Wind Advisory 16, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

037 
WWUS72 KGSP 151853
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
253 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...

.A tightening pressure gradient between an exiting low pressure
system to the north and high pressure to the south will allow for
gusty northwest winds today across the northern mountains in
North Carolina.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-152100-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-190415T2100Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
253 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...the northern mountains of North Carolina.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...Stronger gusts expected through the morning hours.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
229 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong system will bring more widespread storms to the area on
this afternoon and tonight, with severe weather possible. Dry
weather conditions will prevail through mid-week, with showers and
thunderstorms returning at the end of the week with an approaching
cold front.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 200 AM...Main update for the 06Z TAF issuance, along with
minor adjustments to temperatures/PoPs/Sky/Wx to coincide with
latest trends, as the rest of the near term forecast remains on
track. The Tornado Watch has been cancelled and the severe
weather threat has ended across the FA.

Otherwise, continue to expect the front to clear the area to the
east by around 06z. Gusty NW winds and rapidly dropping temps are
expected behind the front in the high terrain late overnight.
Lingering wind gust coming off the higher elevations may lead to
some minor wind concerns in the Piedmont. Moisture and CAA may
result in some light snow at the higher elevations, but not enough
for an advisory of any sort. Much cooler tonight behind the front, a
good 20 degrees cooler than this morning's lows, and freezing in the
mountains (frost/freeze program not turned on up there). Strong CAA
will result in highs 5-10 degrees below normal on Monday, breezy
conditions continuing.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Sunday: Ridging aloft and high pressure near the
surface will provide quiet weather with mostly clear skies and light
winds through the short term, Monday night through Wednesday
evening. Surface high pressure over the region Monday night will
likely support below normal lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s, warming
nicely into the upper 50s (mtns) to 60s to near 70 east of the mtns
Tuesday under nearly full April sunshine. Surface high pressure
pushing off the east coast will allow weak southerly return flow
Tuesday night into Wednesday. This along with high clouds possibly
streaming through the region will support lows in the mid 40s to
possibly mid 50s by early Wednesday morning rising well into the 70s
and possibly near 80 (depending on amt of high clouds) Wednesday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 220 PM EDT Sunday: ...From previous discussion due to
ongoing severe weather... Latest guidance continues to come into
better agreement on the timing of another approaching cold front
towards end of the work week. Per latest guidance, with sfc high
pressure offshore, sfc low over the central Plains will continue to
strengthen as it very slowly propagates northeastward towards the
Upper Midwest through into Friday. Aloft, southern stream trough
will strengthen and deepen as it shifts eastward, joining the
northern wave energy and becoming an upper closed low. Nearly
expanding across most of the CONUS, the center of this feature will
eject into the upper Midwest into Friday night, while at the sfc,
the parent low's cold front will already be in the process of
pushing eastward through the FA in the morning hours. Given how far
out this feature is, there's still plenty of time for temporal and
spatial changes, but overall anticipate shower and thunderstorm
chances to return as early as Thursday. Ahead of the front where the
Southeast will once again be well in the warm sector, it'll be
another Spring-like system on tap for the last weekend in April,
with dewpoints nearing 60 degrees and high temperatures on Thursday
ranging from the mid 70s to near 80 degrees south of the I-85
corridor and in and around the Charlotte Metro area. Behind the
exiting system, upper troughing will linger and swing overhead
Saturday and Saturday night, with lingering precip along the TN
border possible, where elsewhere, a drying trend will be already
occurring. Though temperatures will drop to below normal behind the
exiting front, do anticipate temperatures attm to remain above
freezing in the mountains, thus do not anticipate any mention of
snow attm.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: The Tornado Watch in effect for the
terminals has been cancelled, and the severe weather threat has
ended across the area.

With gradually decreasing cloud cover behind the exiting cold front,
expect VFR to prevail through the valid TAF period, with passing
FEW/SCT mid to high level clouds lingering over the next few hours.
With the cold front east of the FA, winds have shifted to the SW,
and will gradually become WNW towards daybreak (with the exception
of KAVL where winds will remain WNW through the valid TAF period).
With a brief break from gusts, do anticipate gusts to return by
later this morning, around 20 kts possible, dissipating by this
evening.

Outlook: VFR conditions will continue through mid-week. The next
cold front bringing moisture and potentially strong storms will
approach the area late Thursday thru Friday.

Confidence Table...

            06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SGL
NEAR TERM...ARK/SGL
SHORT TERM...Munroe
LONG TERM...SGL
AVIATION...SGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
245 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-160645-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
245 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible sometime late
Thursday into Friday ahead of an approaching cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

SGL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
108 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW PLEASANT GROVE    35.66N 81.60W
04/14/2019                   BURKE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CALL CENTER REPORTED MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES
            DOWN ON RIVER MEADOWS LN AT THE INTERSECTION OF RIVER
            RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
118 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WNW PLEASANT GROVE    35.66N 81.65W
04/14/2019                   BURKE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CALL CENTER REPORTED TREES DOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF WATERSHED RD AND ENOLA RD. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
125 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N DALLAS              35.37N 81.18W
04/14/2019                   GASTON             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWN ON BOB FRIDAY ROAD.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
132 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE LATTIMORE         35.33N 81.65W
04/14/2019                   CLEVELAND          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CALL CENTER REPORTED ONE TREE DOWN ON NEW HOUSE RD
            NEAR THE LATTIMORE COMMUNITY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
133 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE MOORESVILLE        35.59N 80.80W
04/14/2019                   IREDELL            NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWN ALONG STEWART AVENUE.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
134 AM EDT MON APR 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S HIGH SHOALS         35.38N 81.20W
04/14/2019                   GASTON             NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA RELAYED SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN
            THE AREA AROUND HIGHWAY 321 AND HARDIN RD.

&&

LANE