River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

593 
WGUS82 KGSP 150357
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1157 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg SC
continues the Flood Advisory for the French Broad River...

  ...near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties.

Heavy rainfall of 2-5 inches across Transylvania County over the
past 24 hours is causing excessive runoff, resulting in significant
rises in the headwaters of the French Broad River and associated 
tributaries including the Davidson and Little Rivers.  This will
cause the middle French Broad River from Horse Shoe to Fletcher to
Bent Creek to rise above Action/Advisory Stage, resulting in 
nuisance inundation of adjacent low-lying areas including farmland 
and boat access ramps.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory for a river forecast point means that nuisance 
flooding is expected to occur along the river when the river level is
forecast to be just below or at the official Minor Flood Stage.

Caution is urged when walking near river banks...keep children away 
from drainage areas and culverts.

&&

NCC021-089-160357-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190416T1500Z/
/FLCN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1157 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  The French Broad River Near Fletcher.
* until Monday morning.
* At 11 PM Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet and rising steadily.
* Action/Advisory Stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* FORECAST: The river will rise to near 11.5 feet by Monday morning.
* IMPACTS: At 11.5 feet: Action Stage Flooding continues.  Butler 
  Bridge Rd. is inundated with up to 6 inches of floodwaters from the
  French Broad River, forcing road closure.
* IMPACTS: At 10.0 feet: Action/Advisory Stage.  The French Broad 
  River has exceeded bankfull at the gauge site.  Isolated farmland 
  flooding is beginning across the French Broad River Valley from 
  Etowah downstream to Avery Creek upstream of the gauge site..

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

JMP

453 
WGUS82 KGSP 152335
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
735 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the French Broad River...

  near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties

Heavy rainfall of 2-5 inches across Transylvania County during the
24-hour period ending the evening of April 14, 2019 caused 
excessive runoff and resulted in significant rises in the 
headwaters of the French Broad River and associated tributaries 
including the Davidson and Little Rivers.  Those headwaters and
tributaries have crested and stream levels are quickly returning to
normal levels. The resultant floodwave has peaked along the middle
French Broad River from Horse Shoe to Fletcher to Bent Creek and 
is now beginning to recede.  However, the French Broad River will 
remain above Action/Advisory Stage through Tuesday morning, 
resulting in nuisance inundation of adjacent low-lying areas 
including farmland and boat access ramps. Therefore, the Flood 
Advisory will continue through Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory for a river forecast point means that nuisance 
flooding is expected to occur along the river when the river level is
forecast to be just below or at the official Minor Flood Stage.

Caution is urged when walking near river banks...keep children away 
from drainage areas and culverts.

&&

NCC021-089-161200-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190416T1200Z/
/FLCN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
735 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the French Broad River Near Fletcher
* until Tuesday morning.
* The French Broad River near Fletcher crested at 10.22 feet
  at 245 AM on April 15, 2019.
* At 07 PM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet and falling slowly.
* Action/Advisory Stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* FORECAST: The river will continue to fall slowly below Action/
  Advisory Stage by Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS: At 10.0 feet: Action/Advisory Stage. The French Broad 
  River has exceeded bankfull at the gauge site. Isolated farmland 
  flooding is beginning across the French Broad River Valley from 
  Etowah downstream to Avery Creek upstream of the gauge site.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

JMP

922 
WGUS82 KGSP 161114
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
714 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2019

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the...

  French Broad River Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson 
  Counties

.Runoff from previous heavy rain has worked its way further 
downstream thus...the river will continue to fall slowly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory for a river forecast point means that nuisance 
flooding is expected to occur along the river when the river level is
forecast to be just below or at the official  flood stage.

Caution is urged when walking near river banks...keep children away 
from drainage areas and culverts.

&&

NCC021-089-161144-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190416T1200Z/
/FLCN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
714 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2019

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The French Broad River Near Fletcher.
* At 07 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Action Stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* FORECAST: The river crested below Minor Flood Stage at 10.2 feet. 
  The river will continue to fall to 7.2 feet by Wednesday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
827 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong system will bring more widespread storms to the area on
this afternoon and tonight, with severe weather possible. Dry
weather conditions will prevail through mid-week, with showers and
thunderstorms returning at the end of the week with an approaching
cold front.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 800 PM...Have allowed Tornado Watch #62 to expire over our NC
PIedmont. Meanwhile, a line of tstms along a sfc cold front
continues to slowly cross the western third of the FA within Severe
Tstm Watch #66. That watch was expanded a little east across the
rest of our NE GA zones and also Anderson and Greenville counties in
SC. The latest HRRR hints that an uptick in the convection is likely
over the next 2-3 hours, thus the watch expansion. From there,
instability should really start to decrease, and the low-level jet
max seems to be racing east ahead of the slow-moving convective
line. With that said, cannot rule out another Severe Tstm Watch at
02z (10 PM), if the convection continues to look robust. Otherwise,
the wind headlines look okay. Not seeing as many gusts in the 35-40
kt range as earlier, but plan to let the headlines ride. PoPs are
lining up well with the convection so far.

