpoints still remain in the 40s
though some lower 50s dewpoints are present across the Highway 84
corridor. It does not appear that much has changed in terms of
thinking for severe potential. Hi-res guidance indicates that the
shower and thunderstorm activity ongoing across Arkansas will
eventually track east into the Mississippi Delta, most likely
after midnight. As this occurs, the warm front will slowly lift
north in response to a surface low tracking northeast across
central Louisiana. This should bring 60 degree dewpoints into
portions of the forecast area, in particular the southern
sections. As this occurs, a broken line of showers and storms will
move east through the region, reaching the I-55 corridor around
12Z and into eastern Mississippi during the morning hours
tomorrow. Current timing accounts for this pretty well. As the
warm front pushes north, portions of the forecast area, from
southwest Mississippi into the I-20 corridor will be along the
northern gradient of some of the better tornado instability
parameters. Going slight risk seems in good shape, with a marginal
risk elsewhere as locations north of the warm front will likely be
more elevated storms. Minor adjustments needed to account for
going trends. /28/

Prior discussion below:

Tonight and Wednesday...

Isolated to scattered showers and storms will continue this
afternoon into the evening hours. The surface flow will become
more southerly during the evening hours and this will result in an
increase in deep layer moisture across the area overnight. PWATS
will climb to near 1.7 inches by early Wednesday morning. A short
wave and associated surface low/front will deepen over southeast
Texas and move into Northeast Louisianan by midnight. This low
will drag a cold front into the area overnight tonight, along with
an increased chance of strong to severe storms. Mid/upper 60s
dewpoints will spread northward ahead of the boundary, and this
combined with good instability (~1000 MU Cape) and strong shear,
will create the potential for strong to severe storms beginning
very early Wednesday morning. A marginal risk is already in affect
for much of the area, but have upgraded an area generally from
Natches to Meridian to a slight risk, where the best combination
of instability/shear will occur. The greatest risk will be
damaging wind gusts and a tornadoes. With all of the recent
rainfall and the potential for more overnight, much of the area
north of I-20 remains in a flash flood watch.

The severe potential will shift east of the area by the late
morning/early afternoon hours, but the boundary will become
stationary over the southeastern portions of the area. Showers and
storms will continue near the boundary in the southeast through the
afternoon hours. /15/

Wednesday night into Friday...

The next frontal wave will bring additional lift during this
period for much of the area. With anomalous moisture continuing to
be transported over the ArkLaMiss (PW > 1.5 inches, ~ +3 SDs) and
freezing levels > 13kft, expect efficient warm rain processes to
support fairly intense rainfall rates where convection develops.
This could lead to localized flash flooding over southern/central
MS initially with the threat area shifting northward through the
Delta region into north central MS as we go later into Thursday
and Thursday night. Will keep the limited FF threat going for
southern/eastern portions of the area tomorrow night into
Thursday, but it seems a greater concern for flooding will
eventually develop in northern portions of the area where heavy
rain fell today, especially from Thurs night through Friday. /EC/

Friday night through the weekend...

Continued warm air advection Friday through Saturday will set the
stage for a warm and stormy Saturday for much of the forecast
area. Will continue to advertise a Slight risk areas north and
west of a line from near Natchez to Jackson to Starkville. Areas
to the south and east may still see some strong to severe
thunderstorms on Saturday, but forcing will be weaker as a passing
shortwave pulls away to the north. As this potential event is
still several days away, please stay tuned for updates to the
forecast. Convective rain rates could result in locally heavy
downpours, but at this time the Saturday system looks to move
through too quickly to result in any additional widespread
flooding concern in our area. /NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       67  49  61  54 /  93  64  72  71
Meridian      72  52  67  55 /  98  84  74  60
Vicksburg     60  46  58  53 /  69  28  79  75
Hattiesburg   75  57  73  62 /  97  84  71  46
Natchez       62  49  63  56 /  90  57  75  68
Greenville    59  39  55  49 /  33  14  66  84
Greenwood     61  41  58  51 /  95  18  68  80

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for MSZ018-019-025>042.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for LAZ007>009.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for ARZ074-075.

&&

15/22/28/EC
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 3:55 PM CST, 8 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ027>041-202200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

MSZ018-019-025-026-202200-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

LAZ015-016-023-MSZ042>047-063>066-072>074-202200-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Warren-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-
Lamar-Forrest-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

LAZ024>026-MSZ048>062-202200-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-
355 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday morning

Severe thunderstorms possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
tornadoes, damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size
of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

Areas of flooding will continue to be possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi
Wednesday night through Saturday.

Another round of severe storms will be possible this Saturday
through early Sunday, especially across portions of the Arklamiss
Delta. This potential event is still many days away so many
details could still change, so make sure to check back for
updates.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 19, 9:18 PM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
918 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WEST POINT              33.61N 88.65W
02/19/2019                   CLAY               MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND STILL ONGOING
            ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 9:27 PM CST, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
927 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-200345-
Ashley AR-
927 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY UNTIL
945 PM CST...

