Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Northern Indiana

467 
WWUS53 KIWX 192218
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
618 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INC003-033-069-113-169-179-183-192245-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190519T2245Z/
Allen IN-Wabash IN-Noble IN-Whitley IN-De Kalb IN-Huntington IN-
Wells IN-
618 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR ALLEN...SOUTHEASTERN WABASH...SOUTHEASTERN NOBLE...SOUTHEASTERN
WHITLEY...SOUTHERN DE KALB...CENTRAL HUNTINGTON AND NORTH CENTRAL
WELLS COUNTIES...

At 618 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Churubusco to 8 miles southwest of Fort Wayne to
7 miles south of Andrews, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Wayne, Huntington, New Haven, Auburn, Garrett, Butler,
Huntertown, Churubusco, Andrews, Grabill, La Fontaine, St. Joe,
Aboite, Leo-cedarville, Roanoke, Concord, Zanesville, Newville, Yoder
and Butler Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4101 8546 4125 8536 4145 8488 4132 8481
      4094 8514 4065 8579 4072 8574
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 246DEG 49KT 4119 8531 4102 8528 4076 8556 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FISHER

516 
WWUS53 KIWX 192237
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
637 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INC033-113-183-192246-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190519T2245Z/
Noble IN-Whitley IN-De Kalb IN-
637 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NOBLE...
SOUTHEASTERN WHITLEY AND SOUTHERN DE KALB COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, north central and northeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 4072 8574 4092 8541 4106 8523 4127 8506
      4121 8491 4094 8514 4065 8578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 246DEG 49KT 4128 8501 4111 8498 4085 8527 

$$

INC003-069-169-179-192245-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190519T2245Z/
Allen IN-Wabash IN-Huntington IN-Wells IN-
637 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ALLEN...SOUTHEASTERN WABASH...CENTRAL HUNTINGTON AND
NORTH CENTRAL WELLS COUNTIES...

At 636 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Grabill to near New Haven to near Markle, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Wayne, Huntington, New Haven, Grabill, La Fontaine,
Leo-cedarville, Zanesville, Nine Mile, Bowerstown, Yoder,
Lincolnville, Cuba, Mahon and Rolling Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4072 8574 4092 8541 4106 8523 4127 8506
      4121 8491 4094 8514 4065 8578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 246DEG 49KT 4128 8501 4111 8498 4085 8527 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FISHER

382 
WWUS53 KIWX 192245 RRA
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
645 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INC003-069-169-179-192255-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190519T2245Z/
Allen IN-Wabash IN-Huntington IN-Wells IN-
645 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ALLEN...SOUTHEASTERN
WABASH...CENTRAL HUNTINGTON AND NORTH CENTRAL WELLS COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, north central and northeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 4072 8574 4092 8541 4106 8523 4127 8506
      4121 8491 4094 8514 4065 8578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 238DEG 56KT 4135 8485 4118 8482 4092 8512 

$$

FISHER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
322 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Breezy conditions with the slight risk for severe thunderstorms
continue to be the weather story through today. The primary
hazard with any severe storm is damaging wind gusts. A cold front
will pass through behind these storms, sending overnight lows
into the mid 40s to near 50 degrees. It will be notably cooler on
Monday with highs shy of 60 degrees. Looking ahead, the next
opportunity for rain is Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 309 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

First round of convection has moved over the area and is starting
to move off to the east with time. While there has been a few
embedded enhanced echos the main impacts have been periods of
heavy rain and a few wind gusts into the 40mph range. Weak updraft
strength with this first round have been easily sheared apart.

Clearing line of clouds is quickly encroaching into the far
western counties. This should result in a quick jump in temps of
3-5 degrees. Looking across eastern IL, dewpoints have remained
in the mid-60s as temperatures have risen into the mid-70s.
Further south and west into southern IL, lower dewpoints in the
upper 50s have been able to mix to the surface. Ongoing convection
across southeastern IL developed on the intersection of these
dewpoints. This development also correlate with the left exit
region of a jet rounding the base of the upper trough. Trajectory
of this jet region would bring it across our western/central zones
over the next few hours. This, coupled with any destabilization
from the clearing line, will help to support renewed/reinvigorate
convection. Radar VAD profiles across IL show mostly unidirectional
flow within this area of developing/ongoing convection. Will have
to watch influence of the clearing line as the KIWX VAD profile
does show some veering in the lowest 1000m. If this veering
persists despite mixing, then a non-zero chance for a tornado
would exist. Greater confidence is with a quick jump in
temperatures, low level mixing, and VAD winds quickly becoming
unidirectional. Primary hazard with storms remains damaging wind.
As mentioned above, strongly sheared storms are unlikely to result
in much of a large hail risk.

