Tornado Warning 22, NWS Wichita, KS

665 
WWUS53 KICT 230952
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
452 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSC035-191-231015-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190623T1015Z/
Cowley KS-Sumner KS-
452 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL COWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN SUMNER COUNTIES...
    
At 452 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Wellington, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Belle Plaine, Oxford, Udall, Wellington Airport and Riverdale. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 9719 3748 9716 3725 9706 3725 9735
      3737 9742
TIME...MOT...LOC 0952Z 249DEG 38KT 3733 9734 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BUTLER

039 
WWUS53 KICT 231003
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
503 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSC035-191-231015-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190623T1015Z/
Cowley KS-Sumner KS-
503 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL COWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN SUMNER COUNTIES...
    
At 503 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Udall, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Belle Plaine, Oxford and Udall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 9719 3748 9716 3725 9706 3729 9728
      3740 9731
TIME...MOT...LOC 1003Z 255DEG 41KT 3735 9718 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BUTLER

531 
WWUS53 KICT 231014
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
514 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSC035-191-231024-
/O.EXP.KICT.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190623T1015Z/
Cowley KS-Sumner KS-
514 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL COWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN
SUMNER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 515 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still remains in effect for portions of 
Cowley County.

LAT...LON 3748 9719 3748 9716 3725 9706 3729 9728
      3740 9731
TIME...MOT...LOC 1014Z 249DEG 44KT 3739 9705 

$$

BUTLER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
246 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Latest surface analysis reveals a weak surface low near the
Hutchinson area with a frontal boundary extending from north
central Kansas southward into western Oklahoma. Convection has
developed in the vicinity of this low and boundary, and is
expected to continue over the next several hours. Additionally, in
western Kansas storms have clustered into a band and are expected
to continue to organize and track eastward across south central
and eventually southeast Kansas throughout the rest of the early
morning hours this morning. Latest CAMS also support this
thinking, showing a multi-cell cluster of storms pushing through
the area through mid-morning.

RAP mesoscale environmental analysis from south central Kansas
this morning reveals MUCAPE of around 1900J/kg and effective bulk
wind difference (EBWD) as high as 30-45kts. Additionally,
700-500mb lapse rates in the vicinity of 7C/km, along with
significant hail parameter around 1.0 and LHIP forecast to range
anywhere from 5 to 11 all will be supportive of a scattered large
hail threat with some very large hail up to around 2+ inches in
diameter not out of the question in spots. Meso-analysis reveals a
more marginal damaging wind threat, though modest DCAPE and
SBCAPE along with a more linear storm mode will support at least
some scatted wind gusts up to around 60mph+ or so. As a result, a
severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect through mid-morning
across south central and southeast Kansas.

Perhaps the most notable threat, however, will be the potential
for heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Model precipitable water
(PW) values ranging from 1.75-1.90 are well above the 90th
percentile of climatology. Additionally, a favorable environment
for training storms and very large amounts of moisture transport
at both 925mb and 850mb all support efficient rain makers. Given
the increasing concern for flood and flash flood potential across
the forecast area, QPF through 18z today was increased across
portions of the forecast area and trended towards the latest WPC
QPF guidance. A flash flood watch remains in effect through this
evening.

During the day today, the cold front is expected to progress
eastward to be located across southeast Kansas. Thinking that
lingering showers and storms will be in the vicinity most of the
day today, but given the worked-over environment, thinking that
the severe threat will wane sometime during the morning this
morning. However, there will likely be some recovery throughout
the day, with very large amounts of instability in southeast
Kansas by this afternoon and evening. Therefore, think severe
convective development will re-ignite along the front in southeast
Kansas later today. The good news is that this convection should
be fairly short-lived before tracking eastward out of the forecast
area late evening and overnight tonight. Once again, the main
threats will be large hail and damaging wind gusts. Flooding and
heavy will remain a concern until convection exits southeast
Kansas. Depending on exactly how much rain falls and where, river
flooding will likely increase across the area today as well. Be on
the lookout for the latest river flood warnings and statements or
the latest.

In the wake of this exiting front, high pressure is expected to
build into the region from southeast Colorado and southwest
Kansas, drying things back out for the day on Monday. Temperatures
today and tomorrow will be below climo given the cold front and
fairly widespread showers and storms. Current thinking is that
highs will struggle to reach the mid 80s area-wide today, though
central Kansas should remain only in the mid-70s. Temperatures
will likely rebound a little tomorrow, with a weak westerly flow
regime returning to the area.

