Alert archive / North Carolina / High Wind Warnings in 2019

High Wind Warning 6, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

April 13, 201912 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this high wind warning at Apr 13, 2019, 3:17 PM EDT for 12 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 14, 2019, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 22 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2019, 3:17 PM EDT (19:17 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 14, 2019, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 14, 2019, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 14, 3:41 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ne Sugar Hill, NCEMERGENCY MNGR REPORTED MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN WITH AT LEAST ONE STRUCTURE INVOLVED. LOCATIONS GENERALLY FROM MARION SOUTH TO RUTHERFORD COUNTY LINE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 807 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

478 
WWUS72 KGSP 131917
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS...

.Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds around a strong surface
low associated with large upper storm system will likely affect
higher elevations tonight and most of the day on Sunday.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-141930-
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0006.190414T0400Z-190415T0200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, 
Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a High Wind Warning above 3500 feet, which is in effect from
midnight tonight to 10 PM EDT Sunday.

* LOCATIONS...Higher elevations of the Southern Appalachians of
  Western North Carolina and Northeast Georgia.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...From Midnight tonight to Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
237 
WWUS72 KGSP 140233
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1033 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS...

.Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds around a strong surface
low associated with large upper storm system will likely affect
higher elevations tonight and most of the day on Sunday.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-141045-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.190414T0400Z-190415T0200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, 
Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands
1033 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY
ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...Higher elevations of the Southern Appalachians of 
  Western North Carolina and Northeast Georgia.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...From Midnight tonight to Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

&&

$$
596 
WWUS72 KGSP 140836
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
436 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE 
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds around a strong surface
low associated with large upper storm system will likely affect
higher elevations today.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-141600-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190415T0200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, 
Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands
436 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...Higher elevations of the North Carolina 
  mountains.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph sustained. Gusts will primarily range
  from 35 to 45 mph. However, gusts of 60 mph or more will be
  possible on exposed peaks and high ridge tops. In addition,
  heavy rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may bring
  brief gusts of up to 60 mph to lower elevations.  

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

&&

$$
Lane
706 
WWUS72 KGSP 141515
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1115 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...HIGH WINDS LIKELY TODAY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH 
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds around a strong surface
low associated with large upper storm system will likely affect
higher elevations through early this evening. Gusty northwest
winds are possible across high elevations focused across the
northern mountains late tonight into Monday morning.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-150200-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190415T0200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, 
Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands
1115 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...Higher elevations of the North Carolina mountains.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph sustained. Gusts will primarily 
  range from 35 to 45 mph. However, gusts of 60 mph or more will 
  be possible on exposed peaks and high ridge tops. In addition, 
  heavy rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may bring 
  brief gusts of up to 60 mph to lower elevations.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

&&

$$
995 
WWUS72 KGSP 141933
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...HIGH WINDS LIKELY TODAY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...
...GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...

.Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds around a strong surface
low associated with large upper storm system will affect the
region through early this evening. Gusty northwest winds are 
possible across high elevations focused across the northern 
mountains late tonight into Monday morning.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-150200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0015.190414T1933Z-190415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190415T0200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, 
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, 
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, 
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, 
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, 
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, 
Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, 
Brevard, Cedar Mountain, and Little River
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EDT this evening.

* LOCATIONS...Wind advisory for elevations 3500 ft and below
  across the North Carolina mountains. High wind warning for
  elevations above 3500 ft.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Gusts higher
  than 60 mph possible above 3500 ft.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ505-150200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0015.190414T1933Z-190415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190415T0200Z/
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, 
and Old Fort
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING BELOW
3500 FEET...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory below 3500 feet, which is in effect until 10 PM
EDT this evening.

* LOCATIONS...Higher elevations of the North Carolina mountains.