Front starts to push into the area late this afternoon/early
evening. There is a window where the lifting jet exit region and
the front overlap to strengthen convection. The best area for this
overlapping would be along and north of I-80. This is well
reflected in the HRRR with a progressive line of convection. This
line moves across the northern zones before exiting around 03Z.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 309 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Focus of the forecast is on the near term, but the general theme for
the remainder of the forecast remains unchanged. Dry and cool
conditions Monday into Tuesday, next chance for precipitation
Tuesday night/Wednesday, warmer Thurs and Friday. Location of the
building sub-tropical high over the southeastern US will dictate
if Thurs/Fri have chances for precip.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 108 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Pre-frontal rain showers with ceilings near/at MVFR criteria will
impact the terminals to start off the TAF period. Gusty winds to
about 30 knots remain in play as the low-level jet continues to
near the area. The best chance for thunderstorms is outlined in
the TEMPO groups; through FWA remains more likely to have a
thunderstorm compared to SBN. After thunderstorms along the cold
front pass through, VFR conditions can be expected until a
secondary cold front drops south near 12z, brining MVFR ceilings
back to the terminals.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Monday for LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Brown
SHORT TERM...CM
LONG TERM...CM
AVIATION...Brown

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
431 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-202045-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-
431 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019 /331 PM CDT Sun May 19 2019/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 194 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Thunderstorms will spread from west to east this afternoon and into
the late evening hours. These storms are expected to become severe
and be capable of producing damaging winds and locally heavy
rainfall. The additional rainfall may cause some flooding of urban
areas and rises on creeks, streams and rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday; however, the
storms are not expected to become severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-202045-
Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
431 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Another round of thunderstorms will spread from west to east this
afternoon and into the late evening hours. These storms could become
strong to severe and be capable of producing damaging winds and
locally heavy rainfall. The additional rainfall may cause some
flooding of urban areas and rises on creeks, streams and rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday; however, the
storms are not expected to become severe.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening.

LMZ043-046-202045-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
431 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 194 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The Nearshore Waters of
Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening which can
produce very strong winds.

In addition, a small craft advisory is in effect through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A small craft advisory is in effect through Monday morning.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
520 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E LA PORTE            41.61N 86.69W
05/19/2019                   LA PORTE           IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. ROOF BLOWN OFF.

&&

GH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
525 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             1 E BERTRAND            41.77N 86.25W
05/19/2019  E0.25 INCH       BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MPING REPORT.

&&

MSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
527 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     HEAVY RAIN       VAN WERT                40.87N 84.58W
05/19/2019  M1.15 INCH       VAN WERT           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TOTAL FROM FIRST ROUND OF RAIN FROM EARLIER
            TODAY.

&&

BML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
530 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             3 ENE PAW PAW LAKE      42.23N 86.23W
05/19/2019  E0.25 INCH       BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MPING REPORT.

&&

MSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
537 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     TSTM WND GST     DENVER                  40.86N 86.08W
05/19/2019  M57 MPH          MIAMI              IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
537 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

MIZ078-079-192200-
St. Joseph-Cass-
537 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CASS AND
NORTHWESTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES...

At 537 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cassopolis, or
10 miles east of Dowagiac, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cassopolis, Marcellus, Penn, Flowerfield, Vandalia, Diamond Lake,
Moore Park, Howardsville, Paradise Lake, Clear Lake, Donnell Lake and
Wakelee.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
southwestern Michigan.

LAT...LON 4184 8597 4194 8605 4207 8587 4207 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 234DEG 40KT 4194 8593

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...55MPH

Brown