The front should clear the area to the east by around 06z. Gusty NW
winds and rapidly dropping temps expected behind the front in the
high terrain late overnight. Strong gradient winds along and
immediately behind the front will continue especially across the
mountains, but will let the High Wind Warning expire at 02z. Gap
winds overnight coming off the higher elevations may lead to some
minor wind concerns in the Piedmont. Moisture and CAA may result in
some light snow at the higher elevations, but not enough for an
advisory of any sort. Much cooler tonight behind the front, a good
20 degrees cooler than this morning's lows, and freezing in the
mountains (frost/freeze program not turned on up there). Strong CAA
will result in highs 5-10 degrees below normal on Monday, breezy
conditions continuing.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Sunday: Ridging aloft and high pressure near the
surface will provide quiet weather with mostly clear skies and light
winds through the short term, Monday night through Wednesday
evening. Surface high pressure over the region Monday night will
likely support below normal lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s, warming
nicely into the upper 50s (mtns) to 60s to near 70 east of the mtns
Tuesday under nearly full April sunshine. Surface high pressure
pushing off the east coast will allow weak southerly return flow
Tuesday night into Wednesday. This along with high clouds possibly
streaming through the region will support lows in the mid 40s to
possibly mid 50s by early Wednesday morning rising well into the 70s
and possibly near 80 (depending on amt of high clouds) Wednesday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 220 PM EDT Sunday: ...From previous discussion due to
ongoing severe weather... Latest guidance continues to come into
better agreement on the timing of another approaching cold front
towards end of the work week. Per latest guidance, with sfc high
pressure offshore, sfc low over the central Plains will continue to
strengthen as it very slowly propagates northeastward towards the
Upper Midwest through into Friday. Aloft, southern stream trough
will strengthen and deepen as it shifts eastward, joining the
northern wave energy and becoming an upper closed low. Nearly
expanding across most of the CONUS, the center of this feature will
eject into the upper Midwest into Friday night, while at the sfc,
the parent low's cold front will already be in the process of
pushing eastward through the FA in the morning hours. Given how far
out this feature is, there's still plenty of time for temporal and
spatial changes, but overall anticipate shower and thunderstorm
chances to return as early as Thursday. Ahead of the front where the
Southeast will once again be well in the warm sector, it'll be
another Spring-like system on tap for the last weekend in April,
with dewpoints nearing 60 degrees and high temperatures on Thursday
ranging from the mid 70s to near 80 degrees south of the I-85
corridor and in and around the Charlotte Metro area. Behind the
exiting system, upper troughing will linger and swing overhead
Saturday and Saturday night, with lingering precip along the TN
border possible, where elsewhere, a drying trend will be already
occurring. Though temperatures will drop to below normal behind the
exiting front, do anticipate temperatures attm to remain above
freezing in the mountains, thus do not anticipate any mention of
snow attm.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Main concern is timing line of slow-moving
convection still west of the Upstate TAF sites at time of 00z TAF
issuance. The latest high-res models seem to be initializing this
well, and so the timing of tempo groups for TSRA is based mostly on
them. Not as confident how well the activity will hold up by the
time it reaches CLT, but will keep a tempo for the 03-05z time frame
for now. Once the front pushes thru to the east, winds will shift to
SW, then WNW Monday morning. Winds will be gusty thru the evening,
with some lull possible overnight, then becoming gusty again late
Monday morning (although not as strong as earlier today). Skies
should clear out, with some stratocu banking up against the western
slopes of the mountains, which are not expected to reach KAVL.

Outlook: VFR conditions will continue through mid-week. The next
cold front bringing moisture and potentially strong storms will
approach the area late Thursday thru Friday.

Confidence Table...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-00Z
KCLT       High  91%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High  93%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High  89%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High  89%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High  96%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High  98%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for GAZ010-017-018-
     026-028-029.
NC...Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
     High Wind Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ033-
     048>052-058-059-062>064.
SC...Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SGL
NEAR TERM...ARK/TDP
SHORT TERM...Munroe
LONG TERM...SGL
AVIATION...ARK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1018 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>006-
010-011-019-160230-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Madison-Yancey-
Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Anderson-Abbeville-Greenwood-
1018 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, western
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible sometime late
Thursday into Friday ahead of an approaching cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ007>009-012>014-160230-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Laurens-Chester-
1018 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...TORNADO WATCH 72 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina,
western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible sometime late
Thursday into Friday ahead of an approaching cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to forward any reports of large hail,
damaging winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

ARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1052 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE SIMPSONVILLE       34.77N 82.20W
04/14/2019                   GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            PART OF A ROOF BLOWN OFF A HOUSE.

