Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Indianapolis, IN

996 
WGUS73 KIND 162317
FFSIND

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
717 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

INC013-055-105-170145-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190617T0145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Monroe IN-Brown IN-Greene IN-
717 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL MONROE...SOUTHERN BROWN AND NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES...

At 716 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported heavy rain due to a 
thunderstorm over the warned area.  Flash flooding is occurring. 
Water is flowing across State Road 46 in portions of Brown County.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Bloomington, Nashville, Worthington, Yellowwood Lake, Indiana
University, Solsberry, Woodville Hills, Stone Head, Gnaw Bone, Story
and Whitehall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 8717 3917 8668 3918 8668 3920 8608
      3908 8608 3907 8718

$$

50

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
436 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 333 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Upper waves combined with a couple of meandering fronts will keep
chances for showers and thunderstorms across central Indiana into
next weekend. The wet pattern will keep temperatures near normal to
below normal through the period.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight)
Issued at 333 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

This afternoon a cold front was across northern Indiana, but a
boundary with a temperature gradient was across southern Indiana.
Temperatures south of the boundary were in the mid and upper 80s,
with upper 70s to around 80 north of this boundary. Scattered
thunderstorms were across southern sections of central Indiana.

Some upper energy will interact with the boundary and the
approaching cold front from the north to produce scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening.
Expect the greatest coverage to be in the south closer to the better
instability. Will go likely PoPs there with chance PoPs elsewhere.

Given the good instability south with the presence of a boundary,
strong to severe storms are possible mainly south into the evening.

Overnight the upper wave will exit to the east, diminishing the
forcing across the area. Will allow PoPs to drop back to slight
chance category all areas by 12Z with this lull in forcing.

Precipitable water values remain over 1.5 inches across the southern
half of the area, so locally heavy rain and flooding remain a
threat. However, given the expected coverage and duration of the
thunderstorms tonight, feel that the threat won't be widespread
enough for a flood watch. Will continue to highlight in the
Hazardous Weather Outlook and social media products.

Trended toward a model blend for lows tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Models are close enough that the NBM initialization was accepted for
most items.

The short term will continue the pattern of upper waves interacting
with surface boundaries to produce showers and thunderstorms at
times.

Monday morning should see lower coverage of rain, but as another
upper wave moves into the area more numerous showers and storms will
develop in the afternoon and then continue into the evening. Again
the highest coverage should be across the south closer to the better
instability.

Only scattered coverage of convection is then expected across the
area Monday night into Tuesday night with no strong upper waves to
interact with the boundary.

A stronger wave will move in for Wednesday though, bringing
widespread showers and storms during the afternoon. Will go with
high PoPs then.

Locally heavy rain and flooding will remain a threat throughout the
short term given the moisture laden airmass. Another flood watch may
be needed in the future when better confidence in timing and
coverage of storms is present.

&&

.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...
Issued at 324 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

The active pattern again looks to continue well into the long term
portion of the forecast, which could begin to cause serious problems
water wise given the widespread 2 to 5 inches already experienced
across central Indiana. This threat will continue to merit close
scrutiny as the week wears on.

There may be a bit of a break in the action late Thursday night into
early Friday, but unfortunately at this point that is the only time
without a chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Temperatures during the period will climb back closer to normal as
ridging begins to build to the east and widespread southwest flow is
in place across the area.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 162100Z KIND TAF Update/...
Issued at 432 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Potential for scattered convection to develop in the vicinity of
the KIND terminal expected to increase over the next couple of
hours, as a mid level vorticity center, currently over Illinois,
moves east and interacts with a very unstable air mass. Appears
this potential may last well into the evening hours.

Previous discussion follows.

MVFR ceilings may improve for a while this evening and overnight
before deteriorating again near daybreak. A brief period of IFR
cannot be ruled out.

Some light fog will also be possible at mainly the outlying sites,
but visibilities should remain MVFR.

Winds will be 10KT or less through the period, generally out of
the southwest early, becoming more northwesterly and then variable
with time.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM...Nield
AVIATION...JAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
349 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-172000-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
349 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are possible through tonight. Some storms may
be severe, mainly into the evening.

Hazards: Damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain, flooding, and
lightning.

Timing: Thunderstorms are possible at any time tonight. The severe
storm threat is mainly before 1000 PM. Heavy rain and flooding are
possible at any time.

Discussion: Upper waves and a surface front will keep showers and
thunderstorms across the area through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are possible each day. A few strong to
isolated severe storms are possible on Monday. Lightning and locally
heavy rain are threats from any storm. Repeated rounds of rainfall,
heavy at times, could lead to moderate widespread flooding this week.

Discussion: A stalling frontal system and active upper pattern will
bring several rounds of showers and thunderstorms to central Indiana
this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible tonight and again Monday.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

INZ068-069-161930-
Daviess IN-Martin IN-
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARTIN AND SOUTHERN
DAVIESS COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 258 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Petersburg, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Shoals, Loogootee, Montgomery, Cannelburg, Alfordsville, West Boggs
Lake and Glendale Fishery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 8696 3850 8698 3851 8700 3851 8704
      3850 8706 3854 8711 3853 8712 3853 8714
      3852 8713 3852 8715 3855 8719 3855 8721
      3854 8722 3855 8724 3877 8688 3853 8671
      3853 8683 3849 8688 3851 8693 3849 8695
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 239DEG 22KT 3851 8711

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
420 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNW NORTH TERRE HAUTE 39.55N 87.37W
06/16/2019  M3.68 INCH       VIGO               IN   PUBLIC

            RAIN TOTAL FROM 12 AM JUNE 15 TO 12 AM JUNE
            16.

&&

BHH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
420 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

INZ071-072-162045-
Jackson IN-Jennings IN-
420 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN JENNINGS COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 419 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Brownstown, or 7 miles west of Seymour, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Seymour, Brownstown, Vallonia and Cortland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
south central and southeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 3884 8611 3902 8612 3904 8575 3882 8575
      3881 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 267DEG 28KT 3894 8602

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
457 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0457 PM     HAIL             SEYMOUR                 38.96N 85.89W
06/16/2019  E0.70 INCH       JACKSON            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BHH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
514 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

INZ060-067-162145-
Knox IN-Sullivan IN-
514 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SULLIVAN AND
NORTHEASTERN KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 514 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Russellville, or 13 miles north of Vincennes, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bicknell, Carlisle, Oaktown, Edwardsport, Freelandville and
Pleasantville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
southwestern Indiana.

LAT...LON 3888 8754 3890 8754 3889 8753 3890 8753
      3890 8752 3894 8752 3897 8724 3891 8724
      3891 8722 3881 8722 3880 8723 3882 8724
      3879 8724 3876 8750 3877 8751 3878 8749
      3882 8753 3885 8753 3886 8755
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 267DEG 22KT 3886 8746

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
538 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     HAIL             3 E WORTHINGTON         39.12N 86.93W
06/16/2019  E1.25 INCH       GREENE             IN   PUBLIC

&&

BHH