* HAZARDS...Very windy conditions.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...South 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>014-019-150200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0015.190414T1933Z-190415T0200Z/
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-
Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-
Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-
Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-
Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, 
Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, Hollywood, Boydville, Toccoa, 
Royston, Lavonia, Franklin Springs, Canon, Hartwell, Nuberg, 
Reed Creek, Elberton, Fortsonia, Middleton, Ruckersville, 
Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, 
Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, 
Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, 
Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, 
Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, 
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, 
Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, 
Glenwood, Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Saluda, Tryon, 
Columbus, Mill Spring, Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Westminster, 
Pumpkintown, Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, Seneca, Oakway, 
Easley, Dacusville, Clemson, Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin,
Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, 
Rock Hill, Anderson, Abbeville, Calhoun Falls, Laurens, Clinton, 
Union, Monarch Mills, Chester, Cornwell, Great Falls, 
Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EDT this evening.

* LOCATIONS...The Piedmont and Foothills of the Carolinas and
  northeast Georgia.

* HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts.

* TIMING...Through 10 PM EDT this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ065-150200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0015.190414T1933Z-190415T0200Z/
Henderson-
Including the cities of Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, 
East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EDT this evening.

* LOCATIONS...The Piedmont and Foothills of the Carolinas and
  northeast Georgia.

* HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts.

* TIMING...Through 10 PM EDT this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ501-503-150200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0015.190414T1933Z-190415T0200Z/
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
Including the cities of Patterson and Jonas Ridge
333 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING BELOW
3500 FEET...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory below 3500 feet, which is in effect until 10 PM
EDT this evening.

* LOCATIONS...The Piedmont and Foothills of the Carolinas and
  northeast Georgia.

* HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts.

* TIMING...Through 10 PM EDT this evening.

* WINDS...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

ARK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Apr 13, 1:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 1:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
144 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will stall across the region through Saturday
maintaining a chance of showers and storms. A stronger system will
bring more widespread storms to the area on Sunday and Sunday night,
with severe weather possible. The weather will improve significantly
through mid-week next week, with the next system expected Thursday
through Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 10:45 EDT Saturday:  Adjusted POPs to better match latest
radar trends.  Currently most rain is in the eastern third of the FA
along a frontal boundary, with some widely scattered showers
elsewhere.  As showers have been persistent over areas from Chester
(SC) to Davidson (NC) Counties, some flooding issues will continue
for the next couple hours at least.  CAM models have the
precipitation moving eastward and declining over the next 5 hours.
Precipitation should become very widely scattered after that, with
the next round of significant storms expected as major system
advances on Sunday.  The current front over the southeast third of
the FA returns as a warm front tonight, raising dewpoints and
putting the entire area in the warm, moist sector ahead of a major
cold front with strong vertical shear.  Some of the ingredients for
severe weather will certainly be present, but instability may still
be modest with SBCAPE around 1000 j/kg at peak heating in the
afternoon.  Rather strong deep layer shear will make this a
situation to watch closely.

Tonight will see accelerating southerly flow in advance of cold
front marching across the TN Valley. Very gusty winds will develop
on the high peaks and ridge tops of the southern Appalachians, with
advisory-level winds most likely being contained to elevations above
4000 ft (or higher) in the warm advection flow. Increasing
mechanical lift near the Blue Ridge escarpment will also lead to
increasing chances for showers/perhaps a TS or two through the
night.  Temps will remain well above normal through the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 100 PM EDT Saturday: The short term picks up Sunday evening
(06Z Monday)just after the main frontal passage. Some scattered
thunderstorms may linger into the overnight period, but those should
quickly move off to the east by 12Z. After that, expect only some
light NW flow showers to remain in the higher terrain, and then only
for a few hours into the later morning. Dry surface high pressure
and upper ridging will build in over the area late Monday through
Wednesday, keeping conditions dry and sunny for the balance of the
short term period.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 230 AM EDT Saturday: Expect a dry weather pattern to kick off
the extended forecast period on Tuesday as sfc high pressure
dominates the weather pattern with semi-flattened upper ridging
aloft across much of the CONUS. Into Wednesday, latest guidance
continues to shift sfc high pressure eastward off the Carolinas
coast as, back to the west, upper ridge builds ahead of the next
approaching weather system. While timing remains the main question
for the next approaching system, latest guidance overall continues
to trend towards a cold front pushing through northeast GA and the
western carolinas on Friday. With this system, expect shower and
thunderstorm chances to return, with an unsettled weather pattern on
tap for the end of the week.