&&

ARK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1101 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

NCZ068-070-SCZ007>009-012-013-150330-
Gaston NC-Cleveland NC-York SC-Cherokee SC-Laurens SC-Union SC-
Spartanburg SC-
1101 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...SOUTH
CENTRAL GASTON...NORTH CENTRAL LAURENS...WESTERN YORK...SOUTHEASTERN
SPARTANBURG...CHEROKEE AND NORTHERN UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM
EDT...

At 1101 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 3 miles northeast of Gaffney to 11 miles east of
Spartanburg to 13 miles north of Laurens, and moving east at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gastonia, Gaffney, Union, York, South Gastonia, Clover, Pacolet,
Lowell, Monarch Mill and Blacksburg.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and
tv stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM EDT for the Piedmont
of North Carolina...and Upstate South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3461 8208 3490 8181 3516 8165 3529 8108
      3497 8128 3482 8142 3482 8149 3481 8147
      3478 8146 3463 8160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 260DEG 29KT 3511 8162 3491 8174 3469 8195

HG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1109 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

SCZ007-012-013-019-150345-
Laurens SC-Greenwood SC-Union SC-Spartanburg SC-
1109 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LAURENS...SOUTH CENTRAL
SPARTANBURG...CENTRAL UNION AND GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM
EDT...

At 1108 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 7 miles northeast of Laurens to 13 miles
northeast of Greenwood to 16 miles southeast of Abbeville, and moving
northeast at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Greenwood, Laurens, Union, Clinton, Monarch Mill, Ninety Six, Joanna,
Cross Hill, Waterloo and Lake Greenwood State Park.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and
tv stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM EDT for Upstate South
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3398 8205 3399 8210 3397 8218 3402 8224
      3398 8229 3431 8210 3464 8202 3476 8151
      3450 8158 3453 8164 3437 8178 3430 8190
      3420 8194 3418 8191 3416 8191 3413 8187
      3409 8192 3397 8201 3395 8205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 246DEG 31KT 3460 8196 3435 8202 3397 8224

HG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1118 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

NCZ036-037-056-069-150345-
Davie NC-Iredell NC-Lincoln NC-Catawba NC-
1118 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN CATAWBA...NORTHWESTERN
DAVIE...IREDELL AND CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

At 1118 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 8 miles northeast of Newton to 3 miles north of
Lincolnton to 10 miles northeast of Shelby, and moving northeast at
35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Statesville, Lincolnton, Newton, Maiden, Troutman, Claremont,
Catawba, Harmony, Love Valley and Lake Norman.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and
tv stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM EDT for the Piedmont
of North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3605 8059 3568 8082 3555 8095 3542 8135
      3542 8142 3543 8141 3550 8132 3579 8113
      3578 8111 3580 8108 3587 8104 3599 8100
      3606 8096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 246DEG 29KT 3577 8113 3553 8125 3540 8140

HG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1138 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

NCZ070-071-SCZ008-009-012>014-150415-
Gaston NC-Mecklenburg NC-York SC-Cherokee SC-Laurens SC-Union SC-
Chester SC-
1138 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN MECKLENBURG...
SOUTHEASTERN GASTON...EAST CENTRAL LAURENS...CHESTER...YORK...EASTERN
CHEROKEE AND EASTERN UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM EDT...

At 1138 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 9 miles southeast of Gaffney to 4 miles northeast
of Union to 11 miles northwest of Newberry, and moving east at 45
mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Rock Hill, York, Chester, Union, Tega Cay, Clover, Newport, Town Of
Lake Wylie, Monarch Mill and Lockhart.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and
tv stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM EDT for the Piedmont
of North Carolina...and Upstate South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3475 8161 3510 8153 3520 8099 3484 8099
      3456 8112 3457 8142 3450 8142 3449 8144
      3449 8149 3445 8154 3448 8156 3453 8164
      3446 8170 3445 8172 3438 8177
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 261DEG 41KT 3501 8151 3477 8157 3442 8173

HG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1141 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

NCZ036-037-056-057-069-150415-
Rowan NC-Davie NC-Iredell NC-Lincoln NC-Catawba NC-
1141 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA...DAVIE...
IREDELL...NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND WESTERN ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL 1215
AM EDT...

At 1141 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 5 miles southwest of Boonville to 10 miles
southwest of Statesville to 6 miles east of Lincolnton, and moving
northeast at 50 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Statesville, Mocksville, Mooresville, Westport, Troutman, Bermuda
Run, Cooleemee, Cleveland, Harmony and Lake Norman.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and
TV stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM EDT for the Piedmont
of North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3556 8064 3546 8121 3564 8107 3606 8087
      3604 8049 3606 8046 3603 8044 3601 8042
TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 239DEG 45KT 3617 8076 3568 8100 3551 8114

HG