Tuesday will likely remain mostly dry as well, though models do
indicate that a quick-hitting shortwave moving across the Central
Plains could bring brief showers and storms to the area during the
evening, though confidence in this remains low at this time.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Heading into the middle of the week, temperatures will rebound to
near-normal values with afternoon highs reaching back into the low
to mid-90s. By Wednesday and Thursday, mid- and upper level
ridging returns, which will mostly keep central, south central,
and southeast Kansas dry throughout the remainder of the week. A
spotty hit-or-miss shower or storm cannot be completely ruled out,
but the chances are low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

Showers and thunderstorms continue to impact portions of south
central and much of southeast KS late this evening while post-
frontal MVFR cigs were impacting portions of central and much of
western Kansas. The HRRR in addition to other CAMs continue to
suggest that another line of storms entering southwest Kansas will
race eastward impacting central and eastern KS late tonight.
Although a few strong or marginally severe storms will remain
possible, heavy rain and flooding may become the primary threats.
Flight categories will be reduced under the heaviest activity with
IFR/LIFR likely. Improving flight categories are anticipated by
15Z or sooner as the activity drifts east of the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    82  59  82  63 /  40  20  10   0
Hutchinson      80  57  82  63 /  40  20  10   0
Newton          81  58  81  63 /  60  20  10   0
ElDorado        81  59  81  63 /  50  20  10   0
Winfield-KWLD   82  60  82  63 /  50  20  10   0
Russell         73  53  82  61 /  40  20  10   0
Great Bend      74  54  82  62 /  40  10  10   0
Salina          79  57  83  64 /  50  20  10   0
McPherson       80  56  82  63 /  40  20  10   0
Coffeyville     83  63  82  63 /  60  50  10  10
Chanute         82  62  81  63 /  60  40  10  10
Iola            82  61  81  63 /  70  40  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    82  62  82  63 /  60  50  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ047>053-067>072-
082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

SHORT TERM...TAV
LONG TERM...TAV
AVIATION...MWM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
404 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-240915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
404 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are possible early this morning. Main
threats will be scattered to isolated large hail, damaging wind
gusts, and heavy rain. In addition to the severe weather threat,
flash flooding will be possible as thunderstorms that develop are
likely to produce very heavy rainfall rates. A flash flood watch
has been issued for most of the area for this flooding threat.

River flooding is also forecast or ongoing at various forecast
points. Please refer to the latest flood warnings and statements for
the most up to date information.

Strong to severe storms are possible again this afternoon and
evening, especially in southeast Kansas. The main threats will be
hail up to around 2 inches in diameter, wind gusts to 70mph, and
flash flooding. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out. The flash flood
watch extends until tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

River flooding will likely continue through at least the first half
of the week at various river forecast points. See the latest flood
warnings and statements for the most up to date information.

A slight chance of thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday
evening, but confidence is low at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
305 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ052-068-069-230830-
Butler KS-Harvey KS-Marion KS-
305 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Harvey County in south central Kansas...
  Southwestern Marion County in central Kansas...

* Until 330 AM CDT.

* At 303 AM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Newton...moving northeast at 30
  mph.

* Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
  possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Newton, Hesston, Halstead, North Newton, Peabody, Walton, Elbing
  and Newton Airport.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3808 9759 3817 9745 3817 9737 3822 9737
      3831 9724 3829 9715 3819 9718 3820 9716
      3817 9711 3810 9711 3810 9701 3806 9698
      3803 9699 3791 9752 3791 9753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0805Z 240DEG 24KT 3804 9740

BUTLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
338 AM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 AM     TORNADO          1 S HARPER              37.27N 98.03W
06/23/2019                   HARPER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
343 AM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 AM     TORNADO          3 SSE ATTICA            37.20N 98.21W
06/23/2019                   HARPER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DELAYED REPORT FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT.

&&

KED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
352 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ091-230930-
Harper KS-
352 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southern Harper County in south central Kansas...

* Until 430 AM CDT.

* At 351 AM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles northeast of Amorita, or 11
  miles east of Hazelton...moving east at 30 mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Anthony, Bluff City, Danville, Waldron, Freeport and Corwin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 9830 3710 9835 3732 9781 3700 9780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0852Z 250DEG 24KT 3702 9820

MCGUIRE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
403 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ067-068-082-083-091-092-230930-
Reno KS-Harper KS-Harvey KS-Sumner KS-Sedgwick KS-Kingman KS-
403 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southeastern Reno County in south central Kansas...
  Northeastern Harper County in south central Kansas...
  Southwestern Harvey County in south central Kansas...
  Northwestern Sumner County in south central Kansas...
  Western Sedgwick County in south central Kansas...
  Eastern Kingman County in south central Kansas...

* Until 430 AM CDT.

* At 401 AM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
  strong thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall along a line
  extending from near Haven to near Harper...and moving northeast at
  40 mph.

* Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
  possible with these storms.

* Locations impacted include...
  Goddard, South Hutchinson, Cheney, Harper, Colwich, Conway Springs,
  Haven, Garden Plain, Mount Hope, Andale, Bentley, Argonia, Norwich,
  Viola, Yoder, Murdock, Waterloo, Danville, Cheney Lake and Mt
  Vernon.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3797 9747 3727 9768 3720 9814 3802 9795
TIME...MOT...LOC 0903Z 235DEG 34KT 3785 9779 3726 9800

BUTLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 AM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 AM     TSTM WND GST     MILAN                   37.26N 97.67W
06/23/2019  E70 MPH          SUMNER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KED