Temperatures will remain above normal through the period, with high
temperatures nearing 80 degrees on Wednesday and Thursday along and
south of the I-85 corridor. Overnight low temperatures will remain
above normal as well.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere:  Current forecast has scattered thunderstorms
which will persist through the evening, followed by scattered
showers.  A weak frontal boundary separates southerly to
southwesterly winds at KAND, KGSP, and KCLT from more northeasterly
winds at KAVL and KHKY.  Winds; however, have been somewhat variable
at only 5 or so kts.  As boundary moves north as a warm front in
advance of major system approaching from the west, winds will become
southeasterly at all locations this afternoon and tonight.  Winds
will steadily be increasing overnight as low strengthens.  With
moist advection and rain today, some fog is likely in the morning at
most locations.

At KCLT, with forecast extending to 00Z tomorrow, aerodrome will be
impacted by passage of possible squall line around 21Z to 00Z, as
well as increased gusty winds as major cold front reaches the area.

Outlook: Visby and/or cig restrictions will likely persist into
Sunday and Sunday night ahead of and along an approaching strong
cold front. Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms are
expected Sunday, some of which will be strong to severe. VFR
conditions should return early next week behind the cold front, and
likely continue through mid-week.

Confidence Table...

            17-23Z        23-05Z        05-11Z        11-12Z
KCLT       Med   75%     Med   72%     Med   61%     Low   52%
KGSP       High  83%     Med   61%     Med   78%     Med   71%
KAVL       High 100%     Med   66%     Med   66%     Med   69%
KHKY       Med   66%     Med   61%     Med   72%     High  87%
KGMU       Med   75%     Med   66%     Med   78%     Low   58%
KAND       High  91%     High 100%     Med   72%     Low   52%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMP
NEAR TERM...JDL/WJM
SHORT TERM...SGL
LONG TERM...SGL
AVIATION...WJM
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 6:05 AM EDT, 9 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
605 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-141015-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
605 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through tonight. An
isolated severe thunderstorm or two cannot be rule out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Widespread strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
morning through Sunday evening. The primary threat will be damaging
winds. Large hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Heavy
rain may lead to isolated flash flooding, especially in areas that
experience multiple rounds of thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

SGL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 13, 10:40 AM EDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1040 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

NCZ071-131515-
Mecklenburg NC-
1040 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY UNTIL
1115 AM EDT...

At 1039 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area
of heavy rain along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of
Kannapolis to near Indian Land, and moving northeast at 15 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Huntersville, Central Charlotte, South Charlotte,
Northeast Charlotte, Southwest Charlotte, East Charlotte, Matthews,
Pineville and Freedom Park.

Torrential rainfall rates up to 3 inches per hour will be possible in
these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters.

&&

LAT...LON 3508 8070 3503 8077 3503 8080 3500 8084
      3510 8093 3551 8080 3542 8075 3540 8077
      3535 8070 3527 8067 3526 8064
TIME...MOT...LOC 1439Z 246DEG 13KT 3545 8072 3502 8090

JMP
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 11:24 AM EDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1124 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

NCZ071-072-082-131630-
Union NC-Cabarrus NC-Mecklenburg NC-
1124 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN
CABARRUS...SOUTHERN MECKLENBURG AND NORTHWESTERN UNION COUNTIES UNTIL
1230 PM EDT...

At 1123 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a thunderstorm with
torrential rainfall 6 miles northeast of Indian Land, or near The
Arboretum, moving northeast at 10 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Central Charlotte, South Charlotte, Southwest
Charlotte, East Charlotte, Matthews, Mint Hill, Pineville, Freedom
Park and Reedy Creek Park.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8082 3505 8088 3511 8093 3510 8094
      3514 8098 3535 8070 3520 8054
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 245DEG 17KT 3508 8077

Carroll
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 12:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1249 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

NCZ082-131730-
Union NC-
1249 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT CENTRAL UNION COUNTY UNTIL 130
PM EDT...