At 926 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Fountain Hill, or near Hamburg, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Ashley
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9185 3339 9155 3322 9167 3328 9191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 206DEG 49KT 3331 9176

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 9:48 PM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
948 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-075-200415-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
948 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT AND SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CST...

At 948 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Parkdale, or near Wilmot, moving northeast at 70 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Montrose around 955 PM CST.
  Chicot Junction around 1000 PM CST.
  Lake Village and Mcmillan Corner around 1005 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3316 9160 3353 9135 3350 9118 3345 9123
      3343 9122 3344 9118 3349 9117 3348 9113
      3343 9113 3342 9120 3341 9121 3338 9117
      3339 9112 3344 9109 3345 9106 3335 9114
      3330 9114 3326 9112 3301 9146 3301 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 221DEG 61KT 3312 9151

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 10:11 PM CST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1011 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-LAZ007-015-200500-
Ashley AR-Richland LA-Morehouse LA-
1011 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ASHLEY COUNTY...
MOREHOUSE AND NORTHWESTERN RICHLAND PARISHES UNTIL 1100 PM CST...

At 1010 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Richwood, or 8 miles southwest of Start, moving northeast at 70
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Start around 1015 PM CST.
  Bastrop around 1030 PM CST.
  Galion around 1040 PM CST.
  Jones around 1045 PM CST.
  Wilmot around 1050 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Bonita, Collinston,
Mer Rouge and Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 9208 3310 9202 3308 9146 3301 9146
      3301 9144 3289 9150 3285 9157 3275 9160
      3226 9194 3228 9203 3240 9200 3252 9190
      3260 9193 3266 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197
      3270 9205 3271 9206 3280 9205 3287 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 0410Z 206DEG 63KT 3242 9197

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 10:29 PM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1029 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

MSZ018-200515-
Bolivar MS-
1029 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOLIVAR COUNTY UNTIL 1115 PM
CST...

At 1029 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Scott, or 14 miles southeast of Rohwer, moving northeast at 65
mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Rosedale around 1040 PM CST.
  Gunnison around 1050 PM CST.
  Shelby, Mound Bayou and Deeson around 1055 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Alligator,
Winstonville, Beulah, Duncan, Pace and Merigold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3388 9066 3353 9097 3353 9122
      3354 9121 3360 9113 3370 9122 3368 9103
      3374 9115 3378 9113 3378 9099 3385 9107
      3393 9101 3397 9109 3396 9097 3402 9099
      3402 9090 3409 9087 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 216DEG 58KT 3363 9109

DC
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 11:04 PM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1104 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-200600-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-
1104 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT...EASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISHES
UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST...

At 1103 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southeast of Bastrop, moving northeast at 70 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Galion around 1110 PM CST.
  Jones around 1120 PM CST.
  Wilmot around 1125 PM CST.
  Parkdale around 1130 PM CST.
  Portland around 1135 PM CST.
  Chicot Junction around 1140 PM CST.
  Lake Village around 1145 PM CST.
  Mcmillan Corner around 1150 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Mer Rouge, Bonita and
Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9181 3339 9146 3356 9145 3356 9135
      3352 9132 3355 9123 3351 9119 3344 9123
      3345 9118 3350 9117 3348 9113 3341 9121
      3338 9117 3338 9114 3301 9139 3285 9157
      3261 9167 3259 9174 3264 9186
TIME...MOT...LOC 0503Z 209DEG 62KT 3268 9175

DC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 19, 7:34 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore23 days
Feb 19, 8:49 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClay6 hr
Feb 19, 10:29 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar46 min
Feb 20, 1:41 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower2 hr
Feb 20, 4:20 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes25 min
Feb 20, 6:42 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster3 hr
Feb 20, 7:06 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson24 min
Feb 20, 7:26 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson34 min
Feb 20, 7:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Simpson, Smith38 min
Feb 20, 8:11 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANSimpson3 hr
Feb 20, 8:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott, Smith34 min
Feb 20, 8:38 AM CSTTornado WarningJANNewton, Scott24 min
Feb 20, 8:59 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson, Smith31 min
Feb 20, 9:01 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANNewton, Rankin, Scott, Smith4 hr
Feb 20, 9:01 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLawrence29 min
Feb 20, 9:12 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson, Smith4 hr
Feb 20, 9:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada, Montgomery and 2 more4 hr
Feb 20, 9:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott, Smith21 min
Feb 20, 9:38 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANKemper, Leake, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston4 hr
Feb 20, 10:22 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton4 hr
Feb 20, 10:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSharkey161 days
Feb 20, 11:18 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones27 min
Feb 20, 11:38 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke37 min
Feb 20, 12:00 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion3 hr
Feb 20, 12:08 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar37 min
Feb 20, 4:52 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 14 more3 days
Feb 20, 5:16 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke3 days
Feb 19, 10:11 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse49 min
Feb 19, 10:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse26 min
Feb 19, 11:04 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse56 min
Feb 20, 5:21 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWest Carroll24 min
Feb 19, 8:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley33 min
Feb 19, 9:27 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley18 min
Feb 19, 9:48 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANChicot27 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Flash Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2019Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.