At 1248 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area
of heavy rain along a line extending from 17 miles southwest of
Albemarle to 9 miles southwest of Monroe, and moving east at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Monroe, Unionville, Wesley Chapel, Wingate, Lake Park, Mineral
Springs, Fairview In Union County, Waxhaw, Hemby Bridge and
Marshville.

Torrential rainfall rates up to 3 inches per hour will be possible in
these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters.

&&

LAT...LON 3507 8029 3491 8046 3493 8077 3496 8080
      3496 8081 3519 8051 3518 8049 3518 8048
      3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042 3516 8041
      3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031 3519 8030
      3519 8028
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 254DEG 16KT 3519 8041 3492 8069

JMP
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 12:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1256 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

SCZ002-003-005-006-131745-
Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-Greenville Mountains SC-
Greater Greenville SC-
1256 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL GREENVILLE AND
NORTHEASTERN PICKENS COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

At 1255 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pickens, moving east at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Pickens, Berea, Travelers Rest, Slater-Marietta, Paris Mountain State
Park, Cherrydale Point, Furman University, Pleasant Ridge State Park,
Pumpkintown and Dacusville.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail will be possible in
these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

Dime to nickel size hail can cause considerable damage to vehicles.
Consider moving vehicles to a covered storage area before the storm
arrives.

&&

LAT...LON 3483 8277 3496 8283 3511 8243 3489 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 1655Z 254DEG 19KT 3489 8270

Carroll
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 1:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
144 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

SCZ003-006-131815-
Greenville Mountains SC-Greater Greenville SC-
144 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY
UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

At 144 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles north of Greenville Downtown, or near Travelers Rest, moving
east at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Slater-Marietta, Tigerville, Lake Robinson, Travelers Rest, Pleasant
Ridge State Park, Glassy Mountain, Cleveland and Gowensville.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail will be possible in
these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

Dime to nickel size hail can cause considerable damage to vehicles.
Consider moving vehicles to a covered storage area before the storm
arrives.

&&

LAT...LON 3496 8250 3507 8252 3518 8226 3507 8222
      3500 8222
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 254DEG 19KT 3501 8241

Carroll
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 1:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
156 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

NCZ049-050-053-503>506-131900-
Buncombe NC-McDowell Mountains NC-Yancey NC-Burke Mountains NC-
Greater Burke NC-Eastern McDowell NC-Mitchell NC-
156 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL IMPACT MCDOWELL...
SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL...EAST CENTRAL BUNCOMBE...SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY
AND WEST CENTRAL BURKE COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

At 155 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a thunderstorm with
torrential rainfall 6 miles west of Marion, or 4 miles northeast of
Old Fort, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Marion, Old Fort, Lake James State Park, B.R. Parkway-Little
Switzerland To Linville, Lake James, B.R. Parkway-Craggy To Little
Switzerland, Linville Falls, Montreat, Nebo and Pleasant Gardens.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph, half inch hail and torrential rainfall rates
up to 3 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3576 8178 3552 8216 3556 8227 3570 8232
      3592 8200 3591 8198 3593 8195 3594 8196
      3595 8196 3596 8193
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 232DEG 12KT 3568 8212

Carroll

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 9:12 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus50 min
Apr 13, 9:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan38 min
Apr 13, 9:57 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPCabarrus6 hr
Apr 13, 10:40 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg35 min
Apr 13, 11:24 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg66 min
Apr 13, 11:55 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union6 hr
Apr 13, 12:37 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston, Mecklenburg4 hr
Apr 13, 12:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion41 min
Apr 13, 1:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell64 min
Apr 13, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk38 min
Apr 13, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell, McDowell47 min
Apr 13, 3:09 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell36 min
Apr 13, 3:37 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba19 min
Apr 13, 3:56 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus9 hr
Apr 13, 5:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland29 min

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in North Carolina, 2019Every high wind warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.